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利好落地!大行下调存款利率,债市关注哪些投资机会?
Quan Jing Wang· 2025-05-20 06:43
Group 1 - Major state-owned banks have announced a reduction in RMB deposit rates, affecting various products including demand deposits, time deposits, and notice deposits [1] - The market had anticipated this new round of deposit rate cuts, leading to a recovery in bond market sentiment, with interest rate products leading the gains [1] - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) has adjusted the 7-day reverse repurchase rate from 1.50% to 1.40%, which will influence various interest rates including deposit and loan rates [2] Group 2 - The reduction in deposit rates is expected to lower market funding costs, potentially leading to a decline in yields for credit products as well [4] - The cut in deposit rates opens up spread opportunities for credit products, as lower deposit rates make these assets more scarce and increase their allocation space [4] - Investors are advised to focus on medium to long-term interest rate bonds and high-grade credit bonds as potential investment opportunities following the rate cuts [4]
金融期货日报-20250520
Chang Jiang Qi Huo· 2025-05-20 05:09
◆ 核心观点: 特朗普分别与俄乌元首通话,普京称愿与乌方共同起草和平备忘录;泽连斯 基称愿与俄签署和平备忘录,愿进行任何形式的谈判但领土妥协、撤军"免 谈"。美联储二、三号人物等高官齐给降息泼冷水,暗示利率可能维持到至 少 9 月。中国 4 月社零总额同比增长放缓至 5.1%,规上工业增加值增长 6.1%, 1 至 4 月城镇固定资产投资增 4%、全国房地产开发投资同比降 10.3%。中国 商务部:美方行为严重破坏中美日内瓦高层会谈共识,要求美方纠偏纠错。 市场暂无主线驱动,股指或震荡运行。 金融期货日报 股指 ◆ 策略建议: 防守观望。 国债 ◆ 核心观点: 整体而言,当前债市仍处于经济弱修复的基本面环境中,市场交易逻辑逐步 回归对经济内生动能的定价。市场对存款利率下调的预期具有现实基础,当 前银行净息差持续收窄的压力客观存在,新一轮存款利率调整也是配合政策 利率下行的配套措施,稳息差任重而道远。从市场传闻的下调幅度来看,显 著高于政策利率的调降幅度,这也为收益率下行提供了新的支撑。 ◆ 策略建议: 短期看好。 研究咨询部 2025-05-20 公司资质 长江期货股份有限公司交易咨询业 务资格:鄂证监期货字 ...
1年期跌破1%、活期降至0.05%,新一轮存款利率下调落地
第一财经· 2025-05-20 04:58
本文字数:1424,阅读时长大约3分钟 2025.05. 20 作者 | 第一财经 亓宁 存最高仅为1.3%,即按照挂牌利率不上浮,继续保持倒挂状态。 此次存款利率调整已在市场预期之内。此前央行行长潘功胜在5月7日国新办新闻发布会上宣布降准 降息,同时提到央行将通过利率自律机制引导商业银行相应下调存款利率。 20日出炉的新一期LPR(贷款市场报价利率)显示,5年期以上LPR为3.5%,上月为3.6%;1年期 LPR为3%,上月为3.1%,均下行10BP,与此前逆回购利率调整幅度一致。 中信证券首席经济学家明明认为,截至2025年一季度,一般贷款加权平均利率下行至3.75%的历史 低位,商业银行净息差也回落至1.43%的低点。"本轮LPR降息落地后贷款利率料将进一步下行;本 轮存款降息和LPR调降同步落地,是在利率自律机制影响下,商业银行主动稳定息差的举措。"明明 说。 从调整范围和幅度来看,此次大行活期存款利率降幅与去年10月调整时降幅一致,3年期以下定期存 款利率降幅较上次收窄10个基点,3年期及5年期品种利率降幅与上次一致,均为25BP。有行业人 士对第一财经表示,定期存款仍是压降负债成本的重要方向。以3 ...
新一轮存款降息启动!六大行+招行调降存款利率
5月20日,贷款市场报价利率(LPR)迎来年内首次下调,一年期LPR和五年期以上LPR均下调10个基 点。 同日,中国银行、农业银行、工商银行、建设银行、交通银行、邮储银行六大国有银行均对存款利率进 行了调整。 新一轮存款降息又开始了。这次除国有银行外,股份制银行中招商银行也第一时间跟进。其中,三年期 和五年期存款下调幅度最大,达到25个基点。 最大降幅25个基点 中国人民银行授权全国银行间同业拆借中心公布,2025年5月20日,贷款市场报价利率(LPR)为:一 年期LPR为3.00%,五年期以上LPR为3.50%,均较前期下调10个基点。以上LPR在下一次发布LPR之前 有效。 本报记者 张漫游 北京报道 "与之前不同的是,不同类型银行同步下调存款利率,不仅有助于更好地稳定银行净息差,也有助于更 好降低实体经济融资成本。"对于此次存款利率降息,邮储银行高级研究员娄飞鹏告诉记者,降低实体 经济融资成本需要降低贷款利率,贷款利率下降进一步增加银行净息差下行压力,需要降低负债成本, 而存款是银行重要的负债来源,因此需要降低存款利率稳定净息差,提高银行服务实体经济的可持续 性。 董希淼指出,近年以来,存款利率延续下 ...
