Core Viewpoint - The rapid growth of China's passenger car exports is driven by changes in the international environment and the advantages of the domestic automotive industry, with significant future growth potential in overseas markets [1][2]. Group 1: Passenger Car Export Growth - In 2023, China became the world's largest automobile exporter, with a projected CAGR of 4.0% in overseas automotive sales over the next six years, indicating an incremental space of over 10 million vehicles [1]. - The company has been the champion of export sales among Chinese car manufacturers for eight consecutive years from 2016 to 2023, with the overseas sales proportion expected to increase from 2.5% in 2017 to 25.9% in 2024 [1]. - The company anticipates that the profitability of overseas models will exceed that of domestic ones due to export price differentials and improved operational efficiency, making export growth and the introduction of high-value-added models crucial for enhancing overseas profitability [1]. Group 2: Strategic Expansion and Organizational Changes - The company is transitioning from product exports to a full industrial chain export model, which is expected to enhance its adaptability and risk management in various overseas markets [2]. - The establishment of a new organizational structure, integrating various subsidiaries under a "large passenger vehicle sector," is expected to improve operational efficiency and profitability in overseas markets [2]. - Forecasted EPS for 2025-2027 is 0.95, 1.03, and 1.15 yuan respectively, with a target price of 23.75 yuan based on a 25x PE ratio, maintaining a buy rating [2].

证券研究报告 | 朝闻国盛 gszqdatemark 2025 07 14 年 月 日 朝闻国盛 市场震荡整理后有望再上一个台阶 今日概览 ◼ 重磅研报 【宏观】高频半月观—地产销售再弱，"反内卷"催化商品价格—— 20250713 【金融工程】市场震荡整理后有望再上一个台阶——20250713 【金融工程】择时雷达六面图：本周估值、宏观与拥挤度指标弱化—— 20250712 【固定收益】再论股债跷跷板——20250713 【固定收益】票据利率创年内新低——流动性和机构行为跟踪—— 20250712 【银行】本周聚焦—上半年有多少 ETF 资金流入银行板块？—— 20250713 ◼ 研究视点 【电力设备】光伏涨价继续，我国首款四座氢燃料电池飞机 RX4M 首飞 成功——20250713 【煤炭】高温炙烤，火力全开，价跳涨、时已至——20250713 【基础化工】关注 AI for Science 赋能化学研发——20250713 【纺织服饰】周专题：服饰制造公司 6 月营收公布，环比 5 月改善—— 20250713 【传媒】Grok 4 正式发布，豆神教育推出 AI class——20250713 【能源 ...

长江商报消息 ●长江商报记者 潘瑞冬 央企巨头中国中车（601766.SH、01766.HK）业绩大增。 近日，中国中车披露业绩预告，预计2025年半年度实现归母净利润67.22亿元至75.62亿元，同比增长 60%至80%。业绩增长主要是报告期内产品销量增长所致。 长江商报记者注意到，自2008年上市以来，中国中车的净利润稳步增长，2025年上半年或创上市以来同 期新高。此前，公司半年度的归母净利润最高为2016年上半年的47.95亿元。 对于业绩增长，公司表示主要是报告期内产品销量增长所致。这背后是铁路运输行业景气度持续提升， 特别是动车组业务收入的显著增长。 中国中车净利润的高速增长在2025年一季度已经显示。数据显示，2025年前三个月，公司实现营业收入 为486.71亿元，同比增长51.23%；归母净利润为30.53亿元，同比增长202.79%。 业绩增长背后，是公司在手订单的持续增长和不断转化。数据显示，2024年，公司新签订单约3222亿 元，其中国际业务新签订单约472亿元；期末在手订单约3181亿元。 根据最新的订单数据，2024年12月至2025年的5月底，中国中车签订了若干项重大合同，合 ...

近日，在安徽省淮北市临涣化工园区举办了一场由该市先进高分子材料产业链党委牵头组织的产需对接 活动。产业链党委协调合肥工业大学等高校专家团队分享最新科研成果，企业现场结合自身技术瓶颈和 合作需求开展交流。 "从技术对接到达产增效，产业链党委全程护航，真正把党建优势转化为发展动能。"参与活动的安徽瑞 柏新材料有限公司高级技术顾问洪呈祥感慨道。得益于技术专家帮助攻克技术难题，该企业预计年增效 超千万元。 淮北市委组织部牵头对市级产业链综合党委及各成员单位职责、工作制度等进行明确，细化完善深化产 业链党建工作的共性清单及个性清单，通过定期发布任务、召开联席会议、开展调研评估等，保障各项 工作运转。 "单打独斗难成势，必须通过党建串联产业链上下游，形成发展合力。"淮北市先进高分子材料产业链党 委副书记、淮北市发展改革委二级调研员单增华说。在这一机制的推动下，一条条产业链正加速向高端 化、集群化迈进，成为淮北转型发展的强劲引擎。产业链党委不断加强与中国科学技术大学、天津大学 等高校院所合作，统筹产学研用协同创新，努力在强链补链延链上展现新作为。 这一场景是淮北市以产业链党建赋能高质量发展的缩影。作为资源枯竭型城市，淮北市 ...

