未来一年内，整体存量规模将会大幅减少。 今年，银行股表现强劲，随着正股股价的上涨，多只银行可转债触发了强制赎回条款。继苏银转债、成 银转债等触发强赎之后，杭银转债和南银转债也将在7月正式摘牌。与此同时，银行市场再次出现了资 产管理公司（AMC）通过可转债转股增持上市银行股份的情况。 随着银行转债市场迎来"赎回潮"，业内人士预计，银行转债的整体存量规模将大幅减少。今年大约有 1000亿元的银行转债可能会完成转股。这不仅意味着剩余可转债的价格可能会进一步上升，也促使机构 投资者调整其投资策略。 Wind数据显示，2025年中证银行指数累计涨幅高达15.57%，远超大盘平均水平。其中，杭州银行股价 涨幅达18.28%。早在5月，杭州银行股价就突破了杭银转债转股价11.35元的130%强赎线，触发价为 14.76元，导致杭银转债被强制赎回。 南京银行的南银转债也将在7月迎来退市。今年内，南京银行股价累计涨幅达到12.11%。在5月13日至6 月9日的15个交易日里，其收盘价均不低于南银转债转股价格8.22元/股的130%（即10.69元/股），由此 触发了提前赎回条款，正式进入退市流程。 具体而言，南银转债的最后交易 ...

中原银行是 2014 年在开封银行、安阳银行、 鹤壁银行 、新乡银行、濮阳银行、 许昌银行 、漯河 银行、三门峡银行、南阳银行、商丘银行、信阳银行、周口银行和驻马店银行等河南省 13 家城市商业 银行基础上组建而成， 2022 年又吸收合并洛阳银行、平顶山银行和焦作中旅银行 3 家河南省内城市商 业银行。 因此 中原银行是河南省除 郑州 外的其他 16地 市的城商行合并而成。 2 017 年 7 月，中原银行在香港联交所主板挂牌上市 ，股票代码是 1216.HK 。 中原银行在河南省内 17 个地级市和 1 个省辖县级市均设有分行，是分支机构网点覆盖河南全省的 省属法人银行。（而同为河南城商行的 郑州银行在河南三门峡和济源则尚未设有分行 。） 截至2024年末，中原银行总行共有38个一级部门，其中比较有特色的部门有汽车金融中心。中原银 行总行部门设置具体如下图： 此外，中原银行还拥有 1 家消费金融公司（ 河南中原消费金融股份有限公司 ）、 2 家金融租赁公 司（ 邦银金融租赁 股份有限公司 和 洛银金融租赁股份有限公司 ）和 13 家村镇银行。 目前河南省国有企业 ——河南投资集团限公司是中原银行最大股东（ ...

Monetary Policy and Market Rates - The People's Bank of China conducted a 572 billion yuan reverse repurchase operation with an interest rate of 1.40%, unchanged from previous levels, resulting in a net withdrawal of 4,521 billion yuan due to 5,093 billion yuan of reverse repos maturing on the same day [1] - The Shanghai Interbank Offered Rate (Shibor) for short-term instruments continued to decline, with the overnight Shibor falling by 5.00 basis points to 1.3150%, and the 7-day Shibor decreasing by 4.10 basis points to 1.4560% [1] Interbank Repo Market - In the interbank pledged repo market, various rates continued to trend downward, with the weighted average rates for DR001 and R001 decreasing by 4.5 basis points and 4.8 basis points, respectively, to 1.315% and 1.3714%, while transaction volumes increased significantly [4] - The weighted average rates for DR007 and R007 fell by 3.8 basis points and 5.2 basis points, respectively, with transaction volumes showing a decrease [4] Funding Conditions - Overall funding conditions were reported to be relaxed, with overnight rates trading in a range of 1.30% to 1.50% and 7-day rates around 1.50% [9] - As of 5:30 PM on July 3, 58 interbank certificates of deposit were issued, with a total issuance amount of 240.1 billion yuan [9] Certificate of Deposit Market - In the primary market for certificates of deposit, yields showed slight declines across various maturities, with trading activity concentrated mainly in the 9-month and 1-year maturities [10] - The 1-year national bank stock ended at approximately 1.595, down about 0.5 basis points from the previous close, indicating a narrowing of yield spreads among different maturities [10] Banking Sector Developments - The Bank of Communications has closed nearly 30 credit card centers this year, with a focus on accelerating the transformation of credit card operations [12] - New policies supporting the conversion of commercial housing loans to housing provident fund loans have been introduced in multiple cities, aimed at reducing financial burdens for homebuyers [12] - China Merchants Bank received approval to establish a financial asset investment company with a registered capital of 15 billion yuan, aimed at enhancing its comprehensive operational capabilities and supporting high-quality development [12][13]

