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2025年5月锂电投资风向:固态电池热、回收扩能、出海持续
高工锂电· 2025-06-26 11:58
以下文章来源于高工产研 ,作者GGII 高工产研 . 2025年5月中国锂电产业链投资扩产项目汇总表 从环节分布看,锂电池回收、固态电池及材料成为主要投资方向,各占7个项目,合计占比 近50%,反映出行业向技术迭代与循环经济双轮驱动的转型趋势。其他环节中,锂电池及 PACK项目6个,包括海四达马来西亚圆柱动力电池项目、比亚迪欧洲总部和研发中心两个海 外项目。 从投资规模来看,5月锂电产业链平均单个项目投资额约13.8亿元,较2024年同期有所下 降,仅有金晟新能源湖北黄冈基地一个百亿级规划项目,当前锂电产业投资更趋理性。 从项目区域分布来看,主要集中于长三角江苏、湖北、江西及广东及等锂电产业集聚区,海 外布局项目三个(涉及马来西亚、匈牙利、阿曼)。 | | | 灰竹矿 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 钠电池 | 苏州固能 | 钠电池、储能微 电网系统集成 | 3GWh电 池及微网 集成 | 10 | 签约 | 江苏 | 南京 | | | 昌意钠电 | 钠电池 | 3GWh | 1 | 开工 | 云南 | 最准 | ...
锂电池产业链2025年中期投资策略:修复向好,聚焦固态
Dongguan Securities· 2025-06-26 09:07
Group 1: Market Overview and Valuation - As of June 25, 2025, the lithium battery index has increased by 2.25% since the beginning of the year, slightly outperforming the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index by 1.61 percentage points. The solid-state battery index has surged by 24.86%, significantly exceeding the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index by 24.22 percentage points [15][16] - The overall PE (TTM) of the lithium battery sector is 24 times, indicating that the sector is still at a historical low valuation after more than three years of deep adjustments [16] Group 2: Lithium Battery Downstream Demand - The global new energy vehicle (NEV) market continues to grow, with China being the largest driving force. From January to May 2025, China's NEV sales reached 5.608 million units, a year-on-year increase of 44%, with domestic sales accounting for 84.8% [20][29] - The penetration rate of NEVs in China reached 44% in the first five months of 2025, up 3 percentage points from 2024, indicating a strong momentum in electric vehicle adoption [22] - NEV exports from China are expected to maintain growth, with 855,000 units exported from January to May 2025, a year-on-year increase of 64.6%, making NEVs a key driver of automotive exports [29] Group 3: Industry Profitability and Marginal Improvement - The lithium battery industry is expected to see a continued marginal improvement in profitability, with net profit for 2024 projected to decline at a slower rate. In Q1 2025, net profit increased by 27.44% year-on-year and 63.06% quarter-on-quarter [61][64] - Inventory levels have bottomed out and are recovering, with total inventory reaching 216.29 billion yuan by the end of Q1 2025, a 10.07% increase from the end of 2024 [69] - Capital expenditures have continued to decrease, reflecting a slowdown in capacity expansion due to temporary overcapacity in the industry [73] Group 4: Solid-State Battery Industrialization - Solid-state batteries are gaining traction due to their high energy density and safety advantages. They are expected to become the next generation of lithium batteries, with several major automakers planning to introduce solid-state battery vehicles by 2027 [80][82] - The industrialization process of solid-state batteries is accelerating, with semi-solid batteries already in mass production and full solid-state batteries expected to start small-scale production around 2027 [80][82] - The demand for solid-state batteries is being driven by the growth of new energy vehicles and low-altitude economy applications, creating structural demand in the materials and equipment sectors [80][82] Group 5: Investment Strategy - It is recommended to focus on leading companies in the battery and materials sectors that are experiencing fundamental improvements, particularly those with technological and capacity advantages in solid-state battery core materials and equipment [6][28] - Key investment targets include companies such as CATL, EVE Energy, and others that are well-positioned to benefit from the solid-state battery transition [6][28]
2027-2028固态电池上车倒计时:小米日产比亚迪抢跑,其他车企能否搭上‘技术快车’?
