事件：海天味业发布2025 年一季报，2025Q1 实现营业收入83.2 亿元，同比+8.1%，归母净利润22.0 亿 元，同比+14.8%，扣非后归母净利润21.5亿元，同比+15.4%。 行业整体需求端较弱背景下，公司收入端增长仍表现强劲。2025Q1 实现营业收入83.2 亿元，同比 +8.1%。 1 ） 分产品看： 25Q1 酱油/ 调味酱/ 蚝油/ 其他产品分别实现收入44.2/9.1/13.6/12.9 亿元，同比 +8.2%/+14.0%/+6.1%/+20.8%。各品类均实现较稳健增长，在当前行业整体需求端较弱背景下，彰显强 经营韧性。 2）分渠道看：线下/ 线上渠道分别实现收入75.6/4.2 亿元，同比+8.9%/+43.2%。线下渠道方面：25Q1 期末公司经销商数量共6668 家（环比净减少39 家），分区域看：东部/南部/中部/北部/西部区域分别环 比净变动+29/+23/-21/-25/-45 家。 3）分区域看：东部/南部/中部/北部/西部区域分别实现收入16.4/15.7/17.6/19.8/10.3 亿元，分别同比 +14.2%/+16.1%/+7.9%/+5.8%/+9.4 ...

Economic Resilience and Potential - The core viewpoint emphasizes China's strong economic resilience, potential, and vitality, asserting that the long-term positive fundamentals will not change [1] - The Central Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China highlights the importance of stabilizing employment, enterprises, markets, and expectations to respond to external uncertainties with high-quality development [1] Trade and Export Performance - In the first quarter, China's import and export scale reached a historical high, with exports amounting to 6.13 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 6.9% [3] - Despite external challenges such as tariffs, Chinese products remain in high demand in international markets, with significant orders continuing to flow from the U.S. [3][6] - Alibaba's international platform ranks among the top three e-commerce apps in the U.S., indicating strong consumer interest in Chinese products [3] Manufacturing and Supply Chain Strength - China's manufacturing sector shows robust growth, with industrial added value increasing by 6.5% year-on-year in the first quarter, outpacing the previous year's growth rate [12] - The establishment of a complete industrial ecosystem in regions like Hubei has led to high local supply chain integration, with over 95% local sourcing for automotive parts [11] - The production of key industrial products has seen significant growth, with nearly 70% of major products experiencing an increase in output [16] Innovation and Technological Advancement - The focus on innovation and quality improvement is crucial for enhancing competitiveness, with advancements in green, digital, and intelligent manufacturing [7][14] - The development of new technologies, such as flexible solar cells with a conversion efficiency of 23.8%, showcases China's commitment to overcoming technological challenges [14] Global Trade Partnerships - China is a major trading partner for over 150 countries, with trade with Belt and Road Initiative countries accounting for 51.1% of total foreign trade in the first quarter [9] - The 137th Canton Fair attracted over 220,000 foreign buyers from 219 countries, indicating strong global interest in Chinese products [9] Private Sector Growth - Private enterprises in China have shown resilience, with their added value increasing by 7.3% year-on-year, surpassing the growth rate of all industrial enterprises [20] - The number of registered private enterprises has exceeded 57 million, reflecting the dynamic nature of the private sector [21]

Economic Overview - China's economy showed a strong start in the first quarter, with key indicators such as industrial output, service sector growth, retail sales, and fixed asset investment all improving compared to the previous year [1][2] - The resilience and internal stability of the Chinese economy are continuously strengthening despite challenges from the international environment [1] Industrial Performance - In the first quarter, the industrial added value for large-scale enterprises increased by 6.5% year-on-year, contributing 36.3% to macroeconomic growth [2] - Profits for large-scale industrial enterprises returned to positive growth, with a year-on-year increase of 0.8%, and manufacturing profits rose by 7.6% [2] - The equipment manufacturing sector, particularly in railways, shipping, aerospace, and other transport equipment, showed significant revenue and profit growth, highlighting its role as a stabilizing force for the economy [2] Trade and Policy Responses - China's foreign trade demonstrated strong resilience in the first quarter, with import and export volumes reaching historical highs for the same period [3] - The government is actively enhancing open policies and platforms to create a "safety zone" against external shocks [3] - The "old-for-new" policy has positively impacted both subsidized and non-subsidized product consumption, suggesting a need for further promotion of this initiative to boost consumer spending and innovation [3] Employment and Economic Stability - The focus on stabilizing employment remains crucial, with an emphasis on key industries and groups, combining short-term support with long-term optimization [3]

