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活动邀请 | 金属贸易格局研讨会
Refinitiv路孚特· 2025-05-08 05:22
当前,地缘政治风险与经济割裂态势正重塑全球大宗商品市场格局,企业需精准预判市场趋势,才能 在变革中抢占先机。 LSEG将在LME亚洲周期间,于2025年5月19日与LME协办高规格行业研讨会。 本次论坛将聚焦 美国关税政策 、 全球供应链韧性 及 亚洲市场角色升级 三大议题,深度解析金属市 场的核心驱动力、技术创新路径与潜在增长空间。 此次活动将汇集金属产业链与贸易领域的权威人士,LSEG期待各位客户及行业伙伴莅临交流,共同 探讨行业如何通过战略调整与创新实践,在重大变革中实现可持续发展。 核心议题 活动议程 15:00 嘉宾注册、签到 15:30 开幕致辞 活动正式开始 17:00 网络会议 演讲嘉宾 日期: 2025年5月19日(星期一) 时间: 15:00 - 19:00 地点: 香港中环花园道3号,工商银行大厦18层,LSEG香港办公室 Dr. Guy Wolf Marex Financials 全球市场分析主管 长按上方二维码 即刻报名参会 我们的产品: LSEG 大宗商品交易 我们的市场洞察、数据管理解决方案和无缝交易执行能力,能在大宗商品交易的市场竞争中为您的企业带来优势。 大宗商品数据是宝贵的 ...
梅花创投吴世春:在不确定性中寻找 “确定性切口”
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-08 04:06
前言: 2025年,以一副猝不及防的形态出现,国防、科技、文化、国际政治领域的变化让人目不暇接。回望过去几年, 我们共同经历了一场前所未有的全球性震荡。疫情、战争、经济衰退、地缘政治……这些关键词充斥着我们的视 野,也深刻地改变着世界的运行规则。然而,危机往往与机遇并存,动荡中也孕育着新的希望。 2025年,作为投资人,我们比任何人都更深刻地感受到时代浪潮的冲击,更能深切的感受到春江水暖。站在产业 前端,立在创新前沿,投资人对于已经到来的2025有着什么样的期冀和见解? 我们邀请了多位顶尖投资人,将以他们敏锐的洞察力和独到的见解,为我们勾勒出一幅未来经济、投资的路线 图。 此文为融中特别策划·《投资人:快答2025》系列报道第十五篇。 作为创投圈的明星投资人,吴世春的投资哲学是,在不确定性中寻找"确定性切口",用长期主义对冲短期波动。 2025,Deepseek的爆火引发全球热议,在吴世春看来,其本质正是技术迭代与场景需求共振的结果。 2026,梅花创投投资、陪跑的企业超过600多家,最基本投资逻辑包括了"人 - 事 - 时 - 值" 合一,不仅要看项目的 市场潜力和行业趋势,更要重视创始人的个人魅力和团队的 ...
