更多资料加入知识星球：水木调研纪要 关注公众号：水木Alpha June 4, 2025 03:00 PM GMT Internet | North America Where Are We Trading Now: Will the Early Summer Rally Continue? Internet names rose +2% last week (SPX/NDX +2%/+2%) led by AMZN/GOOGL/META +2%/+2%/+3%. RDDT +12% (Russell 2000 addition), APP +11%, U +26% (positive sentiment), and ETSY +16% (positive 3P checks). AMZN/GOOGL/META 29X/17X/24X '26 EPS (-7%/-9%/+7% vs TTM avg). M Update Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC Brian Nowak, CFA Equity Analyst Brian.Nowak@morganstanley.com +1 212 76 ...

稳定币市场的未来潜在空间如何？ 稳定币市场的潜在空间非常巨大。根据 2024 年 FCE 统计数据，全球传统跨境 支付总规模达到 154.7 万亿美元，其中包括银行间大额金融结算和国家间经济 往来。此外，非批发支付（如 B2B、C2B、B2C 和 C2C）也占据了重要份额， 去年全球非批发支付总额接近 40 万亿美元，其中企业对企业的支付占比约 80%，达到 31.6 万亿美元。个人消费相关场景，如电商支出、跨境工资发放、 礼品卡和虚拟道具等，总计约 11 万亿美元。整体来看，全球跨境支付总规模 接近 200 万亿美元，但个人部分相对于企业部分较少。 全球稳定币市场有多大空间？20250608 摘要 全球跨境支付规模庞大，接近 200 万亿美元，其中 B2B 支付占比高达 80%，约为 31.6 万亿美元，个人消费场景如电商、跨境工资等约 11 万 亿美元，企业支付占据主导地位，稳定币在其中具有巨大潜力。 稳定币交易额快速增长，2018 年至 2024 年间从几乎为零增至约 6 万 亿美元，增速远超 Visa 和 MasterCard 等传统金融机构，主要得益于 全球流动性宽松和 DeFi 应用涌现，未来有望 ...

本期内容是拾象 CEO 李广密对大模型公司阶跃星辰首席科学家张祥雨的访谈。 张祥雨专注于多模态领域，他提出了 DreamLLM 多模态大模型框架，这是业内最早的图文生成理解 一体化的多模态大模型架构之一，基于这个框架，阶跃星辰发布了中国首个千亿参数原生多模态大 模型 Step-1V。此外，他的学术影响力相当突出，论文总引用量已经超过了 37 万次。 一直以来，业界都相当期待一个理解、生成一体化的多模态，但直到今天这个模型还没出现，如何 才能达到多模态领域的 GPT-4 时刻？这一期对谈中，祥雨结合自己在多模态领域的研究和实践历 程，从纯粹的技术视角下分享了自己对多模态领域关键问题的全新思考，在他看来，虽然语言模型 领域的进步极快，但多模态生成和理解的难度被低估了： • 接下来 2-3 年，多模态领域会有两个 GPT-4 时刻：多模态推理和自主学习； • o1 范式的技术本质在于激发出 Meta CoT 思维链：允许模型在关键节点反悔、重试、选择不同分 支，使推理过程从单线变为图状结构。 目录 01 研究主线： 重新回归大模型 • 多模态生成理解一体化难以实现的原因在于，语言对视觉的控制能力弱，图文对齐不精确， ...

