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低利率时代,红利资产才是「压舱石」
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-09 11:10
价值投资大师西格尔:股利非常重要,它是决定投资者收益的关键因素,也是熊市保护器和牛市加速器。 ©️懂财帝出品 · 作者|嘉逸 降息周期,我们正进入低利率时代。 十年期国债收益率仅1.644%,余额宝、朝朝宝的七日年化收益率已分别下滑至1.1%、1.32%。 2年期大额存单收益率1.4%,但要20万起购。 最新发售的5年期储蓄国债收益率1.7%,已经跑不赢通胀——2025年CPI目标2%。 传统产品,已经无法满足当代年轻人"只求微赚""用利息生活"的理财需求。 | 部分红利指数股息率(截至7月7日) | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 制表:懂财帝 | 资料来源:公开数据 | | | 中证红利 | 中证红利 | 中证红利 | 恒生港股通高股息 | | 价值指数 | 指数 | 低波指数 | 低波动指数 | | | 股息率 5.7% 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 在这一背景下,高股息的红利资产,正脱颖而出。 它是低利率时代的"压舱石",并且部分红利类ETF,如红利价值ETF(563700)、恒生红利低波ETF(159545)和红利低波动ETF(563020)等,还 ...
美丽田园医疗健康(2373.HK):股东结构优化顺利 龙头经营稳步向上
Ge Long Hui· 2025-07-09 11:06
Group 1 - The company is addressing high operational costs in the industry through internal growth and external acquisitions, solidifying its leading position with advantages in brand strength, channel network, and customer base [1][2] - The major shareholder CPE has successfully exited, leading to an optimized shareholder structure [1] - The company plans to increase its stake in Guangzhou Nairui'er, which, along with the improved liquidity from the optimized shareholder structure, is expected to enhance valuation [1] Group 2 - The company aims to enhance its capital market value with a plan launched in March 2025, focusing on three strategic initiatives: increasing the dividend payout ratio, optimizing the shareholder structure, and implementing a long-term incentive mechanism for management [2] - The company announced plans to further acquire a 20% stake in Guangzhou Nairui'er, increasing its ownership to 90%, which is expected to significantly boost net profit and earnings per share [2] - The company is leveraging its strong brand, channel network, and customer base in the beauty and health management sectors to overcome high operational costs, aiming for further expansion and consolidation of its leading position [2]
国家数据局公示可信数据空间创新发展试点名单 标杆引领助力数据要素流通
Zheng Quan Ri Bao Wang· 2025-07-09 11:00
Core Insights - The establishment of trusted data spaces aims to resolve data circulation challenges and enhance the value of data elements through distributed architecture and consensus mechanisms [2][3] - The initiative is expected to create new opportunities for the data industry and significantly impact various sectors, driving high-quality economic development [2] - By 2028, the goal is to establish over 100 trusted data spaces, achieving breakthroughs in operations, technology, ecology, standards, and security [1] Group 1: Trusted Data Space Development - The National Data Bureau has announced a pilot list of 63 enterprises for the 2025 trusted data space innovation