Core Viewpoint - China Merchants Bank (CMB) has received approval from the National Financial Regulatory Administration to establish a financial asset investment company (AIC) with a registered capital of 15 billion yuan, marking a significant step in the competitive landscape of financial asset investment among joint-stock banks [1][4]. Group 1: Company Developments - CMB's AIC will have a registered capital of 15 billion yuan, surpassing the 10 billion yuan capital of both Industrial Bank and CITIC Bank, indicating CMB's strategic ambition in this sector [2]. - The AIC will primarily engage in market-oriented debt-to-equity swaps and equity investment, aiming to provide comprehensive financing support for enterprises and enhance CMB's diversified operational capabilities [2][5]. - CMB plans to focus its AIC on three key areas: technology innovation enterprises, green low-carbon industries, and the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area development [2][6]. Group 2: Industry Context - The establishment of AICs by joint-stock banks represents a shift in China's financial landscape, moving from indirect to direct financing, and reflects the evolving role of commercial banks in comprehensive operations [6][7]. - The approval of AICs for joint-stock banks is expected to enhance their professional capabilities in equity investment and optimize corporate leverage structures, contributing to the overall financial ecosystem [5][6]. - The competitive landscape is likely to intensify, with state-owned banks continuing to dominate large state-owned enterprise projects while joint-stock banks may focus on small and medium-sized enterprises and niche industries [6][7].

Core Insights - The Chinese financial industry is undergoing significant changes in the first half of 2025, with a focus on reform and innovation across banking, insurance, securities, and consumer finance sectors [2] - A total of 13 banks experienced executive changes, with 17 executives transitioning into new roles, highlighting a trend of frequent leadership adjustments [3][4] - There is a notable difference in hiring strategies between state-owned banks and joint-stock banks, with state-owned banks predominantly hiring externally while joint-stock banks favor internal promotions [6][9] Executive Changes - In the first half of 2025, 13 banks saw executive changes, with 17 executives changing positions, including 8 from state-owned banks and 9 from joint-stock banks [3][4] - The position of vice president saw the most changes, with 9 new appointments, accounting for 53% of all changes [3] - Key leadership changes included new chairpersons and presidents at several banks, such as Postal Savings Bank, Guangfa Bank, and Huaxia Bank [3][5] Hiring Strategies - State-owned banks have a strong tendency to recruit from external sources, with 87.5% of new executives coming from outside the organization [6][9] - In contrast, joint-stock banks primarily promote from within, with 78% of new executives being internal promotions [6][9] - This difference in hiring strategies reflects the distinct operational needs and talent pools of state-owned versus joint-stock banks [9] Age Demographics of New Executives - The new executive cohort is predominantly composed of individuals born in the 1970s, who make up nearly 78% of the new appointments in state-owned banks [10] - The youngest new executive is 50 years old, while the oldest is 58, indicating a trend of experienced leadership [10][11] - In joint-stock banks, the age distribution includes both seasoned leaders and younger talent, with a significant presence of 70s-born executives [11]

