Wave 3 starting??I don't have my Elliott Wave glasses on, can't tell for sure https://t.co/JV2eZ96ZW9 ...

Group 1 - President Trump characterized the government shutdown as an "unprecedented opportunity" to implement cuts to non-essential federal workers [1] - The market appears to view the shutdown similarly, seeing it as a chance to operate without the interference of data or jobs reports [1] Group 2 - Andrew McElroy, Chief Analyst at Matrixtrade, has developed a proprietary trading system that incorporates fractals, Elliott Wave, and Demark exhaustion signals, along with macro drivers and market narrative analysis [1] - The 'Daily Edge' produced by Andrew provides actionable ideas, directional bias, and important levels in the S&P500, focusing on various asset classes including commodities, stocks, crypto, and forex [1] - The system has been refined over 15 years and is designed to deliver a consistent edge in trading [1]

Core Viewpoint - The content emphasizes the importance of conducting personal due diligence and consulting competent advisors before making any financial decisions, particularly in the context of investments and trading [1]. Group 1 - The website provides general news, personal analysis, and third-party content intended for educational and research purposes [1]. - It explicitly states that the information does not constitute any recommendation or advice for investment actions [1]. - Users are advised to consider their financial situation and needs before relying on the information provided [1]. Group 2 - The website includes information about complex financial instruments such as cryptocurrencies and contracts for difference (CFDs), which carry a high risk of losing money [1]. - It encourages users to perform their own research and understand the risks involved before making investment decisions [1].

Core Insights - Crypto markets are experiencing a rise due to weaker-than-expected U.S. labor data and expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut next month [1][3] - Bitcoin has increased by 2.15% to $118,700, while the broader market, as measured by the CoinDesk 20 index, rose by 2.33% [2] - The unexpected drop in U.S. private payrolls, with a decline of 32,000 jobs in September, has led to increased bets on a rate cut by the Federal Reserve [3] Market Reactions - The market has shown relative stability following the U.S. government shutdown, reminiscent of the 2018-2019 shutdown, which lasted 35 days [4] - Derivatives markets reflect a shift, with open interest rising nearly 4% to $216 billion, and spot crypto ETFs seeing over $2.3 billion in net inflows since the beginning of the week [5] Structural Considerations - Concerns have been raised about structural risks in Bitcoin adoption, particularly strategies relying on stock premiums [6] - Investors are increasingly turning to alternative assets like gold and crypto as economic signals become murkier [6] - Bitcoin's price structure is showing signs of consolidation, with potential for volatility in the coming month [6]

Core Insights - The article discusses the importance of due diligence and personal discretion in making financial decisions, emphasizing that the information provided is for educational and research purposes only [1] Group 1 - The content includes general news, personal analysis, and third-party contributions intended for educational purposes [1] - It highlights that the information is not tailored to individual financial situations or needs [1] - The article warns that prices may not be accurate and are often provided by market makers rather than exchanges [1] Group 2 - The website includes information about complex financial instruments such as cryptocurrencies and CFDs, which carry a high risk of losing money [1] - It encourages thorough research before making investment decisions and advises against investing in instruments that are not fully understood [1]

Core Insights - The S&P 500 experienced a 1.94% drop last week, reversing previous market euphoria [1] - The article emphasizes the importance of monitoring key support levels, specifically mentioning that dips are likely to hold at 6551 [1] Group 1: Market Analysis - The article discusses the actionable insights provided by Andrew McElroy, who utilizes a proprietary system developed over 15 years, incorporating fractals, Elliott Wave, and macro drivers [1] - The 'Daily Edge' report outlines actionable ideas and important levels in the S&P 500, as well as trends in commodities, stocks, crypto, and forex [1] Group 2: Analyst Background - Andrew McElroy is identified as the Chief Analyst at Matrixtrade and has been an independent trader since 2009, managing a family portfolio of stocks and ETFs [1]

Market Performance - The S&P 500 index has broken above 6600, reaching a new high of 6671, indicating a bullish trend in the market [1] Analyst Insights - Andrew McElroy, Chief Analyst at Matrixtrade, utilizes a proprietary top-down system that incorporates fractals, Elliott Wave, and Demark exhaustion signals, along with macro drivers and market narrative analysis [1] - The 'Daily Edge' report produced by Andrew provides actionable ideas and directional bias for the S&P 500, focusing on various asset classes including commodities, stocks, crypto, and forex [1] Investment Strategy - The analysis system developed over 15 years aims to deliver a consistent edge in trading, reflecting a comprehensive approach rather than simple chart analysis [1]

Core Viewpoint - The content emphasizes the importance of conducting personal due diligence and consulting competent advisors before making any financial decisions, particularly in the context of investments and trading [1]. Group 1 - The website provides general news, personal analysis, and third-party content intended for educational and research purposes [1]. - It explicitly states that the information does not constitute any recommendation or advice for investment actions [1]. - Users are advised to perform their own research and consider their financial situation before making decisions [1]. Group 2 - The website includes information about complex financial instruments such as cryptocurrencies and contracts for difference (CFDs), which carry a high risk of losing money [1]. - It encourages users to understand how these instruments work and the associated risks before investing [1].

Market Overview - The S&P 500 has reached 6600, driven by stock/sector rotation and the anticipation of rate cuts, providing new momentum for the rally [1] - The target of 7000 is considered achievable, with confidence expressed in reaching this milestone [1] Analyst Insights - Andrew McElroy, Chief Analyst at Matrixtrade, utilizes a proprietary top-down system developed over 15 years, incorporating fractals, Elliott Wave, and Demark exhaustion signals, along with macro drivers and market narrative analysis [1] - The 'Daily Edge' newsletter offers actionable ideas, directional bias, and important levels in the S&P 500, focusing on various asset classes including commodities, stocks, crypto, and forex [1] Investment Strategy - The analysis emphasizes a systematic approach to trading, moving beyond simple chart observations to a comprehensive strategy that has been proven to deliver consistent results [1]

Core Insights - The dollar is currently trapped in a range, with a potential for a downward breach below July lows, indicating a possible ending diagonal pattern [1] - Upcoming US CPI data is crucial, as it may influence market expectations regarding interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [2][3] - A significant drop in crude oil prices could lead to a flat or softened inflation reading, impacting the dollar's performance [3] Economic Indicators - US inflation is expected to rise to 2.9% from 2.7%, but a softer reading could trigger a sell-off in the dollar [3] - The market anticipates that the Federal Reserve may cut rates, with speculation on the extent of the cuts [2] Technical Analysis - The Elliott Wave analysis suggests that the dollar's rise from July lows is corrective, indicating potential further weakness [4] - A target below 96 is indicated for wave C of wave five, but caution is advised as ending diagonals can signal trend reversals [4] Historical Context - A comparison is made to September 2024, where the dollar initially fell before stabilizing and recovering after a rate cut, suggesting a possible similar scenario may unfold [6]