development project, categorized into urban, industry, and enterprise directions [1] - The project aims to cultivate a rich resource environment, innovative applications, and a prosperous ecosystem for trusted data spaces over two years [1] - Trusted data spaces are seen as essential infrastructure for data resource sharing and are crucial for building a unified national data market [1] Group 2: Industry Impact - Trusted data spaces are expected to facilitate efficient connections and cross-domain sharing of industrial data resources in key sectors such as equipment, new energy vehicles, and energy [2] - In the financial sector, trusted data spaces will enhance the sharing and deep mining of customer credit data and market risk data, improving risk assessment models [2] - The integration of government data, supply chain information, and consumer behavior in credit risk scoring models can significantly improve risk identification accuracy [2] Group 3: Financial Ecosystem Collaboration - The construction of trusted data spaces promotes collaboration and value co-creation within the financial ecosystem, involving banks, regulatory bodies, technology companies, and core enterprises [3] - Financial modeling, as a key tool in this ecosystem, provides precise decision support and risk management services by integrating diverse data resources and technologies [3] - The application of artificial intelligence and cross-industry data fusion is becoming a trend, expanding the use of financial modeling beyond traditional finance professionals to fields like accounting and finance [3]
侃股:3500点背后的新现象
Bei Jing Shang Bao· 2025-07-09 10:52
7月9日,在多元金融板块的带动下,上证指数盘中又见3500点。纵观本轮行情,以价值投资理念为主 流、金融股为代表的绩优股价值回归,生物医药、人工智能等硬科技股百花争艳,叠加并购重组政策等 利好组合拳,3500点有着更丰富的市场意义。 本轮行情中,价值投资理念已然成为市场的主流。以金融股为代表的绩优股开启了估值回升之旅,这并 非偶然。在经历了一段时间的市场波动与调整后,投资者愈发理性,不再盲目追逐短期热点,而是将目 光聚焦于企业的内在价值。金融股凭借其稳定的业绩、良好的现金流以及较低的估值,吸引了大量长期 资金的入驻。 此外,并购重组政策也在助力市场生态持续优化。并购重组政策的利好组合拳,为A股市场的发展注入 了新的动力。并购重组是企业实现快速扩张、优化资源配置、提升竞争力的重要手段。政策的支持使得 优质企业能够通过并购重组实现产业整合和升级,淘汰落后产能,提高行业集中度。这不仅有助于提升 上市公司的整体质量,还能增强市场的稳定性和抗风险能力。 同时,并购重组为投资者提供了更多的投资机会和选择,进一步激发了市场的活跃度。在政策的引导 下,A股市场的生态正在不断优化,向着更加健康、有序的方向发展。 这种价值回归不 ...
上半年超两千次调研创纪录,机构怎么看银行股投资价值?
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-07-09 10:40
业内分析认为,密集调研反映了市场对银行板块关注度显著提升,机构投资者积极挖掘潜在机会。苏商 银行特约研究员薛洪言表示,伴随银行股估值修复至近年高位,机构希望通过聚焦信贷投放、分红方案 和资产质量这三大核心领域,验证银行股"高股息+低估值"投资逻辑的可持续性。 关注分红政策、信贷投放、资产质量等核心问题。 随着2025年上半年股价持续创新高,A股上市银行成为机构调研的热门领域,尤其是城商行和农商行备 受关注。 Wind数据显示,上半年共有25家银行接受了机构调研,累计接待超2000次,创下同期历史新高。其 中,宁波银行、常熟银行等城农商行更吸引了众多外资机构的密集调研。 在调研过程中,机构投资者的核心关注点集中在区域银行的信贷投放、资产质量以及分红政策等方面。 此外,城农商行在净息差方面的优势也引发了市场的高度关注,特别是在大行净息差普遍承压的背景 下,城农商行展现出的业绩韧性进一步提升了其吸引力。 城农商行是调研热点 上半年,A股上市银行机构调研延续热度。Wind数据显示,共有25家银行接受机构调研,累计接待达到 2365次,创同期历史新高。城商行与农商行成为本轮调研的绝对主力。 其中,宁波银行表现最为亮眼, ...