鑫椤锂电· 2025-06-26 07:22
关注公众号,点击公众号主页右上角" ··· ",设置星标 "⭐" ,关注 鑫椤锂电 资讯~ 2025(第三届)中国固态电池 技 术 发 展 与 市 场 展 望 高 峰 论 坛 -广告- 本文来源:鑫椤锂电 近日,小米 " 固态电池复合电极与制备方法及包含其复合电极的固态电池" 专利正式公布;比亚迪宣布将 在2027年实现左右启动全固态电池批量示范装车应用;国外,日产汽车宣布计划在2028年推出首款采用 固态电池技术的车型。主要车企和动力电池企业固态电池上车渐行渐近,这也引发了其它车企对于固态电 池的关注,甚至部分车企高层直言"若2028年前无法实现固态电池上车,将面临市场份额断崖式下跌"。 固态电池的产业化进程,正从单一技术突破转向全产业链协同。上游材料企业加速布局硫化物电解质原料 产能;中游设备商如赢合科技已经成功向国内电池企业交付了首批固态电池设备 ,包括固态湿法涂布设 备、固态辊压设备以及固态电解质转印设备 ;下游车企则通过 "股权投资+订单绑定"双重手段锁定产能。 随着 2028年的临近, 固态电池已从"技术选项"变为"生存刚需"。 这场竞赛的胜负手,不仅在于实验室 数据,更在于量产良率、成本控制、供 ...
招商证券:全固态电池产业化进程加速 设备与材料端迎变革机遇
智通财经网· 2025-06-26 03:47
设备是固态电池量产的关键,需解决固态电池电极与电解质界面接触、电极高效制备的难题,目前主要 路线为硫化物路线,配套的工艺设备都有所变化。 智通财经APP获悉,招商证券发布研报称,近两年全固态电池研发明显提速,国内头部企业已实现中试 线级别生产,硫化物路线成为主流技术方向。工信部2024年5月成立60亿元固态基金推动行业发展,宁 德时代(300750.SZ)等企业预计2027年前后实现小批量生产,上汽集团(6000104.SH)、比亚迪(002594.SZ) 等车企计划2026年开始装车。设备端干法电极、等静压等新工艺需求爆发,相关设备厂商已实现技术突 破。 招商证券主要观点如下: 近两年全固态电池研发加快,产品逐渐从实验室走向中试线,容量也提升到60-70Ah 头部电池厂也已实现中试线级别生产,车端预计26年将实现陆续装车。目前硫化物成为主要路线,对界 面接触要求更高,配套设备工艺变化主要体现在干法电极、叠片+软包、等静压、高压化成分容等方 面。部分设备企业已有所突破,有望助力固态电池规模化应用。 全固态电池研发加速 近两年,在政策的推动下,国内全固态电池研发逐渐从实验室走向中试线,整体开始加速。工信部202 ...