中国外贸的韧性,美国早就该看明白了
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-07 14:17
Core Viewpoint - The resilience of China's foreign trade is highlighted despite the challenges posed by U.S. tariffs, showcasing a robust industrial system and innovative capabilities that allow for high-quality development and market diversification [1][3][33] Group 1: Impact of Tariffs - U.S. tariffs have led to increased domestic prices, burdening American consumers, as acknowledged by former President Trump [3][5] - American retailers, including major brands like Nike, are seeking tariff exemptions, indicating the negative impact of tariffs on U.S. businesses [5][7] - Research from prestigious institutions shows that the self-harming effects of the tariff war on the U.S. economy far exceed its impact on China [5][7] Group 2: China's Industrial Strength - China's unique industrial system, characterized by a complete and diverse manufacturing base, has allowed it to withstand tariff pressures [9][11] - The country has maintained its position as the world's largest manufacturing nation for 15 consecutive years, with a comprehensive range of industries [9][12] - The seamless integration of supply chains, as demonstrated at trade fairs like the Canton Fair, is a significant advantage for Chinese exports [9][20] Group 3: Innovation and Green Transition - Innovation is a key driver of China's foreign trade, with the country ranking 11th in the global innovation index and investing heavily in R&D [12][16] - The shift towards green and low-carbon products is evident, with a significant number of eco-friendly products showcased at international trade events [14][16] - Chinese products are increasingly recognized for their technological advancements, making tariffs less impactful [14][16] Group 4: Global Market Engagement - The 137th Canton Fair attracted over 280,000 foreign buyers from 219 countries, reflecting international confidence in Chinese trade despite U.S. tariffs [18][20] - The fair generated a transaction volume of $25.44 billion, with over 60% of deals coming from Belt and Road Initiative countries, highlighting the importance of global partnerships [18][20] - The enthusiasm of international buyers contrasts sharply with the hesitance of some U.S. purchasers, indicating a shift in market dynamics [20][22] Group 5: Brand Development and Entrepreneurial Spirit - The transformation from "Made in China" to "Created in China" signifies a shift in mindset among Chinese exporters towards brand ownership and market control [24][30] - Entrepreneurs are adapting to challenges by seeking new markets and opportunities, demonstrating resilience and innovation in the face of adversity [26][28] - The diversification strategy adopted by many companies is proving effective, with some expecting overall growth despite declines in U.S. exports [28][30] Group 6: Conclusion - The resilience of China's foreign trade is a result of its industrial strength, innovative capacity, market diversification strategies, and entrepreneurial spirit [33] - The ongoing challenges from unilateralism and protectionism highlight the need for open cooperation and global partnerships [33]
面对货币政策适度宽松,人民币汇率缘何延续韧性?业界:美元下跌预期叠加4月外汇储备环比大增,海外投机资本不敢贸然沽空
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-05-07 13:55
Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China announced a 0.5 percentage point reduction in the reserve requirement ratio and a 0.1 percentage point decrease in policy interest rates, indicating a moderately loose monetary policy while the RMB maintains resilience in both domestic and offshore markets [1][2]. Group 1: Monetary Policy Impact - The reduction in reserve requirement and interest rates is expected to support the stable development of the Chinese economy, contributing to the resilience of the RMB exchange rate [1]. - The 10-year Chinese government bond yield remained stable at around 1.64%, keeping the China-U.S. interest rate differential at approximately -268 basis points, which has deterred speculative capital from shorting the offshore RMB [1][3]. Group 2: Market Reactions - The offshore RMB exchange rate showed limited volatility, with fluctuations of less than 200 basis points, indicating a calm market response to the monetary policy changes [3]. - Following the announcement, the offshore RMB rate initially fell from 7.188 to 7.229 but stabilized thereafter, reflecting a lack of strong short-selling interest from overseas speculators [4]. Group 3: Foreign Exchange Reserves - China's foreign exchange reserves increased by $41 billion in April, reaching $3.2817 trillion, which has contributed to the RMB's resilience against short-selling pressures [5][6]. - The increase in reserves is attributed to a decline in the U.S. dollar index from 104.3 to 99.6, enhancing the value of non-dollar assets in the reserves [6]. Group 4: Future Outlook - Despite the potential for downward pressure on the RMB from the monetary policy adjustments, the ample foreign exchange reserves provide strong support against depreciation, deterring speculative short-selling [7]. - The RMB is expected to remain stable around the 7.2 level, influenced by the ongoing strength of the Asia-Pacific currencies and the negative correlation with the U.S. dollar index [2][7].