大消息!下调!百万房贷30年少还1.9万元
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-20 04:09
Group 1 - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) is set to announce the latest Loan Prime Rate (LPR) on May 20, with the current 1-year LPR at 3.1% and the 5-year LPR at 3.6%, remaining unchanged for six consecutive months [1] - PBOC Governor Pan Gongsheng announced a 0.1 percentage point reduction in policy rates, which is expected to lead to a corresponding decrease in LPR [1][2] - Major banks are anticipated to act first in lowering deposit rates, while smaller banks will follow based on their circumstances and market competition [1] Group 2 - A report indicates that a new round of deposit rate cuts is imminent, with the average interest rate for new personal housing loans at approximately 3.1% as of April [2] - For a personal mortgage loan of 1 million yuan over 30 years, the monthly payment is expected to decrease by 54 yuan, resulting in a total repayment reduction of 19,000 yuan [2] Group 3 - On May 20, major state-owned banks announced reductions in RMB deposit rates, with the largest cut being 25 basis points [5] - The Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC) lowered its current deposit rate to 0.05% and adjusted various term deposit rates downwards, with the 3-year and 5-year rates reduced to 1.25% and 1.3% respectively [5][10] - Agricultural Bank of China, Bank of China, and other major banks made similar reductions in their deposit rates, reflecting a coordinated effort to adjust to market conditions [10][16] Group 4 - Analysts suggest that the recent deposit rate cuts are a result of banks adjusting their strategies based on market conditions, which may enhance their ability to support the real economy [18] - The long-term deposit rates have seen larger cuts, particularly for terms over three years, which may lead to a shift in consumer behavior towards other investment options [18]
新一轮存款降息来袭!大行、股份行领衔,一年期利率破1%
Bei Jing Shang Bao· 2025-05-20 04:09
新一轮存款"降息"来了!5月20日,北京商报记者梳理发现,截至目前,已有包括国有六大行、招商银行、光大银行在内的8家银行宣布下调存款挂牌利率, 此次调整涉及活期存款、定期存款和通知存款等多种产品类型,下调幅度为5—25个基点。此次调整既是对人民银行政策利率传导的响应,也旨在缓解银行 净息差持续收窄的压力。分析人士认为,当前净息差处于低位,银行需要保持合理盈利以支撑信贷投放,在适度宽松货币政策导向下,存款利率仍有下调空 间。 | 唄 | 年利率(%) | | --- | --- | | 一、城乡居民及单位存款 | | | (一) 活期 | 0.05 | | (二) 定期 | | | 1.整存整取 | | | 三个月 | 0.65 | | 非年 | 0.85 | | 一年 | 0.95 | | 二年 | 1.05 | | 三年 | 1.25 | | 五年 | 1.30 | | 2.零存整取、整存零取、存本取息 | | | 一年 | 0.65 | | 三年 | 0.85 | | 五年 | 0.85 | | 3.定活两便 | 按一年以内定期整存整取同档次利率打6折 | | 二、协定存款 | 0.10 | | 三、通知 ...
存款利率,官宣下调!一年期定期存款利率不到1%
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-20 03:51
国有六大行均官宣下调存款利率,最大降幅25个基点 5月20日,工商银行、中国银行、建设银行、农业银行、邮储银行、交通银行下调人民币存款利率,一年期定期存款利率下破1%。 工商银行下调人民币存款利率,其中活期利率下调5个基点至0.05%;定期整存整取三个月期、半年期、一年期、二年期均下调15个基点,分别为0.65%、 0.85%、0.95%、1.05%;三年期和五年期均下调25个基点,分别至1.25%和1.3%。定期零存整取、整存零取、存本取息三种期限均下调15个基点。7天期通 知存款利率下调15个基点至0.3%。 | 项目 | 年利率% | | --- | --- | | 、城乡居民及单位存款 | | | (一)活期 | 0. 05 | | (二)定期 | | | 1. 整存整取 | | | 三个月 | 0. 65 | | 半年 | 0. 85 | | 一年 | 0. 95 | | 二年 | 1.05 | | 三年 | 1. 25 | | 五年 | 1. 3 | | 2. 零存整取、整存零取、存本取息 | | | 一年 | 0. 65 | | 三年 | 0. 85 | | 五年 | 0. 85 | | 3. ...