易支宝:未来十年电商增长密码(一)
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-09 09:55
如今,流量红利见顶、购物渠道碎片化、消费者决策逻辑更新、AI重塑人货场关系,粗放式经营在这场巨变中摇摇欲坠,注定被时代淘汰。接下来,是我 对未来十年电商竞争环境的深度剖析,希望能对从业者有一些启发。 一、聚焦细分品类,深耕垂直市场 电商平台步入存量竞争阶段,广撒网式经营犹如沙上建塔,陷入"样样通、样样松"的困境。垂直市场遵循"压强原理',即将有限资源聚焦于更窄赛道,深度 整合供应链,精准服务用户需求,筑起坚固竞争壁垒。从经济学视角看,细分市场供需匹配高效,能极大提升用户忠诚度,拓展溢价空间。 众所周知,过去的十年,电商行业凭借 "流量×转化率×客单价"的增长公式,在数字化浪潮中一路疾驰。但时移世易,未来十年,竞争法则已然迭代,我认 为应该是 "流量×转化率×客单价×垂直深度×品牌势能×用户价值×组织效能"。在刚刚过去的2024年,TOP100电商企业数据显示,经营业绩出众的卖家多集 中于垂直细分领域,平均净利润率高达18.7%,是综合类商家6.2%的整整3倍。 价格战是一场没有赢家的零和博弈,短期或许能带来流量与订单增长,长远来看,只会引发竞品跟风,陷入恶性循环。电商行业存在"剪刀差现象":GMV 增长25% ...
信达证券旗下信达价值精选B二季度末规模0.14*亿元,环比减少7.97%
Jin Rong Jie· 2025-07-09 09:18
截至2025年7月3日,信达证券旗下信达价值精选B(970021)期末净资产0.14亿元,比上期减少7.97%, 该基金经理为程媛媛。 天眼查商业履历信息显示,信达证券股份有限公司成立于2007年9月,位于北京市,是一家以从事资本 市场服务为主的企业。注册资本324300万人民币,法定代表人为祝瑞敏。 本文源自:金融界 作者:基金君 简历显示,程媛媛女士:中国,CFA,北京大学经济学、管理学双学士,清华大学管理学硕士。2017年5月加 入信达证券,历任研究员、投资经理。担任研究员期间,深度覆盖消费和周期行业,擅长抓"落难王子"的业 绩拐点。坚持价值投资理念,深度研究公司基本面,并对企业股权价值进行评估,选择股价安全边际较大的 时机买入。着眼于股票长期价值的实现,并持续比较各种标的的机会成本,力争做出较优的决策。已取得 基金从业资格,且最近三年未被监管机构采取重大行政监管措施、行政处罚。现任信达价值精选一年持 有期灵活配置混合型集合资产管理计划投资经理(自2022年11月24日起任职)、信达睿益鑫享混合型集合 资产管理计划投资经理(自2022年11月24日起任职)。2022年11月24日任信达睿益鑫享混合型集合 ...
具身智能最先跑出的“杀手级产品”或许是陪伴机器人
3 6 Ke· 2025-07-09 08:34
陪伴机器人的护城河,或许深筑于一个更微妙却也更关键的维度"懂"。它需要懂得用户表层需求之下,那些幽微奇诡的情感暗涌;更懂得用户 手中紧握的那根隐形的价格准绳,以极具亲和力的定价策略"撬开"消费者的心扉与钱包。 具身智能领域"杀手级产品"的王冠,似乎正悄然向"陪伴机器人"的头顶倾斜。 底层逻辑清晰而硬核,"有很多人愿意买单"。需求侧信号鲜明,强用户心智驱动下渗透率稳步攀升。究其内核,具身智能或为"形",而真正的灵魂在 于"情绪价值"。这正是当下最汹涌的商业风口,泡泡玛特的狂热现象便是一面鲜明的镜子。珞博智能旗下颇具"潮玩"基因的Fuzozo,以AI养成系新宠的定 位,在京东618预售中创下"10分钟破千单"的战绩,再次印证了这股情绪浪潮的澎湃动力。 供给侧亦非等闲,各路英豪齐聚赛道:前追觅高管郭人杰、师承李泽湘并前后任职于大疆、擎天柱的杨硕等产业老兵躬身入局;更有米哈游、泡泡玛特等 跨界巨头驶入这片蓝海,志在争夺"领航者"的舵轮。 资本早已闻风而动,曾公开表态"批量退出人形机器人"的金沙江创投朱啸虎,在与珞博智能创始人孙兆治短短十分钟的交谈后,旋即拍板押注陪伴机器人 领域。朱啸虎直言:「用AI创造'情绪价值', ...
