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特朗普:应该降息!
Zhong Guo Ji Jin Bao· 2025-05-02 14:03
Group 1 - President Trump calls for the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates following a stronger-than-expected April jobs report, emphasizing that consumers have been waiting for prices to drop and asserting that there is no inflation [2][4] - The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported an increase of 177,000 non-farm jobs in April, surpassing market expectations of 133,000, although it is lower than the revised figure of 185,000 for March [2][4] - Despite previous criticisms, Trump has softened his stance towards Fed Chair Jerome Powell, stating he has no intention of firing him and expressing a desire to be respectful towards the Federal Reserve [3][4] Group 2 - The April employment growth remains strong, with the unemployment rate stable at 4.2%, indicating that uncertainties surrounding Trump's trade policies have not significantly impacted hiring plans [4][5] - The report shows a broad distribution of job growth, particularly in healthcare, while the manufacturing sector experienced layoffs, marking the most significant production decline since 2020 [5] - The Federal Reserve officials are cautious about lowering interest rates until the specific impacts of the Trump administration's policies on the economy are clearer, with expectations that the Fed will maintain the benchmark interest rate in the upcoming meeting [5]
增强粮食产业链供应链韧性
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-05-01 22:03
我国实行最严格的耕地保护制度,实施藏粮于地、藏粮于技战略,不断提高粮食综合生产能力。去年我 国粮食生产克服重重困难,产量首次迈上1.4万亿斤新台阶,实现了谷物基本自给、口粮绝对安全。实 施大豆油料产能提升工程,大豆产量连续3年保持在2000万吨以上,油料产量稳步增加,提高了大豆和 油料自给率,增强在国际粮食贸易中的议价能力。面对挑战,今年我国稳定水稻、小麦生产,因地制宜 发展薯类杂粮,持续巩固提升大豆产量,同步提升油料自给能力,确保粮食稳产增产,为经济高质量发 展、社会大局稳定夯实基础,为抵御外部风险构筑牢固屏障。 总之,唯有强化底线思维,运用好政策组合拳,在应对外部冲击的同时,锻造内生动力,通过进口多元 化、产能挖潜、储备调控、全链减损四重防线,才能不断提升粮食安全保障水平,为全力巩固经济发展 和社会稳定提供坚实支撑。 我国对美国大豆、玉米、小麦等农产品加征关税,是应对美国"关税大棒"、维护国家利益的必要反制措 施。来自美国的粮食进口量显著下降,不仅不会动摇国内粮食稳定供应,反而将加速粮食进口多元化, 进一步促进粮食自给水平、粮食储备调控能力和粮食节约减损能力提升,不断增强国内产业链供应链韧 性,将粮食安全 ...
4月份A股面对冲击展现韧性
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-01 12:19
4月份各指数表现不一 美国特朗普政府挑起的关税战对A股冲击主要体现在4月7日,当天上证指数最低跌至3040.69点,也是4月份最低点,报收3096.58点,跌幅为7.34%。第二 天开始上证指数就稳健回升,虽然日涨幅非常小,但也回升了200多点,4月下旬最高回升到3300点之上,月底报收3279.03点,月K线收出下影线很长的小 阴线,4月下跌1.7%。 上证指数月K线图 深证成指4月7日跌幅较大,当天下跌9.66%,此后也出现回升,4月底报收9899.82点,4月份跌幅仍然达到5.75%。创业板指数4月7日跌幅高达12.5%,盘中 最低跌至1756.64点,当天报收1807.21点,此后回升逐渐收复1900点大关,4月份报收1948.03点,4月份跌幅为7.4%。 刚刚过去的4月份,是个不平常的月份。美国特朗普政府挑起的关税战,冲击全球股市,A股自然也受到影响,4月份主要指数收阴,但A股展现出韧性, 上证指数4月份仅仅下跌1.7%。上市公司2024年年报和2025年一季报也在4月份披露结束,虽然2024年上市公司整体业绩连续第二年下降,但是,今年一 季报出现回升,这也是中国宏观经济的体现,中国经济和上市公司 ...
一场火灾,烧出全球芯片的软肋
半导体行业观察· 2025-05-01 02:56
2000年,一场由闪电引发的大火在美国新墨西哥州阿尔伯克基的一家半导体工厂燃烧了十分钟, 却在万里之外的斯堪的纳维亚引发了一场企业危机,动摇了21世纪初欧洲两大电子巨头——诺基 亚和爱立信之间的力量平衡。 正是这场火灾,重塑了我们今天所熟知的芯片供应链。 一场意外 2000年3月17日晚8点左右,一道闪电击中新墨西哥州的一条输电线,导致全州电力波动。是电压 突升还是骤降,当时并不清楚——但这引发了22号生产线的大火,尽管飞利浦员工迅速扑灭火 焰,但破坏已然发生。 现场一片狼藉:塑料天花板结构散落在地面上,8盘硅片——足以生产成千上万个手机芯片—— 卡在火源集中处的炉子里,全部报废。整个工厂因自动喷水系统启动而受到了严重水损,烟雾颗 粒渗入工厂最核心的无尘室,污染了那里储存的数百万颗芯片。这些比婴儿小指指甲还小的硅 片,是手机完成诸如声音放大、无线电频率捕捉等功能的基础。 工 厂 初 步 调 查 结 论 很 快 就 明 确 : 修 复 损 毁 至 少 需 一 周 , 可 能 更 久 。 " 就 像 魔 鬼 在 跟 我 们 开 玩 笑,"一位参与清理的飞利浦高管说,"喷水和烟雾一起作用,一切都出了问题。" 加快清 ...
