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碳酸锂日评:国内碳酸锂7月供给预期偏松,国内碳酸锂社会库存量环比增加-20250708
Hong Yuan Qi Huo· 2025-07-08 08:59
Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content Core Viewpoints - The supply of domestic lithium carbonate in July 2025 is expected to be loose, and the domestic social inventory of lithium carbonate has increased month - on - month. Due to national policy - guided capacity clearance and expected expansion of the automotive scale, the prices of domestic lithium carbonate production and imports have risen, but the supply - demand situation remains complex. It is recommended that investors wait and see, paying attention to the support level around 58,000 - 62,000 and the resistance level around 66,000 - 70,000 [1][4] Summary by Related Catalogs Lithium Carbonate Futures - **Prices**: On July 7, 2025, the closing prices of the near - month, consecutive - one, consecutive - two, and consecutive - three contracts of lithium carbonate futures were 63,600 yuan/ton, 63,920 yuan/ton, 63,520 yuan/ton, and 63,520 yuan/ton respectively. The closing price of the active contract was 63,660 yuan/ton, up 380 yuan/ton from the previous day [1] - **Trading Volume and Open Interest**: The trading volume of the active contract was 213,304 lots, a decrease of 134,425 lots from the previous day; the open interest was 322,534 lots, a decrease of 2,754 lots from the previous day [1] - **Inventory and Spreads**: The inventory of the near - month to consecutive - one contracts was 15,555 tons, a decrease of 5,481 tons from the previous day; the spread between the consecutive - one and consecutive - two contracts was 400 yuan/ton, an increase of 80 yuan/ton from the previous day. The basis (SMM battery - grade lithium carbonate average price - lithium carbonate active contract closing price) was - 1,110 yuan/ton, a decrease of 130 yuan/ton from the previous day [1] Lithium Spot Prices - **Lithium Ore**: The average price of lithium spodumene concentrate (6%, CIF China) was 654 US dollars/ton, up 1 US dollar/ton from the previous day. The average prices of various types of lithium mica and phospho - lithium - aluminum stone remained mostly unchanged [1] - **Lithium Compounds**: The average price of battery - grade lithium carbonate (99.5%, domestic) was 62,550 yuan/ton, up 250 yuan/ton from the previous day; the average price of industrial - grade lithium carbonate (99.2%, domestic) was 60,950 yuan/ton, up 250 yuan/ton from the previous day. The price difference between battery - grade and industrial - grade lithium carbonate remained at 1,600 yuan/ton [1] - **Other Lithium - Related Products**: The prices of products such as lithium hydroxide, ternary precursors, ternary materials, lithium iron phosphate, cobalt acid lithium, and negative electrode materials showed various changes, with some increasing and some decreasing [1] Company News - **Yuntu Holdings**: On July 7, 2025, Yuntu Holdings announced that it owns three phosphate mines in Leibo County, Liangshan Prefecture, Sichuan Province. The Ajuluogang phosphate mine's 2.9 - million - ton annual mining and beneficiation project started construction in March and is under accelerated construction; the Niuniuzhai East phosphate mine's 4 - million - ton annual mining project is optimizing the mining and beneficiation plan design; the Niuniuzhai West phosphate mine is promoting the "exploration - to - mining" procedures. After production, it will meet the local yellow phosphorus production needs and transport products to production bases in Hubei and Guangxi via waterways [2] - **Ganfeng Lithium and Tianqi Lithium**: Ganfeng Lithium's project has been officially put into production. Tianqi Lithium's 50,700 - ton wet - brine project in Shijian, Jianglin City may be put into production in October 2020, and the total output will reach 201,000 tons per year [3] - **Other Companies**: Guangdong Haohai Lithium's 10,000 - ton battery - grade lithium carbonate drying project may be put into production in January 2022; Zijin Hengyuan's 25,000 - ton battery - grade lithium carbonate production capacity may be completed and put into production on January 9, 2021. Some companies' production