Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China has lowered the Loan Prime Rate (LPR) for both 1-year and 5-year terms by 10 basis points, indicating a transmission of policy rate adjustments to loan market rates [1][3][4]. Group 1: LPR Adjustments - The 1-year LPR is now 3.0% and the 5-year LPR is 3.5%, both down by 10 basis points from the previous period [1][3]. - Analysts believe there is still room for further LPR reductions to enhance the quality and accuracy of LPR quotes [5][6]. - The recent LPR adjustments align with a broader monetary policy shift aimed at reducing financing costs for businesses and households [4][6]. Group 2: Deposit Rate Cuts - A new round of deposit rate cuts has been initiated, with major banks reducing rates for various terms, including a 15 basis point cut for 3-month, 6-month, and 1-year deposits, and a 25 basis point cut for 3-year and 5-year deposits [1][7]. - The latest adjustments mark the seventh round of deposit rate cuts since the market-oriented adjustment mechanism was established in April 2022 [7][9]. - The reduction in deposit rates is expected to increase the difficulty for banks in attracting deposits, while simultaneously directing more funds into low-risk asset management products [2][8]. Group 3: Market Implications - The decline in deposit rates may lead to a further drop in broad interest rates, including government bond yields, and could encourage a "deposit migration" trend as investors seek higher returns [2][8]. - The anticipated increase in the scale of wealth management products could surpass 33 trillion yuan this year due to the lower deposit rates [2][8]. - The adjustments are part of a broader strategy to stabilize the economy amid external pressures and to stimulate domestic demand [4][6].

经济观察报记者注意到，此前一些投资者为获得更高收益、更 安全稳定的投资产品选择跨省、跨区域储蓄，因此得名"存款 特种兵"，现在其中一部分人转向了银行理财。 作者：刘颖 封图：图虫创意 "明天调整存款利率，需要存定期的客户，现在还可以在手机银行上存款。"2025年5月19日晚间， 一名国有大行的客户经理将这则消息群发给了客户。 5月20日清晨，该客户经理收到的行内邮件显示，最新的人民币存款挂牌利率是：活期存款年利率 由0.10%下降至0.05%，一年期及以下的整存整取挂牌利率均降至"1"字以下，三年、五年期整存整 取挂牌利率分别降至1.25%、1.30%，均下调25个基点。 另一位国有大行的柜台经理告诉经济观察报记者，听说存款利率调降后，5月20日清晨，该柜台的 存款系统未完成更新前，不少人就来转存此前到期的整存整取产品，但听说今天开始按照新的存款 利率执行后，便开始询问其他银行理财和保险产品。 存款利率的一丝变动左右着投资者理财的摆布方向。 随着定存产品的利率优势逐渐在下降，银行理财开始再次受到投资者的关注。同时，为吸引投资 者，多家银行及理财子公司打出多套 "诚意牌"。如降费率、密集推出短期高收益产品等，以 ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent adjustments in deposit interest rates by major banks have led to a shift in investor behavior, with many moving from traditional savings to bank wealth management products as a response to declining rates [2][3][4]. Group 1: Deposit Rate Changes - As of May 20, 2025, the new deposit rates for RMB have been significantly lowered, with the interest rate for demand deposits dropping from 0.10% to 0.05%, and the rates for one-year and shorter fixed deposits falling below 1% [2]. - The three-year and five-year fixed deposit rates have been reduced to 1.25% and 1.30%, respectively, both down by 25 basis points [2]. Group 2: Shift to Wealth Management Products - With the decline in fixed deposit rates, bank wealth management products are regaining investor interest, prompting banks to introduce various incentives such as lower fees and short-term high-yield products to attract investors [3][8]. - Investors previously known as "deposit special forces" are now turning back to bank wealth management, seeking better returns amid the low-interest environment [4][5]. Group 3: Investor Behavior and Strategies - Investors like Mr. Guo, who have experience in both stock and wealth management markets, are adapting their strategies in response to changing market conditions, including a return to wealth management products after initially favoring deposits [4][6]. - The trend of favoring short-term wealth management products is driven by their liquidity and relatively controlled risk, aligning with current investor needs for flexibility [8]. Group 4: Bank Responses and Promotions - Banks and wealth management subsidiaries are actively promoting short-term high-yield products, with some offering annualized returns as high as 5.04% for short holding periods [8]. - Several banks have announced fee reductions for their wealth management products, aiming to enhance investor appeal and competitiveness in a declining interest rate environment [9].

