Core Viewpoint - E Fund has undergone significant board changes, with over 50% of its directors replaced in the past 12 months, marking a new governance cycle for the company, which manages over 2 trillion yuan in assets [1][7]. Board Changes - The board has seen a high-frequency turnover, with five new directors appointed in a series of adjustments throughout the year [2][5]. - Key changes include the resignation of Chairman Zhan Yuyin and the appointment of new directors such as Kwan Guangxiong and Chen Yuan, reflecting a shift in governance dynamics [2][4]. Management Adjustments - The company has experienced a broader management reshuffle, with several senior executives, including the Chief Information Officer and multiple vice presidents, stepping down to focus on investment management [5][7]. - The new board composition includes individuals with strong ties to major shareholders, indicating increased shareholder influence in governance [4][10]. Business Performance - Despite the leadership changes, E Fund has shown robust growth, with total assets reaching 2.02 trillion yuan and non-monetary assets at 1.39 trillion yuan as of Q2 2025, maintaining its position as an industry leader [7]. - The company has also seen significant growth in new fund issuance and ETF scale, with new fund sizes exceeding 18.1 billion yuan and ETF growth of 73.2 billion yuan, ranking second in market increments [7][8]. Challenges Ahead - The new governance team faces challenges in maintaining research and investment advantages while navigating the competitive landscape and balancing international expansion with wealth management [10].

中证 2000ETF 华夏（562660）紧密跟踪中证 2000 指数，该指数精选沪深两市 2000 只市值小、流动性 优的证券作为样本，呈现极致小盘风格，与大中盘指数形成互补。指数聚焦 "专精特新" 与民营实体经 济，机械设备、电子、医药生物等新兴产业占比高，成长潜力十足。前十大成分股权重占比不足 2%， 风险分散优势显著。 中证2000ETF华夏（562660），场外联接（华夏中证2000ETF发起式联接A：019891；华夏中证 2000ETF发起式联接C：019892）。 7月10日午盘，沪指站稳3500接续上供，中证2000指数持续上扬。截至2025年7月10日 14点13分，中证 2000指数上涨0.10%，成分股普联软件、新城市涨停，厚普股份上涨19.07%，硅宝科技上涨17.46%，华 纳药厂上涨13.59%。中证2000ETF华夏（562660）上涨0.35%，最新价报1.43元。拉长时间看，截至 2025年7月9日，中证2000ETF华夏近1周累计上涨1.72%。从资金净流入方面来看，中证2000ETF华夏近 4天获得连续资金净流入，最高单日获得839.53万元净流入，合计"吸金"1973 ...