lines are under maintenance or upgrading, and some projects are in the process of construction or commissioning [3] Production and Supply - **Lithium Carbonate**: The production of lithium carbonate in China in July may increase month - on - month, and the supply is expected to be loose. The inventories of smelters, traders, and downstream enterprises have increased compared with the previous week [1][3] - **Lithium Hydroxide**: The production of lithium hydroxide in China in October may decrease month - on - month. The inventories of smelters and downstream enterprises in July may increase month - on - month, and the monthly export volume may decrease month - on - month [3][4] - **Phosphoric Acid and Related Products**: The production of phosphoric acid in China has decreased compared with the previous week. The production of lithium iron phosphate in China may increase month - on - month, and the production and export volume of some related products may also increase [3][4] Investment Strategy - Due to the complex supply - demand situation of domestic lithium carbonate, it is recommended that investors wait and see, paying attention to the support level around 58,000 - 62,000 and the resistance level around 66,000 - 70,000 [4]
超4200只个股上涨
第一财经· 2025-07-08 07:38
2025.07. 08 作者 | 一财资讯 7月8日,A股三大指数收盘集体上涨,截至收盘,上证指数涨0.7%,深证成指涨1.47%,创业板指 涨2.39%。 | 代码 | 名称 | 两日图 | 现价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 000001 | 上证指数 | and now | 3497.48c | 24.35 | 0.70% | | 399001 | 深证成指 | plant | 10588.39c | 152.89 | 1.47% | | | 创业板指 | | | | | | 399006 | | w/ | 2181.08 c | 50.89 | 2.39% | 沪深两市全天成交额1.45万亿,全市场超4200只个股上涨。 | | | 净流出方面,常山药业、金一文化、信雅达遭抛售8.23亿元、7.67亿元、5.29亿元。 【机构观点】 盘面上,光伏板块集体大涨,BC电池、硅能源、PCB概念走高,水电概念小幅走弱。 具体来看,光伏板块集体爆发,通威股份、钧达股份、亿晶光电等10余股涨停。 PCB等算力方向继续走强,国际复材、逸豪新 ...
新能源概念爆发,科创板新能源 ETF(588960)盘中涨幅达3.92%
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-07-08 06:36
Core Insights - The new energy sector, including lithium batteries, photovoltaics, and wind power, is experiencing significant activity on the STAR Market, with the New Energy ETF (588960) rising by 3.92% and the Lithium Battery ETF (561160) increasing by 2.64% [1] - Major companies in the New Energy ETF, such as Daqo Energy and Trina Solar, have seen substantial gains, with Daqo Energy rising over 10% and Trina Solar increasing more than 6% [1] - The central government is intensifying efforts to regulate disorderly competition, focusing on improving product quality and facilitating the orderly exit of outdated production capacity [1] Industry Developments - A joint notice from the National Development and Reform Commission and other departments emphasizes the scientific planning and construction of high-power charging facilities, aiming for over 100,000 such facilities nationwide by the end of 2027 [1] - The focus will be on local economic development, the promotion of new energy vehicles, and the distribution of electric power resources, with an emphasis on "instant charge and go" scenarios [1] - Analysts indicate that semi-solid-state batteries are beginning to scale up, while solid-state batteries are expected to see small-scale deployment by 2027 and larger applications in energy storage post-2030 [1] ETF Information - The New Energy ETF (588960) closely tracks the STAR Market New Energy Index (000692.SH), with daily price fluctuations potentially reaching 20% [2] - The index comprises 50 large-cap stocks from the solar, wind, and new energy vehicle sectors, reflecting the overall performance of representative companies in the new energy industry on the STAR Market [2]
德福科技(301511):锂电PCB铜箔双龙头 高端化勇攀高峰
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-07-08 06:35
锂电铜箔:25 年供需改善,固态电池新需求涌现。我们测算23-25 年行业有效产能分别为118、145、 152 万吨,对应全球需求分别为61、83、110 万吨,供需敞口分别为93%、75%、38%,敞口逐年收窄, 且2025 年新增产能较少,行业整体供需关系持续改善。公司积极布局雾化铜箔、微孔铜箔、镀镍铜箔 等固态电池新产品,均已实现批量供货。 盈利预测与投资建议:预计25-27 年归母净利润为1.12/3.12/4.52 亿元,同比增速为 145.8%/177.9%/44.8%。参考可比公司,考虑估值溢价,给予公司26 年归母净利润50x PE,对应合理价 值24.77 元/股。首次覆盖,给予"买入"评级。 风险提示:新能源汽车销量不及预期;固态电池进展不及预期;国产替代进展不及预期;原材料价格波 动风险。 德福科技:铜箔行业龙头,高端电子电路+固态电池新产品带来发展机遇。公司深耕铜箔领域四十年, 以电子电路铜箔起家,逐步拓展锂电铜箔领域。25Q1,公司实现营收25.01 亿元,同比+110%,归母净 利润0.18 亿元,实现扭亏为盈,经营趋势持续向上。 电子电路铜箔:RTF 和HVLP 铜箔国产替代可 ...