Core Viewpoint - The scale of wealth management products in China has reached a new high, surpassing 31 trillion yuan in May 2023, driven by declining loan rates and a shift towards short-term products as a substitute for deposits [1][3][4]. Group 1: Wealth Management Scale - As of May 20, 2023, the total scale of wealth management products reached approximately 31.3 trillion yuan, an increase of about 1.6 trillion yuan since the beginning of the year [1][2]. - The growth in wealth management products is primarily attributed to short-term products, with a notable increase in daily open-type products and those with a maturity of one month or less [4][5]. - The rapid increase in wealth management scale began in April 2023, coinciding with a more relaxed liquidity environment and a decline in deposit rates by major banks [3][4]. Group 2: Interest Rate Trends - The People's Bank of China announced a comprehensive plan including a 10 basis point interest rate cut and a 50 basis point reserve requirement ratio reduction, with expectations for further rate cuts in the second half of the year [1][6]. - Market analysts predict a continued downward trend in interest rates, which is expected to support the bond market and contribute to a steady increase in wealth management scale [6][7]. Group 3: Product Strategy and Performance - There is a growing trend towards "fixed income plus" strategies in wealth management products, with a small allocation to equity assets as the stock market shows signs of recovery [9][10]. - Wealth management products focusing on cash management and short-term investments are gaining popularity due to their safety and liquidity, often offering higher yields compared to money market funds [5][9]. - The performance of "fixed income plus" products varies significantly, with some achieving notable returns while others lag behind, indicating a diverse performance landscape within the wealth management sector [9][10].

作 者丨吴霜 余纪昕 编 辑丨曾芳 刘雪莹 在 最 新 LPR 的 调 降 预 期 下 ， 5 月 2 0 日 ， 中 行 、 建 行 、 招 行 、 工 商 银 行 宣 布 下 调 人 民 币 存 款 利 率。 据《金融时报》报道，随着银行存款"降息潮"的延续，曾被视为"揽储利器"的大额存单产品， 正在逐渐"失宠"，多家银行也同步下调了大额存单产品利率。 目前，大额存单产品即将全面 迈入" 1时代"。 5月2 0日， 中国银行 发售了2 0 2 5年第一期个人大额存单，1年期、2年期、3年期产品利率分 别较去年下调了2 5个基点、2 5个基点以及3 5个基点。 | | | | 2025年第一期在售大额存单产品信息简表 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 期限 | 起点金额 (万元) | 年化利率 发售对象 | 付息规则 | 其他规则 | | 1个月 6个月 | | 0.9% | 到期不自动转存,到期还本付息，允许全部提前支取和一次部 | 支持转让※;通过购买方 | | 3个月 | | 0.9% | | | | | 20 | 1.1% 个人客户 | 分提前支取（提前支取 ...

Group 1: Market Activity - Net purchases included Meituan at 1.234 billion, China Mobile at 550 million, China Construction Bank at 499 million, and others, while net sales included Xiaomi Group at -310 million and Tencent Holdings at -306 million [1] - Southbound funds have recorded 11 consecutive days of net sales for Tencent, totaling 13.90601 billion HKD, and 3 consecutive days of net sales for Xiaomi, totaling 1.28491 billion HKD [1] Group 2: Company Developments - Sangfor Biopharma has reached a milestone agreement with Pfizer for the PD-1/VEGF bispecific antibody SSGJ-707, involving an upfront payment of 1.25 billion and a total of 6.05 billion for global development and commercialization, setting a record for recent Chinese innovative drug licensing [4] - China Construction Bank and other major state-owned banks have announced a reduction in multiple terms of RMB deposit rates, with the three-year and five-year rates lowered by 25 basis points to 1.25% and 1.3% respectively [4] - Leap Motor reported a 187.1% year-on-year revenue growth in Q1, reaching 10.02 billion RMB, driven by strong sales growth and optimized product structure, with a 4.9% increase in revenue per vehicle [4] Group 3: Product Launches - Xiaomi's Lei Jun announced that the Xiaomi玄戒O1, a self-developed 3nm flagship chip, has begun mass production, with two flagship products set to launch: the high-end Xiaomi 15s Pro smartphone and the ultra-high-end OLED Xiaomi Pad 7 Ultra [5]

