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华尔街到陆家嘴精选丨美国消费数据利空 美储联会救市吗?美股上周强势反弹可持续吗?黄金快速回调就是建仓良机?美国放松自动驾驶监管 特斯拉机会几何?
Di Yi Cai Jing Zi Xun· 2025-04-28 00:39
Group 1: Consumer Confidence and Economic Outlook - The final consumer confidence index for April in the U.S. is 52.2, a significant drop from 57 in March, marking one of the lowest levels since the late 1970s [1] - Consumers expect an average inflation rate of 4.4% over the next 5-10 years, the highest since 1991, with a one-year inflation expectation of 6.5%, the highest since 1981 [1][2] - The Federal Reserve's financial stability report indicates rising asset valuation risks and high U.S. Treasury yields, with global trade risks identified as the top threat to financial stability [1] Group 2: Stock Market Performance and Predictions - The U.S. stock market experienced a strong rebound, with the Zweig Breadth Thrust indicator signaling a potential new upward cycle, historically leading to a 100% success rate of gains in the following 12 months [3] - Despite the rebound, analysts caution that the market may face volatility due to macro uncertainties, particularly regarding trade negotiations [3][4] - Bank of America suggests that the rebound may not be sustainable unless three conditions are met: a trade agreement, a Fed rate cut, and resilient consumer spending [3][4] Group 3: Gold Market Dynamics - Gold prices experienced significant volatility, with a record outflow of $1.27 billion from the SPDR Gold ETF, the largest single-day outflow since 2011 [5][6] - Analysts suggest that the current pullback in gold prices may present a buying opportunity, advocating for a 10% allocation in gold within investment portfolios [5] - The long-term outlook for gold remains positive despite short-term risks, as inflation persists and the Fed maintains a neutral policy stance [5][7] Group 4: Pharmaceutical Industry Developments - Novo Nordisk achieved a significant legal victory, allowing the FDA to take action against the production of generic versions of its diabetes and weight loss drugs, which had previously faced shortages [8] - The court ruling is seen as a positive development for Novo Nordisk, which has faced stock price declines due to competitive pressures and underwhelming new product performance [8] - The market for weight loss drugs is now highly competitive, with Novo Nordisk's main competitor being Eli Lilly, posing ongoing challenges for the company's stock performance [8] Group 5: Autonomous Driving Regulations - The U.S. Department of Transportation announced a major relaxation of regulations for autonomous vehicles, streamlining the accident reporting process and facilitating the commercial rollout of self-driving cars [10] - This regulatory change is particularly beneficial for Tesla, which plans to launch its Cybercab service in Texas, and may enhance the testing and deployment of autonomous vehicles [10] - Despite an 18% rebound in Tesla's stock, concerns remain regarding the company's performance metrics and the influence of CEO Elon Musk's political activities on stock volatility [10][11]
美股市场,重磅数据来袭!巴菲特股东大会即将召开
本周,美股市场将面临多重考验。苹果、微软、亚马逊和Meta等逾180家标普500指数成分股将密集发 布财报,同时美国月度就业报告和关键通胀数据将出炉,市场波动或加剧。 本周五,伯克希尔.哈撒韦将召开2025年度股东大会,"股神"巴菲特将与接班人格雷格.阿贝尔(Greg Abel)和保险业务主管阿吉特.贾恩(Ajit Jain)同台,回答股东提问。 美股市场迎来多项重磅数据 本周,包括苹果、微软、亚马逊和Meta等在内的180余家公司将发布季度财报,这些公司的市值占标普 500指数市值的40%以上。 其中,微软计划在周三收盘后发布最新财报,分析师预计,微软收入和收益将同比增长约10%。 Meta的第一季度财报也将在周三收盘后发布。市场分析师预计,第一季度公司利润和销售额将实现两 位数增长。目前,Meta股价已从历史高点下跌超过30%,由于估值较低和稳健的广告增长,Seeking Alpha的量化评级系统将其从卖出转为持有。 周四盘后,市场将迎来苹果的最新财报。分析师认为,下行风险已体现在苹果的股价中,预计每股收益 和收入将同比增长5%。 亚马逊预计在周四收盘后公布第一季度收益,分析师预计利润将增长38%。 目前 ...
美联储议息会议缄默期,多头迎来最后逃命机会,鲍威尔下周将重新砸盘市场!