本届盛典以"绘制中国产业版图，感知中国经济韧性"为主题，首次重磅发布"中国有影响力的城市产业 名片"，80张产业名片熠熠生辉，勾勒出一幅气势恢宏的中国产业版图。 在百年未有之大变局加速演变的背景下，产业链韧性已成为衡量一国经济抵抗风险能力的重要指标，是 保障现代经济安全稳定运行的重要条件。在全球产业链深度重构的背景下，《中国产业地理盛典》 以"产业地理版图"为锚点，见证中国产业链的磅礴韧性，为中国在复杂变局中保持战略定力、把握机遇 提供了有力实践和信心支撑。 一张张产业名片背后依托是工业和信息化部工业文化发展中心权威发布的《中国有影响力的城市产业名 片》报告。 该报告在遵循客观性、系统性、科学性原则的基础上，立足区域（城市）产业名片的定位、定义、内 涵、要素和机制，基于产业、名片、生态三大系统构建了3级共28个指标的评价体系，以定量指标为 主，辅以部分定性指标，构建了一套高水准、具有前瞻性的评价框架。 根据这一评价框架，盛典重磅推出三大产业名片，其中，"强国之基"聚焦为中国经济夯筑强大工业底 座、锻造核心能力的基石产业。中国智能家电产业地标青岛市、中国磁性材料产业地标宁波市、中国工 程机械产业地标长沙市等28 ...

Core Insights - The article highlights the significant role of Shenhuh Town in the global lingerie industry, with over 10 million pieces shipped daily and an annual output value exceeding 50 billion yuan, accounting for approximately 20% of global lingerie production [1][2]. Industry Development - Shenhuh Town transitioned from a fishing community to a major lingerie manufacturing hub, beginning in the mid-1980s with family-run workshops that capitalized on overseas Chinese connections and market demand for lingerie [2][5]. - The town has over 500 lingerie enterprises and related manufacturers, creating a complete industrial chain that includes weaving, dyeing, and accessory production [1][5]. Supply Chain and Competitive Advantage - The establishment of a "half-hour supply chain ecosystem" allows for rapid response to customer demands, with the ability to produce samples within days and find materials in under half an hour [6][8]. - The concentration of production facilities in Shenhuh significantly reduces overall costs and enhances competitiveness, with local dyeing factories saving about 10% on material procurement costs [5][6]. Innovation and Product Development - Companies in Shenhuh are increasingly focusing on product innovation, introducing seamless, functional lingerie with features like antibacterial and moisture-wicking properties [7][8]. - R&D teams are analyzing market trends and consumer habits, with over 30% of total orders coming from self-developed designs, supported by numerous patents and rigorous quality testing [7][8]. Technological Advancements - The lingerie industry in Shenhuh is undergoing a transformation towards automation and smart manufacturing, with factories implementing data transparency and remote monitoring capabilities [8][9]. - This shift is leading to improved production efficiency and quality, moving from traditional labor-intensive methods to advanced manufacturing processes [8].

证券研究报告 农林牧渔 行业定期报告 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 04 月 28 日 投资评级： 看好（维持） 证券分析师 农业增强韧性，持续推荐低估值龙头 ——农林牧渔行业周报（20250421-20250425） 雷轶 SAC：S1350524110001 leiyi@huayuanstock.com 冯佳文 SAC：S1350524120003 fengjiawen@huayuanstock.com 顾超 SAC：S1350524110005 guchao@huayuanstock.com 李冉 liran02@huayuanstock.com 板块表现： 投资要点： 政治局会议提出："经贸斗争"（视为严峻且长期）、"要强化底线思维，充分备 足预案，扎实做好经济工作"（明确底线、提高底线）、"用好用足更加积极的财 政政策和适度宽松的货币政策"（态度延续明确）、"要不断完善稳就业稳经济的 政策工具箱，既定政策早出台早见效，根据形势变化及时推出增量储备政策"（为 达到目的，方式可以更灵活），等等。 内需：消费从后周期属性切换为周期驱动力 联系人 "要提高中低收入群体收入，大力发展服务消费，增强消 ...

