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中国储能风暴来袭,欧盟关税遇阻,新能源战略重塑全球
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-07 01:44
Core Insights - The EU's decision to impose a 15% temporary tariff on Chinese photovoltaic components in May 2025 coincides with China's launch of the world's largest energy storage system construction plan, indicating a significant shift in the global industrial landscape [1][3] - China is leveraging its manufacturing advantages and energy transition strategy to create a "green channel" in response to trade barriers set by Europe and the US, thus reshaping global supply chains [1][3] Group 1: EU Tariff and China's Response - The EU's tariff policy is based on a strategic misjudgment, as Chinese photovoltaic components hold a 70% global market share and lead in high-end technology by 5 to 8 years [3][4] - The cost of Chinese HJT components is 0.95 yuan/W, while European TOPCon components are 0.85 yuan/W, but Chinese products outperform in efficiency and lifespan by over 20% [3][4] - If the EU maintains its tariff policy, the cost of domestic photovoltaic installations will rise by 18%, delaying carbon reduction targets by at least three years [4] Group 2: China's Energy Storage Initiatives - In response to EU tariffs, Chinese state-owned enterprises have initiated over 50GWh of energy storage system procurement projects, achieving a renewable energy consumption rate of over 95% [7] - China's energy storage systems are reported to cost only one-third of those from European and American companies, which will significantly alter global electricity market competition [7][10] - By 2025, China's new energy storage installations are projected to reach 58.61GW/137.86GWh, with successful pilot projects in regions like Tibet and Hubei [7] Group 3: Global Impact of Chinese Technology - China's advancements in energy storage technology allow for independent energy systems in remote areas, providing low-cost and reliable energy solutions to countries along the Belt and Road Initiative [10][11] - The complete supply chain in energy storage, including battery cells and system integration, has positioned China as a leader, with a market share of over 76% in large-capacity battery cells [10] - Chinese companies are setting global energy storage technology standards, with the "Grid-Connected Energy Storage System Technical Specification" adopted by the International Electrotechnical Commission [10][13] Group 4: Strategic Differences and Global Governance - The clash between EU tariffs and Chinese energy storage technology represents a fundamental competition between two industrial logics, with China promoting a new model of international cooperation through "new energy and infrastructure" [11][13] - China's approach not only addresses energy shortages in developing countries but also offers a new path for global governance that balances efficiency and equity [13][15] - As Western nations grapple with trade protectionism, China is using renewable energy to redefine the global industrial landscape, showcasing its manufacturing prowess and commitment to sustainable development [15]
财务基本面解析(一):财务报表重构:资产负债表
Yin He Zheng Quan· 2025-06-06 11:23
金融工程 · 专题报告 | 《多因子系列:因子投资手册(一)》 | | --- | | 《多因子系列:因子投资手册(二)》 | | 《多因子系列:因子投资手册(三)》 | | 《多因子系列:因子投资手册(四)》 | | 《多因子系列:因子投资手册(五)》 | F券 CGS 财务基本面解析(一) 财务报表重构-资产负债表 核心观点 分析师 吴俊鹏 ☎: 010-8092-7631 网:wujunpeng@chinastock.com.cn 分析师登记编码:S0130517090001 www.chinastock.com.cn 证券研究报告 相关研究 金融工程 · 专题报告 正券|CGS 中国银河证券|CGS 目录 Catalog | 一、财务报表重构研究 … | | --- | | 二、财务报表重构框架 | | (一)财务报表格式变更 | | (二) 新金融准则和新收入准则 … | | (三) 财务报表处理. | | 三、重构报表因子 … | | (一)资产类因子 | | (二)负债类因子 ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… ...