Group 1: Industry Overview - The global AI wave is creating significant opportunities in the humanoid robot market, with companies like Tesla rapidly iterating their humanoid robot products [1] - The humanoid robot market is expected to witness mass production by 2025, with applications in industrial manufacturing, healthcare, logistics, and consumer sectors [1][5] - The global humanoid robot market is projected to reach approximately $10.17 billion in 2024, growing to $15 billion by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) exceeding 56% [3][5] Group 2: Investment Insights - The investment strategy focuses on identifying companies with long-term growth potential and strong business models, emphasizing the importance of industry growth stages and market size [2] - Key indicators for investment include the industry's compound growth rate over the next 3 to 5 years, as well as the company's core competitiveness and financial sustainability [2] - The analysis highlights the importance of technology barriers and the ability of companies to maintain a competitive edge through innovation and operational efficiency [2] Group 3: Market Applications - In the short term, the industrial manufacturing sector is expected to be the primary application area for humanoid robots, particularly in automotive and 3C electronics [3][4] - Humanoid robots can significantly enhance production efficiency and reduce labor costs in complex manufacturing processes [4] - Long-term applications in healthcare, logistics, and consumer services are anticipated to further expand the humanoid robot market [5] Group 4: China's Competitive Advantage - China possesses a complete industrial chain, from raw material supply to end-product manufacturing, which positions it favorably in the global humanoid robot market [6] - The country has developed several manufacturing clusters supported by policy and capital, enhancing its competitive edge in high-end manufacturing [6] - Significant technological advancements in key components, such as reducers and sensors, have been made by domestic companies, increasing their investment value [7]

Core Viewpoint - The Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC) is focusing on the entire grain industry chain to ensure food security during the summer harvest season by providing financial support and services to farmers and grain-related businesses [2]. Group 1: Alleviating Financial Pressure on Farmers - ICBC is actively aligning with national agricultural policies to ease the financial burden on grain farmers, combining interest subsidy policies with loan products to reduce financing costs [3]. - In Jilin, ICBC launched the "Agricultural Loan for Agricultural Inputs," facilitating over 100 million yuan in loans to agricultural input dealers and downstream farmers through targeted events [3]. Group 2: Supporting Agricultural Machinery Purchases - ICBC has developed the "Agricultural Machinery e-Loan" in collaboration with a leading agricultural machinery company, helping over 300 farmers obtain financing for machinery purchases [4]. - In Henan, ICBC provided a 3 million yuan credit loan to a grain purchasing entity, enabling them to complete the storage of 800 tons of wheat 10 days ahead of schedule, benefiting over 30 local grain farmers [5]. Group 3: Assisting in Transformation and Upgrading - ICBC is supporting the upgrade of grain processing product lines to enhance high-value industry space, including innovative financing solutions like using water rights as collateral for loans [6]. - The total loan balance in key grain sectors for ICBC has reached nearly 300 billion yuan, contributing significantly to strengthening the country's grain security [6].

