公司报告 | 季报点评 中国稀土（000831） 证券研究报告 稀土价格企稳回升，公司量增明显 业绩：24 年公司实现营收 30.27 亿元，同比-24%，主要受稀土价格下行影 响；25Q1 实现营收 7.28 亿元，同比+141%，环比-32%，主要由于稀土价格 回升，公司调整了销售策略；利润端，24 全年归母净利润-2.87 亿元，主要 受补缴税费及减值影响（其中资产减值 4.15 亿，子公司中稀湖南补缴以前 年度税费 1.52 亿，去除影响后利润 2.8 亿），扣非净利润-1.45 亿；2 5Q1 归 母净利润 0.73 亿元，业绩大幅修复。 销量大增，25Q1 价格回升 稀土氧化物和稀土金属销量分别为 6512/1906 吨，同比+80%/+142%；稀土 矿产量 2384 吨；冶炼分离主要由定南大华完成，产能 4400 吨，中稀永州 5000 吨去年底产能爬坡。价格方面，1）矿端，2024 年中钇富铕矿平均价 格 17.55 万 元 / 吨，同比 -27% ，具体 Q1-Q4 平均价格为 17.67/17.92/17.13/17.50 万元/吨，25Q1 平均价格 18.12 万元/吨；2）稀土 产 ...

在一周前，中国对黄金的需求似乎无穷无尽。由于诸如华安易富、博时以及国泰等中国黄金交易型开放式指数基金（ETF）出现惊人的资金流入等因素，现 货黄金价格上周短暂触及了3500美元的历史纪录。 然而，这场基于市场动能的淘金热潮来也匆匆，去也匆匆。高盛大宗商品交易员亚当・吉拉德（Adam Gillard）写道，中国投资者在劳动节假期前清算了上 周增加的黄金持仓，导致目前中国境内总持仓量较历史峰值回落5%。尽管中国在全球未平仓合约中的占比仍维持在40%的高位，但上行势头可能已暂时见 顶。 以下图表呈现了中国投资者"先抢购后抛售"黄金的情况。 上周二（4月22日），黄金创下历史最高纪录，中国投资者在上海黄金交易所（SGE）和上海期货交易所（SHFE）共增加了120万盎司的持仓量，交易量也 创下纪录。 而时间快进到今天，中国投资者在这两大交易所近乎创纪录地抛售100万盎司的黄金头寸，完全逆转了4月22日的买入热潮。不过，相关的黄金ETF的持仓量 基本没有变化。 目前中国的总持仓量较峰值下降约5%，纸黄金套利空间较高点缩水20美元/盎司。 吉拉德的观点证实了市场人士的一些观察，即近期黄金的价格波动都集中在中国市场开盘时段。 ...

Core Viewpoint - In April 2025, Hunan Jingfeng Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. released its 2024 annual report, revealing significant changes in key financial indicators such as revenue, net profit, and cash flow, indicating potential operational challenges and risks for investors [1] Financial Performance Summary - **Revenue**: The company reported a revenue of 416,031,777.19 yuan in 2024, a decrease of 36.67% from 656,893,837.84 yuan in 2023. The pharmaceutical business accounted for 94.05% of total revenue, declining by 37.86% [2] - **Net Profit**: The net profit attributable to shareholders was 152,304,308.31 yuan, a turnaround from a loss of 236,100,444.69 yuan in 2023. However, the net profit excluding non-recurring items was -76,117,930.25 yuan, indicating weak core business profitability [3] - **Earnings Per Share**: Basic earnings per share improved to 0.1731 yuan from -0.2684 yuan in 2023, while the diluted earnings per share excluding non-recurring items was -0.0865 yuan, highlighting the disparity in earnings quality [4] Expense Analysis - **Sales Expenses**: Sales expenses decreased by 60.51% to 137,032,632.93 yuan from 347,051,196.83 yuan in 2023, potentially impacting market promotion and sales performance [5] - **Management Expenses**: Management expenses fell by 28.09% to 112,695,669.98 yuan, reflecting successful cost reduction measures [6] - **Financial Expenses**: Financial expenses remained stable at 40,282,025.19 yuan, indicating ongoing debt pressure, with a notable bond balance of 185 million yuan due [7] Cash Flow Analysis - **Operating Cash Flow**: The net cash flow from operating activities turned negative at -5,550,958.03 yuan, down 115.83% from 35,063,943.44 yuan in 2023, indicating weakened cash generation ability [10] - **Investing Cash Flow**: The net cash flow from investing activities was positive at 64,489,461.03 yuan, a recovery from -9,366,822.30 yuan in 2023, primarily due to asset disposals [11] - **Financing Cash Flow**: The net cash flow from financing activities improved to -10,724,112.52 yuan from -192,978,032.40 yuan in 2023, reflecting a need for improved financing conditions [12] Overall Assessment - Despite achieving a net profit turnaround, the company faces challenges with declining revenue, deteriorating cash flow, and reduced R&D investment, which may impact future growth potential. Investors should closely monitor the company's restructuring process, market strategy adjustments, and cost control efforts to assess investment value and risks [1]