Report Summary 1. Investment Ratings The report does not explicitly provide an overall industry investment rating. However, it offers specific outlooks and trading suggestions for various commodities. 2. Core Views - **Macro Environment**: Market uncertainties persist across different sectors, influencing the price movements of various commodities. The economic situation, policy changes, and geopolitical factors all play significant roles in shaping market trends [1]. - **Commodity - Specific Trends**: Different commodities have distinct price trends based on their supply - demand fundamentals, cost factors, and external influences such as tariffs and geopolitical events. For example, some metals are expected to face downward pressure due to factors like supply increases or cost - related issues, while others may see price rebounds or stabilizations [1]. 3. Summary by Commodity Categories **Macro - Financial** - **Equity Index**: In the short term, with limited domestic and international positive factors, but decent market sentiment and liquidity, the equity index may show a relatively strong oscillatory pattern [1]. - **Treasury Bonds**: Asset shortage and a weak economy are favorable for bond futures, but the central bank's short - term warning about interest - rate risks restricts upward movement [1]. **Precious Metals** - **Gold**: Given market uncertainties, the gold price is expected to mainly oscillate in the short term [1]. - **Silver**: Similar to gold, the silver price is likely to oscillate due to market uncertainties [1]. **Base Metals** - **Copper**: The potential implementation of US copper tariffs may lead to a back - flow of non - US copper, posing a risk of price correction for Shanghai and London copper [1]. - **Aluminum**: With the cooling of the Fed's interest - rate cut expectations and high prices suppressing downstream demand, the aluminum price faces a risk of decline. However, the domestic anti - involution policy boosts the expectation of supply - side reform, causing the alumina price to stabilize and rebound [1]. - **Zinc**: Tariff disturbances are increasing, and the expected inventory build - up is still pressuring the zinc price. Traders are advised to look for short - selling opportunities [1]. - **Nickel**: With macro uncertainties and a slight decline in the premium of Indonesian nickel ore, the nickel price is expected to oscillate weakly. Short - term short - selling is recommended, and in the long - term, the oversupply of primary nickel will continue to exert downward pressure [1]. - **Stainless Steel**: After a rebound, the sustainability of the stainless - steel price is uncertain. Short - term trading is advised, and selling hedges can be considered at high prices, while keeping an eye on raw - material changes and steel production [1]. - **Tin**: With increasing tariff disturbances, the tin price is mainly priced based on macro factors. In the short term, the supply - demand situation is weak, and the driving force for price movement is limited [1]. - **Industrial Silicon**: The supply shows a pattern of decrease in the north and increase in the south. Although the demand for polysilicon has a marginal increase, there are expectations of future production cuts. After the price rally, market divergence is likely to emerge [1]. - **Polysilicon**: There are expectations of supply - side reform in the photovoltaic market, and market sentiment is high [1]. - **Carbonate Lithium**: The supply side has not seen production cuts, downstream replenishment is mainly by traders, and there is capital - based gaming in the market [1]. **Black Metals** - **Rebar and Hot - Rolled Coil**: The strong performance of furnace materials provides cost support, but the spot market for hot - rolled coils has a risk of marginal weakening. Both are expected to oscillate [1]. - **Iron Ore**: In the short term, production has increased, demand is decent, supply - demand is relatively balanced, but cost support is insufficient, and the price is under pressure [1]. - **Manganese Silicon**: The price is under pressure due to short - term production increases, relatively balanced supply - demand, and insufficient cost support [1]. - **Silicon Iron**: Production has slightly increased, demand is okay, and supply - demand is relatively balanced [1]. - **Glass**: There is an improvement in the supply - demand margin in the short term, with stable supply and resilient demand. However, in the medium - term, oversupply may make it difficult for the price to rise [1]. - **Soda Ash**: Supply has been disrupted, direct and terminal demand is weak, cost support has weakened, and the price is under pressure [1]. - **Coking Coal and Coke**: For coking coal, short - term short - selling opportunities can be considered, and for coke, focus on selling hedges when the futures price has a premium [1]. **Agricultural Products** - **Palm Oil**: OPEC +'s unexpected production increase causes a decline in crude oil prices, and palm oil is expected to follow suit. In the long run, international oil - fat demand is expected to increase, so a bullish view is taken on far - month contracts [1]. - **Soybean Oil**: The near - month fundamentals are weak, but it may show a relatively strong performance due to the influence of palm oil [1]. - **Cotton**: In the short term, there are disturbances such as trade negotiations and weather premiums for US cotton. In the long - term, macro uncertainties are high. The domestic cotton - spinning industry is in the off - season, and downstream inventories are starting to accumulate. Overall, the domestic cotton price is expected to show a weakly oscillatory downward trend [1]. - **Sugar**: Brazil's 2025/26 sugar production is expected to reach a record high, but if crude oil prices continue to be weak, it may affect the sugar - production ratio and lead to higher - than - expected sugar output [1]. - **Corn**: Short - term policy - driven grain releases and a low wheat - corn price difference have a negative impact on the corn market. The futures price is expected to oscillate, and for the far - month CO1 contract, short - selling opportunities at high prices can be considered [1]. - **Soybean Meal**: In the US, the supply - demand balance sheet is expected to tighten. If Sino - US trade policies remain unchanged, there is an expectation of inventory reduction in the fourth quarter for soybean meal, and the far - month contract price is expected to rise. If an agreement is reached, the overall decline in the futures price is expected to be limited [1]. **Energy and Chemicals** - **Crude Oil and Fuel Oil**: With the cooling of the Middle - East geopolitical situation, the market returns to being dominated by supply - demand logic. OPEC +'s unexpected production increase and strong short - term consumption in Europe and the US during the peak season are the main influencing factors [1]. - **Natural Rubber**: The downstream demand is showing a weakening trend, the supply - side production is expected to increase, and inventory has slightly increased [1]. - **BR Rubber**: There have been recent device disturbances stimulating the price increase, OPEC's unexpected production increase, the fundamentals of synthetic rubber are under pressure, and attention should be paid to the price adjustments of butadiene and cis - butadiene and the de - stocking progress of synthetic rubber [1]. - **PTA**: The PTA basis continues to weaken, but the crude - oil price remains strong. The polyester downstream load remains at 90% despite the expectation of reduction, and the PTA spot market is becoming more abundant, with low replenishment willingness from polyester manufacturers due to profit compression [1]. - **Ethylene Glycol**: The coal price has slightly increased, the future arrival volume of ethylene glycol is large, and the concentrated procurement due to improved polyester sales has an impact on the market [1]. - **Short - Fiber**: The short - fiber warehouse - receipt registration volume is low, and factory maintenance has increased. With a high basis, the cost of short - fiber is closely related to the market [1]. - **Styrene**: The pure - benzene price has slightly recovered, the import volume has decreased, the styrene device load has increased, the styrene inventory is concentrated, and the styrene basis has significantly weakened [1]. - **Urea**: Domestic demand is average, the summer agricultural demand is coming to an end, but the export expectation in the second half of the year is improving [1]. - **PE**: With good macro - sentiment, many maintenance activities, and mainly rigid demand, the price is expected to oscillate strongly [1]. - **PP**: The maintenance support is limited, orders are mainly for rigid demand, and the anti - involution policy has boosted market sentiment, causing the price to oscillate strongly [1]. - **PVC**: The price of coking coal has increased, the market sentiment is good, the number of maintenance activities has decreased compared to the previous period, but the downstream has entered the seasonal off - season, and the supply pressure has increased. The price is expected to oscillate strongly [1]. - **Caustic Soda**: Maintenance is nearly over, the spot price has dropped to a low level, the decline in liquid chlorine has eroded the comprehensive profit of the chlor - alkali industry, and the number of current warehouse receipts is low. Attention should be paid to the change in liquid chlorine [1]. - **LPG**: The July CP prices of propane and butane have both decreased, OPEC + has unexpectedly increased production, the combustion and chemical demand for LPG is in the seasonal off - season, and the spot price decline is slow, so the PG price still has room to fall [1]. **Shipping** - **Container Shipping (European Route)**: There is a pattern of stable current situation and weak future expectations. The freight rate is expected to reach its peak in mid - July, showing an arc - top trend, and the peak - reaching time is advanced. The subsequent weeks will have sufficient capacity deployment [1].

