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Teeter: The bill’s biggest impact is removing uncertainty and setting the rules
CNBC Television· 2025-07-03 12:06
Are there going to be marketked market implications given what we already know about the big beautiful bill. There certainly will. I think the biggest one will be removing some uncertainty.So I think it's been pretty consensus that the bill would get through. I think that's why you're seeing a little bit of a muted reaction this morning. Um I think most corners will will be breathe a sigh of relief.And the main thing is we set the playing field for the second half of the year. So we'll know what the legisla ...
Virtus (VRTS) Surges 6.4%: Is This an Indication of Further Gains?
ZACKS· 2025-07-03 09:31
Virtus Investment Partners (VRTS) shares rallied 6.3% in the last trading session to close at $200.71. This move can be attributable to notable volume with a higher number of shares being traded than in a typical session. This compares to the stock's 10.5% gain over the past four weeks.Virtus Investment stock increased in price for the second consecutive trading session. The broader market optimism surrounding potential trade agreements and increased expectations of earlier-than-anticipated interest rate cu ...
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-07-03 03:39
Expectations are growing for Malaysia’s central bank to cut interest rates at its policy meeting on July 9, which is also the deadline for countries to reach trade deals with the US to avert swingeing tariffs. https://t.co/GGfjaodhWh ...
摩根士丹利:全球宏观-G10 货币汇率图表集
摩根· 2025-07-03 02:41
Dollar weakness continues to dominate our G10 FX views with US-RoW rate and growth convergence, as well as increased FX hedging, remaining in play. USD View: Bearish | Skew: Bearish The DXY should continue trading lower as US growth and rates converge to those of the rest of the world, and increased FX hedging adds risk premium to the USD. EUR View: Bullish | Skew: Bullish July 2, 2025 07:50 AM GMT Global Macro Strategy | Global G10 FX Chart Pack Top charts we are watching for each G10 currency with economi ...
高盛:美国经济-美联储沟通存在创新空间
Goldman Sachs· 2025-07-03 02:41
1 July 2025 | 8:44AM EDT US Economics Analyst The Framework Review: Room for Innovation on Fed Communication (Abecasis / Mericle) Jan Hatzius +1(212)902-0394 | jan.hatzius@gs.com Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC Alec Phillips +1(202)637-3746 | alec.phillips@gs.com Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC David Mericle +1(212)357-2619 | david.mericle@gs.com Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC Ronnie Walker +1(917)343-4543 | ronnie.walker@gs.com Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC Manuel Abecasis +1(212)902-8357 | manuel.abecasis@gs.com Goldman Sachs & Co. L ...
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-07-02 20:54
Market Trend - Wells Fargo is increasing purchases of top-rated collateralized loan obligations [1] - This follows a period of reduced activity in the $1.3 trillion market after interest rate hikes in 2022 [1]
Ed Yardeni: Bond market may be very concerned with tariff-related inflation
CNBC Television· 2025-07-02 18:52
Let's bring in the aforementioned pioneer of the bond vigilante term, Ed Yardeni, the president of Yardeni Research. Ed, this is an environment where it's surfacing again, that term bond vigilantes, but they don't seem to be nearly as effective of vigilanteism as the original bond vigilantes that helped you coin the phrase. Correct. Correct.Well, you know this they were most active in the 1980s and then in the 1990s inflation came down and the administration back then the Clinton administration recognized t ...
2-year Treasury note leads rates lower
CNBC Television· 2025-07-02 18:52
Market Trends & Interest Rates - Treasury yields are rising as investors react to weaker jobs data and the potential impact of President Trump's tax and spending package [1] - Interest rates may have peaked in terms of low rates, particularly given the holiday-shortened week [2] - The 10-year Treasury yield continues to move higher [3] Labor Market Analysis - ADP small business job loss data at 8:15 AM EST made some traders nervous, causing yields to drop initially [2] - A potentially weakening labor market could influence the Federal Reserve's decisions [4] - Uncertainty remains whether the day's report is indicative of the larger jobs number to be released tomorrow [5] Federal Reserve (The Fed) & Monetary Policy - A weakening labor market could hasten the Fed's easing campaign [4] - Fed fund futures gravitated towards the upside, indicating expectations of more easing [4] - The market is unsure if today's report is a one-off or a clue about tomorrow's jobs number, impacting expectations for the Fed [5] Bond Market Dynamics - The 2-year yield reflects the most information regarding the Fed [3] - The 210 spread (difference between 2-year and 10-year Treasury yields) bounced back and steepened [3] - The D's contract (likely referring to a specific futures contract) initially reflected the two-year yield's movement but almost returned to unchanged [5]
Softness in employment will get Fed to lower rates, says Piper Sandler's Michael Kantrowitz
CNBC Television· 2025-07-02 17:43
Speaking of the weak dollar, my next guest has three names that should benefit from that. Or maybe it's the whole market as we were just discussing. Michael Caneritz is here.He's the chief investment strategist at Piper Sandler. It's great to see you. You too.What What is the the sort of top level effect of a dollar being down 10%. I mean, is it supportive for stocks. What happens if it continues. What happens if it doesn't.I I think it's positive. I mean, at least that's what I've we've observed through mo ...
X @Ansem
Ansem 🧸💸· 2025-07-02 16:36
RT Pio (@piovincenzo_)I'm not a real estate guru butif you're expecting serious rate cuts to happen in the next 12 monthsdoesn't it make sense to buy the house now, in a less competitive, higher interest rate environment?And then just refinance in 12-24 months? ...