国泰海通|基金评价:6月基金投资策略:A股延续反弹势头,相对偏向成长配置风格
国泰海通证券研究· 2025-06-06 10:58
报告导读: 受到一系列利好政策推动, A 股在 5 月延续了 4 月中旬以来的反弹势头。我 们建议后续基金配置在整体维持均衡风格的前提下,适度偏向成长,并且关注基金经理的 选股和风控能力。 基金投资策略 股混基金: 5 月份,制造业 PMI 为 49.5% ,比上月上升 0.5 个百分点,本月制造业 PMI 的表现与过去 三年同期水平大体相当,涨幅略强于季节。在关税摩擦缓和后, 5 月出口期看,外部因素其实不是那么重 要,因为我国制造竞争力有足够的韧性,美国也不可能持续逆着经济规律办事,所以内部解决好低通胀的 问题才是关键。往后看,一揽子支持稳市场稳预期的金融政策正在路上,国泰海通策略团队认为,从行业 上来看,在这轮 A 股上涨行情中,新兴科技依然是中长期主线,周期金融领域可能成为黑马,同时具有竞 争格局改善、供需偏紧逻辑的周期品,以及新消费需求和品类创新逻辑下的新消费领域同样值得关注。从 基金投资的角度来看, 2024 年以来价值和成长风格中均具备结构性投资机会的市场格局或将延续,因此 我们 建议后续基金配置在整体维持均衡风格的前提下,适度偏向成长 , 并且关注基金经理的选股和风控 能力。 债券基金: 6 ...
上海线下活动邀请 | LSEG World-Check二十五周年活动:全球变局下的合规重构
Refinitiv路孚特· 2025-06-06 06:00
我们的产品: LSEG World-Check 获取准确且结构化的信息,帮助您履行 KYC(了解您的客户)和第三方尽职调查筛查义务。20 多年来,全球最大 的公司均使用和信赖 World-Check。 为什么选择 LSEG World-Check? 帮助您履行监管义务,做出明智的决策,并防止您的业务被用于清洗金融犯罪所得或与腐败行为相关联。 20 多年来,World-Check 数据库始终提供准确可靠的信息,帮助金融机构、受监管的非银行部门和公司遵守强制性 KYC、反洗钱、打击恐怖主义融资、反贿赂和反腐败方面的法规以及其他相关法律。 我们在全球拥有数百名专业研究人员和分析师,他们遵守最严格的研究指南,从可靠和有信誉的来源(例如观察名 单、政府记录和媒体搜索)处收集和整理信息。 来探索有洞见的数字化工具和功能,帮助财富管理顾问实时获取资讯,更高效提升工作能力。 结合最先进技术和专业知识,帮助您简化客户和第三方筛查流程。World-Check 数据经过完整的结构化、聚合和去 重。无论是本地部署、基于云端还是第三方解决方案,都可根据适合您要求的方式传送,与各种工作流筛查平台轻 松融合。 覆盖范围 包括: 2.国有实 ...
研判2025!中国超滤膜行业产业链、市场规模及重点企业分析:技术驱动多领域需求爆发,环保政策与产业升级共筑增长新动能[图]
Chan Ye Xin Xi Wang· 2025-06-06 01:40
Core Insights - The ultrafiltration membrane industry is experiencing significant growth driven by increasing water quality demands and environmental awareness, with the market size in China projected to reach 6.8 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 9.68% [1][12]. Industry Overview - Ultrafiltration membranes are polymer separation membranes with a pore size typically ranging from 0.001 to 0.1 microns, capable of retaining particles larger than 10 nanometers while allowing water and small solutes to pass through [1][4]. - The industry has evolved through three main stages: initial exploration in the 1970s-80s, industrial breakthroughs in the 1990s-early 2000s, and rapid growth from the early 21st century to present [4][5]. Market Dynamics - The demand for ultrafiltration membranes is increasing in municipal water supply, wastewater treatment, and seawater desalination, as well as in the food and beverage and biopharmaceutical sectors [1][12]. - The urban sewage treatment capacity in China reached 234 million cubic meters per day in 2023, a year-on-year increase of 4.80%, highlighting the growing need for effective wastewater treatment solutions [10]. Industry Chain - The ultrafiltration membrane industry supply chain includes upstream raw materials (organic and inorganic materials), midstream manufacturing, and downstream applications in various sectors such as wastewater treatment, municipal water purification, and food and beverage [8]. Key Players - Major companies in the ultrafiltration membrane sector include Hainan Lifespan, Le Pure Biotechnology, and Beijing Sino, which are leveraging technological advancements to enhance their market positions [14][16]. - Hainan Lifespan has established itself as a leader with a production capacity of 30 million square meters annually, accounting for nearly half of global production [14][16]. Development Trends - The industry is witnessing technological innovations, such as Le Pure's Extreme™ PVDF membrane, which achieves a 99.9999% microbial retention rate, and advancements in membrane materials that enhance performance and sustainability [20][21]. - Market demand is shifting towards industrial wastewater treatment, municipal water supply improvements, and home water purification systems, with increasing consumer preferences for selective filtration products [21][22]. - Chinese ultrafiltration membrane companies are expanding globally, with initiatives to establish overseas production bases and participate in international standard-setting, enhancing their competitive edge [23].
