Market Analysis & Predictions - Bitcoin is in a healthy uptrend, supported by a previous resistance-turned-support level on the daily chart [1] - A cup-and-handle pattern suggests potential further upward movement, targeting a previous high around the 0.080618 level [1] - The analyst uses New Moon and Full Moon cycles as a "mystical" indicator, noting past correlations with market movements and suggesting watching for potential highs around the next New Moon in 10 days [1] - Historical patterns of Bitcoin halving events suggest a potential peak around 520-540 days after the most recent halving in April 2024 [1] - The analyst expresses a neutral stance, viewing market volatility as an opportunity and suggesting potential shorting opportunities if Bitcoin reaches certain levels and exhibits specific price action [1][2] Trading Strategies & Risk Management - The analyst advises against blindly placing limit orders, instead recommending waiting for a breakout and pullback before entering a short position with a stop-loss above the high [2] - For Ethereum, the analyst suggests that if Bitcoin rallies, Ethereum is likely to follow, targeting a specific level; if both reach potential highs, any pullback could be a shorting opportunity [2] - The analyst mentions Bybit and Binance exchanges, highlighting potential fee discounts for users [2] Contrarian View & Long-Term Belief - The analyst acknowledges the "eternal bull market" narrative but cautions against complacency, emphasizing the importance of profiting from potential downturns [1] - The analyst believes Bitcoin will eventually reach $1 million USD, but is more concerned with how to profit during potential pullbacks [1]

Market Trends - Bitcoin all-time highs (ATHs) typically occur at the year-end, specifically in November or December, following a halving event [1] - Historical data from 2013, 2017, and 2021 cycles indicates that post-halving ATHs have consistently materialized during the year-end period [1] Bitcoin Halving Cycle Analysis - The study focuses on the post-halving ATHs observed in 2013, 2017, and 2021 [1]

If you want to learn about me from a historical perspective, then follow this account. 🔥Litecoin History (@litecoinhistory):🎂Litecoin’s First Halving | 25 August, 2015A 🧵to commemorate the 10-year anniversary of this major moment in Litecoin’s History: https://t.co/RPwi90VQet ...

Market Analysis - XMR attack was more symbolic than substantial [1] - The attacker controlled 35.7%, not the 51% required for a successful attack [1] Supply Dynamics - Exchanges froze 2.2 million coins [2] - Halving will reduce rewards by 50% [2] - A supply shock is anticipated [2]

why is everyone fading xmr after $75m/day validated it? halving? ...

August is proving bullish for $ETH in post-halving years.Exactly like predicted. https://t.co/NSbTZQBGvL ...

Bitcoin always pump hard in August ofthe post halving year2013: 30%2017: 65%2021: 13%2025: ? https://t.co/Z9CcVdjl7Q ...

Discussing price action post halving&& the historical August ReturnsWe were a mix of red n green in August of Halving yearsWith the following year being green for AugustWe are in a 1 year past halving period right now...Does history repeat itself?https://t.co/L4qyVyaH6G LIVE RIGHT NOWEasy (@EasyEatsBodega):Monday to Friday 8am ESTLIVE RIGHT NOW ON https://t.co/QStcdJBhD4- Crypto Committee Report- FOMC on almost the last day of the month!?- Crypto Markets SELL OFF- Aug / Sept historically UGLY months for mar ...

Bull Cycle Analysis - Post-halving bull runs typically last 14-18 months; the current cycle is 15 months post-halving, aligning with a mid-to-late cycle phase [1] - Spot Bitcoin ETFs have brought in billions in net inflows, indicating massive global adoption by large companies [1] - A potential pro-crypto U S stance under Trump, including a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve proposal (1 million BTC over 5 years), suggests long-term support [1] Market Indicators - Absence of retail mania suggests the cycle peak hasn't been reached, with Bitcoin dominance around 65% and altcoins lagging [2] - Anticipated Fed rate cuts and easing inflation in 2025, coupled with a weakening USD, rising global M2, and a slowdown in Quantitative Tightening (QT), create a bullish environment [2] Valuation and Maturity - The crypto market cap of $34 trillion is considered undervalued, indicating institutional maturity [2]