All right, so we're getting a flurry of tariff proposals from the president. We had Howard Letic our air yesterday. Also talking about potential progress when it comes to moves with the EU.What does this all mean for the market and also for the Fed. Does it change the math at all when it comes to your thesis when it comes to the market. So, it doesn't change our math at all as it relates to Fed policy and the path forward for rate cuts.We're still believing as the Fed continues to push that there's dovish f ...

A lot of our attention has been given today to the latest tariff lines, of course, from President Trump, including the mention of a 50% tariff on it's way for copper. How much does that kind of thing and what it does to the copper prices in the U.S. very different to what it's doing to global ex-U.S. copper prices. What relevance does that have to your macro view.I think very large. But I have to say we're still kind of debating about what that eventual impact will be. I think that the the cost to U.S. busi ...

July 7, 2025 10:32 AM GMT Asia Economics | Asia Pacific M Idea The Viewpoint: Trade Tensions As We Approach Deal Deadlines The rhetoric around tariffs has risen. While we may get more details as the week progresses, our core view remains: uncertainty will likely persist, weighing on corporate confidence, capex and the trade cycle. Key Takeaways In this report, we provide a status update on the ongoing negotiations for every economy in the region and unpack the implications of the details that have emerged f ...

Global Economic Briefing July 7, 2025 04:01 AM GMT M Global Idea The Weekly Worldview: The Tariff Show Must Go On Short-term "deals" are limited in scope and leave several questions unanswered. Comprehensive trade deals that reduce trade uncertainty will take much longer to finalize, and will require clarity on ongoing investigations and legal challenges. M The headlines have already started to trickle in: Canada repeals digital services tax, Vietnam agreement secured, EU on track. These seem like the previ ...

Group 1: Leadership Changes - Wendy's CEO Kirk Tanner is leaving the company after just over a year to take the CEO position at Hershey [1][3] - Tanner will depart Wendy's on July 18, and CFO Ken Cook has been appointed as interim CEO while a search for a permanent replacement is underway [3] Group 2: Company Performance - Wendy's has been experiencing muted sales, with its stock down nearly 31% this year, indicating challenges in growth initiatives [1][4][7] - The company is set to report its second quarter results on August 8 [3] Group 3: Hershey's Situation - Hershey announced Tanner's appointment as it faces higher tariff-related costs and elevated cocoa prices amid consumer spending uncertainty [4][8] - Hershey is expected to report its earnings on July 30 [9] Group 4: Analyst Insights - Analysts suggest that Tanner's experience at PepsiCo will be beneficial for Hershey as it navigates current challenges [9] - Wendy's underperformance compared to key peers indicates that its growth initiatives have not yet gained meaningful traction [4][7]

Core Insights - Average salary increase budgets for US companies in 2026 are expected to remain stable at 3.5%, matching the actual increases of 2025 [1] - Organizations are becoming more strategic in their pay allocation and investment focus, aiming to align with broader business goals despite economic uncertainty [3] Salary Budget Changes - Three out of five organizations experienced changes in their salary budgets during the last pay cycle, with 53% reporting no difference between anticipated and actual budgets for 2025 [2] - Among organizations projecting lower salary increases, 51% cited anticipated recession or weaker financial results, while 45% mentioned cost management concerns [2] - Tight labor markets (59%) and inflationary pressures (30%) were the main reasons for those projecting higher salary budgets [2] Employee Retention and Stability - Employee stability has improved, with less than one-third (30%) of organizations reporting challenges in attracting or retaining employees, a decrease of 11 percentage points since 2023 [4] - Organizations are taking actions to enhance employee experience, health and wellness benefits, and training opportunities in response to low turnover and concerns about burnout [5] Compensation Adjustments - Employers are adjusting compensation programs to address competitive labor markets and inflation, with 50% conducting a compensation review of all employees and 48% reviewing specific employee groups [6] - Over 40% of organizations have enhanced their use of retention bonuses or spot awards, and 37% have targeted base salary increases for specific employee groups [6] Payroll Expenses - The average annual payroll expense has increased by nearly 4% (3.6%), with 70% of organizations reporting higher total annual payroll expenses compared to the previous year [7] Strategic Investments - Employers are making investments beyond pay raises, focusing on career development, wellbeing, flexibility, and equity to enhance performance, retention, and resilience in a changing market [8] Survey Details - The Salary Budget Planning Report was compiled by WTW's Rewards Data Intelligence practice, with approximately 29,128 responses from companies across 157 countries, including 1,569 from the U.S. [9]

