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航天南湖(688552):华创交运低空 60 系列研究(二十):防空预警雷达或受益于新质战斗力与军贸东风起,关注低空布局
Huachuang Securities· 2025-07-10 09:19
Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [1]. Core Views - The company is expected to benefit from three main factors: the military radar business may gain from the acceleration of new combat capabilities; the Chinese military trade market is on the rise, which the company may continue to benefit from; and there is a focus on the company's low-altitude layout [7][10]. Financial Summary - Total revenue projections for the company are as follows: 2024A: 218 million, 2025E: 1,077 million, 2026E: 1,345 million, 2027E: 1,616 million, with significant growth rates expected [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be: 2024A: -78 million, 2025E: 126 million, 2026E: 175 million, 2027E: 243 million, indicating a recovery from losses in 2024 [2]. - Earnings per share are expected to improve from -0.23 in 2024 to 0.72 in 2027 [2]. Company Overview - The company is a leading entity in China's air defense early warning radar sector, with its main products including air defense early warning radars, radar supporting equipment, and radar components [6][20]. - The company has a low debt ratio, with an asset-liability ratio of 17.9% as of Q1 2025, indicating a strong financial position [34]. Market Position - The company is positioned as one of the main manufacturers of air defense early warning radars in China, with a significant market share in military radar production [20][23]. - The company has seen a notable increase in military trade revenue, which rose from approximately 3% in 2022 to 15% in 2023 [10][11]. Product and Technology - The company has developed a range of low-altitude detection products, including low-altitude safety control systems and various low-altitude detection radars, which have already received bulk orders from users [10][26]. - The company’s radar products are crucial for modern military operations, providing essential information for air defense and combat systems [40][42].
和讯研究员靳文云:浅谈投资风格
He Xun Cai Jing· 2025-07-10 08:40
【和讯财道投研团队:靳文云 执业证书:A0030624030024 股市有风险,投资需谨慎】 (原标题:和讯研究员靳文云:浅谈投资风格) 和讯研究员靳文云指出,我国社会当下普遍认可的财富积累方式是交易型的,比如古董收藏、房地产投资、黄金珠宝投资等,通过买入-持有-出 售的方式实现盈利;日本社会比较认可的财富积累方式是产业型的,很多日系企业通过家族传承的方式从百年前持续经营至今,产生了很多百年 老店。代入到投资中,投资者的交易风格同样可以分为交易型和价值型两种,交易型类似古董收藏、房地产投资低买高卖,价值型类似百年老 店,和时间做朋友,长期积累。 交易型的投资风格就是要不断的交易,通过多次的交易积累财富。要求每一次的交易都能够获利,为了实现每一次交易都能够获利就要追热点、 挖题材,利用资金扎堆的短期优势、利用市场的高关注度和投资者情绪热度获取收益。比较常见的恶炒小盘股,就是典型的短期资金优势;热点 题材就是市场高关注度引导资金聚集扎堆,形成做多资金优势推动股价快速上涨;对题材进行深度挖掘,让广大投资者认可题材的想象空间,促 使投资者情绪高涨从而产生冲动行为、羊群效益。 价值型投资风格则往往不会有频繁的交易,以精 ...
伊朗官员谈军事技术称“微型无人机可能在特朗普晒日光浴时发动袭击”,特朗普回应
Huan Qiu Wang· 2025-07-10 07:48
特朗普首先回答了晒太阳的问题,"那是很久以前的事了。我也不记得了,也许是七岁左右吧。我不怎么喜欢晒日光浴。" 至于伊朗官员的上述言论是否构成真正威胁,特朗普则以其标志性的"否定与肯定相结合"的风格给出模棱两可的回答。"是的,我猜这是个 威胁。但我不确定这是否真的是一种威胁,但也可能是。" 《新闻周刊》说,拉里贾尼是在比较伊朗对美国的军事技术优势时,看似轻松地说出这番话,不过他随后也补充道,"当然,我们会像男人 一样战斗",这表明伊朗不会采取此类手段。 美国特勤局 (USSS)的一位发言人在接受采访时表示,无法就具体的情报保护事宜发表评论。该发言人还在声明中提到,"我们所处的威 胁环境形势严峻且变化迅速,总统以及我们所有保护对象的安全与保障始终是我们的首要任务。" 《野兽日报》称,当地时间9日,特朗普在白宫接受采访时,有记者提及此事,并询问特朗普是否认为这是真的威胁,以及上次晒日光浴是 什么时候? 【环球网报道】据美国《新闻周刊》《野兽日报》等美媒报道,一名伊朗官员近日在关于该国军事技术的一次讨论中打比方称,美国总统 特朗普可能会在晒日光浴时被微型无人机袭击,他同时暗示伊朗"会像男人一样战斗",不会采取此类暗杀 ...
