Group 1 - The company was established in 2011 through the restructuring of four copper enterprises in Zambia and has become a global leader in vertically integrated copper production [1] - The company has expanded its operations from the Chambishi Copper Mine in Zambia to the Democratic Republic of Congo, forming a "Zambia-Congo" dual-core strategic layout [1] - The company aims to become a world-class mining group by accelerating global resource integration and operational upgrades since its listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange in 2012 [1] Group 2 - As of the end of 2024, the company's total ore resources amount to 436 million tons, ranking it among the top tier in the global industry [2] - The company plans to enhance exploration investments, completing over 50,000 meters of drilling and a capital expenditure of $169 million in 2024, a significant increase of 23% year-on-year [2] - From 2020 to 2024, the company's self-produced copper metal volume is expected to increase from 99,000 tons to 159,000 tons, a growth of over 60% [2]

Industry Overview - As of late May 2025, the price of soft foam polyether in China is 0.73 million yuan per ton, a year-on-year decrease of 19.65% [1][9] - The decline in prices is attributed to the fluctuation and decrease in upstream raw material prices, such as propylene oxide, and rapid expansion of domestic production capacity, which reached 9.5 million tons per year by February 2025, with expectations to exceed 11 million tons per year [1][9][10] - The rapid increase in production capacity has led to a significant rise in market supply, while demand growth has not kept pace, resulting in an imbalance between supply and demand [1][9] Industry Development History - The soft foam polyether industry in China has undergone four main stages: the initial stage (1989-1993), rapid development (1993-1999), technological innovation (2000-2010), and green development (2010-present) [3][4][5] - The initial stage saw the establishment of the first large-scale polyether production facility in Tianjin, marking the beginning of industrial production [3] - The rapid development phase was characterized by the introduction of new products and significant increases in production capacity, with a focus on high-end applications [3] - The technological innovation phase involved advancements in production technology and increased government support for new materials [4] - The current green development phase emphasizes technological breakthroughs in catalysts and sustainable practices due to stricter environmental regulations [5] Industry Supply Chain - The upstream of the soft foam polyether industry includes basic chemical raw materials (propylene oxide, ethylene oxide), initiators (glycerol, propylene glycol), catalysts, and production equipment [7] - The midstream involves the manufacturing of soft foam polyether, while the downstream applications span across furniture, automotive, footwear, construction insulation, waterproof coatings, and packaging materials [7] Current Industry Status - The total production capacity of soft foam polyether in China was 9.413 million tons in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 2.34% [10] - Major companies like Wanhua Chemical, Longhua New Materials, and Changhua Chemical dominate the market, leveraging their technological and scale advantages [10][14] - The consumption of soft foam polyether in the first four months of 2025 reached 122.56 thousand tons, a year-on-year increase of 7.15%, driven by recovery in downstream sectors like furniture and automotive [12] Key Companies' Performance - Wanhua Chemical Group, established in 1978, is a significant player in the global polyether market, focusing on technological innovation and expanding its production capacity [18] - Longhua New Materials, founded in 2011, has become a leading company in the domestic soft foam polyether industry, achieving a market share of 30% in polymer polyols [16] - In 2024, Longhua New Materials reported a revenue of 5.624 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12.01% [16] Industry Development Trends - The industry is expected to see optimization of production capacity and increased concentration, with leading companies like Wanhua Chemical and Longhua New Materials driving capacity consolidation [20] - There is a strong emphasis on technological innovation and green transformation, with companies adopting low-VOC formulations and developing bio-based polyethers [21][22] - Downstream demand is diversifying, with traditional markets slowing while new sectors like automotive and cold chain logistics are emerging as key growth areas [23]