二季度业绩榜单来了,鹏华基金旗下17只权益基金同类排名前10%
Cai Fu Zai Xian· 2025-07-09 08:30
除了长期业绩榜单外,基金评级也成为投资者筛选基金的重要依据之一。在国泰海通证券公布的五星评 级榜单中,截至2025年4月,鹏华权益旗下有41只产品荣获三年期、五年期、十年期五星评级(份额分开 统计),其中11只荣获双五星评级。 具体来看,鹏华盛世创新A(LOF)(160613)、鹏华弘利(A:001122,C:001123)在不同年限均荣获五星评 级。鹏华医药科技A、鹏华弘益(A:001336,C:001337)、鹏华优选价值A(008134)、鹏华量化先锋 (005632)、鹏华弘尚(A:003495,C:003496)、鹏华弘嘉(A:003165,C:003166)均获得三年期、五年 期双五星评级;鹏华先进制造(000778)、鹏华普天收益(160603)获得三年期、十年期双五星评级。 据国泰海通证券基金长期业绩排行榜单,截至2025年6月30日,鹏华基金旗下5只权益基金在不同期限跻 身同类TOP10(份额分开统计)。其中鹏华医药科技A(001230)近两年、近十年两次荣登同类前十。 具体来看,鹏华碳中和A(016530)、鹏华碳中和C(016531)分别凭借105.51%、104.33%的净值增长率,在 ...
巴菲特退休,美国梦不再
Hu Xiu· 2025-07-09 08:28
Group 1 - The article contrasts the American Dream as represented by Forrest Gump and Warren Buffett, highlighting the different paths to success for blue-collar and white-collar workers [1][3] - Buffett's retirement marks the end of an era for American capitalism, which has thrived for 70 years, paralleling the nation's economic journey [4][5] - The article discusses the dual nature of American capitalism, dividing it into the "Cathedral" (representing prosperity) and the "Casino" (representing risk and speculation) [7][10] Group 2 - The "Cathedral" symbolizes the dollar's global purchasing power, while the "Casino" encompasses various markets where investors gamble with their capital [8][9] - The interdependence of the Cathedral and Casino is crucial, with the former being the foundation for the latter's existence [10] - Buffett advocates for continued trade and prosperity, emphasizing that global prosperity benefits the U.S. economy [11] Group 3 - Dalio predicts a historic transformation in the global order, likening it to the changes of the 1930s, with significant implications for monetary, domestic, and international systems [12] - The U.S. national debt has reached alarming levels, exceeding 122% of the economy, raising concerns about sustainability [13][22] - Dalio warns that the U.S. must reduce its deficit to below 3% to avoid a potential economic crisis, while current policies may push it to 7.5% [20] Group 4 - The article highlights the growing political and social divisions in the U.S., which Dalio describes as akin to a civil war, threatening the stability that has historically attracted talent and investment [25][30] - The decline of the middle class due to manufacturing job losses and automation exacerbates wealth and opportunity gaps, leading to political fragmentation [31][30] Group 5 - The article discusses the challenges of globalization for U.S. capitalism, as other nations seek to prioritize their national interests, potentially disrupting supply chains [32][33] - The trade war with China is framed as a strategy to bring manufacturing back to the U.S., but the complexities of global supply chains make this difficult [34][39] - Japan and Europe are exploring ways to assert their financial independence from the U.S., indicating a shift in the global economic landscape [40][41][42] Group 6 - Buffett's recent actions, including significant stock sell-offs and increased cash reserves, suggest a cautious outlook on the future of American capitalism [46] - Dalio emphasizes the need for investors to consider inflation-resistant assets and maintain liquidity in light of geopolitical risks [47]