我问你个问题： 你有没有想过，为啥全世界都有稀土矿，但大家都得把原料送到中国来提炼？ 这不是那种买方便面非得配同款碗的偏执，而是你没得选。 马斯克之前说了一句很有味道的话，大概意思是——美国稀土一点也不缺，随便挖，但最后还得送去中国加工。 听上去像在讲一个物资流转的流程，但美国网友当场破防，几十年从老大沦为原料国，谁能受得了？ 有意思的是，30年前美国可不是这样的。当时的他们，是稀土界真正的头等舱玩家。 • 全球90%的稀土供应，来自美国 • 世界第一的稀土开采技术和话语权 • 加州芒廷帕斯矿，就是他们的王牌 说句不好听的，那个时候中国还在用低价卖矿，换技术和产品。听起来有点像我们熟悉的卖菜得倒贴运费，明明资源最多，却没技术开锅。 但很少有人真去想，这场看似技术、产业和市场的较量背后，到底埋了什么结构性的坑？ 这事儿其实得从1949年说起。 当年三位美国地质学家在加州发现了芒廷帕斯稀土矿。没多久，莫利公司拿到了开采权。 本来想着发财，结果刚开几年，差点把裤腰带都赔进去。 为啥？没人要。 那个年代，稀土在美国基本只供军工，比如导弹、战斗机，没啥民用市场。而当时全球刚打完二战，没人想打仗，军工也就没什么拉动。 直 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for key companies in the textile and apparel sector, including Shenzhou International, Anta Sports, and Bosideng, among others [8][30]. Core Views - The apparel manufacturing sector shows signs of recovery with June 2025 revenue reports indicating a mixed performance among companies, but overall steady growth year-to-date [1][11]. - Vietnam's apparel exports have seen rapid growth in 2025, while China's related product exports have remained stable [1][17]. - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on companies with strong fundamentals and brand strength, particularly in the outdoor and running segments, which are expected to expand [2][30]. Summary by Sections Recent Revenue Reports - In June 2025, revenue changes for key companies were as follows: Feng Tai Enterprises -3.1%, Yu Yuan Group +9.4%, and Ru Hong -3.3%. For the first half of 2025, cumulative revenues were -4.1%, +6.2%, and +10.8% respectively [1][11]. - The report suggests that the apparel manufacturing sector's output has normalized in Q2 2025, with a recommendation to monitor future order trends [1][30]. Industry Trends - The report highlights that the apparel manufacturing sector is benefiting from tariff policy changes, which may enhance company valuations in the short term [3][30]. - The report notes that the international trade environment and tariff changes could impact the competitive landscape of the industry [11][25]. Key Company Recommendations - Shenzhou International is recommended for its high valuation attractiveness, with a projected PE of 12 times for 2025 [30]. - Huayi Group is noted for its expanding overseas capacity and is expected to see revenue growth of 10% to 15% in Q2 2025, despite potential pressure on profit margins [30]. - Weixing Co. is expected to face challenges with a projected revenue decline of 10% to 15% in Q2 2025 due to cautious order placements from brand clients [30][31]. Market Performance - The textile and apparel sector has outperformed the broader market, with a notable increase in exports from Vietnam and stable performance from Chinese exports [1][4]. - The report indicates that the demand for functional apparel and jewelry brands remains strong, with a focus on companies that can leverage product differentiation and brand strength [2][3].

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market has shown signs of recovery this week, driven by increased risk appetite and positive market sentiment, with the ChiNext index experiencing the largest gains among major indices [3]. Group 1: Market Performance - The A-share market has rebounded this week, influenced by rising policy expectations and improved market sentiment, with most major indices showing upward trends [3]. - The ChiNext index recorded the highest increase among major indices this week [3]. - Sector performance varied, with real estate, steel, and non-bank financial sectors performing relatively well [3]. Group 2: Industry Earnings Outlook - The upcoming earnings season is expected to favor industries with strong mid-year performance, as these sectors typically see better stock price movements in July and August [4]. - Historical data indicates that industries with strong earnings in July and August have a higher probability of achieving excess returns [4]. - The manufacturing sector is predicted to have the highest earnings growth, with a year-on-year increase of approximately 10.0%, followed by TMT and financial real estate sectors [4]. - The TMT sector is expected to show the most significant improvement, with a projected year-on-year growth increase of 5.8 percentage points [4]. Group 3: Sector-Specific Earnings Predictions - High predicted net profit growth rates are expected in the light industry, non-ferrous metals, non-bank financials, electronics, and social services sectors [5]. - In contrast, sectors such as steel, real estate, coal, oil and petrochemicals, and public utilities may face profit growth pressures [5]. - The construction materials, electronics, communications, retail, and computer sectors are anticipated to show significant improvement compared to the first quarter [5]. - The overall pre-announcement rate for A-share earnings is currently at 72%, with high pre-announcement rates in real estate, agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and environmental protection sectors [5]. Group 4: Market Outlook - The market is expected to trend upwards in the second half of the year, potentially reaching new highs, with a shift from policy-driven to fundamentals and liquidity-driven market dynamics [6]. - Short-term focus should be on sectors with favorable mid-year earnings, while long-term attention should be on three main lines: domestic consumption, technological self-reliance, and dividend stocks [6]. - In the domestic consumption sector, attention should be given to subsidy-related and offline service consumption [6]. - The technology sector should focus on AI, robotics, semiconductor supply chains, national defense, and low-altitude economy [6].

2025 年 07 月 13 日 市场轮动北证蓄力，持续关注北交 所核心资产 ——北交所策略周报（20250707-2025713） 本周策略观点： 本周市场行情： 北交所新股： 新三板动态： ⚫ 本周新挂牌 6 家，摘牌 2 家，周新增计划融资 0.00 亿元，完成融资 0.65 亿元。 风险提示： ⚫ 个股业绩季度波动过大风险，宏观经济波动的风险。 相关研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 研究支持 郑菁华 A0230525060001 zhengjh@swsresearch.com 汪秉涵 A0230123090006 wangbh@swsresearch.com 吕靖华 A0230124070002 lvjh@swsresearch.com 联系人 郑菁华 (8621)23297818× zhengjh@swsresearch.com 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 新 三 板 研 究 专 题 研 究 - 证券分析师 刘靖 A0230512070005 liujing@swsresearch.com 王雨晴 A0230522010003 wangyq ...