创业板50ETF国泰(159375)上涨3.64%点评
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-06-25 12:55
Market Performance - The A-share market saw all three major indices rise over 1%, with the Shanghai Composite Index up 1.04%, reaching a new high for the year, and the ChiNext Index rising 3.11% [1] - The total market turnover was 1.64 trillion yuan, an increase of 191.4 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] Reasons for the Rise - Market hotspots were concentrated in finance, military industry, and computer sectors, with more stocks rising than falling. The strong performance of the ChiNext 50 Index was attributed to geopolitical factors, policy support, liquidity recovery, and industry events [5] - Geopolitical developments, particularly the ceasefire agreement between Iran and Israel, reduced market risk aversion and led to a capital influx into high-risk assets, benefiting the technology sector and the ChiNext [6] - The Federal Reserve's recent statements indicated a potential for monetary easing, which may boost market risk appetite and attract foreign capital into emerging markets, particularly benefiting growth sectors like the ChiNext and Sci-Tech Innovation Board [7] Policy and Market Support - Recent guidance from the central bank and six departments emphasized financial support for boosting and expanding consumption, aiming to stabilize economic fundamentals and enhance the flow of medium- to long-term capital into the market [8] - The implementation of monetary policy tools to maintain liquidity and reduce financing costs is expected to promote stable development in the capital market [8] Industry Performance - The brokerage and fintech sectors showed significant performance, with news about stablecoins and regulatory approvals potentially driving valuations higher for leading brokerages [9] - Companies like CATL are benefiting from the accelerated industrialization of solid-state batteries, which are expected to become mainstream in the high-end market by 2030, presenting valuation opportunities for related firms [9] Market Outlook - Short-term focus should be on event catalysts and mid-year earnings reports, with potential for continued strength in the ChiNext if earnings exceed expectations and geopolitical stability is maintained [9] - From a mid- to long-term perspective, sectors like AI, new energy, and pharmaceuticals show clear growth logic, with the ChiNext 50 Index currently trading at a PE-TTM of approximately 31 times, below its historical average, indicating potential for valuation recovery [10]
双重利好催化!固态电池强势,多企业披露最新进展和量产时间
25日盘中,固态电池板块走强,硅宝科技、殷图网联等个股大涨,湘潭电化涨停,龙头股国轩高科涨超8%。 从产业进展角度看,近期,多家企业陆续披露了其在固态电池领域的最新进展和量产时间。 分析人士表示,当前固态电池进入预量产阶段,产业化进程不断推进。固态电池的快速发展有望带来锂电池产业链的全面更新及设备价值量的大幅提升。头 部企业的目标量产时间大都定于2026年—2027年,设备、材料等相关产业链环节有望迎来投资机会。 开源证券指出,当前固态电池正逐步从实验室阶段到量产验证阶段发展,预计2025年底小批量装车试验,2026-2027年普遍装车试验,此外,低空、机器 人、AI等新兴应用场景打开固态电池市场空间,产业化落地有望提速。建议关注固态电池板块后续的行情表现。 江海证券指出,固态电池2030年全球市场规模超两千亿,国内有望在2027年进入快速增长期。投资建议上关注这些方向:(1)固态电池锂电设备;(2)固 态电池材料环节:建议关注布局锂金属负极环节的标的,硅碳负极环节的标的,硫化物电解质环节的标的,碳纳米管环节的标的。 消息面看,有两个事件催化作用明显。 一是美股固态电池公司Quantumscape周二盘后涨超 ...
固态电池:产业拐点已来,看好头部材料及设备供应商
2025-06-24 15:30
固态电池:产业拐点已来,看好头部材料及设备供应商 20250624 摘要 公司出售电池资产是战略调整,聚焦稀土材料和半导体靶材主业,并非 行业看衰。1 亿元起拍价虽看似低,但资产增值率高,若因此股价调整 反而是介入机会,不影响产业趋势。 固态电池技术通过累积创新和事件催化,产业链落地可行性提升。预计 2025 年中试,2026 年小批量生产,2027 年装车放量,市场前景乐观, 类似机器人等新兴技术产业逻辑。 固态电池投资应关注行情扩散至二线电子厂(如福能、黄辉、南都), 以及宁德时代等头部供应链企业(如容百、东阿科技),关注潜在供应 商如道氏技术。 2025 年固态电池主题行情加速,受产业化驱动,从概念向应用推进。 氧化物路线和全固态方向均受关注,国家大基金和企业产品发布推动发 展。 固态电池三大技术路线包括气象法、固相法和 CVD 法,各有优缺点。材 料领域,电解质和负极是核心,硫化物电解质受认可但成本高,降本是 关键。负极从石墨转向硅碳和锂金属是趋势。 Q&A 有研新材公告出售硫化锂资产引发了哪些市场情绪和解读? 有研新材公告出售硫化锂资产后,市场产生了两种主要情绪。首先,部分投资 者认为公司出售该资产 ...