分析师：何慧 能源化工团队 郭建锋 F03126846 何 慧 Z0011420 郭艳鹏 Z0021323 李 倩 F03134406 中辉期货研究院 时间：2025.04.30 【观点】4月浮法玻璃市场面临"弱现实+弱预期"的双重压力，价格中枢持续下探。宏观层面，国内4月政治局会议暂无明确增量 政策信息，中美贸易战进入僵持阶段，市场风险偏好有所修复，但关税担忧仍难消退，宏观情绪仍偏谨慎。自身基本面来看，目前 玻璃开工和日熔量维持低位波动的稳定状态，供应缩减预期比较有限，加之成本下降后厂家冷修计划放缓，供应端暂不能为玻璃提 供有效支撑。需求呈季节性改善，但下游深加工订单天数明显低于同期水平，房地产行业降幅缩窄，仍处于负值区间，市场需求预 期偏弱。玻璃上游企业重新累库，在中游较大库存的压制下，一定程度上使得盘面反弹被压制。中长期来看，玻璃全年供应呈现趋 势性下降的态势，需求存在阶段性抬升的情况，价格会随着基本面的变化而产生较大幅度的波动，建议产业方面把握高位套保的机 会。关注全球市场风险偏好、下游产销情况及国内对冲政策。 【策略】 单边策略：新晋主力09合约运行至1080附近，跌至动态煤制成本附近，动态跟踪20 ...

Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 65.56 billion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 7.01%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 3.386 billion yuan, up 13.71% year-on-year [1] - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 14.859 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12.88%, but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 23.84% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for Q1 2025 was 1.038 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 32.65% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 39.79% [1] Financial Performance - The average prices of gold and copper in the domestic market increased by 23.8% and 10% respectively in 2024, contributing to the company's performance [2] - The company’s total operating expenses for 2024 were 3.17 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.4%, with a slight increase in the expense ratio [3] - The company experienced a decrease in gold production by 0.54 tons to 18.35 tons in 2024, while copper production increased by 2,077.28 tons to 82,000 tons [4] Resource Management and Projects - The company enhanced resource security, increasing gold reserves by 30.3 tons and copper reserves by 114,800 tons in 2024 [5] - Key projects are progressing well, with total investment in ongoing projects reaching 1.024 billion yuan [5] - In Q1 2025, the company produced 4.5 tons of gold, a year-on-year increase of 1.09%, benefiting from rising gold and copper prices [6] Future Outlook - The company expects net profits of 4.83 billion yuan, 5.39 billion yuan, and 5.65 billion yuan for 2025-2027, representing year-on-year growth rates of 42.7%, 11.6%, and 4.8% respectively [6] - A target price of 17.9 yuan is set based on an 18x PE ratio for 2025, maintaining a strong buy rating [6]