【倒计时1天】参会须知!7月9日/上海/固态电池大会
鑫椤锂电· 2025-07-08 06:09
关注公众号,点击公众号主页右上角" ··· ",设置星标 "⭐" ,关注 鑫椤锂电 资讯~ 时间 7月9日 技术发展与市场展望高峰论坛 邀请函 地点 中国·上海 -主办- 鑫椤资讯 会议指引 I C C S I N O 会议签到: 7月9日上午8点开始(酒店三楼) 会议酒店: 2025(第三届)中国固态电池 机场: 上海虹桥国际机场,驾车约40分钟,车费约60元。 上海浦东国际机场,驾车约45分钟,车费约90元。 高铁: 上海虹桥站(高铁),驾车约50分钟,车费约90元。 上海站,驾车约30分钟,车费约35元。 以上内容参考于百度地图 论坛议题 I C C S I N O 会议酒店: 上海浦东假日酒店 酒店地址: 浦东新区东方路899号 附近交通: 地铁2号线、4号线、6号线、9号线世纪大道站 步行至会议酒店约12分钟 参会费用: 2600元(7月7日前报名免费) 注: 本次会议不接受空投参会,仅限提前报名者免费参加。未提前报名的人员,如需现场报名,需缴纳会议报名费, 请有意参会者及时完成提前报名流程。 企业赞助参会:如下 会议赞助/报名 ICCSIN O ▼ 19921233064(微信同) | 发言嘉宾 ...
光伏ETF基金(159863)暴涨超5%,光伏概念股持续走高!
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-07-08 05:48
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights a strong performance in the photovoltaic sector, with the China Securities Photovoltaic Industry Index rising by 5.02% and several key stocks, such as Daqo New Energy and Tongwei Co., experiencing significant gains [1] - The photovoltaic industry is currently facing challenges including supply-demand balance, price declines, and profit pressures, with supply-side reforms and anti-involution policies being key factors influencing supply and demand [1] - Policy support is expected to alleviate pressures in the industry chain, with potential measures including raising industry standards and supporting the development of new battery technologies like perovskite [1] Group 2 - As of June 30, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the China Securities Photovoltaic Industry Index account for 55.39% of the index, with notable companies including Sungrow Power Supply, LONGi Green Energy, and TCL Technology [2] - The photovoltaic ETF fund closely tracks the China Securities Photovoltaic Industry Index, which selects up to 50 representative listed companies involved in the photovoltaic industry chain [1]
一份“后罗马仕”时代的充电宝/手机保养指南
Hu Xiu· 2025-07-08 05:20
上一次买新的充电宝,是哪年的事情了? 如果是两年前,那你可得多留意了。 最近两周,充电宝的话题闹得沸沸扬扬,从机场到地铁的神经都紧张了起来,仿佛大家口袋中的不确定性因素一夜之间突然变多了一样。 在阅读这篇文章之前,请先问自己一个问题: 虽然"充电宝"本身的问题已经暂时告一段落,几家涉事的企业各自提出了解决方案,被曝出问题的供应链后续需要怎样的处理和整顿还有待观望,但我们 更需要关注事件背后一个更广泛的问题: 充电宝的寿命不是无限的——我们身边所有的锂电池产品,都是消耗品。 充电宝是有保质期的 本轮大规模充电宝质量问题的罪魁祸首,就是充电宝零件供应链上的一家电芯代工厂。根据报道,这家代工厂在某批次的生产中违规替换了电芯正负极之 间的隔膜材料,导致隔膜质量不合格。 使用这批问题电芯的充电宝产品于2024年初前后进入市场,并由于不合格的隔膜导致充电宝过热、鼓包、乃至喷烟起火等一系列后续问题,最终引发了近 期一切有关于充电宝的召回、禁运等社会事件。 正如原理图所展示的,"隔膜"是每一块锂离子电池内部都不可或缺的材料:它们不仅要在强腐蚀性的电解液中保持自身的物理和电化学性质稳定,更是要 在轻薄和抗穿刺抗拉伸性能之间实现 ...