Core Insights - The report emphasizes that the capital market is stabilizing at the bottom, with multiple funding sources supporting bullish sentiment, suggesting a potential upward breakthrough in equities. The brokerage sector is expected to lead the market rally, recommending early positioning and waiting for breakout opportunities [1]. Industry Overview - The total market capitalization of the industry is 6,179.1 billion, with a circulating market value of 5,901.2 billion, representing 1.8% and 7.2% of the total market, respectively [2]. - The performance of the non-bank financial sector shows a 1-month, 6-month, and 12-month absolute performance of 9.0%, 16.0%, and 59.5%, respectively, with relative performance of 5.8%, 10.5%, and 42.0% [4]. Market Trends - The report indicates that the equity market has stabilized despite initial shocks from U.S. tariffs, with significant institutional investments leading to a recovery. The overall trend remains positive, with major indices showing an average increase of 1.1% as of June 30, 2025 [8]. - The bond market has experienced fluctuations, with the China Bond Index rising by 1.1% year-to-date as of June 30, 2025 [8]. Business Performance - In Q1 2025, listed brokerages reported total revenues of 1,259 billion, a year-on-year increase of 19%, and a net profit of 522 billion, up 78% year-on-year. The brokerage income was 327 billion, reflecting a 43% increase year-on-year [25]. - The report highlights a significant increase in the revenue of self-operated businesses, which reached 486 billion, marking a 46% year-on-year growth [30]. Strategic Directions - The report outlines a shift towards internal consolidation and external breakthroughs, with a focus on wealth management transformation and the integration of financial technology to enhance efficiency [6]. - The investment banking sector is expected to see a marginal recovery in equity financing, particularly benefiting from the expansion of the Sci-Tech Innovation Board and ongoing mergers and acquisitions [6]. Future Outlook - The report forecasts that the industry will achieve total revenue of 4,741 billion in 2025, representing a 5% year-on-year increase, and a net profit of 1,825 billion, up 9% year-on-year [6]. - The brokerage sector is anticipated to lead the market rally, with specific recommendations for stocks that are likely to benefit from policy catalysts and ongoing market trends [6].