4月30日24时，国内成品油零售价格调整迎来今年第二次搁浅。在未来半个月时间内(4月30日24时至5月 19日24时)，居民驾车出行燃油成本及物流运输燃油成本将保持不变。 据国家发展改革委消息，自2025年4月17日国内成品油价格调整以来，国际市场油价波动运行，按现行 国内成品油价格机制测算，4月30日的前10个工作日平均价格与4月17日前10个工作日平均价格相比，调 价金额每吨不足50元。根据《石油价格管理办法》第七条规定，本次汽、柴油价格不作调整，未调金额 纳入下次调价时累加或冲抵。 隆众资讯成品油分析师刘炳娟认为，从成本端来看，本周期内国际原油价格持续下跌，整体拉低成品油 成本；从供需面来看，主营炼厂检修较多，独立炼厂负荷亦低位运行，国内整体供应低位，但原油下跌 利空市场心态，中下游入市积极性较低，观望氛围浓厚，车船成交亦较为保守，对汽油柴油价格形成拖 累，但汽油价格受到"五一"节前备货支撑跌幅小于柴油。 金联创成品油分析师马建彩指出，后市来看，国际市场消息面缺少有力支撑，原油价格反弹乏力，消息 面对国内市场影响受限。节后市场来看，汽油需求支撑减弱，且调价方向存不确定性，业内对后市看空 心态升温，汽油价 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company's main product prices have declined, leading to a decrease in performance for the second half of 2024 and the first quarter of 2025 [6] - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 29.763 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 17.37%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.029 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 148% [5] - The company is expected to face challenges in 2025 due to further price declines in key products, resulting in a downward adjustment of profit forecasts for 2025-2026 [7] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 29.763 billion yuan, with a net profit of 2.029 billion yuan, reflecting a significant year-on-year growth of 148% [5] - The first quarter of 2025 saw a revenue of 7.290 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.96%, but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 10.92% [5] Business Segments - The chemical new materials segment generated a revenue of 20.4 billion yuan in 2024, up 26.8% year-on-year, while the basic chemical products segment saw a revenue of 5.8 billion yuan, down 7.4% year-on-year [6] - The fertilizer business achieved a revenue of 3.07 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 17.9% [6] Price Trends - The report highlights a decline in sales prices for key products in the second half of 2024 and the first quarter of 2025, with specific declines noted for PC, PA6, and other chemicals [6] Production Capacity and Management - The company has successfully resumed production of its hydrogen peroxide facility and launched new capacity projects, including a 600,000-ton caprolactam project [7] - The production target for 2025 is set at 13.5 million tons, a 40.6% increase from 2024 [7] Profit Forecasts - The profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been adjusted downward due to the decline in product prices, with expected net profits of 2.056 billion yuan for 2025, 2.325 billion yuan for 2026, and 2.643 billion yuan for 2027 [7]

6月会议预告 2025高工钠电 产业峰会 主办单位： 高工钠电、高工产业研究院（GGII） 总冠名： 众钠能源 会议时间： 6月9日 会议地点： 苏州香格里拉大酒店（苏州虎丘区塔园路168号） 2025高工固态电池 技术与应用峰会 主办单位： 高工锂电、高工储能、高工产业研究院（GGII） 总冠名： 利元亨 会议时间： 6月10日 会议地点： 苏州香格里拉大酒店（苏州虎丘区塔园路168号） 近期，国内多家主要电池企业上市公司公布一季度业绩报告。 宁德时代 2025 年 Q1 营业收入 847 亿元，同比增长 6.18% ；归母净利润 140 亿元，同比增长 32.85% 。 亿纬锂能 2025 年 Q1 营业收入 128 亿元，同比增长 37.34% ；归母净利润 11 亿元，同比增长 3.32% 。 国轩高科 2025 年 Q1 营业收入 90.6 亿元，同比增长 20.61% ；归母净利润 1 亿元，同比增长 45.55% 。 整体上看，上述三家主要电池企业一季度营收和净利润均实现了正增长，宁德时代营收增速有所放缓，但是净利润增长表现出色；亿纬锂能净利润表 现平稳，营收增速较快；国轩高科在营收和净利润上都 ...

异动点评：欧线航司报价持续下跌，盘面情绪低迷 投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1292 号 叶倩宁 投资咨询: Z0016628 2025 年 4 月 29 日星期二 昨日行情：今日 EC 主力低开 1300 点，并收于 1275.6 点，跌幅 7.83%。 交易逻辑： 昨日盘后马士基继续减价 5 月，大柜最低价格已经跌破 1500 美元/TEU，对应盘面约 1000 点以 下。由于已经临近 5 月初，现货供需方面仍未有任何旺季的迹象，因此此前市场预期的旺季预期逐步 破碎，价格逐渐回归现货基本面。当前现货报价除 CMA 之外普遍集中于大柜 1500-2100 美元/TEU， 对应盘面区间范围在 1000-1400 点之间，盘面价格已经跌落至平水范围。 基本面分析： 根据极羽数据，截至 4 月 25 日最新报价，马士基 874-1264 美元/TEU，1458-2008 美元/TEU； CMA 1285-2335 美元/TEU，2145-4245 美元/TEU；MSC 1260-1562 美元/TEU，2110 美元/TEU；ONE 1391-1841 美元/TEU，1837 美元/TEU；EMC 115 ...