国泰海通|新能源:全固态电池正进入从0到1——固态电池行业系列之五:行业跟踪报告
Core Viewpoint - The solid-state battery industry is experiencing favorable policies and has broad application prospects, with pilot production lines being established and leading companies making significant advancements in technology [1][3]. Group 1: Policy and Industry Support - The Chinese government has initiated several policies to accelerate the research and industrialization of solid-state batteries, including a 60 billion yuan investment in 2024 aimed at supporting solid-state battery development [3]. - A multi-layered support system has been established, combining central government policies with local pilot projects to expedite the industrialization process of solid-state batteries [3]. Group 2: Market Potential and Applications - Solid-state batteries exhibit high energy density and fast charging capabilities, making them suitable for various applications, including electric vehicles (EVs), eVTOL aircraft, and humanoid robots, with a projected global shipment of 614.1 GWh and a market size exceeding 250 billion yuan by 2030 [4]. - The unique safety features of solid-state batteries, such as non-flammability and high performance under extreme conditions, enhance their appeal for use in electric vehicles and other high-demand scenarios [4]. Group 3: Industry Developments and Innovations - Leading companies like BYD and Guoxuan High-Tech are making significant strides in solid-state battery technology, with BYD planning to start mass production of its solid-state batteries around 2027 and Guoxuan High-Tech already conducting vehicle testing with its 350 Wh/kg energy density cells [5]. - The ongoing advancements in solid-state battery technology are expected to attract more companies to enter the market, leading to continuous product iterations and improvements [5].
固态电池产业迎密集催化 电池板块今现涨停潮
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-06-24 13:46
新华财经上海6月24日电(林郑宏)6月24日,沪深三大股指集体走高,其中沪指收盘涨超1%,收盘再 度站上3400点整数关口,两市合计成交额超1.41万亿元。 板块方面,电池和人形机器人板块领涨市场,其中电池板块现涨停潮,国轩高科、龙蟠科技、诺德股 份、湘潭电化等多股涨停,板块指数涨幅接近4%。 | ← | 电池 630700 | O | | --- | --- | --- | | 领涨 | | 领跌 | | 名称 | 最新价 | 涨幅 | | 信德新材 | 39.52 | +20.01% | | 301349 | | | | 正业科技 | 8.12 | +10.33% | | 300410 | | | | 诺德股份 | 6.24 | +10.05% | | 600110 | | | | 国轩高科 | 30.53 | +10.02% | | 002074 | | | | 德新科技 | 17.91 | +10.01% | | 603032 | | | | 八川以 | 9.45 | | +10.01% | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 002759 | | | | | 湘潭电化 | 14. ...
刚果(金)钴禁令再延三月,预期透支钴价上演“过山车”行情
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-06-24 10:10
刚果(金)钴出口禁令延长三个月导致钴价剧烈波动 钴价上演"过山车"行情。 6月24日,钴均价单日暴跌6000元至25万元/吨。而刚果(金)日前的出口禁令延长,引发的上涨预期仅 维持可一日。截至收盘,A股中的腾远钴业(301219.SZ)收跌3.5%,华友钴业(603799.SH)、寒锐钴 业(300618.SZ)跟跌。前一交易日,腾远钴业涨超15%,寒锐钴业涨超9%。 一位矿业人士对第一财经分析称,钴价上演"过山车"行情,这一剧烈波动背后,是市场对政策预期透支 与高库存压力的集中释放。 早前的2月24日,刚果(金)首次暂停钴出口四个月,钴价从约16万元/吨一路上涨至目前的25万元/ 吨。而在近期,该国又将禁令将延长至7个月。行业对此的共识是,出口禁令只能带来阶段性的供给收 缩。 全球第一大钴生产商洛阳钼业24日对第一财经称,该公司TFM及KFM矿区生产运营活动正常进行,预 计该临时禁令的延长不会对经营业绩产生重大影响,并认为稳定、健康的市场环境,是所有利益相关方 共同的愿望,有利于行业长远可持续发展以及钴产品需求的持续增长。 禁令延期冲击波,全球钴市持续震荡 钴作为电动车电池的关键原材料,在高科技产业、新能源 ...