谈及房地产行业，陆挺认为尽管当前房地产行业仍处于调整期，但在人口向大城市集聚、老旧住房 更新需求释放等趋势下，房地产市场仍有很大发展空间。他建议，剩余城市的限购限售可以进一步 取消，全面释放市场活力。同步加快行业债务出清进程，强化保交房政策执行力度，通过"保交付、 稳预期"重构购房者信心。 本文节选自腾讯财经《经济大家说》栏目对野村中国首席经济学家陆挺博士视频专访的专篇报道，请点击"阅读原 文"查看原报道。 2025年一季度中国经济以5.4%的增速超预期开局，彰显了中国经济在复杂环境下的韧性。然而，持 续的中美关税战仍为接下来的经济走势增添了不确定性。 面对内外挑战，野村中国首席经济学家陆挺在与腾讯财经《经济大家说》栏目对话时指出，中美贸易冲 突升级可能导致中国出口增速下降，叠加房地产行业萎缩，二季度起GDP增速或放缓。对此，他认为接 下来提振经济，需要进一步刺激消费，并稳住房地产。 在经历了两轮"以旧换新"政策后，耐用品刺激政策边际效应逐步递减，促消费政策可转向耐用品消 费之外，陆挺认为"推动养老体系改革和保障水平提升，才是最具效能的促消费工具。"他进一步给 出具体建议：提升农民养老金，通过增强中低收入群体 ...

Core Viewpoint - The construction of a resilient scientific research system is essential for ensuring national technological security and achieving self-reliance in science and technology, especially in the context of increasing global technological competition and geopolitical tensions [3][8]. Group 1: Challenges to the Research System - The scientific research system faces multiple challenges, including accelerated technological iteration, interdisciplinary collaboration risks, sudden public events, and uneven resource distribution [2][4]. - The rapid development of technology brings ethical and regulatory issues, as well as disruptive changes in research paradigms, posing adaptability challenges to traditional research organizational models [2][3]. Group 2: Necessity for a Resilient Research System - A resilient research system is particularly necessary for China due to increasing international competition and sanctions from developed countries, which hinder international research cooperation and access to research facilities [3][4]. - The lack of an independent and self-sufficient research ecosystem in China, along with limited international academic discourse power and weak foundational research, necessitates the establishment of a resilient research system [3][4]. Group 3: Strategies to Enhance Resilience - Enhancing the resilience of the research system should focus on four aspects: technological resilience, institutional resilience, organizational resilience, and social resilience [4][5]. - Strengthening technological resilience involves improving independent innovation capabilities and developing backup plans for critical technologies to mitigate risks from potential technological blockades [4][5]. - Institutional resilience requires continuous evolution and improvement of existing systems to enhance risk resistance, including the establishment of flexible legal frameworks and risk assessment mechanisms [5][6]. - Organizational resilience can be improved by increasing flexibility in resource allocation and fostering collaboration among various research entities to optimize strategies and share resources [6][7]. - Social resilience emphasizes the importance of public engagement and support for scientific research, enhancing scientific literacy, and fostering a stable social environment for technological development [7][8].

