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深观察丨美联储何时降息 “急不得”背后要“着急换人”?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-28 11:25
Group 1 - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell emphasized a cautious approach to adjusting interest rate policy during congressional hearings, suggesting that waiting for more economic data is prudent [1][4][6] - President Trump criticized Powell, stating he made a significant error and expressed a desire for Powell to resign, indicating he would only appoint those willing to lower interest rates [1][4][8] - Trump is reportedly considering breaking tradition by announcing his nominee for the next Federal Reserve Chair as early as September, which could influence market expectations regarding future interest rate paths [4][11][12] Group 2 - Powell noted that the impact of tariffs on inflation remains uncertain, with potential short-term and long-term effects on prices and economic activity [4][14] - Recent data showed that the core personal consumption expenditures price index rose by 2.7% year-over-year in May, surpassing expectations and marking the highest increase since February [5][6] - Market expectations indicate an 81.4% probability that the Federal Reserve will maintain interest rates in July, with an 18.6% chance of a 25 basis point cut [6][7] Group 3 - Concerns have been raised about the quality of economic data collected by the U.S. government, which may affect the Federal Reserve's ability to make informed policy decisions [14][15][16] - Powell expressed the need for improved measurement of economic activity data, highlighting the importance of reliable indicators for effective policy-making [16]
特朗普又“开炮”!“一头顽固的骡子,一个愚蠢的人”
证券时报· 2025-06-28 10:25
特朗普周五表示:"如果我认为某人会维持利率不变或者怎样,我就不会选他。我会选那些想要降低利率 的人。这样的人有很多。"他还表示:"如果他(鲍威尔)想辞职,我很乐意。"他称鲍威尔不支持降息, 是"一头顽固的骡子,一个愚蠢的人"。 特朗普对美联储和鲍威尔多次施加压力,要求其降息,并认为美联储的政策导致政府借贷成本过高。 美国总统特朗普再度对美联储主席鲍威尔"开炮"。 当地时间6月27日,特朗普再次在公开场合批评美联储主席鲍威尔,并称将选择一位愿意降息的人接替 他。而美联储内部关于是否降息的分歧则逐渐加大。 特朗普再次施压美联储 但随后,事情走向发生了戏剧性的变化。两位美联储理事先后对7月降息表达了乐观态度。 其中,美联储理事鲍曼态度发生了"显著的转变" 。她表示,即将公布的6月就业和通胀数据可能足以说服 她支持7月降息。她在6月23日的讲话中表示:"如果通胀压力仍然受控,我将支持在下次会议上降低政策 利率,以使其更接近中性水平并维持健康的劳动力市场。" 鲍威尔的美联储主席任期将持续到明年5月。特朗普曾表示,他心中有三到四个人选可以接替鲍威尔的职 位,但美国财政部长斯科特·贝森特周五表示,考虑到理事会的下个空缺席位 ...
星源材质马来西亚工厂投产,技术壁垒构筑海外定价权新格局
高工锂电· 2025-06-28 09:42
Core Viewpoint - The establishment of the Xingyuan Material's factory in Malaysia marks a significant milestone in the global high-end separator manufacturing sector, aiming to escape domestic market competition and establish an independent overseas pricing system to enhance profitability [1][6][12] Group 1: Investment and Production Capacity - The total investment for the Malaysian factory is nearly 5 billion RMB, with an annual production capacity planned to reach 2 billion square meters, making it the largest production base for lithium-ion battery separators and solid-state battery rigid skeletons globally [1][6] - The factory has already received a substantial number of order intentions, indicating a strong market demand driven by battery manufacturers' capacity expansion in Southeast Asia [1][2] Group 2: Pricing Power and Market Strategy - The core strategic value of the overseas expansion is the acquisition of "independent pricing power," allowing the company to set prices based on international market supply and demand, certification barriers, service costs, and product technological added value [3][6] - The company anticipates a structural supply shortage in the overseas high-end separator market by the end of 2026, which will provide significant bargaining advantages for firms with localized advanced production capacity [6][12] Group 3: Technological