下半年投资机遇在哪?国泰海通策略会来了,信息量大
券商中国· 2025-06-05 23:33
Group 1 - The conference held by Guotai Junan Securities on June 4-5, 2023, focused on the theme "Tide Rising in the East, New Quality Leading" and attracted over 200 speakers and nearly 1000 executives from listed companies, setting new records for participation and engagement [2][4] - Guotai Junan's Chairman Zhu Jian emphasized the importance of a series of incremental policies introduced since September 2022, which have significantly boosted social confidence and laid a solid foundation for achieving annual economic and social development goals [4] - The conference featured discussions on various hot topics, including new productive forces, consumption expansion, structural reforms, and the evolution of the Middle East situation, showcasing insights from prominent figures in finance and academia [4][8] Group 2 - The macroeconomic outlook for the second half of 2025 was a key focus, with Guotai Junan's macro chief analyst Liang Zhonghua discussing the restructuring of the global economic and monetary systems, highlighting risks related to the US dollar and potential inflation [6][8] - The strategy chief analyst Fang Yi presented a bullish outlook for the Chinese stock market, indicating a transition towards a "transformation bull" market driven by policy measures aimed at stabilizing asset prices and boosting demand [9] - The conference also included a variety of forums discussing European market investment prospects and wealth management strategies, featuring insights from international guests and renowned investors [9][10] Group 3 - The event utilized the Daohe APP to provide professional investors with live streaming and content related to mid-year investment strategies, enhancing engagement and accessibility for a broader audience [10] - The live broadcast of the conference received significant attention, with over 360,000 views, indicating strong interest in the insights shared during the event [10]
别再叫这些做"软技能"了,它们硬核得很
3 6 Ke· 2025-06-05 23:12
神译局是36氪旗下编译团队,关注科技、商业、职场、生活等领域,重点介绍国外的新技术、新观点、新风向。 我给出了一个快速而专业的回答......然后话锋一转。 我说:'来这儿之前,我看过您的几次演讲。其中在欢迎招待会上的那场演讲尤其令人印象深刻——内容扎实,策略给力。' 但我敢打赌,多数人只会记得您最后分享的那个关于自己的小故事。那个展现脆弱瞬间、揭示价值观的时刻,那才是让听众倾身聆听的关 键。 我稍作停顿。 如果由我来执笔的话,我会用这个故事开场。围绕它制订策略,将其作为贯穿全程的隐喻,让整场演讲令人难忘。 编者按:在AI重构人力市场的浪潮下,结构性技能正从"软性装饰"升级为"生存刚需"。本文以真实职场博弈为例,揭示了信任构建、道德判断、战略 叙事等能力的硬核本质——这些特质不是机器可替代的"软技能",而是支撑人类在算法竞争中立于不败的"结构性基石"。文章来自编译。 多年前,我曾入围某企业高管演讲稿撰写人的最终三位候选人。面试前一天,人力资源经理提醒我:"高管留给每位候选人只有20分钟时间,之后就 要赶国际航班。" 当我坐在她对面时,时钟的滴答声都能清晰听见。她提问的节奏很快。有个问题格外突出:"你会制定什么 ...