点击上图▲立即收听 " 近几年 ' 内卷式 ' 竞争的出现，并非是企业、雇员变得 ' 急功近利 ' 所致，其背后有深刻的宏观经济背景，受经济周期变化、体制机制问题和技术发展规律综合影响。 文 / 巴九灵（微信公众号：吴晓波频道） 一股"刀刃向内"的改革正在一些重点行业展开。 汽车行业在这轮行动中最出圈，轰轰烈烈的60天账期革命备受关注，与此同时，近日，全国工商联汽车经销商商会又向各大汽车生产厂家提出缩 短返利兑现账期、简化返利政策、取消复杂限制条件等呼吁，打响了"反内卷"第二枪。 据路透社报道，中国新能源一家头部企业近期在多家工厂取消夜班、将部分产线产能削减至少1/3，并推迟新增产线计划。 还有"二师兄"。近期， 多家头部猪企接相关部门要求，去产能、二育调控、头部企业带头稳价格，集团场暂停能繁母猪扩产，出栏体重也需要控 制在120公斤左右。 光伏行业在主动踩刹车。自7月起，国内头部光伏玻璃企业计划集体减产30％，预计供应量将由此前的约64GW降至约45GW。 水泥行业则在展开自查。中国水泥协会发布文件，要求各会员企业对照备案产能与实际产能差异，依法依规按备案日产能和年产能组织生产。 " 7月的第一天， 中央财 ...

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint The company, Kailaiying Pharmaceutical Group (Tianjin) Co., Ltd., is undergoing changes in the use of raised funds, including new investment projects, adjustments in investment amounts, and delays in project timelines, to enhance operational efficiency and align with market opportunities. Group 1: Fundraising Overview - The company raised a total of RMB 2,277,875,164.30 from a non-public stock issuance, with a net amount of RMB 2,274,960,656.06 after deducting issuance costs [1][2] - The funds are stored in a dedicated account, regulated by a tripartite agreement among the company, the sponsor, and the bank [2] Group 2: Fund Usage Status - As of June 30, 2025, the company has allocated funds to various projects, including the expansion of its life sciences platform and the construction of a biopharmaceutical R&D base [3][4] - The total investment for the projects is RMB 228,070.62 million, with cumulative investments of RMB 163,909.18 million [4] Group 3: Changes in Fund Usage - The company has proposed to change the use of funds for the "Taixing Project" and redirect remaining funds to new projects, including a chemical macromolecule project and a high-end formulation project [5][6] - The investment amount for the Taixing Project will be reduced by RMB 400 million, with the remaining funds allocated to new projects [6][11] Group 4: New Investment Projects - A new project, the "Chemical Macromolecule Integration Project," will receive RMB 47,367.72 million from the remaining funds, with a total investment of RMB 50,800.00 million [11][12] - The project aims to enhance the company's capacity in the CDMO field and is expected to take 48 months to complete [12][14] Group 5: Financial Performance - The company's total assets as of December 31, 2024, were RMB 3,073,514,644.17, with total liabilities of RMB 2,080,120,300.01 and net assets of RMB 993,394,344.16 [13] - The company reported a revenue of RMB 1,597,172,881.12 and a net profit of RMB 52,163,151.56 for the same period [13] Group 6: Strategic Implications - The changes in fund usage are aligned with the company's long-term strategic planning and are expected to improve operational efficiency and competitiveness [19][20] - The company aims to leverage market trends and enhance its capabilities in innovative drug development, particularly in the chemical macromolecule sector [15][16]

Core Viewpoint - Leading photovoltaic glass companies are proactively reducing production to practice industry self-discipline and address "involution" competition, aiming to stabilize market order and adapt supply and demand [1][2] Industry Overview - Global photovoltaic supply-demand mismatch has led to component prices falling below cost, resulting in continued losses for leading companies in 2024. Proactive production cuts are expected to help restore supply-demand balance [1] - Domestic policies promoting the exit of outdated production capacity are expected to support the industry's efforts to adjust supply [1] Strategic Approaches - Photovoltaic companies should focus on technological iteration to build differentiated competitiveness. The rapid evolution of technology is key to breaking the current deadlock, with three main technology routes competing intensely: TOPCon, BC technology, and perovskite tandem technology [1][2] - Companies need to optimize capacity layout, balancing "capacity reduction" with "shortboard supplementation." Expanding production overseas can help avoid trade barriers and capture incremental demand in emerging markets [2] - Deepening industry chain collaboration is essential, transitioning from mere product suppliers to comprehensive energy service providers. Companies can adopt a "vertical integration" model to reduce costs and explore new application scenarios such as "distributed photovoltaics," "photovoltaics + energy storage," and "photovoltaic hydrogen production" [2]