Foundation - The company's confidence in seeking independent pricing power stems from its undisputed technological strength in the high-end separator field, with a product matrix that meets global market demands for higher safety, efficiency, and longevity [7][9] - The high-performance coated separator series, including nano-fiber coated, polyimide coated, and aramid coated separators, are key tools for penetrating overseas markets, providing essential safety guarantees for lithium batteries [9][12] Group 4: Industry Collaboration and Globalization - The establishment of the Malaysian factory is part of a broader trend of systematic overseas expansion of China's lithium battery industry, with a localized lithium battery industry collaboration model emerging in Southeast Asia [11][12] - The company’s strategic layout extends beyond Southeast Asia, with investments in Europe and North America, indicating a proactive approach to global supply chain security and market entry [12]
特朗普再轰央行掌门,逼宫声震华府,货币政策成选战棋子
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-28 09:15
Core Viewpoint - The ongoing conflict between former President Trump and Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell highlights the tension between political influence and the independence of central banking in the U.S. [1][3][5] Group 1: Political Pressure on the Federal Reserve - Trump's criticism of Powell, whom he appointed, reflects his frustration with high interest rates, which he believes hinder economic growth and market performance [3][5] - The current economic landscape, characterized by persistent inflation and geopolitical instability, necessitates Powell's cautious approach to monetary policy [3][5][6] - Trump's calls for Powell's resignation serve as a form of political intimidation, aiming to create pressure for a shift in monetary policy that aligns with his electoral strategy [3][5][6] Group 2: Implications for Central Bank Independence - The independence of the Federal Reserve is crucial for long-term economic stability, as it protects against short-term political interference [5][6][8] - Trump's actions represent a broader challenge to institutional integrity, as he seeks to undermine the established balance between political power and technical governance [5][6][8] - The potential erosion of the Federal Reserve's independence could lead to a loss of confidence in the U.S. dollar as a global reserve currency, prompting international investors to diversify their holdings [8]
星源材质马来西亚工厂建成:20亿㎡产能筑基,独立定价体系剑指海外盈利“黄金赛道”
鑫椤锂电· 2025-06-28 06:34
关注公众号,点击公众号主页右上角" ··· ",设置星标 "⭐" ,关注 鑫椤锂电 资讯~ -广告- 本文来源: 星源材质 6月28日,星源材质东盟基地——马来西亚工厂(一期)项目建成仪式在槟城圆满举行。星源材质董事长陈秀峰及槟城州首席部长曹观友、中华人民共和国驻 槟城副领事郑方、MIDA代表 Siti Halimaton Mohd Rejab、冠宇集团高级副总裁吴英莲等出席活动。 马来西亚工厂(一期)项目建成,标志着中国企业在海 外隔膜生产领域迈出了重要一步。 这一里程碑事件不仅彰显了星源材质的全球化布局实力,更预示着公司盈利能力将因独立定价体系而迎来大幅提升。 当然,星源材质在推进全球化布局、享受海外产能释放带来的红利时,也展现出了其前瞻性的战略眼光和卓越的风险应对能力。面对国际市场环境的复杂多 变,包括政策调整、汇率波动、贸易壁垒以及供应链安全等潜在挑战,星源材质早已做好了充分准备。 公司凭借在技术研发上的深厚积累,不断推出创新产品,满足国际市场的多样化需求;同时,对产品质量的严格把控,确保了公司在全球市场的良好口碑;再 加上卓越的客户服务能力,使得星源材质能够迅速响应市场变化,灵活调整策略,有效应对各 ...
特朗普好像哭了,深夜长文抱怨鲍威尔,他为何斗不过美联储?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-28 02:56
特朗普深夜发了一篇长长的帖子,在帖子里他絮絮叨叨,语言颠三倒四,就像是一个被抛弃的怨妇,受够了对方的无情。 他说,我什么办法都试过了,友善、中立、强硬,软的硬的都用了,这个倔老头就是不听我的,而且我也知道,我越是批评他,他反而更加不听我的,反正 我是做什么对他都没用。 特朗普深夜破大防,他好像被鲍威尔给整哭了! 特朗普自从上台以来,为了让美联储降息,他几乎天天都要骂鲍威尔,他说鲍威尔是个蠢X,还给起了个外号,叫太慢先生。 直到最近,画风突然变了。 特朗普的这个帖子,一反他过去天天都在赢的姿态,第一次对美联储认输,而且还有点声泪俱下的感觉。 也许这是他故意换了一种策略,想博取同情,也许是他不经意间的真情流露,真的破防了。 那么,身为美国总统的特朗普,为何拿捏不了美联储? 这还得从美联储的决策机制说起,很多人都说美联储是一家私人机构,其实不够准确,准确地来说,美联储其实是一家半官方机构。 美联储是由12家地区储备银行组成,这些储备银行又被上千家私人银行控股,所以美联储首先代表美国银行业的利益。 同时,美联储的最高决策机构叫做联邦公开市场委员会,这里面一共有12名委员,每次加息降息印钞放水这些大事,都是由这12个人 ...