埃森哲大中华区技术服务事业部总裁俞毅:企业应以“技术+人才+信任”构建AI时代数字核心
Jing Ji Guan Cha Bao· 2025-05-01 02:23
作者 沈建缘 以DeepSeek为代表的高效AI大模型,正推动生成式AI从通用工具向深入具体业务流程的解决方案演 进。 但生成式AI应用从推动产业升级到驱动社会价值和商业价值的爆发式增长,完成新一代工业革 命,还需要经历量变到质变的过程。 日前,埃森哲发布主题为"AI自主宣言"的《技术展望2025》。探讨了AI的自主性将如何塑造未来。随着 AI以远超过往任何技术的速度在企业和社会中得到应用和普及,超过七成(75%)的中国受访企业高管 认为,企业重塑任务紧迫。 报告表明,AI能否像预想的那样产生广泛而积极的影响,至关重要的前提之一,就是人们对AI的信 任。埃森哲大中华区技术服务事业部总裁俞毅表示:"技术革新促使领导者重新思考数字系统的设计方 式和团队的工作方式,也在不断重塑打造产品的方式及与客户互动的方式。信任是这一切转变的基础, 因为只有当系统值得信赖时,我们才会放手让其自主运行。" 长期以来,传统技术一直在帮助企业处理各种预先设定的业务需求。如今,随着知识数字化、新型AI 模型、智能体系统和架构等领域的进步,企业迎来了新一代的转型。各种通用AI系统更为自主,可以 助力企业比以往任何时候都更灵活、更智能和高效 ...
白宫再提“合并”!加拿大新总理这么说→
第一财经· 2025-04-30 15:22
2025.04. 30 本文字数:1910,阅读时长大约3分钟 导读 :卡尼表示,只有在需要进行"严肃讨论"并尊重加拿大主权的情况下,他才会访问华盛顿。 作者 | 第一财经 程程 如何处理美加关系是刚刚胜选的加拿大总理卡尼面临的首要难题。 据央视新闻,当地时间4月29日,加拿大总理办公室发表公告称,加拿大总理卡尼与美国总统特朗普 进行通话。两国领导人一致认为,加拿大和美国作为独立主权国家,携手合作对共同发展至关重要。 两国领导人同意近期举行面对面会晤。 卡尼本人在胜选后表示,加拿大值得美国尊重,并且只会"按照我们的条件"与美国总统特朗普进行贸 易和安全谈判。他还称,只有在需要进行"严肃讨论"并尊重加拿大主权的情况下,他才会访问华盛 顿。 美加传统关系已经结束? 当地时间4月29日凌晨,卡尼在获胜讲话中表示,加拿大如今再次站在历史的转折点上,加拿大一直 依赖的二战后体系的阶段现已终结。 此前,卡尼就曾说过,加拿大和美国之间的传统关系已经结束,面对特朗普关税,加拿大须重塑一个 新的经济。 特朗普自当选美国总统以来多次提及要将加拿大合并为美国的"第51个州",但他自从上个月末与卡尼 通话后就不再谈及此事。不过,上周 ...
白宫再提“合并”加拿大,美加传统关系结束?
