Core Viewpoint - Occidental Petroleum Corp is experiencing significant market volatility following Berkshire Hathaway's $9.7 billion acquisition of its chemical business, OxyChem, which has impacted its stock performance and investor sentiment [1]. Group 1: Stock Performance - OXY shares are currently trading down 6.2% at $44.77, reversing earlier gains and testing the 80-day moving average [2]. - The stock has declined 9.5% in 2025 and 16.4% year over year, with a risk of breaching a channel of higher highs established since its three-year low of $34.78 on April 9 [2]. - Short-term traders are exhibiting bearish sentiment, as indicated by a Schaeffer's put/call open interest ratio (SOIR) of 1.18, which is in the 96th percentile of the past 12 months [2]. Group 2: Options Activity - The current options market shows a preference for calls, with 118,000 options traded, of which 82,000 are calls, representing five times the average intraday volume [3]. - The most popular contract is the weekly 10/3 46-strike, where new positions are being opened [3]. Group 3: Volatility and Strategy - The premium for options is currently affordably priced, with a Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) of 33% ranking in the 12th percentile of its annual range [4]. - A premium-selling strategy may be advantageous moving forward, as OXY's Schaeffer's Volatility Scorecard (SVS) is at 19 out of 100, indicating that the stock has consistently realized lower volatility than what its options have priced in [4].

JPM says BTC is undervalued relative to gold on a volatility-adjusted basis, implying a 42% rise in BTC for a fair value of $165k.Bitcoin's turn in the debasement trade is here. https://t.co/xa4TUeu2nPmatthew sigel, recovering CFA (@matthew_sigel):🚨JPM Says Bitcoin Undervalued vs. Gold, Highlights "Significant Upside" to $165k."The steep rise in the gold price over the past month has made bitcoin more attractive to investors relative to gold, especially as the bitcoin to gold volatility ratio keeps drifting ...

Market Impact of Potential Government Shutdown - Markets dislike uncertainty, and a short-term shutdown is not expected to significantly impact the bond or stock market, but a persistent shutdown could increase volatility [1][3] - A government shutdown could lead to a bond market rally, particularly on the short end of the curve, while equities may wobble [2] - If the shutdown persists and the Fed doesn't receive necessary data, markets may become shaky, leading to a flight to safety [4] - The absence of government data like CPI and PPI due to the shutdown is more problematic for the market because it impacts the Fed's decision-making process regarding rate cuts [6][7] - The market is expecting around three rate cuts through the balance of the year, and a lack of data could put those rate cuts on hold [6] Sector Performance and Investment Trends - Healthcare and utilities are leading sectors, indicating a defensive tilt in the market, while tech is also hitting new highs, driven by AI and cybersecurity investments [8][9][10] - Companies are becoming more efficient with fewer people, fueling growth in the tech sector [10] - Investors are showing a flight to quality, seeking security and retirement security, and leaning towards more conservative and balanced portfolios [9][11] Retirement Savings and Investment Strategies - TIAA manages approximately $955 billion in assets in its retirement business [12] - People are moving towards target date funds and looking for guaranteed income options [12] - While private markets can pose more risk, participants are guided to save, diversify their asset allocation, and balance it against their risk profile, including bonds, stocks, and guaranteed asset classes [13][14] - 95% of people would want to have guaranteed income in addition to social security [14] - Plan sponsors are increasingly offering guaranteed income options as part of employees' diversified portfolios [15] - There's a trend towards diversified portfolios with protection during accumulation and the option for guaranteed lifetime income [15][16]

REMINDER:Initial Jobless Claims data drop today!Expect Volatility! https://t.co/M1pO3MDkAj ...

DeFi Innovation - Allora powers vaults and protocols with live forecasts for price, volatility, and liquidity [1] - Decentralized network of AI models drives proactive, dynamic systems [1] Optimization - Dynamic systems optimize yield and risk in real time [1] - Systems move beyond static strategies in DeFi [1]

Volatility is gonna be your friend on this market.As news breaks on any given day I plan to trade in and out of these positions.“How many days will the federal government be shut down in 2025”Right now I’m on1-3 Days | Yes10-29 Days | No30+ Days | NoLike I said, I am holding NONE of these to resolution unless it’s the shutdown seems resolved in the next day or two.Letting news and volatility run here and looking for quick trades and smol profit. ...

Market Overview & Investment Strategy - Global markets are experiencing volatility and dispersion, presenting opportunities for firms providing solutions and uncorrelated returns [2] - Diversification of portfolios is crucial for both large allocators and individual investors [3] - Active investment, as opposed to passive index investing, offers real opportunity and excitement due to dispersion in markets [6] Man Group Performance & Strategy - Man Group manages over $193 billion in assets [1] - Volatility is generally beneficial for active management, enabling the firm to capitalize on outperformance signals and data [9] - A 40% drop in first-half core profit was attributed to the asset mix and underperformance of trend-following hedge fund strategies [10] Policy & Economic Factors - US equity market resilience is notable, despite concerns about overvaluation [4] - US policy volatility has whipsawed markets, but businesses are adapting [12] - Markets have largely shrugged off concerns related to geopolitics and policy changes [15] - Data points, such as concerns about inflation and recession among US insurers, are not currently impacting the market as expected [16]

Group 1 - The VIX Index has closed at 16.28, indicating a return to low volatility levels not seen since 2025, which makes options cheaper and presents opportunities for Long Straddle trades [1] - Arm Holdings (ARM) is identified as a stock with potential for significant movement in either direction due to its current negative Gamma [2] - A Long Straddle is an advanced options strategy that profits from large price movements or increased implied volatility, requiring the purchase of both a call and a put option [4] Group 2 - The Long Straddle trade on ARM involves buying a $140-strike call and a $140-strike put, with a total premium of $2,810, which represents the maximum loss [6] - The theoretical maximum profit from the Long Straddle is unlimited, but the position incurs daily losses due to time decay if no significant price movement occurs [5] - The lower and upper breakeven prices for the trade are $111.90 and $168.10, respectively, with estimated breakeven prices at the end of October around $122 and $157 [6]

REMINDER:PMI DATA DROPS TODAY.EXPECT VOLATILITY! https://t.co/GdIL4Qfemv ...

Looking at the crypto market on the daily view right now, we are starting to see a little bit of less red. Yes, there still is some old coins selling off, but the good news is that we are now starting to see a lot of old coins bouncing back a bit on the daily. Now, if we're looking at the weekly view here, we are still seeing some deep reds.Um, we have yet to see a big big bounce, but most of this space in terms of just the green today is it's a reaction to what Bitcoin has been doing. Now, when it comes to ...