Core Viewpoint - The issuance of interbank certificates of deposit (CDs) remained stable in June despite a peak maturity volume of 4.2 trillion yuan, indicating a shift in the market dynamics compared to earlier months when banks faced liquidity pressures and higher issuance rates [1][4]. Group 1: Market Conditions - In March, the average issuance rate of interbank CDs exceeded 2.0%, reflecting significant liquidity pressure on banks [1][2]. - By June, the issuance rate stabilized at 1.6557%, showing no significant upward pressure on rates despite high maturity volumes [4][8]. - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) provided timely liquidity support, which helped maintain stable issuance prices and allowed banks to navigate the high maturity period safely [4][8]. Group 2: Bank Issuance Capacity - Many banks, including state-owned and city commercial banks, are approaching their annual issuance limits, with some banks like Jiangsu Bank reaching a usage rate of 90.43% [5][6]. - The overall demand for increasing issuance limits in the second half of the year may be limited, as banks currently have sufficient capacity to meet their funding needs [1][5][8]. Group 3: Differentiation Among Banks - There is a notable disparity in the usage rates of interbank CDs among different banks, with some banks like China Merchants Bank showing a low usage rate of only 3.73%, indicating less pressure on their liabilities [6][7]. - State-owned banks generally exhibit higher usage rates compared to the same period last year, suggesting a greater need for liability support [7][8]. - Analysts predict that the net financing growth of state-owned banks may accelerate, while the overall pressure on the liability side is expected to remain neutral [7][8].

丨证券研究报告丨 公司研究丨点评报告丨苏州银行（002966.SZ） [Table_Title] 国资大股东新一轮增持启动 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 国资大股东持续大额增持，明确看好长期价值。基本面长期稳健，政府类业务拉动信贷加速增 长，存款成本加速改善推缓解净息差压力，风险偏好保守审慎，资产质量指标长期优异，2024 年全年分红比例同比提升 1.4pct 至 32.5%（占归母净利润的比例），推动 DPS 同比提升，今年 一季度可转债完成转股补充资本，支持信贷投放、保障未来分红稳定。目前 2025 年 PB 估值 0.83x、PE 估值 8.2x，预期股息率 4.1%，维持"买入"评级。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 马祥云 盛悦菲 SAC：S0490521120002 SAC：S0490524070002 SFC：BUT916 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 苏州银行（002966.SZ） cjzqdt11111 [Table_Title2] 国资大股东新一轮增持启动 [Table_Summary2] 事件描述 ...

Core Viewpoint - German Chancellor Merz stated that the U.S. is pushing for more banking regulations to be implemented in Germany while not applying the same rules to itself, indicating a need for a reevaluation of this issue [1] Group 1 - The U.S. is advocating for increased banking regulations in Germany [1] - There is a perceived inconsistency in regulatory application between the U.S. and Germany [1] - The need for Germany to reconsider its approach to banking regulations is emphasized [1]

Core Viewpoint - German Chancellor Merz stated that there is no reason to centralize the existing national responsibility system regarding the EU banking union [1] Group 1 - The statement reflects a stance against the consolidation of national responsibilities within the EU banking framework [1]

Group 1: Federal Reserve and Political Influence - The recent political drama involves former President Trump calling for Federal Reserve Chairman Powell to resign, highlighting ongoing political pressure on the Fed [1][3][15] - Powell defended the Fed's renovation plans during a congressional hearing, facing accusations of providing "deceptive testimony," which raises concerns about the independence of central banks as a foundation for financial stability [3][15] Group 2: Market Dynamics and Data Analysis - The "Bull Market 1+3 Principle" emphasizes that timely stock rotation is more effective than blind holding, with a focus on data-driven analysis rather than emotional trading [4] - Historical data shows that less than half of stocks outperform the index during bull markets, indicating a significant risk in passive holding strategies [5] - Recent trends in oil stocks suggest that institutional activity often precedes price movements, indicating that sudden market changes may be the result of prior strategic positioning by institutions [6][9][11] Group 3: Investment Strategies and Recommendations - Investors should focus on data analysis tools that penetrate market noise and reveal true market behavior, rather than being swayed by sensational news [17][21] - The importance of understanding the actual flow of funds in the market is emphasized, as it is more critical than the narratives surrounding stocks [21]