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-04-30 11:58
Core Points - The newly elected Canadian Prime Minister Carney faces the challenge of managing U.S.-Canada relations, emphasizing the need for respect for Canadian sovereignty in trade and security discussions [1][4] - Carney's victory speech indicated a turning point in Canada's historical reliance on post-World War II systems, suggesting a need to reshape the economic relationship with the U.S. [4][5] - The relationship between the two countries is under strain due to tariffs imposed by the U.S., with Canada responding with retaliatory measures [4][7] Group 1: U.S.-Canada Relations - Carney and U.S. President Trump agreed on the importance of cooperation between the two independent nations, planning a face-to-face meeting [1] - Carney stated that he would only visit Washington for serious discussions that respect Canadian sovereignty [1][2] - The White House's comments on Canada's election results raised questions about the future of U.S.-Canada relations, with Trump previously suggesting Canada could become the 51st state [2][4] Group 2: Economic Strategy - Carney plans to create a more resilient Canadian economy to withstand U.S. tariff pressures, including eliminating interprovincial trade barriers and investing in infrastructure [7] - The Canadian government will maintain retaliatory tariffs on over CAD 60 billion worth of U.S. imports until the U.S. removes its tariffs [7] - Analysts expect the Carney government to seek new trade partners to reduce dependency on the U.S., with early discussions with France indicating a focus on strengthening defense and economic ties [8] Group 3: Political Landscape - Carney's government will be a minority, requiring collaboration with opposition parties for budget and legislative matters [9] - There is a consensus in Canadian society against "surrenderism" in response to Trump's challenges, favoring a pragmatic approach to protect national interests [6] - Carney's calm negotiation style and extensive experience in economic and financial matters are seen as advantages in navigating these challenges [6]
贵州茅台(600519):Q1开局亮眼,业绩略超预期
EBSCN· 2025-04-30 10:15
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Guizhou Moutai [4][6] Core Views - Guizhou Moutai's Q1 2025 performance exceeded market expectations, with total revenue of 51.443 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.67%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 26.847 billion yuan, up 11.56% year-on-year [1][4] - The company demonstrated strong brand resilience, achieving double-digit revenue growth despite overall weak demand [2] - The company's 2025 operational target is a revenue growth of approximately 9%, which is considered realistic and achievable [4] Revenue and Profit Analysis - In Q1 2025, revenue from Moutai liquor and series liquor reached 43.557 billion yuan and 7.022 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth of 9.7% and 18.3% [2] - Direct sales and wholesale channels contributed 23.220 billion yuan and 27.360 billion yuan in revenue, reflecting year-on-year increases of 20.19% and 3.93% [2] - The company's gross profit margin for Q1 2025 was 91.97%, with a slight year-on-year decline of 0.64 percentage points, while the net profit margin increased by 0.42 percentage points to 52.19% [3] Cash Flow and Financial Health - Sales cash receipts in Q1 2025 amounted to 56.144 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 21.37%, indicating strong cash flow performance [3] - The company reported a net operating cash flow of 8.809 billion yuan, a slight decrease of 4.1% year-on-year [3] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is 94.489 billion yuan, 103.046 billion yuan, and 111.879 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 75.22 yuan, 82.03 yuan, and 89.06 yuan [4][5] - The current stock price corresponds to P/E ratios of 21, 19, and 17 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [4][5]
迎难而上 主动作为——透视中国经济的韧性和活力
Xin Hua She· 2025-04-30 08:19
Economic Resilience and Market Opportunities - China's economy is showing a positive trend despite complex international challenges, highlighting its strong resilience and potential [1] - The country has a large domestic market with over 1.4 billion people and more than 400 million middle-income groups, providing significant development space [5] Trade and Market Strategies - To counter external risks, companies are actively expanding into diverse markets and leveraging domestic consumption through promotional activities [3] - E-commerce platforms are accelerating efforts to assist foreign trade enterprises in transitioning to domestic sales and enhancing service offerings [7] Corporate Adaptation and Innovation - Many foreign trade companies are focusing on internal adjustments to respond to market changes, emphasizing the importance of self-reliance [9] - A medical protective equipment company in Shandong is expanding its product line through cross-border mergers and acquisitions [11] - An agricultural technology company in Shandong is innovating its hardware to meet international market demands, showcasing automated "plant factories" [13] Open Market Initiatives - China is adopting a more proactive approach to global engagement, with measures such as reducing the negative list for foreign investment and optimizing the business environment [14] - The number of newly established foreign-invested enterprises in China is projected to reach 59,000 in 2024, reflecting a 9.9% year-on-year increase [19]
精准“链”接!如皋高新区即将举办首届产业对接会
Yang Zi Wan Bao Wang· 2025-04-30 06:14
现场将突破传统对接模式,创新构建"展示+对接+服务"三位一体平台,以数字化手段帮助参会者快速了解各方优势资源,精准对接合作需求。对于有深 度洽谈需求的企业,现场还将提供相对独立的空间,保障企业技术交流、项目合作的高效性与保密性。 特别值得关注的是,本次对接会将突破单一供需对接框架,集聚金融资本、技工院校、服务机构等各方资源,形成资本赋能、人才支撑、服务保障的立体 化生态。现场,22家银行将为企业推出定制化金融产品,实现资本要素与实体经济的精准滴灌;2家职业教育机构将设立人才直通车,构建产教融合的技 能人才定向输送通道。各方将在此次活动中充分交流、深化合作、协同发展,共同推动高新区产业链向更高质量、更具竞争力的方向迈进。 这场产业盛会不仅是企业实力的集中展示窗口,更是跨界融合、价值共创的战略机遇平台。期待此次对接会的成功举办能够催生更多"链式反应",为区内 区外企业带来新的发展碰撞和合作机会,共同谱写如皋高新区产业高质量发展的华彩篇章。 为深度融入国内国际双循环新格局,推动区域协同创新,提升企业发展动能,构建要素互联、优势互补、利益共享的产业生态共同体,5月9日,如皋高新 区首届"融链成势,赢在高新"产业对接会 ...