欧洲消费者“用脚投票”:特斯拉“失速”,比亚迪“狂飙”
Huan Qiu Wang· 2025-05-07 03:31
《纽约时报》报道称,挪威作为特斯拉推动零排放目标的关键市场,4月Model Y新车注册量逆势增长,但其 中过半为二手车,且非最新版本。挪威道路交通信息委员会数据显示,特斯拉市场份额已从一年前的18%降至 11%。委员会主任奥伊温德·索尔贝格·托森(Oyvind Solberg Thorsen)直言:"特斯拉销量远低于往期水平,事 实无可否认。"与此同时,中国电动汽车品牌在欧洲加速扩张。中国车企比亚迪在德国销量激增755%,英国市 场涨幅达311%,凸显中国电动汽车技术竞争力与供应链韧性。德国大众等传统车企亦加速电动化转型,一季 度销量翻倍。 【环球网科技综合报道】全球电动汽车巨头特斯拉正陷入欧洲市场"至暗时刻"。5月7日,据《纽约时报》报 道,根据4月数据显示,德国与英国特斯拉新车注册量同比暴跌46%与62%,创两年多最低纪录,而同期两国 电动汽车总销量均实现两位数增长。瑞典、法国等市场亦出现超八成跌幅,传统车企与中国品牌正加速蚕食 特斯拉份额。 部分专家将销量下滑归因于特斯拉热门车型Model Y新版在欧洲交付延迟,但更多观点将特斯拉欧洲颓势归因 于特斯拉CEO埃隆·马斯克的"政治争议"与特朗普关税政策影响 ...
吴清:A股上市公司具备强大韧性和适应能力
news flash· 2025-05-07 01:43
5月7日,中国证监会主席吴清在参加国新办新闻发布会时表示,针对美国加征关税的影响,不少上市公 司通过公告、业绩说明会等方式进行了披露,总体来看,美国的关税政策冲击了全球的经贸秩序,上市 公司的经营不可避免的受到影响,不少对美出口占比较高公司影响较大。A股上市公司作为中国经济的 重要优秀企业群体代表,有强大的韧性和适应能力,超大规模的内需和潜在的需求是底气,A股上市公 司近9成收入来自国内。一季报显示,上市公司净利润同步增长3.6%,实体经济类的上市公司净利润增 长了4.3%。(人民财讯) ...
重磅利好!央行:降息!A50直线拉升
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-07 01:37
潘功胜在参加国新办新闻发布会时表示,降低个人住房公积金贷款率0.25个百分点,5年期以上首套房利率从2.85%降低至2.6%,其他期限利率目标同步调 整。 潘功胜在参加国新办新闻发布会时表示,优化两项支持资本市场货币政策工具,将5000亿元证券基金保险公司互换便利,和3000亿元股票回款增持回购再 贷款两个工具的额度合并,总额度变为8000亿元。 潘功胜5月7日在国新办举行的新闻发布会上宣布,中国人民银行将设立5000亿元服务消费与养老再贷款,加大消费重点领域低成本资金支持。增加支农支 小再贷款3000亿元。 5月7日,中国人民银行行长潘功胜在参加国新办新闻发布会时表示,人民银行将降低存款准备金率0.5个百分点,预计将向市场提供中长期流动性约1万 亿。下调政策利率0.1个百分点,从目前的1.5%调降至1.4%,预计将带动LPR下行约0.1个百分点。 今日早盘,A50指数期货开盘后直线拉升大涨。 责编:梁秋燕 5月7日,中国证监会主席吴清在参加国新办新闻发布会时表示,全力巩固市场维稳向好的势头,动态完善应对各类外部风险攻击的工作预案,全力支持中 央汇金公司发挥类平准基金作用。 潘功胜表示,今年以来,人民银行实施 ...