中无人机:预计今年军贸收入14亿左右
news flash· 2025-07-10 07:39
中无人机:预计今年军贸收入14亿左右 智通财经7月10日电,中无人机(688297.SH)发布投资者关系活动记录表公告称,今年以来,随着国际形 势的变化和公司新产品的推出,市场需求逐步恢复,公司的军贸形势将迎来良好转变。目前公司的新产 品翼龙-1G、翼龙-X都已取得军贸出口批复,正积极开展市场推介。此外,多款1000kg级以下的无人机 的出口鉴定进程也在大力推进中,公司军贸市场产品竞争力和体系化方案提供能力不断增强。根据公司 年初的关联交易预计,今年军贸收入预计14个亿左右,预计未来几年将保持稳定增长趋势。 ...
长城军工:预计2025年上半年净利润亏损2500万元-2950万元
news flash· 2025-07-10 07:36
长城军工(601606)公告,预计2025年半年度实现归属于上市公司股东的净利润为-2500万元到-2950万 元,归属于上市公司股东的扣除非经常性损益的净利润为-3500万元到-4100万元,预计将出现亏损。报 告期内,公司业绩预计亏损主要原因:一是公司所属某子公司本年度部分产品订单尚未落实,其营收及 利润同比下降较大;二是公司持续加大研发投入,研发费用同比增长约19%。 ...
午后拉升,航空航天ETF(159227)跌幅收窄,成交额居同类第一
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-07-10 06:50
东方证券表示,6月下旬军工板块止跌企稳,多数细分方向处于低位,伴随积极的变化逐步出现,板块 配置价值凸显。"十四五"收官之年景气度持续恢复,军贸有望成为第二增长极。 (文章来源:每日经济新闻) 7月10日午后,A股三大指数集体上涨,军工板块触底反弹,截至14点27分,航空航天ETF(159227)跌 幅收窄至0.73%,成交额达8990万元,居同类第一。持仓股航宇科技、迈信林、中国海防上涨,长城军 工、中兵红箭、北方导航、国睿科技等股跌幅靠前。航空航天ETF连续10日获资金净流入,累计达2.43 亿元,最新规模4.99亿元,稳居同类ETF规模榜首。 消息面上,7月9日下午,中国航天员科研训练中心在北京航天城举行神舟十九号乘组与记者见面会,航 天员蔡旭哲、宋令东、王浩泽太空归来后首次公开亮相,并分享183天"太空出差"的经历与感悟。乘组 在轨期间参与实施了88个实(试)验项目,覆盖空间生命科学、微重力基础物理、航天医学等领域,成 功制备10余种102个试验样品。此次亮相不仅展现了我国载人航天工程的成果,也从侧面反映出我国航 天产业链各环节的协同发展与技术实力。 航空航天ETF(159227)紧密跟踪国证航天指数 ...
国防军工弱势盘整,长城军工下挫7%!512810持续溢价,吸金势头又起?机构继续看多!
