金砖国家外长对无差别提高对等关税及非关税措施表示关切。他们警告称，此类措施将扰乱全球供应 链，并给全球经济带来更多不确定性。 ...

Group 1 - The foreign ministers of BRICS countries express serious concerns about the potential fragmentation of the global economy and the weakening of multilateralism [1]

近日，巴基斯坦主流媒体《论坛快报》连续刊发两篇评论文章《从"让美国再次伟大"到崩溃：美国主导 国际秩序的瓦解》《"对等关税"引发美国经济衰退担忧》。文章称，美国向世界多国挑起关税战，有可 能破坏二战后建立的全球经济秩序，不但难以"让美国再次伟大""，更有可能倒逼非美国家协同应对， 使美国经济陷入孤立和衰退，加速世界格局由单极向多极演进。 战后全球经济秩序或遭破坏。《论坛快报》认为，美国所谓"对等关税"引发了全球深深的恐惧。美国对 自由贸易和开放市场承诺的背弃，有可能破坏在二战后建立的全球经济秩序，显著减缓全球经济增长。 世界贸易秩序已经遭到损害，美国政府削弱了世界贸易组织（WTO）影响力，使全球贸易争端解决机 制陷入瘫痪。国际磋商平台的缺失，加大了各国采取报复措施、升级经济冲突的概率。世界投资信心遭 受打击，一些投资者因关税战和供应链的不确定性，匆忙撤出新兴市场或推迟资本投入。世界货币市场 担忧升温，美国总统特朗普此前曾威胁其他国家放弃打造替代美元的货币计划，并指责其他国家操纵汇 率，这引发了市场对潜在货币战争的担忧，而这场战争可能会颠覆全球金融体系。 美国经济或陷入孤立和衰退。《论坛快报》的评论文章分析称， ...

欧洲央行执行委员会成员皮耶罗·奇波洛内4月29日表示，全球经济和金融体系碎片化迹象日益明显，地 缘政治紧张因素是其背后的重要推手，碎片化加速将对全球增长、稳定与繁荣造成深远影响。（新华 社） ...

穆迪：美国关税可能对全球贸易和全球经济增长产生重大影响，并将影响泰国的开放型经济。 ...

Core Insights - The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has downgraded global economic growth forecasts, particularly for the Asia-Pacific region, amid rising trade tensions and increased policy uncertainty [1][2] - The IMF predicts a growth rate of 3.9% for the Asia-Pacific region in 2025, down from 4.6% in 2024, indicating a significant downward revision of 0.5 percentage points [2][3] - Structural reforms are essential for enhancing resilience against economic shocks, focusing on social security, labor markets, aging population, and digital transformation [2][4] Economic Outlook - The IMF has adjusted its GDP growth expectations for the Asia-Pacific region due to the impact of new U.S. tariffs and ongoing trade tensions, highlighting significant downside risks [2][3] - The uncertainty surrounding future trade policies is expected to disrupt supply chains and investment decisions, leading to further growth below current forecasts [2][3] Structural Reforms - The IMF emphasizes the need for decisive structural reforms in the Asia-Pacific region to improve resilience and internal demand, particularly in social security and productivity enhancement [4][6] - Countries are encouraged to seize the current window of opportunity to implement reforms that address long-term challenges, including demographic changes and digitalization [4][5] Financial Environment - The tightening of financial conditions due to the U.S. Federal Reserve's policies may have varying impacts on different countries, depending on their financial systems and monetary policy frameworks [5][6] - Many Asian countries currently have room for monetary easing due to inflation levels returning to target ranges, allowing them to respond to trade shocks effectively [5][6] Regional Integration - The IMF advocates for increased regional integration in the Asia-Pacific, particularly in service trade, to reduce barriers and promote free movement within the region [6] - Countries are advised to manage fiscal deficits and rebuild fiscal buffers to enhance their capacity to respond to future economic shocks [6]

数据显示，4月29日上海0#锌锭现货价格报价22970.00元/吨，相较于期货主力价格（22550.00元/吨）升 水420.00元/吨。 （4月29日）今日全国锌价格一览表 期货市场上看，4月29日收盘，沪锌期货主力合约报22550.00元/吨，涨幅0.16%，最高触及22610.00元/ 吨，最低下探22465.00元/吨，日内成交量达103421手。 分析观点： 广州期货研报：美方对中方的对等关税征收态度发生松动，表示将降低关税或实行关税分级政策，中方 对待美方滥收关税行为表示坚决抵制，中美市场近期公布经济数据表现超预期，交投市场对全球经济衰 退担忧减弱，市场交易情绪回暖。秘鲁ANTA锌矿遭遇事故影响生产，海内外TC价格保持，矿端远期有 较大增量预期，但从部分地区报的TC水平上看，矿端暂未进入供应宽松周期，国内精炼锌供应相对紧 张，3月冶炼开工环比小幅走增但同比数据为负，现货某高端牌号缺货，整体市场报出较高升水，周度 社库出现小幅累増，下游需求上看，镀锌开工较好，氧化锌、锌合金开工情况平平。锌价供应未有明显 超预期增量，需求旺季缓慢修复，在远期供应过剩的压力之下，短期价格反弹但上方空间有限， | 规格 ...

Core Insights - The short-term effects of tariffs may be anti-inflationary [1] - The Eurozone benefits from a flow of safe-haven funds [1] - Tariffs could lead to a persistent reduction in global economic growth [1]

欧洲央行管委卡扎克斯：利率路径取决于通胀。全球经济存在很多不确定性。 ...

智通财经4月29日电，欧洲央行管委卡扎克斯表示，利率路径取决于通胀，全球经济存在很多不确定 性。 ...