技术的力量，开源的力量，初创生态的力量。 整理丨刘倩 ▲扫描上图中的二维码，可收听播客。《晚点聊 LateTalk》#100 期节目。欢迎在小宇宙、喜马拉雅、苹果 Podcast 等渠道关注、收听我们。 《晚点聊 LateTalk》是《晚点 LatePost》推出的播客节目。"最一手的商业、科技访谈，最真实的从业者思考。" 2025 年 1 月，农历春节也没有让模型竞赛丝毫减速。DeepSeek 发布开源推理模型 R1，以相对低的成本，在一些 Benchmark 上比 肩，甚至超越了 o1 的表现，在全球掀起了广泛讨论。 这期节目，我们邀请了 2015 年，在硅谷创立了 Fusion Fund 的投资人张璐，来和我们一起聊一聊，当前美国科技圈和硅谷语境中， 对 DeepSeek 等模型的讨论。 我们也延展聊了 DeepSeek-R1 和 o1 等推理模型打开的 Agent（智能体）应用空间；以及在美国的科技投资视野中，除了 AI，大家还 在关注什么。 Fusion Fund 曾投资 Grubmarket、Al 会议公司 Otter.ai 还有 Al 与医疗结合的公司 Subtle Medical 等。在 Al ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Fourth quarter orders reached $817 million, an increase of approximately 8% on a reported basis and up 5% organically [21] - Fourth quarter sales were $863 million, up 9% reported and up 3% organically compared to the prior year [23] - Fourth quarter net income was $123 million, resulting in GAAP diluted EPS of $1.62, while adjusted net income was $155 million with an adjusted EPS of $2.04, up $0.21 or 11% [28] - Full year sales totaled $3.3 billion, flat overall and down 2% organically [24] - Full year adjusted net income was $599 million, generating an EPS of $7.89, down $0.33 or 4% from last year [28] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Health and Science Technology (HST) segment experienced 8% organic growth in Q4, driven by blanket order activity [21] - Fire Safety and Diversified Products (FSDP) had mid-single digit organic growth, while Flow Control (FMT) experienced low single digit growth [21] - For the full year, HST contracted by 7% on an organic basis, driven by life sciences and semiconductor cyclical market headwinds [24] - FSDP drove low single digit growth bolstered by North America Fire OEM and Fire Integrated System Solution demand [24] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The U.S. market saw a noticeable uptick in industrial day rates at the beginning of 2024, but this changed with high inflation rates later in the year [10] - The semiconductor capital equipment market is expected to recover in the second half of 2025, following a challenging first half [33] - The Intelligent Water Platform is expected to grow due to continued municipal water market investments and aging infrastructure improvements [35] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on integrating Mott and leveraging its filtration technologies into new innovative solutions [19] - IDEXX aims to build scale through thematic integration and has pruned smaller, less growth-advantage businesses [14] - The company is applying an "80-20" strategy at the enterprise level to drive power, scale, and focus through its portfolio of high-quality businesses [12] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed a climate of uncertain optimism as they enter 2025, with stable business bases and recalibrated inventories [11] - The company anticipates organic growth of 1% to 3% for 2025, with HST expected to be the highest growth segment [32] - Management highlighted the importance of pricing power, targeted growth initiatives, and customer intimacy in driving above-market growth [32] Other Important Information - The fourth quarter gross margin declined by 20 basis points to 42.5% on a reported basis, but adjusted gross margin expanded by 40 basis points [25] - Free cash flow for the quarter was $157 million, a decrease of 12%, with a conversion rate of 101% of adjusted net income [29] - The company expects to take $21 million to $25 million in restructuring charges during 2025, primarily related to severance [37] Q&A Session Summary Question: What are the reasons for the soft Q1 guidance? - Management explained that the softness in Q1 is due to the absence of $40 million in project shipments that occurred in Q4 and a $0.22 impact from share-based compensation [53][54] Question: How does the platform optimization impact growth and margins? - Management indicated that platform optimization will lead to improved gross margins and SG&A leverage, contributing positively to EBITDA margins over time [91][92] Question: What assumptions are made regarding potential tariff impacts? - Management stated that there are no material assumptions in the guidance regarding tariffs, emphasizing a localized model for sourcing and production [69][70]