Xin Lang Ji Jin· 2025-07-10 05:28
Group 1 - The defense and military industry sector is experiencing adjustments, with the defense military ETF (512810) showing fluctuations, including a drop of over 1% before narrowing its losses [1] - The ETF has seen significant inflows, with over 1.68 billion yuan invested in the past 10 days, indicating strong bullish sentiment despite recent declines [1] - Among the 80 constituent stocks of the ETF, most have declined, with notable drops including Changcheng Military Industry down nearly 7% and Guorui Technology down over 3% [1] Group 2 - Analysts suggest that the upcoming mid-year report season may bring uncertainty regarding the performance of previously high-profile stocks, leading to potential short-term differentiation [3] - Huafu Securities maintains a bullish outlook on the sector, while Zhonghang Securities believes the defense military industry is in a state with ample upward potential and limited downside risk [3] - Zhejiang Merchants Securities highlights three main investment themes for the defense military sector by 2025: military trade, new domains and qualities, and restructuring [3] Group 3 - The defense military ETF (512810) has undergone a share split, reducing the trading threshold from approximately 120 yuan to around 60 yuan, making it more accessible for investors [4]
美国忌惮俄罗斯,日本关税战强势反击,七艘准航母显露真实目的
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-10 05:00
过去美国一直忌惮俄罗斯,却没发现,日本早已不是那个日本。 这次关税战,日本表现却让人意外,不仅不妥协特朗普,还公开回怼回去,可谓是十分硬气。 日本这几年来,一声不吭的造了7艘准航母,美国悄然发现:日本已经不只是一个棋子,而是有算计的操盘手! 日本闷声干大事 长久以来,美国始终将战略重心聚焦于俄罗斯,毕竟,俄罗斯继承了苏联庞大的军事遗产,拥有着足以令美国忌惮的核武库,在军事领域的强硬态度和一系 列地缘政治举措,使得美国在国际事务中时刻保持着对俄罗斯的高度警惕。 从北约东扩引发的地缘政治危机,到双方在中东地区的势力角逐,美俄之间的战略博弈从未停歇。 前言 美国不断在东欧地区部署反导系统,俄罗斯则以加强西部军区军事力量作为回应,双方你来我往,紧张局势一触即发。 没想到,一直以来在美国手底下"苟住"的日本,却在悄然布局,闷声干大事儿! 日本,作为一个岛国,在过去的几年里,海上力量的迅速崛起,尤其是准航母的建造速度和隐形护卫舰的快速发展,让人不得不重新审视这支看似低调的海 上自卫队。 从2019年起,日本开始了一项被称为"海上自卫队再造计划"的战略,目标是通过大幅提升海军装备,进一步巩固在东亚地区的海洋力量。 而在这个 ...
资金疯狂涌入航空航天ETF天弘(159241),昨日净流入超4000万,连续10日净流入超2亿元,规模创历史新高!中国军贸或迎DeepSeek时刻
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-10 04:18
截至2025年7月10日午间收盘,航空航天ETF天弘(159241)回调蓄势,换手8.13%,半日成交3002.55万元。 航空航天ETF天弘(159241)紧密跟踪国证航天航空行业指数,高度聚焦战机和卫星产业链等航空航天核心发展方向,样本公司与低空经济、大飞机、卫星 互联网等热门主题高度契合,成分股深度参与商业航天等新兴领域,受益于政策与市场的双重推动。 亮点一:"含军工量"第一 跟踪指数96.24%的成分股属于申万一级国防军工行业,"含军量"远超军工龙头(90.91%)、中证国防(88.95%)、中证军工(80.10%)等军工宽基指数。 亮点二:"无人机含量"第一 跟踪指数成分股中,航天彩虹、中无人机、洪都航空、北方导航、华力创通等均深度参与无人机,是全市场无人机含量最高的指数。 截至7月9日,航空航天ETF天弘(159241)最新规模达3.74亿元,创成立以来新高。航空航天ETF天弘(159241)最新份额达3.38亿份,创近1月新高。 从资金净流入方面来看,航空航天ETF天弘(159241)最新单日净流入4213万元,居同类产品第一!该基金近10天获得连续资金净流入,合计"吸金"2.01亿 元。 全球 ...
强调军事力量,提及美中两国,马克龙访英演讲呼吁“拯救欧洲”
Huan Qiu Shi Bao· 2025-07-09 23:03
Core Points - French President Macron's visit to the UK emphasizes the need for stronger Franco-British cooperation in defense and security, particularly in light of current global threats [1][3] - Macron advocates for reducing dependence on the US and China, highlighting the importance of an independent European defense strategy [4][6] Group 1: Franco-British Relations - Macron is the first European leader to be invited for a state visit to the UK since Brexit, marking a significant diplomatic gesture [1] - The military budget of France and the UK combined accounts for 40% of Europe's total, indicating their pivotal role in European security [3] - Macron's speech in the UK Parliament is a rare honor, reflecting the importance of the Franco-British relationship [1][3] Group 2: Defense Cooperation - Macron calls for a significant deepening of military cooperation between France and the UK, aiming to increase defense spending to 3.5% of GDP in the coming years [3] - The two nations are encouraged to collaborate on new joint projects to enhance industrial cooperation and establish a robust European defense framework within NATO [3] Group 3: Economic Independence - Macron stresses the need for both countries to avoid over-reliance on the US and China to mitigate economic and social risks [4] - He emphasizes the importance of an open world that fosters cooperation without dependency, indicating a shift towards greater economic autonomy for Europe [4] Group 4: Diplomatic Engagement - The state banquet hosted by King Charles III for Macron signifies a warming of relations compared to previous tensions, highlighting a new chapter in Franco-British diplomacy [5] - The banquet included notable guests and was marked by a toast to the future of Franco-British relations, emphasizing friendship and collaboration [5]