新华鲜报丨融资利好!LPR年内首降
Xin Hua She· 2025-05-20 03:21
5月20日 新一期贷款市场报价利率(LPR)出炉 3% 1年期LPR降至 5年期以上LPR降至 3,5% 新华社北京5月20日电(记者吴雨、任军)"降息"了!企业和居民融资成本将进一步降低。5月20 日,中国人民银行授权全国银行间同业拆借中心公布,1年期LPR降至3%,5年期以上LPR降至3.5%, 均较上一期下降10个基点。这是今年以来LPR首次下降,传递出稳市场、稳预期的明确信号。 新华社权威快报 年内首降! 以房贷利率为例,按100万元商贷、30年等额本息还款方式粗略估算,5年期以上LPR下降10个基 点,可为借款人减少每月利息支出50多元,节省利息总额近2万元。 今年以来,LPR改革效能持续释放,促进贷款利率稳中有降。 4月份,企业新发放贷款加权平均利率约3.2%,比上年同期低约50个基点;个人住房新发放贷款加 权平均利率约3.1%,比上年同期低约55个基点,均处于历史低位。 另外,存款利率持续下行,为贷款利率下降创造了空间。今年以来,存款利率下调的趋势还在不断 延续,不少银行存款利率已全面进入"1时代"。 "存款利率下行,有利于保持商业银行净息差的稳定,提升金融支持实体经济的可持续性。"清华大 学国 ...
辽宁朝阳 推动存保理念深入人心
Jin Rong Shi Bao· 2025-05-20 03:21
Core Viewpoint - The deposit insurance system plays an irreplaceable role in safeguarding the public's finances and maintaining financial stability, with the People's Bank of China (PBOC) in Chaoyang City actively promoting awareness and understanding of this system through innovative outreach and education efforts [1] Group 1: Implementation and Outreach - Since the implementation of the Deposit Insurance Regulations in 2015, the PBOC in Chaoyang has prioritized deposit insurance promotion as a key service to the public, establishing a comprehensive outreach strategy that includes various promotional activities [2] - The bank has utilized over 500 bank branches to disseminate information through LED screens and embedded messages in transaction processes, reaching over 4.2 million depositors and sending nearly 1 million promotional text messages [2] - The bank has organized numerous themed salons and interactive events, engaging over 100,000 individuals in discussions about deposit insurance [2] Group 2: Community Engagement and Special Activities - The PBOC has integrated deposit insurance promotion with cultural and tourism activities, such as setting up booths at events and distributing promotional materials during local festivals, reaching over 20,000 visitors [3] - Over 2,500 promotional events have been conducted, benefiting more than 500,000 people and distributing over 200,000 informational materials [3] Group 3: Targeted Education and Support - The PBOC has focused on vulnerable groups, including the elderly and rural residents, by conducting tailored educational initiatives to ensure understanding of deposit insurance [4] - Activities have included visits to nursing homes and community centers, as well as financial literacy programs in universities, impacting over 10,000 students [4] - A partnership mechanism has been established in rural areas to ensure comprehensive coverage of deposit insurance education, including bilingual materials for ethnic minority communities [4] Group 4: Risk Management and Confidence Building - The PBOC has emphasized the role of deposit insurance in preventing bank runs and supporting the stable development of local small and medium-sized banks [5] - Training and assessments have been conducted to enhance the quality of the promotional workforce, with over 4,000 bank staff receiving internal training [5] - As a result of these efforts, public confidence in the banking system has significantly increased, with deposits in local small and medium-sized banks growing by 150% since 2015 [5]
四川巴中存保宣传深耕红色沃土
Jin Rong Shi Bao· 2025-05-20 03:21
中国人民银行巴中市分行立足川陕革命根据地红色资源优势,构建"存款保险+"融合宣传模式,用好"两 支队伍"、盘活"红色地标",让老区储户存款更安心、更放心。该行积极践行"金融为民"理念,组建党 员先锋队员深入基层,通过发放宣传折页、现场讲解等方式,增强群众风险防范意识和对银行机构的信 心。 辖内银行机构以"党建+存保为民"为主题,开展"能力培养""民俗架桥""服务下沉"系列存款保险主题活 动。长城华西银行巴中分行利用部门晨会、行长周例会"简培训"加固,支部会专项"精集训"提升,着力 培养一批党员宣讲能手。四川银行巴中市分行将存款保险等金融知识纳入驻村帮扶内容,定期对结对帮 扶群众、村干部开展"知识帮扶小课堂",以"裕农站点""蜀农益站"等便民宣传平台为载体,精心设计存 款保险宣传栏,张贴通俗易懂的海报,摆放供群众免费取阅的宣传折页,为村民打造家门口的"金融知 识补给站"。 "乡亲们,当年红军用生命保卫根据地,现在存款保险制度守护大家的存款安全!"在红军入川第一站两 河口,巴中农商银行存款保险宣传员龙玲正向村民介绍存款保险的作用。这是巴中农商银行创新开展 的"红色金融讲堂"活动现场。讲堂上,宣传员巧妙地将存款保险 ...