Key Points - The article highlights significant economic data and events to be monitored on June 4, 2025, including speeches from Federal Reserve officials and various PMI reports from different countries [1] Group 1: Federal Reserve Events - Federal Reserve's Goolsbee will participate in a Q&A session at 00:45 [1] - Federal Reserve Governor Cook will deliver a speech regarding the economic outlook at 01:00 [1] - Federal Reserve officials Bostic and Cook will attend an event at 20:30 [1] - The Federal Reserve will release the Beige Book at 02:00 the following day [1] Group 2: Economic Data Releases - API crude oil inventory data for the week ending May 30 will be released at 04:30 [1] - Australia's Q1 GDP year-on-year data will be available at 09:30 [1] - ADP employment numbers for May will be published at 20:15 [1] - ISM non-manufacturing PMI for May will be released at 22:00 [1] Group 3: PMI Reports - Final services PMI for France in May will be reported at 15:50 [1] - Final services PMI for Germany in May will be reported at 15:55 [1] - Final services PMI for the Eurozone in May will be reported at 16:00 [1] - Final services PMI for the UK in May will be reported at 16:30 [1] Group 4: Oil Inventory Reports - EIA crude oil inventory data for the week ending May 30 will be released at 22:30 [1] - EIA Cushing crude oil inventory data for the week ending May 30 will be released at 22:30 [1] - EIA strategic petroleum reserve inventory data for the week ending May 30 will be released at 22:30 [1] Group 5: Central Bank Decisions - The Bank of Canada will announce its interest rate decision at 21:45 [1]

Group 1 - The number of initial jobless claims in the U.S. increased by 18,000 to 241,000, the highest level since February, significantly above the market expectation of 223,000 [1] - The total number of individuals receiving unemployment benefits rose to 1.92 million, the highest since November 2021, indicating a prolonged reemployment cycle for the unemployed [1] - The four-week moving average of initial jobless claims increased to 226,000, which helps smooth out weekly fluctuations [1] Group 2 - The ADP employment report indicated that U.S. hiring slowed to the lowest level in nine months, with some service sectors experiencing layoffs [2] - Despite expectations that the unemployment rate will remain low at 4.2%, the unusual fluctuations in initial claims have cast a shadow over the job market [2] Group 3 - Following the release of the jobless claims data, the U.S. dollar index fell by 17 points, currently reported at 99.74 [3]

美国第一季度GDP季调后环比折年率初值为-0.3%，创2022年第二季度以来新低，预估为-0.2%，前值为2.4%。 此外，美国4月ADP就业人数增加6.2万人，为2024年7月以来最小增幅，大幅低于预期，预估为增加11.5万人，前值为增加15.5万人。 ...

1. ADP报告：4月建筑业就业人数增加1.6万人，3月增加0.6万人。 2. ADP报告：4月制造业就业人数增加0.4万人，3月增加2.1万人。 3. ADP报告：4月贸易/运输/公用事业就业人数增加2.1万人，3月减少0.6万人。 4. ADP报告：4月金融服务业就业人数增加2万人，3月增加3.8万人。 5. ADP报告：4月专业/商业服务就业人数减少0.2万人，3月增加5.7万人。 金十数据整理：ADP报告重要行业就业人数变化一览 ...

美国4月ADP就业人数 6.2万人，预期11.5万人，前值15.5万人。 ...

美国4月ADP就业人数增加6.2万人，预估为增加11.5万人，前值为增加15.5万人。 ...

提醒：北京时间20:15，将公布美国4月ADP就业人数（小非农）。 ...

美国4月ADP就业人数将于十分钟后公布。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the expectations of various institutions regarding the upcoming release of the US ADP employment figures for April, with a previous value of +155,000 jobs [1] Summary by Institutions - **Nikko Securities**: +65,000 jobs [1] - **Mizuho Securities**: +85,000 jobs [1] - **Sparta Capital**: +90,000 jobs [1] - **ING**: +100,000 jobs [1] - **Montreal**: +110,000 jobs [1] - **Goldman Sachs**: +110,000 jobs [1] - **Stifel**: +120,000 jobs [1] - **Rabobank**: +124,000 jobs [1] - **Lloyds Bank**: +130,000 jobs [1] - **Scotiabank**: +145,000 jobs [1] - **Deutsche Bank**: +150,000 jobs [1] - **Reuters Survey**: +115,000 jobs [1]