Key Takeaways C passed the 2025 Fed stress test with a CET1 capital ratio of 10.4%, well above the 4.5% minimum. C approved a $20B buyback plan and raised its dividend 6% in July 2024 after clearing the stress test. C is trimming 20,000 jobs and exiting non-core markets to cut costs and refocus on higher-return areas.Citigroup Inc. (C) has passed the Federal Reserve’s 2025 stress test. Post-clearing the stress test, C now has the flexibility to return excess capital to shareholders via dividends and share ...

Welcome back. The S&P 500 NASDAQ hitting record highs this morning as we close out the first half of the year. Joining us now, Apollo global management chief economist Torson Sllock to give his outlook for the economy in the second half of the year.Torson, very good morning to you. Good to see you. Thanks for having me.Um, just that snapshot on what we learned there from Kevin Hasset and the developments over the weekend. Is is your expectation that the big beautiful bill ultimately does whether it's this w ...

🇺🇸 TRUMP SAID WE SHOULD BE AT1% OR 2% INTEREST RATE.( CURRENTLY ITS 4.25% - 4.50% )RATE CUTS ARE COMING SOON !! https://t.co/kaYne1KRFf ...

We are now joined by U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Betts. And just as the Senate has begun voting on what's known as the big, beautiful bill. You look at the latest version of the tax bill.The big question that remains is the GOP holdouts. What kind of deal can be cut with those holdouts. And what are you and the president prepared to offer for support.Well, I'm confident that the bill is going to progress, as is over the next few hours, and it'll be on the president's desk to sign on July 4th. So the Senat ...

Scott Bessent indicated it wouldn’t make sense for the government to ramp up sales of longer-term securities given where yields are today, though he held out hope that interest rates across maturities will be falling as inflation slows. https://t.co/0JlIiHjDpl ...

While we're talking about interest rates and the Federal Reserve, it has been recently reported that you might be in consideration for the job as the next Fed chair. When you've been asked about the likelihood recently, you said that it's up to the president. Is it a job that you would want.I will do what the president wants, but I think I have the best job in D. C. We're making a lot of progress with the president's leadership.You know, I think think about it. We are going to have the tax bill on his desk ...

Market Performance - The three major U.S. indexes saw significant increases last week, with the Nasdaq Composite rising by 3.27%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average by 2.91%, and the S&P 500 by 2.45% [1] - Investor optimism was driven by a ceasefire agreement in the Middle East, particularly regarding the Israel-Iran situation, and expectations of an interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve [1] Economic Indicators - The Department of Commerce reported a 0.1% increase in personal consumption expenditure (PCE) in May, with a year-over-year rise to 2.3% from 2.2% [2] - The U.S. economy contracted by 0.5% in Q1 2025, a deeper contraction than the previously estimated 0.2%, marking the first negative GDP reading since Q1 2022 [3] - Consumer confidence fell to 93 in June, down from 98 in May, while personal income, spending, and savings also declined [3] Stock Performance - Banco Bradesco S.A. shares increased by 30% since being upgraded to a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) on April 24, outperforming the S&P 500's 14.8% increase [4] - Ubiquiti Inc. shares rose by 28.7% since its upgrade to a Zacks Rank 2 on April 25, also outperforming the S&P 500's 12.4% increase [5] - Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy) stocks returned +6.51% in May 2025, compared to +4.47% for the S&P 500 [6] Portfolio Performance - A hypothetical portfolio of Zacks Rank 1 stocks has returned -2.59% in 2025 (through June 2), underperforming the S&P 500's -1.12% [6] - The Zacks Focus List portfolio returned +2.90% year-to-date (through May 31, 2025), outperforming the S&P 500's +1.07% [15] - The Zacks Earnings Certain Admiral Portfolio (ECAP) returned +3.20% in Q1 2025, compared to the S&P 500's -4.30% decline [18] Notable Stock Upgrades - Flotek Industries, Inc. shares surged by 101% since being upgraded to Outperform by Zacks on May 6 [9] - Goldman Sachs has returned 20.6% year-to-date as part of Zacks' Top 10 Stocks for 2025 list [24] - Fastenal Company returned 10.2% over the past 12 weeks, while 3M Company increased by 5% during the same period [21]

广发证券发布研报称，今年财政发力整体前置，下半年预计财政继续保持积极，政府部门债务增速可能 带动整体债务增速有所上行。区域上，江苏、山东、四川等经济大省地方财政发力更为明显，浙江、山 东、福建等省份上市公司ROIC处于较高水平。看好区域经济阿尔法优质城商行，重点关注青岛银行 (002948.SZ)、宁波银行(002142.SZ)、招商银行(600036.SH)等。 资产流动性和配置展望： (1)跨境流动性转折决定国内资产流动性方向性转折。考虑到美债、美元短期压力较大，预计考虑汇率 变动后人民币资产回报率将继续占优，跨境资金回流有望加速。(2)实体回报率与当前1.6%的无风险利 率相比已处于相对低位，风险资产回报率处于高位，预计资金逐步向风险资产(如信用债、股票)转移。 行业景气度展望： 规模，预计资负压力在三四季度逐步缓和，25年、26年生息资产同比增速分别为7.86%、7.80%，25年 风险资产加权增速小幅回升。息差，预计收窄幅度将逐步趋缓。中收，全年增长有望回正。非息，预计 三季度债市维持窄幅震荡格局，四季度在高基数下债市利率可能出现又一轮向上回调，投资依赖度和交 易能力可能是25年银行业绩的最大扰动项 ...

I'd love him to resign if he wanted to. He's done lousy job. Look, uh, if you were there, you'd say, well, you know, the United States is doing well.They have no inflation, and if they do get inflation in a year or two, we'll put we'll start raising the rates. We'll get rid of the inflation, you know, and do other things. Uh, Biden had the worst inflation in the history of our country, 19%, but I think it was much higher than that.Frankly, they say 19%, they say. I think it's a lot higher than that. And we ...

欢迎加入交易理想国知识星球 文 | 对冲研投研究院 编辑 | 杨兰 摘要： 从市场情绪而言，上周伊以冲突进一步平息，美国宏观数据表现仍然具有韧性，同时鲍威尔在国会听证会上的发言暗示了条件符合也可能提 前降息，市场对今年降息预期的预测达到了 3次，市场整体处于r is k o n的状态之中。风险资产普遍上行，铜强金弱的格局较为明显。 核心观点 1、上周金价回落，铜 价走强 贵金属方面，上周 COMEX 黄金下跌 2 .9%，白银 下跌 0 .34%；沪金2510合约 下跌 1 .5%，沪银2508 合约上涨 1.48%。主要工业金属价格中，COMEX铜、沪铜分别变动+4.86%、+2.79%。 2、短期利多叠加，铜价向上突破 从市场情绪而言，上周伊以冲突进一步平息，美国宏观数据表现仍然具有韧性，同时鲍威尔在国会听证会上的发言暗示了条 件符合也可能提前降息，市场对今年降息预期的预测达到了 3次，市场整体处于risk on的状态之中。风险资产普遍上行，尤 其铜还面临着供应端的约束，比如有海外冶炼厂减停产，因此价格重心上行较为明显。 3、黄金继续回调 上周伊以停火协议生效，市场避险情绪快速降温。此后伴随特朗普再度施压 ...