区块链与现实资产融合迎来历史性突破，Torso2以合规化架构重塑全球金融生态 在区块链技术从虚拟经济向实体经济深度渗透的关键节点，全球领先的现实资产（RWA）交易平台 Torso2正以创新性技术架构与合规化实践，推动资产数字化进入全新时代。作为由美国华尔街维洛基金 会联合多国资本发起的全球化生态平台，Torso2不仅构建了覆盖不动产、能源、金融产品等多维度资产 的上链体系，更于近期完成美国财政部金融犯罪执法网络（FinCEN）颁发的MSB牌照合规认证，标志 着其在数字资产合规化领域迈出里程碑式步伐。 一、技术驱动：破解资产上链核心痛点，构建全维度RWA生态 Torso2以"链上确权+链下托管+跨链流通"为技术内核，针对传统资产难确权、流通效率低、合规成本高 等行业顽疾，打造了全流程数字化解决方案： • 不动产上链：通过智能合约将住宅、商办等物业资产拆分为标准化Token/NFT，实现产权链上存证与 份额自由交易，同时引入"资产池"机制分散风险，用户可参与租金分红、抵押借贷等多元场景。 • 能源资产数字化：聚焦油气、电力、碳排等领域，首创"分布式能源NFT"机制，将物理资产指标映射 为链上凭证，支持跨国交易与绿 ...

Group 1 - The article discusses the analytical approach of a healthcare and tech stock analyst who combines clinical insights with valuation methods to identify investment opportunities [1] - The analyst specializes in scenario-based DCF modeling, sensitivity analysis, and Monte Carlo simulations to assess asymmetric risk-reward profiles [1] - The focus is on translating complex scientific and market dynamics into actionable investment theses, influenced by concepts from "Superforecasting" and "Fooled by Randomness" [1] Group 2 - The article emphasizes the importance of independent verification of information and conducting thorough research before making investment decisions [3] - It highlights that past performance is not indicative of future results and that no specific investment recommendations are provided [4]

Summary of Raymond James Financial's Analyst and Investor Day Company Overview - **Company**: Raymond James Financial - **Event**: 2025 Analyst and Investor Day - **Location**: St. Petersburg, Florida Key Industry Insights - **Market Position**: Raymond James aims to be the best firm for financial professionals and their clients, emphasizing a culture that respects client relationships and advisor independence [10][11] - **Growth Metrics**: Over the past 15 years, client assets grew from approximately $250 billion to over $1.6 trillion, representing a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of about 14% [12] - **Revenue Growth**: Net revenues increased from less than $3 billion to around $13 billion, reflecting an 11% growth rate [12] - **Market Capitalization**: Market cap rose from $3 billion to approximately $28-29 billion, indicating a 16% annual growth rate [13] Strategic Focus - **Client-Centric Approach**: The firm prioritizes client needs in all strategic decisions, believing that success for clients will lead to success for shareholders [14][15] - **Long-Term Vision**: Raymond James focuses on sustainable growth over short-term gains, with a commitment to long-term profitability [15][41] - **Financial Strength**: The company maintains a total capital ratio of 25%, significantly above the regulatory requirement of 10%, with $2.5 billion in excess capital [23][24] Business Segments - **Private Client Group (PCG)**: Represents about 70% of revenues, with 8,731 advisors managing $1.48 trillion in assets. Fee-based assets have grown at a 16% CAGR over the past five years [73][74] - **Capital Markets**: Opportunities for growth in investment banking and sales and trading, with a focus on expanding market share in Europe and the U.S. [60][61] - **Asset Management**: The firm has a $100 billion asset management segment with significant growth potential [61] Technology and Innovation - **Investment in Technology**: Raymond James plans to invest nearly $1 billion in technology, primarily in wealth management, to enhance competitiveness [34][46] - **Artificial Intelligence**: A Chief AI Officer role was created to focus on increasing efficiencies, data-driven insights, and cybersecurity [46][47] Mergers and Acquisitions (M&A) - **M&A Strategy**: The firm emphasizes cultural fit and strategic alignment in potential acquisitions, focusing on enhancing the overall value rather than merely increasing size [50][51] - **Market Disruption**: Ongoing M&A activity in the industry creates both challenges and opportunities for Raymond James, particularly in recruiting high-quality advisors [54][57] Competitive Landscape - **Market Share Opportunities**: Significant growth potential exists in the Northeast and West regions of the U.S., where market share is currently lower than the national average [40][60] - **Advisor Recruitment**: The firm is experiencing strong recruitment activity, particularly from advisors seeking a stable and supportive environment [58] Conclusion - **Future Goals**: Raymond James aims to exceed $20 billion in revenues by 2030, with a focus on sustainable growth and maintaining a strong cultural identity [52][53] - **Commitment to Advisors**: The firm seeks to inspire and empower financial professionals, ensuring they have the resources and support needed to succeed [76][78]