Group 1 - The photovoltaic industry chain is experiencing price increases, with polysilicon manufacturers raising prices to a range of 45,000 to 50,000 yuan per ton, although actual transactions at this level have not yet been observed [1] - There is a strong determination among polysilicon manufacturers to maintain prices, and some downstream companies may accept slight price increases to avoid future risks of further price hikes [1] - The macro-level supply-side clearing guidance is expected to provide a framework for the industry's "anti-involution," but actual implementation may take time [1] Group 2 - Zhongyuan Securities suggests focusing on "capacity clearing" and "new technology iteration" as two main lines for investment [2] - In terms of capacity clearing, attention should be paid to leading companies in the polysilicon and photovoltaic glass sectors, particularly those with significant losses and clear capacity clearing expectations [2] - New technology advancements, particularly in BC cells and perovskite cell commercial applications, are also highlighted as areas of interest [2]

大商所铁矿石期货三连涨，价格创2月底以来新高，钢铁行业改革预期升温，铁矿石市场'强现实与弱预 期'博弈，价格能否继续上涨？ 相关链接 期货热点追踪 ...

文 | 浙江省能源局 7月9日，浙江省能源局下发《关于开展2025年度新型储能项目建设计划动态调整的通知》，对 2025年度新型储能项目建设计划开展年中动态调整。 通知指出，请各市统筹区域电网运行与新能源消纳等情况，研究报送本区域新型储能项目清单调 整建议，调整包括项目增补、调减及变更。范围涵盖电源侧、电网侧、用户侧储能项目。 一、电网侧储能项目 建设规模原则上不小于5万千瓦/10万千瓦时，按照"总量控制、退一补一"原则报送，即"各设区 市申报增补的装机容量不得超过申请调减的装机容量"。已纳入国家级科技攻关计划的项目，无 需满足上述要求。 二、 电源侧储能项目 联合火电机组调频的项目，原则上单体功率不低于1.8万千瓦，综合调节性能指标Kpd 值不低于 0.9;新能源侧项目建设规模和技术特征由业主结合实际需求自行确定。 三、5MW以上用户侧储能项目 为进一步贯彻落实"放管服"改革精神， 省能源局 不再对5MW及以上的用户侧项目进行年度建设 计划管理 ，后续视情对各设区市进行年度建设规模管理， 授权设区市能源主管部门按照《浙江 省新型储能项目管理办法(试行)》要求，加强用户侧储能项目管理，编制用户侧储能项目建设计 ...