豪车价格大幅下调,保时捷Macan 35万元起售,BBA多款车型降价超10万元
Hua Xia Shi Bao· 2025-06-05 13:03
Core Viewpoint - The significant price reductions of Porsche vehicles, particularly the Cayenne and Panamera, reflect a broader transformation in the luxury car market under the pressure of electric vehicles, challenging the long-standing price stability of traditional luxury brands [1][4]. Group 1: Price Adjustments - Porsche has implemented substantial price cuts across various models, with discounts reaching as low as 35% in regions like Shenzhen, where the 2025 Cayenne can be purchased for approximately 75 million yuan after financing [2][3]. - Other luxury brands such as Mercedes-Benz, BMW, and Audi are also adjusting their prices, with notable discounts on models like the Mercedes GLB and BMW i3, indicating a widespread trend in the luxury car market [5][6]. Group 2: Sales Performance - Porsche's sales in China have been declining since peaking at 95,700 units in 2021, dropping to 79,300 units in 2023, and projected to fall to 56,900 units in 2024, with a staggering 42% year-on-year decline in Q1 2025 [5][6]. - Other luxury brands are experiencing similar downturns, with Mercedes-Benz's sales down 10% in China and both BMW and Audi also reporting declines [6]. Group 3: Consumer Reactions - Consumer responses to Porsche's price cuts are mixed, with some viewing it as an opportunity to purchase luxury vehicles at lower prices, while others express concerns about potential impacts on brand image and product quality [3][4]. - The price adjustments may create a temporary surge in sales, but analysts suggest that this is not a sustainable long-term strategy for luxury brands [4][6]. Group 4: Market Dynamics - The luxury car market is undergoing a value system reconstruction as traditional luxury brands face competition from domestic electric vehicles that offer advanced technology and performance [4][6]. - Analysts emphasize the need for luxury brands to accelerate their electric vehicle offerings and enhance technological features to remain competitive in an evolving market landscape [6].
霸王茶姬距离“东方星巴克”有多远?
财富FORTUNE· 2025-06-05 13:02
图片来源:视觉中国 登陆纳斯达克一月有余的霸王茶姬,在5月30日公布了上市后的首份财报。 截至3月31日的2025年第一季度,霸王茶姬全球门店数达6681家,其中海外门店169家。公司季度营收 33.9亿元,同比增长35.4%;净利润6.77亿元,同比增长13.8%。净利润率较去年同期相比有所下滑。 在霸王茶姬创始人、董事长兼全球CEO张俊杰看来,这一业绩呈现了"稳健提升"的趋势。在已足够拥挤 的新茶饮赛道,这份财报确实传达了一些正面信息。 但如果与过去三年的飞速增长对比,目前的增速已明显放缓——2022到2024年,霸王茶姬营收规模分别 为4.92亿、46.4亿、124.1亿。按照商业规律,如此跨越式的增长往往难以长期持续。 伴随着门店数量迅速扩张,霸王茶姬全球CFO黄鸿飞表示,一季度品牌同店销售增长率出现下滑。 来到增速减慢的拐点,霸王茶姬需要找到下一阶段的发展节奏。 张俊杰在财报电话会上表示,公司目前发展依靠三大战略支柱——全球化布局的持续推进、产品创新的 差异化优势、用户生态的良性发展。其中,"全球化"是自他创业以来便有的计划。 这个创立于2017年的品牌,成立两年后便开始将东南亚作为出海第一站,目前 ...
关键时刻,99岁老将出山,一句话定调中美,美国根本阻止不了
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-05 06:52
根据环球网报道,99岁的马来西亚前总理马哈蒂尔在东京出席国际论坛时直言不讳,称中国发展势不可 挡,美国关税政策终将自食其果。 马哈蒂尔此番言论并非空穴来风。这位历经国际风云变幻的政治家,始终关注中美博弈的走向。在他看 来,中美之间的较量并非简单的实力对比,而是两种发展模式、两种国际秩序观的碰撞。美国试图通过 遏制手段阻挡中国崛起,但历史经验表明,这种做法往往适得其反。 中国的发展轨迹证明,外部压力反而能激发内在潜力。特朗普执政期间发起的贸易竞争,原本意在打压 中国,结果却加速了中国关键技术自主化进程。半导体产业就是一个典型案例——美国禁令促使中企加 大研发投入,如今部分细分领域已实现国产替代。这种"逆境成长"的能力,恰恰是美国难以理解的。 特朗普(资料图) 美国遏制策略面临三大困境。首先,全球供应链深度捆绑,强行脱钩只会两败俱伤。苹果公司最新财报 显示,其中国供应链占比仍高达90%。其次,新兴市场国家更看重发展机遇而非意识形态。印度尼西亚 总统佐科明确表示,不会在中美间二选一。最后,美国自身也依赖中国市场,2024年对华贸易逆差预计 达3500亿美元。 特朗普(资料图) 中国崛起具有历史必然性。作为唯一延续至 ...