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Positive" (maintained) [4] Core Viewpoints - The reduction in deposit rates is greater than expected, with the average reduction being 16 basis points, which is higher than the 10 basis points reduction in loan rates, indicating a clear regulatory support for interest margins [5] - The phenomenon of deposit disintermediation is expected to persist long-term, although the degree of disintermediation is weaker than last year due to manual interest compensation governance [2] - The average annualized yield for cash management products is 1.46%, which is higher than the actual interest rate for state-owned banks' 1-year deposits by 36 basis points, suggesting that wealth management products still have a comparative advantage over deposits [2] Summary by Sections Deposit Rate Adjustments - As of May 20, 2025, the LPR for 1-year and 5-year has been lowered by 10 basis points to 3.0% and 3.5% respectively, with significant reductions in various deposit rates across state-owned banks and China Merchants Bank [5] - The new rates for different deposit types include a reduction in the current deposit rate to 0.05% and a 15 basis point reduction for 3-month, 6-month, and 1-year fixed deposits [5] Market Impact - Short-term market expectations for interest rate cuts have been fully priced in, with limited immediate impact on bond market prices. However, in the medium to long term, the reduction in deposit rates may improve funding costs and lead to a decline in bond yields [3] - The improvement in funding costs is expected to enhance the ticket yield for banks, as previous constraints on allocation due to funding costs are alleviated [3] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that bank stocks are not in the latter stage but rather at the beginning of a long cycle, with regulatory support for interest margins and declining rates benefiting dividend stocks [6] - Key recommendations include city commercial banks such as Jiangsu Bank and Chengdu Bank, as well as dividend-paying banks like Agricultural Bank and China CITIC Bank [6]

Group 1 - Major banks, including ICBC, BOC, and CCB, have lowered interest rates on various deposit products, including demand deposits, time deposits, and notice deposits [1] - The trend of declining deposit rates is continuing, leading to a decrease in the attractiveness of large-denomination certificates of deposit (CDs), which were previously considered effective tools for attracting deposits [1] - Large-denomination CDs are now approaching an interest rate level in the "1" range, indicating a significant shift in the deposit landscape [1]

Core Viewpoint - A new round of deposit rate cuts has been initiated by several major banks in China, leading to a decline in the attractiveness of large-denomination certificates of deposit (CDs) [1][5] Group 1: Deposit Rate Cuts - Major banks including ICBC, BOC, and CCB have lowered interest rates on various deposit products, including demand deposits, time deposits, and notice deposits [1] - The interest rates for large-denomination CDs are expected to fall below 2%, with current rates for 1-year and 2-year CDs at 1.2% and 3-year CDs at 1.55% [3][4] - Compared to last year's issuance, the rates for 1-year, 2-year, and 3-year CDs have decreased by 25 basis points and 35 basis points respectively [1][3] Group 2: Specific Bank Products - BOC's 2025 first phase of personal large-denomination CDs includes terms of 1 month, 3 months, 6 months, 1 year, 2 years, and 3 years, with rates ranging from 0.9% to 1.55% [3] - CCB's 1-year and 3-year large-denomination CDs have rates of 1.2% and 1.55% respectively, with no current offerings for 2-year and 5-year CDs [4] - Smaller banks and private banks are also reducing their large-denomination CD rates, with Tianjin Bank's 3-year and 5-year products now at 2.00% and 1.75% respectively [5][7] Group 3: Industry Trends - Since April, banks have been adjusting their deposit rates to manage costs amid narrowing interest margins, focusing on the liability side of their balance sheets [8] - The adjustments in deposit rates are aimed at improving interest income levels and providing room for further reductions in asset-side rates, thereby enhancing the banking sector's ability to support the real economy [8]

早盘速递 2025/5/20 热点资讯 1、4月份我国经济顶住压力稳定增长。国家统计局发布数据显示，今年4月份，全国规模以上工业增加值同比增长6.1%，服务业 生产指数增长6%，社会消费品零售总额增长5.1%。1-4月份，全国固定资产投资同比增长4%，扣除房地产开发投资后增长8%。数 据还显示，4月全国城镇调查失业率为5.1%，比上月下降0.1个百分点；1-4月全国房地产开发投资同比下降10.3%，新建商品房 销售面积下降2.8%。 2、国家统计局发布70城房价数据显示，4月份，一、二线城市新房价格环比持平，三线城市略有下降，各线城市房价同比降幅 均持续收窄。新房价格环比上涨城市有22个，比上月减少2个，上海、大连新房价格环比涨幅全国第一；二手房价环比上涨城市 有5个，比上月减少5个，赣州二手房价环比涨幅居首。中原地产首席分析师张大伟认为，"小阳春"行情已经过去，市场进入 短暂的需求真空期。 4、巴西植物油行业协会（Abiove）周一在一份报告中称，巴西2024/25年度大豆产量预估为1.697亿吨，此前预估为1.696亿 吨；大豆压榨量预估为5750万吨；将出口量预估小幅下调至1.082亿吨，此前为1.08 ...