文 | 海南省发展和改革委员会 7月10日，海南省发展改革委发布《 关于海南省深化新能源上网电价市场化改革的实施方案 （征求意见稿） 》。 2026年1月1日起，全省新能源（所有风电、太阳能发电，下同）项目 上网电量全部进入电力市场，上网电价通过市场交易形成。 新能源项目参与市场 交易的方式按照南方区域电力市场交易规则执行，鼓励 具备条件的分布式、分散式新能源聚合后报量报价参与市场交易 ，未报量或报价参与市场的默认 作为价格接受者参与市场交易。后续根据市场建设情况，逐步放开各类电源进入市场参与交易。 适当放宽现货市场限价 ，现货市场申报、出清价格 上限考虑 目前省内燃料综合成本和用户承受能力等因素确定；申报、出清价格 下限考虑 新能源在电 力市场外可获得的绿证收益、财政补贴等因素确定，后续根据市场运行情况适时调整。接受市场形成价格的新能源项目，结算价格按照所在节点的实时市 场分时价格确定。价格上下限等具体参数见附表。 明确辅助服务费用分摊方式。 现货市场 未连续运行时 ，辅助服务市场费用由 发电侧分摊 （不含分布式新能源）；现货市场 连续运行时 ，辅助服务市 场费用由 工商业用户用电量和未参与海南省电能量市场 ...

近日，一篇题为《7月起医保新调整，"个人账户"将全部取消，卡内余额转哪里去？》的自媒体文章 引起较多关注。 对此，中国互联网联合辟谣平台向有关部门查证得知， 相关文章中 "'个人账户'将全部取 消""全国范围内全面取消个人账户，所有医保缴费全部进入统筹基金，建立全国统一的医疗保 障积分系统"等内容纯属谣言。 事实上，按照中央"改革职工基本医疗保险个人账户，建立健全门诊共济保障机制"部署和《关 于建立健全职工基本医疗保险门诊共济保障机制的指导意见》（国办发 〔2021〕 14号）要 求，目前医保改革正顺利推进，多数地区已顺利完成相关工作。此次改革是在不增加社会和个 人额外负担的前提下，建立职工医保普通门诊统筹，并通过调减单位缴费和统筹基金划入个人 账户的比例，为普通门诊统筹报销提供支持，不存在"取消职工个人账户"。 改革后，职工医保个人账户有三项权益保持不变： 一是 个人账户结余的归属不变， 改革前的历史结余和改革后新划入形成的结余仍然归个人所 有，都可以结转使用和继承。 文中宣称"从医保局内部人士处获悉，全国医保个人账户改革已进入关键阶段。2024年12 月，国家医保局联合财政部发布《关于深化医疗保障制度改革 ...

Core Viewpoint - Recent rumors regarding the cancellation of personal medical accounts in China's healthcare system have been debunked, clarifying that reforms are aimed at optimizing the system without eliminating personal accounts [1][5]. Group 1: Reform Details - The reform of the employee basic medical insurance personal accounts is progressing smoothly, with most regions having completed related work [4]. - The reform aims to establish a common outpatient insurance mechanism without increasing the financial burden on society or individuals [4]. - The rights associated with personal medical accounts remain unchanged, including the ownership of historical balances and new contributions [4][7]. Group 2: Rumor Background - This is not the first instance of such rumors; similar misinformation was addressed in October 2023 [5]. - The rumors misinterpret the true nature of the healthcare reform, misleading the public regarding policy changes [5]. - Personal accounts are designed as exclusive funds for insured individuals, with contributions coming from both personal and employer payments [5][6]. Group 3: Usage Regulations - Funds in personal accounts are part of the basic medical insurance fund and must adhere to regulations, prohibiting their use for non-medical expenses [6]. - The contributions from employees will continue to be fully allocated to personal accounts, while employer contributions will shift entirely to the pooling fund starting January 2024 [5][7].