特朗普放话:下任美联储主席必须支持降息
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-06-28 00:28
贝森特表示:"主席人选有可能在明年1月获得任命,这意味着提名可能在10月或11月进行。"鲍威尔作 为美联储理事的任期将持续到2028年。 美国总统唐纳德.特朗普表示,他将选择一位愿意降息的人接替杰罗姆.鲍威尔担任美联储主席,这一条 件将严重损害美联储的独立性。 特朗普周五表示:"如果我认为某人会维持利率不变或者怎样,我就不会选他。我会选那些想要降低利 率的人。这样的人有很多。" 特朗普因美联储决定维持利率不变而加大了对鲍威尔的批评力度。特朗普表示:"如果他想辞职,我很 乐意。"他称这位央行行长不支持降息,是"一头顽固的骡子,一个愚蠢的人"。 特朗普对美联储施加压力,要求其降息,并多次抨击鲍威尔,认为美联储的政策导致政府借贷成本过 高。 鲍威尔的主席任期将持续到明年5月。特朗普曾表示,他心中有三到四个人可以接替鲍威尔的职位,但 美国财政部长斯科特.贝森特淡化了特朗普提前提名下任美联储主席的猜测。 贝森特周五表示,特朗普可能提前在今年晚些时候宣布提名人选——考虑到理事会的下个空缺席位将在 明年1月出现——目的是让提名人担任主席职务。 美联储上周维持利率在4.25%-4.5%的区间不变,该利率自年初以来一直维持在这 ...
特朗普称将挑选希望降息的人作为美联储主席,贝森特淡化提前提名
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2025-06-27 22:47
周五,美国总统特朗普再骂美联储主席鲍威尔。近日,由于美联储未在6月会议上降息,特朗普对鲍威 尔和美联储理事会的攻击频率多且言辞尖锐。 他在周五当天先是重复以前的观点,称如果鲍威尔降息,融资成本就会更加便宜。 几小时后他又表示,希望美联储主席鲍威尔辞职。"如果他想辞职,我会非常高兴。"他还称鲍威尔是一 个固执的骡子和一个愚蠢的人。 特朗普说,他将挑选一位希望降息的人,作为鲍威尔的继任者。"如果我认为某人会维持目前的利率水 平,或无所作为,我是不会任命他的。我会任命一个想要降息的人,这样的人很多。" 分析指出,特朗普提到的希望降息这一条件直接触及美联储的独立性核心。 贝森特淡化特朗普可能提前提名美联储主席的猜测 周五同日,美国财政部长贝森特淡化了有关特朗普可能提前提名下一任美联储主席的猜测。他指出,一 种可能的时间安排是今年10月或11月公布人选。在周五接受媒体采访时,当被问及特朗普是否可能任命 一位所谓的"影子美联储主席"时,贝森特表示:"我认为现在没有人在真正讨论这个问题。" 贝森特指出,明年初美联储理事会将有两个职位空缺:库格勒(Adriana Kugler)的任期将在明年1月结 束,而鲍威尔的美联储主席任 ...
艾迪药业: 艾迪药业独立董事候选人声明与承诺-胡文言
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-06-27 16:51
Core Points - The candidate, Hu Wenyuan, has been nominated as an independent director for Jiangsu Aidi Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. and confirms his qualifications and independence [1][4] - The candidate possesses over five years of relevant experience in biopharmaceutical research, law, economics, accounting, finance, and management [1] - The candidate meets the legal and regulatory requirements for independent directors as outlined by various Chinese laws and regulations [1] - The candidate declares independence and does not fall under any disqualifying conditions related to family ties, shareholding, or business relationships with the company [1][3] - The candidate has no adverse records in the last 36 months, including no administrative or criminal penalties from the China Securities Regulatory Commission [2][3] - The candidate has not been disqualified from serving as an independent director due to attendance issues in previous roles [3] - The candidate has participated in training and holds relevant certification recognized by the stock exchange [6] - The candidate commits to adhering to laws, regulations, and the rules of the Shanghai Stock Exchange while ensuring sufficient time and effort to fulfill his duties [4]
新世界: 新世界独立董事制度(2025年修订)
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-06-27 16:50
第一章 总则 第一条 按照建立现代企业制度的要求,进一步完善新世界股份有限公司(以下 简称"公司")治理结构,促进公司的规范运作,维护公司整体利益,提高公司决 策的科学性和民主性,根据《中华人民共和国公司法》(以下简称"《公司 法》")、《上市公司独立董事管理办法》、《上市公司治理准则》和《上海新世 界股份有限公司章程》(以下简称"《公司章程》")的有关规定,制定本制度。 第二条 独立董事是指不在公司担任除董事外的其他职务,并与公司及其主要股 东、实际控制人不存在直接或者间接利害关系,或者其他可能影响其进行独立客观 判断的关系的董事。 第三条 独立董事对公司及全体股东负有忠实与勤勉义务,并应当按照相关法律 法规、中国证券监督管理委员会(以下简称"中国证监会")规定、上海证券交易 所业务规则和公司章程的规定,认真履行职责,在董事会中发挥参与决策、监督制 衡、专业咨询作用,维护公司整体利益,保护中小股东合法权益。 独立董事应当独立履行职责,不受公司及其主要股东、实际控制人等单位或者 个人的影响。 独立董事应当重点关注公司的关联交易、对外担保、募集资金使用、社会公众 股股东保护、重大资产重组、重大投融资活动、董事和 ...