Core Insights - The article discusses the psychological challenges faced by contemporary Chinese society, highlighting a collective awakening and the associated pains and breakthroughs [2][3][12] Group 1: Psychological Challenges - Anxiety has become a prevalent emotion among contemporary Chinese individuals, with work pressure, parenting anxiety, and health crises identified as the three core sources of anxiety [3] - The depression risk detection rate is reported at 10.6%, while the anxiety risk detection rate stands at 15.8% [3] - High usage of short videos correlates with increased risks of depression and anxiety, with youth averaging over 90 minutes daily [3] Group 2: Cultural Awakening and Identity - The rise of "Guochao" (national trend) reflects a cultural revival, with the Hanfu market exceeding 100 billion and non-heritage cultural products growing at 28% annually [4] - There is a growing generational gap in values, with Gen Z adopting unique online cultures that clash with the traditional narratives held by older generations [4] Group 3: Physical Manifestations of Psychological Issues - Approximately 65.91% of respondents in a sleep study reported sleep disturbances, with an estimated 500 million people in China affected by sleep issues [5] - Bodily symptoms often reflect underlying psychological problems, leading to a cycle of temporary satisfaction through consumption behaviors like live-stream tipping and blind box purchases [5] Group 4: Traditional vs. Modern Tensions - The "lying flat" philosophy represents a complex response to societal pressures, revealing a desire to escape competition while grappling with unfulfilled aspirations [6] - The depression risk for unemployed individuals is notably high at 31.0%, indicating a disconnect between educational achievements and job market demands [6] Group 5: Information Overload - Digital natives encounter an overwhelming amount of information daily, equivalent to what a 15th-century person would experience in 30 years, yet this does not enhance understanding [7] - Social media pressures contribute to anxiety, as individuals curate their online personas to gain validation, often at the expense of genuine emotional expression [7] Group 6: Intergenerational Trauma in Families - High expectations in parenting lead to significant mental health risks among youth, with a 24.6% depression detection rate among adolescents [8] - Urbanization exacerbates emotional crises, with 280 million migrant workers facing loneliness and lack of emotional support [8] Group 7: Solutions for Psychological Resilience - Individuals are encouraged to implement a "mindful decluttering" approach, such as the "three-minute rule" to pause before making decisions [9] - Creating a "micro-action checklist" to document small positive experiences can help rebuild a sense of control and meaning in life [9] Group 8: Community Support Systems - Companies are urged to adopt "mental health days" and informal communication channels to help employees manage stress [10] - Community initiatives like "commuting psychological counseling booths" can provide accessible mental health support [10] Group 9: Cultural Reinvigoration - Integrating Daoist philosophy with existential therapy through digital meditation apps can help individuals find inner peace amidst modern chaos [11] - Reviving rituals and slow practices can strengthen emotional connections and enhance appreciation for life [11] Group 10: Future Perspectives - The focus is shifting from "psychological poverty alleviation" to "spiritual abundance," emphasizing the need for psychological resilience education in schools [12] - Innovative policies, such as incorporating a "psychological GDP" index, could enhance societal focus on mental health [12]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views of the Report - **Gold and Silver**: Gold prices oscillated downward with a retracement of bullish sentiment, while silver saw a rise in risk appetite. The gold-silver ratio dropped from 103 to 99.5. Gold entered an overbought zone, and the reversal of Trump's stance on tariffs contributed to the price decline. The report suggested using options for trading when gold trading becomes difficult due to high volatility [7]. - **Copper**: The driving logic of copper is anchored in two aspects: strong fundamentals with a definite decline in supply and the uncertainty brought by Trump's tariff policy. If the tariff policy eases, it will resonate with the fundamental logic and support prices. The report recommended that industrial players focus on unilateral buying at low prices, test calendar spreads, and wait for cross - market arbitrage opportunities [85][86]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Gold and Silver 3.1.1 Market Performance - Gold prices declined, with London gold falling by -0.86%, while silver prices rose, with London silver increasing by 3.17%. The gold-silver ratio decreased from 103 to 99.5. The 10 - year TIPS fell to 2.02%, the 10 - year nominal interest rate rose to 4.29%, and the dollar index reached 99.58 [7]. 3.1.2 Price Drivers - The reversal of Trump's stance on tariffs, including positive statements on trade prospects and the indication of potential tariff reduction, alleviated market concerns and contributed to the decline in gold prices [7]. 3.1.3 Trading and Investment - Given the high volatility in gold trading, the report recommended using options for trading configuration [7]. 3.2 Copper 3.2.1 Market Performance - Copper prices were affected by Trump's tariff policy and fundamental factors. The import loss of copper concentrates widened to about 3,400 yuan/ton, and the price spread between COMEX and LME copper rose above $1,400 [83][84]. 3.2.2 Fundamental Analysis - **Supply**: The supply of copper concentrates was expected to be more tense, with the spot TC dropping to -$42.52/ton and smelters' losses exceeding 3,400 yuan/ton. The import volume of recycled copper was likely to decline, increasing the probability of smelter shutdowns or production cuts in the second half of the year [85]. - **Demand**: Domestic copper inventories were being depleted at a faster pace, and spot premiums were strengthening, indicating strong buying power from downstream and end - user enterprises. Grid orders increased significantly, and new energy power generation and communication orders improved marginally, driving copper consumption [85]. 3.2.3 Uncertainty from Tariff Policy - Trump's tariff policy was unpredictable, increasing market volatility. Although there were signs of potential policy adjustment, the overall increase in US import tariffs could still affect global copper consumption growth in the long run [85]. 3.2.4 Trading Strategies - Based on the fundamental logic, investors were advised to look for phased trading opportunities. Physical enterprises could consider buying at low prices when the tariff policy eases [85].