首季我国有色金属工业开局良好 十种有色金属产量同比增长2%
Zhong Guo Chan Ye Jing Ji Xin Xi Wang· 2025-05-06 22:26
Core Viewpoint - The non-ferrous metal industry in China demonstrated strong resilience in the first quarter of the year, with production and profits showing positive growth despite a complex environment [1][2] Group 1: Production and Trade - The production of ten non-ferrous metals reached 19.85 million tons in the first quarter, representing a year-on-year increase of 2% [1] - Refined copper production was 3.536 million tons, and electrolytic aluminum production was 11.066 million tons, with year-on-year growth of 5% and 3.2% respectively [1] - The total import volume of copper ore and its concentrates was 7.108 million tons, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 1.8% [1] Group 2: Financial Performance - The revenue of large-scale non-ferrous metal enterprises reached 2.22933 trillion yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 19.6% [2] - The total profit amounted to 91.77 billion yuan, which is a year-on-year growth of 40.7% [2] Group 3: Market Trends - The prices of most non-ferrous metals continued to rise, with average prices for copper, aluminum, lead, and zinc increasing by 11.4%, 7.3%, 5.9%, and 14.8% respectively year-on-year [1]
稳住就业基本盘 新一轮政策“组合拳”加速落地
Shang Hai Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-05-06 18:40
◎白丽斐 记者 李苑 就业是最基本的民生。近期,人力资源社会保障部等多部门推出新一轮稳就业政策"组合拳",包括扩容 就业空间、突出保障重点群体就业、加大职业技能培训力度等。 开栏语 中共中央政治局会议指出,"着力稳就业、稳企业、稳市场、稳预期"。近期,国新办就稳就业稳经济推 动高质量发展政策措施有关情况举行新闻发布会,多部门透露正在密集部署一系列增量政策。即日起, 上海证券报推出"稳经济增量政策"系列报道,从就业、外贸、投资、工业、消费等多维度跟踪解析政策 落地情况和实效。 市场人士表示,此次政策"组合拳"通过"短期纾困+长期转型"双轨并行,既解决企业现金流压力,又引 导资源向新质生产力领域聚集,有利于以产业带就业、以就业促产业,为保障和改善民生、激发企业内 生动力提供有力支撑。 加大岗位释放力度 围绕新质生产力发展、消费新热点打造、重点工程项目实施、基本民生服务提供等重点领域,央地出台 激励政策,加大岗位释放力度。 ■"稳经济增量政策"系列报道 高校毕业生等青年群体是稳就业的重中之重。2025届全国普通高校毕业生规模预计达1222万人,同比增 加43万人。人力资源社会保障部、教育部、财政部日前联合印发的《关 ...
逾2500家企业披露2024年年报 港股公司整体业绩增长 新经济龙头表现亮眼
Shang Hai Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-05-06 18:39
Core Insights - The overall performance of Hong Kong stocks is improving, with net profits exceeding HKD 5 trillion, a year-on-year increase of approximately 10% [1] - Over 110 companies reported a net profit growth exceeding 100%, primarily from new economy sectors such as internet technology, biomedicine, and renewable energy [2][3] - Key sectors showing significant profit improvement include information technology, finance, and healthcare, with a notable recovery in consumer sector performance [1][4] Company Performance - Companies like Tongdao Liepin achieved a staggering net profit growth of 176.9 times, driven by AI product innovation despite challenges in the recruitment market [2] - JD Logistics reported a net profit of RMB 6.198 billion, a year-on-year increase of 905.78%, attributed to digital management and automation [2] - WuXi AppTec's net profit grew by 277.2%, benefiting from rapid expansion in the biopharmaceutical sector [2] - Yang Ming Marine Transport Corporation's net profit reached USD 366 million, a 1666.93% increase, driven by green shipping demand and route expansion [3] - Geely Automobile's net profit surged by 213% to RMB 16.632 billion, with electric vehicle sales reaching 888,000 units, a 92% increase [3] Sector Analysis - The information technology sector is experiencing a strong recovery, with companies like Kuaishou and TCL Electronics reporting net profit increases of 139.76% and 136.59%, respectively [4] - The biopharmaceutical sector is also seeing robust growth, with companies like China Resources Medical and Dongrui Pharmaceutical reporting net profit increases of 119.6% and 73.3% [5] - New consumption companies are benefiting from a recovery in consumer demand, with Pop Mart and Mixue Group reporting net profit increases of 188.77% and 41.41%, respectively [5] Future Outlook - Analysts predict that Hong Kong's overall profitability will remain high in 2025, supported by structural advantages and a concentration of leading companies in the market [6]