Manfred Stapff's Breakthrough Book Hits #1 on Amazon, Tackles Misinformation with Real-World EvidenceJune 05, 2025 2:00 PM EDT | Source: Avazona Ltd.Summary: Dr. Manfred Stapff's newly released book, Real-World Evidence Unveiled: Navigating the Maze of Modern Misinformation, has soared to #1 on Amazon in multiple categories. New York, New York--(Newsfile Corp. - June 5, 2025) - Candid-Advisory founder and renowned physician-scientist Dr. Manfred Stapff has made a notable impact in the publishi ...

New York, NY, June 05, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Mercurity Fintech Holding Inc. (the "Company," "we," "us," "our company," or "MFH") (Nasdaq: MFH), a digital fintech group, today announced a strategic partnership with SBI Digital Markets (SBIDM), a subsidiary of SBI Digital Asset Holdings, the digital asset arm of Japan's leading conglomerate SBI Group. The underlying objective of this partnership is to accelerate the adoption of tokenized real-world assets (RWAs) and facilitate its global distribution throu ...

梦晨 发自 凹非寺 量子位 | 公众号 QbitAI 近期arxiv最热门论文， Qwen&清华LeapLab 团队最新成果： 在强化学习训练大模型推理能力时， 仅仅20%的高熵token就能撑起整个训练效果 ，甚至比用全部token训练还要好。 团队用这个发现在Qwen3-32B上创造了新的SOTA记录：AIME'24上达到63.5分，AIME'25上达到56.7分， 这是600B参数以下直接从base模型训练的最高分。 最大响应长度从20k延长到29k，AIME'24的分数更是飙升到了68.1分。 揭开Chain-of-Thought的熵分布密码 要理解这项研究，需要先从一个有趣的观察说起： 团队发现，当大模型进行链式思考（Chain-of-Thought）推理时，token的熵分布呈现出一个独特的模式： 大部分token的熵都很低，只有少 数token表现出高熵特征 。 具体来说，超过50%的token熵值低于0.01，而只有20%的token熵值大于0.672。 经典的二八法则（或帕累托法则）指出，通常80%的结果由20%的关键因素驱动，但剩下80%也是不能轻易舍弃的。 但是在大模型强化学习这里，80 ...

稳定币第一个IPO来了。数字货币巨头Circle预计于6月5日在美国纽约证券交易所（NYSE）上市，这将 是稳定币领域的首个IPO。 据证券时报报道，Circle成立于2013年，作为一家专注于法定货币转账服务的公司。Circle凭借其创新的 产品Circle Pay，在支付领域迅速崭露头角，并被誉为"美国支付宝"。 Circle 另外一个身份是美元稳定币USD Coin （USDC）的发行人。据了解，USDC 是全球市值第二大稳 定币，该稳定币与美元资产一对一挂钩，包括美元现金和短期国债，流通量约为600亿美元，约占稳定 币总市值的26%。 从财务数据来看，Circle近年来表现出了强劲的增长势头。招股书显示，Circle在2022年、2023年和2024 年的营收分别为7.72亿美元、14.5亿美元和16.76亿美元，呈现出逐年攀升的趋势。但公司净利润则有所 波动，2024年1.56亿美元的净利润，相比2023年2.68亿美元下滑明显。尽管在运营利润和净利润方面有 所波动，但整体而言，Circle的盈利能力仍然保持在较高水平。 但据智通财经最新报道，该公司目前计划以每股27至28美元的价格发行3200万股 ...