矿端扰动持续， 期价维持宽幅震荡 氧化铝月报 2025/07/04 王梓铧（联系人） 0755-23375132 wangzh7@wkqh.cn 交易咨询号：Z0015924 从业资格号：F03130785 吴坤金（有色金属组） 从业资格号：F3036210 目录 01 月度评估 04 供给端 02 期现端 05 进出口 03 原料端 06 需求端 07 库存 月度评估 月度要点小结 ◆ 期货价格：截止7月4日，月内氧化铝指数较6月3日价格累计上涨1.02%至3011元/吨。因几内亚"禁采风波"没有进一步发酵，氧化铝期价逐步回落。进入下旬，随着宏观情绪改 善，商品整体走强，带动氧化铝期价企稳回升。7月2日，几内亚政府宣布创立铝土矿指数以增加国家税收，或将带动矿价重心上移，驱动氧化铝期价进一步上行。但中期氧化铝 供需过剩格局仍难改，预计反弹空间有限。基差方面，本月基差逐步回落，截止7月4日，山东现货价格较氧化铝主力合约价格升水66元/吨。月差方面，连一和连三月差维持震荡， 截止7月4日，连一和连三月差录得59元/吨。。 ◆ 现货价格：随着利润回升，前期检修产能逐步回归，氧化铝供应重回宽松，驱动6月氧化铝现货价格 ...

Group 1: Core Insights - The MSCI China Index has increased by 32% over the past year and is currently at a price-to-earnings ratio of 11.5, close to its 20-year average of 11.9, raising questions about the sustainability of this growth [1] - JPMorgan identifies three key factors supporting a positive outlook for the Chinese market: initial recovery in consumption, addressing overcapacity issues, and high equity risk premium due to significantly lower interest rates [1] Group 2: Consumption Recovery - The recovery of Chinese consumption is a critical theme for the second half of 2025, with retail sales growth averaging 5.4% since 2023, down from pre-COVID levels of 9-10%, but showing signs of rebound [2] - Improving consumption will help balance supply and demand, alleviate deflationary pressures, and enhance corporate pricing power and profitability [2] - Key areas to focus on for sustained retail sales growth include expanding policy support, emphasizing consumer services, and stabilizing the real estate market, which has negatively impacted GDP by 2-2.5% annually over the past four years [2] Group 3: Addressing Overcapacity - The Chinese government is focusing on reducing overcapacity, particularly in the context of real estate control and technology access restrictions from the U.S., aiming for greater self-sufficiency in the industrial chain [7] - There is anticipation for meaningful supply-side reforms, with a focus on sectors such as automotive, materials, industrials, and technology [7] - Stocks that may benefit from industry consolidation include BYD, CATL, Chalco, Putailai, and Nippon Paint [7] Group 4: Capital Costs and Equity Risk Premium - Despite the MSCI China Index's mean reversion, the equity risk premium remains high, attributed to a significant decline in government bond yields, indicating that the Chinese stock market is still undervalued [9] - Interest rates are expected to remain low, with a forecasted 10 basis point cut by the end of 2025, currently at 1.64% for 10-year government bonds [9] - The current earnings yield of the Chinese stock market is 9%, suggesting an implied equity risk premium exceeding 7%, which is historically high compared to the U.S. [9][10]