Industry Overview - The Zacks Audio Video Production industry includes manufacturers of televisions, speakers, video players, camcorders, gaming consoles, drones, and high-end cameras, providing advanced audio, imaging, and voice technologies for entertainment and communication [3] - The industry is currently facing macroeconomic headwinds, including trade tensions, tariffs, and inflationary pressures, which are likely to suppress consumer spending [4][8] Market Trends - Macroeconomic uncertainty is expected to negatively impact consumer demand, particularly for discretionary purchases, while supply chain disruptions and commodity price fluctuations pose additional challenges [4][5] - Intense competition from low-priced imports, especially from China, Vietnam, and Mexico, is leading to price wars and margin contraction for U.S.-based manufacturers [5] - Technological advancements, such as the shift to digital technology and wireless transmission, are enhancing productivity and catering to the demand for high-resolution video [6] - The demand for premium entertainment is increasing, driven by record labels, TV producers, and advertisers, which is likely to support profitable growth in the industry [7] Industry Performance - The Zacks Audio Video Production industry has outperformed the broader Zacks Consumer Discretionary sector and the S&P 500 over the past year, with a growth of 37.2% compared to the S&P 500's 12.3% [12] - The industry's current Zacks Industry Rank is 201, placing it in the bottom 18% of over 246 Zacks industries, indicating bleak near-term prospects [8][9] Company Highlights - **Sonos, Inc. (SONO)**: The company is experiencing growth from robust home theater sales and has proactively reduced its exposure to China by moving production to Malaysia and Vietnam. Sonos expects revenues of $310-$340 million for the fiscal third quarter, reflecting a sequential increase but a year-over-year decline [19][20][21] - **GoPro, Inc. (GPRO)**: GoPro is focusing on expanding subscription revenues and product innovation, including the launch of new camera models. However, it anticipates lower unit sales and revenue growth in 2025 due to macroeconomic challenges [23][25][27] - **LiveOne, Inc. (LVO)**: LiveOne is expanding its B2B partnerships and has secured significant agreements, including a partnership with Amazon valued at over $16.5 million. The company is preparing for a major collaboration expected to significantly increase its subscriber base [30][31]

Manpowergroup. Jonas. Good morning.Thank you for joining us. >> Good morning. Thanks for having me.>> All right. Why don't we start off with your take on the job market according to your data. June has been the worst hiring month of 2025.And then we get that stronger than expected jobs report. What's the real state of affairs. >> Well, the real state of affairs is that the labor market has been cooling for many months at this point.And the June labor market report showed us that the private sector employmen ...

Short-Term Market Outlook - The market was surprised by the resilience of global stocks, particularly Korean and Japanese stocks [1][2] - Recent news flow has been exceptionally positive, driven by fiscal tailwinds and strong macro data from the US and China [3] - Consensus forecasts for global GDP growth are being raised after a decline in May [4] - The delay in tariff deadlines has contributed to a positive short-term outlook [5] - The short-term outlook for stocks, both in the US and globally, is positive, with expectations of higher levels [5] Long-Term Concerns - Tariffs are expected to be damaging to the US and global economies in the long term [6] - Policy uncertainty poses a risk to US companies [6] - US stocks are expected to suffer from high valuations and ongoing policy uncertainty, leading to higher business costs [7] Currency and Emerging Markets - The recent US dollar strength is attributed to a short-term positioning squeeze [8][9] - A longer-term dollar depreciation trend is expected [9] - Tariffs are expected to have an inflationary impact, potentially leading to higher US yields [10] - Emerging markets (EM) are still considered attractive due to the expected dollar depreciation [11][12] - Dips in EM investments are expected to be bought into by investors [13]

Its economy is astonishingly dynamic. But, as Britain discovered after Brexit, elevated uncertainty can by itself be sufficient to suppress business investment for quite some time. And America is now an extremely uncertain country https://t.co/F2bZT3SypU ...