美股研究社· 2025-04-27 10:56
扫一扫上面的二维码图案,加我为朋友。 长按识别二维码,添加小助手入群 为广大美股投资者提供全面的信息服 务。在不断变化的市场里,将所有有 价值信息整理汇总,筛选出重要的投 资讯息,捕捉机会。 in = 更多详情扫码了解 ...
标普站稳5500关键阻力位,为何却是2018年熊市复刻?美股三大难题并未得到解决!
美股研究社· 2025-04-27 03:01
长按识别二维码,添加小助手入群 in = 更多详情扫码了解 扫一扫上面的二维码图案,加我为朋友。 为广大美股投资者提供全面的信息服 务。在不断变化的市场里,将所有有 价值信息整理汇总,筛选出重要的投 资讯息,捕捉机会。 ...
美国银行:美股反弹或只是暂时的,投资者应逢高卖出
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-04-27 02:00
美国银行的首席投资策略师Michael Hartnett建议,在不确定性彻底结束前,投资者应该趁美股、美元反 弹时卖出。 Hartnett和他的团队在报告中指出,"我们(上半年)仍然会在债券、黄金下跌时买入,在标准普尔指数/ 美元上涨时卖出。"Hartnett补充说,市场的"痛苦交易"表明未来还会有更多的下行空间。 报告指出,美元正处于长期贬值趋势中,而资金撤离美国资产的趋势还将延续。这一趋势将持续到美联 储开始降息、"贸易战"彻底结束以及消费者支出保持韧性为止。 高盛也表示,自3月初以来,外国投资者已悄然抛售了630亿美元的美股。而摩根大通周五公布的一项调 查显示,美股将是今年资金流出最多的资产类别,最被看好的资产类别是现金。 图片来源:智通财经 美国银行策略师并不看好本轮美股反弹。 本周一,美股三大指数集体大跌,且跌幅均超过2%。周二至周五,美股则连续4天反弹。整周,道指、 标普500指数、纳指分别上涨2.48%、4.59%、6.73%。万得美国科技七巨头指数单周涨幅接近8%,特斯 拉大涨18%,亚马逊、英伟达、脸书涨幅均超过9%,苹果、微软涨幅也超过6%。 本周,特朗普对关税的态度有所缓和。Robeco ...
4月26日电,美股震荡走高,道指转涨,纳指涨1.2%,标普500指数涨0.65%。
news flash· 2025-04-25 17:21
智通财经4月26日电,美股震荡走高,道指转涨,纳指涨1.2%,标普500指数涨0.65%。 ...
电商平台全面取消仅退款!董明珠不再任格力电器总裁!哪吒2第三次延长上映!美股反弹,道指涨超1000点!黄金深夜突然跳水!
新浪财经· 2025-04-23 00:58
昨天,发生了哪些财经大事? 电商平台全面取消"仅退款" 据北京商报消息,4月22日,记者获悉,拼多多、淘宝、抖音、快手、京东等多个电商平台 将全面取消"仅退款",消费者收到货后的退款不退货申请,将由商家自主处理。 这意味着,"仅退款"在2021 年时被拼多多率先推出,后在2024年时被京东、淘宝、抖 音、快手等相关平台相继引入,历时四年正式迎来落幕。记者还获悉,上述电商平台已就全 面取消"仅退款"的相关细节与管理部门进行了多轮商讨和修改,一旦审核完成即对社会公 开宣布。 董明珠不再任格力电器总裁 4月22日,格力电器(000651.SZ)临时股东大会审议通过了公司董事会换届选举的议 案,董明珠顺利当选新一届董事,并再次当选格力电器董事长,开启她执掌格力电器的第五 个三年任期。值得关注的是,她没有再担任格力电器的总裁。 22日晚,格力电器公告透露,公司新一届董事会同意聘请张伟为公司总裁。张伟1999年加 入格力电器,2013年至2020年任格力电器副总裁,2019年至今任格力电器董事,2020年 至今任格力电器党委书记。经张伟提名,格力电器董事会聘任方祥建、刘华、李绍斌、胡余 生、王凯为副总裁。这意味着,格力年 ...
美股持续走高,纳指涨超3%
news flash· 2025-04-22 16:15
美股持续走高,纳指涨超3%,道指涨2.72%,标普500指数涨2.69%。 ...