证券研究报告 宏观经济点评 2025 年 07 月 04 日 6 月高频数据跟踪 [Table_Author] 魏争 分析师 沈夏宜 分析师 Email:weizheng@lczq.com Email:shenxiayi@lczq.com 证书:S1320524100001 证书:S1320523020004 摘要： 生产端看，开工率涨跌互现：钢铁、化工品开工延续改善，玻璃开工仍处 低位，水泥磨机运转回落，汽车全、半钢胎开工率边际修复；库存有增有 减：水泥、玻璃、主要化工品累库，钢材、铁矿石延续去库；产能利用率 回落：电炉、水泥熟料、焦化企业产能利用率回落，玻璃低位震荡。开工 率方面，截至 6 月第四周，全国 247 家高炉开工率、主要钢企电炉开工 率、螺纹钢开工率总体企稳，分别为 83.84%、77.60%、43.62%，环比 均正增；水泥磨机运转率、浮法玻璃开工率小幅回落，录得 38.14%、 74.99%；化工品开工率出现分化：PVC、PTA、纯碱开工率月内环比负 增，第四周分别录得 78.09%、78.61%、82.21%；石油沥青开工率 6 月 边际改善，录得 31.50%；汽车全钢胎、半钢胎开工率 ...

中银证券 策略研究 | 证券研究报告 — 总量点评 2025年7月4日 助力"中枢"抬升 策略点评报告 jun.wang@bocichina.com 证券投资咨询业务证书编号:S1300519060003 证券分析师:徐亚 (8621)20328506 ya.xu(a)bocichina.com 证券投资咨询业务证书编号:S1300521070003 ■ 本轮关于部分落后产能退出工作的信号,在7月1日中央财经委会议之 前已出现多种迹象。一是部分产品价格在 6月已出现企稳迹象,二是部 分部门、行业协会、龙头公司通过自律倡议等形式进行初步约束尝试。 ■ 但相关行业股价表现较为平淡,直至7月1日中央财经委召开第六次会 议. 会议强调. "纵深推进全国统一大市场建设,要聚焦重点难点,依 法依规治理企业低价无序竞争,引导企业提升产品品质,推动落后产能 有序退出。" 我们认为,这正式标志对于部分落后产能的退出安排。由行业自律层面 . 上调至最高层级。 这种政策层面释放的信号值得高度关注,但从对相关行业的展望来看, 我们认为本轮行业切换或更多呈现"行情脉冲性"以及细分行业或将 "显著分化"两个特点。 本轮"推动落后产能有序 ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent Central Financial Committee meeting emphasized the need to regulate low-price disorderly competition among enterprises, guide companies to improve product quality, and promote the orderly exit of outdated production capacity. This policy signal has led to a noticeable recovery in the sentiment of the bulk commodity market, with some investors anticipating market benefits similar to those from the supply-side structural reforms of 2016 [3][4]. Policy Impact Analysis - Different periods may have varying policy focuses, necessitating an in-depth analysis of the core impact range of policies. Attention should be directed towards industries with severe overcapacity, widespread losses, high proportions of outdated capacity, and strong policy constraints [4]. - Industries such as polysilicon, industrial silicon, and PVC currently exhibit persistently low profit levels, aligning with the main objectives of policy regulation. The sustainability of profit improvement in these industries hinges on the enforcement strength of policies and the effectiveness of actual capacity clearance [4][5]. Historical Context - The aluminum industry serves as an example where strong policy constraints successfully led to sustained profit improvements during the last capacity reduction phase. Historical experience indicates that there is a certain lag between policy issuance and market rebound, ultimately relying on strict enforcement to achieve profit redistribution within the industry chain [4]. Current Industry Status - Leading companies in industries like polysilicon are beginning to formulate capacity optimization plans. However, due to differences in company nature, interest conflicts, and market constraints, the realization of substantial capacity clearance in the industry will require more time for validation [5]. Profit and Capacity Overview - A summary of key indicators for various bulk commodities, including profit levels, capacity concentration, and the nature of enterprises, has been compiled for reference [6]. - For example, the profit margins and capacity concentration for several commodities are as follows: - PVC: -13% profit margin, 40% capacity concentration, state-owned enterprises [9] - Polysilicon: -13.5% profit margin, 82.23% capacity concentration, private enterprises [10] - Urea: 20% profit margin, 28% capacity concentration, state-owned enterprises [9] - Copper products show varying profit margins, with electrolytic copper at 0.31% and lithium battery copper foil at 26.07% [10].