科创新能源ETF(588830)上涨近4%,固态电池技术进展+反内卷催化走高
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-07-08 03:54
Group 1 - The Shanghai Stock Exchange Sci-Tech Innovation Board New Energy Index (000692) has seen a strong increase of 3.67%, with significant gains in constituent stocks such as Daqo New Energy (688303) up 10.67%, Laplace (688726) up 8.78%, and Trina Solar (688599) up 7.14% [1] - Anhui Anwa New Energy Technology Co., Ltd. announced the successful launch of the first GWh-level new solid-state battery production line, marking a milestone in China's solid-state battery manufacturing [1] - Delong shares' solid-state battery has passed the UN38.3 standard certification, indicating that the solid-state battery has reached international first-class safety and reliability levels [1] Group 2 - The "anti-involution" trend continues to drive the battery sector, with the China Battery Industry Association and the China Plastics Processing Industry Association advocating for a shift in focus from price competition to quality and innovation [2] - The solid-state battery industrialization process is accelerating, with leading companies advancing pilot lines and sample verification, and some achieving semi-solid-state mass production [2] - The solid-state battery equipment market is expected to benefit first as industrialization expectations strengthen, with leading equipment manufacturers accelerating product validation and customer integration [2] Group 3 - As of June 30, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the Shanghai Stock Exchange Sci-Tech Innovation Board New Energy Index (000692) include JinkoSolar (688223), Trina Solar (688599), Daqo New Energy (688303), and others, accounting for a total of 47.96% [3]
苏州众捷申请高频往复磨削汽车电池冷却器金属外壳精磨装置专利,实现精准磨削
Jin Rong Jie· 2025-07-08 03:16
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that Suzhou Zhongjie Automotive Parts Co., Ltd. has applied for a patent for a precision grinding device for automotive battery cooler metal shells, indicating innovation in the automotive manufacturing sector [1] - The patent application was filed on June 2025, and the public announcement number is CN120244087A, showcasing the company's ongoing efforts in research and development [1] - The device utilizes a high-frequency reciprocating grinding mechanism that prevents excessive wear on the metal shell surface, ensuring precise grinding of weld seams [1] Group 2 - Suzhou Zhongjie Automotive Parts Co., Ltd. was established in 2010 and is primarily engaged in the automotive manufacturing industry, with a registered capital of 91.2 million RMB [2] - The company has invested in five enterprises and participated in 40 bidding projects, indicating active engagement in the market [2] - The company holds 215 patents and has 27 administrative licenses, reflecting its strong focus on innovation and compliance within the industry [2]
固态电池2025年有望陆续完成中试,全市场最大电池ETF(159755)盘中涨近1%,近5日“吸金”4亿元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-07-08 03:14
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the positive performance of the battery ETF and the underlying index, driven by the growth in the new energy vehicle battery industry [1][2][3] - As of July 7, 2025, the battery ETF has seen a net value increase of 34.13% over the past year, with significant monthly returns and a record high of 52.10 billion shares [1] - The top ten weighted stocks in the National Index for New Energy Vehicle Batteries account for 65.51% of the index, indicating a concentrated investment in leading companies like CATL and BYD [2] Group 2 - The battery ETF has experienced a notable inflow of funds, with a total of 4.00 billion yuan over the last five trading days, reflecting strong investor interest [1] - The trend of "anti-involution" is identified as a key driver for market growth, leading to improved economic supply-demand relationships and enhanced corporate profitability [2] - The solid-state battery technology is expected to see significant advancements, with mass production anticipated by 2028-2029, indicating a potential shift in the battery technology landscape [3]