Core Viewpoint - The blockade of the Strait of Hormuz may trigger sustained oil price shocks and have a cascading effect on global macroeconomic development [1] Group 1 - The potential blockade could lead to significant disruptions in oil supply, impacting prices globally [1] - Oil price fluctuations may result in increased inflationary pressures in various economies [1] - The situation could exacerbate geopolitical tensions, further influencing market stability [1]

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley indicates that in extreme conflict scenarios, including the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, oil prices could surge to between $120 and $130 per barrel [1] Group 1 - The potential for oil price escalation is linked to geopolitical tensions in the region [1] - The Strait of Hormuz is a critical chokepoint for global oil supply, making it a focal point for price volatility [1]

花旗：伊朗石油出口中断可能对油价的影响小于预期。 ...

花旗：油价若要达到每桶90美元（在当前看涨预期下，除非发生重大油运中断事件），未来数月内每天 需要有300万桶的供应中断。 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that Citigroup estimates a disruption of 1.1 million barrels per day in Iranian oil supply could lead to Brent crude oil prices ranging between $75 and $78 per barrel [1]

Core Insights - WTI crude oil has risen to $77 per barrel, marking a daily increase of 3.31% [1] - Brent crude oil has also seen a significant rise of 3.00%, currently priced at $77.29 per barrel [1] Price Movements - WTI crude oil price increase: 3.31% [1] - Brent crude oil price increase: 3.00% [1]

WTI原油站上77美元/桶，日内涨3.31%。布伦特原油日内大涨3.00%，现报77.29美元/桶。 国际油价剧烈波动！一天最高可赚近10倍的行情收益？点击了解>>> ...

俄罗斯几乎没能受益于国际原油价格近期的上涨，因为俄罗斯卢布汇率上升。 随着以色列与伊朗最新一轮冲突推高国际油价，Argus Media Ltd.数据显示，俄罗斯Urals石油价格在6月 13日涨穿60美元/桶。这意味着，2025年以来，（俄罗斯石油出口销售收入）仅仅收复了10%的失地。 彭博根据俄罗斯央行官方汇率测算得出一个结论，俄罗斯石油出口行业那天（前述6月13日）每出口一 桶能收入4957卢布，相比2025年年初的水平低了大约30%。 ...

美、布两油涨幅扩大，均涨超1.5%，分别报74.64美元/桶、77.86美元/桶。 ...

美、布两油短线走高0.4美元，WTI原油向上触及76美元/桶，日内涨约2%；布伦特原油现涨约1.9%。 WTI原油 布伦特原油 ...