Market Opportunity - A 73% gain is possible on the "NO, Eric Adams will NOT drop out by September 30th" contract on Polymarket [1] - The "NO, Eric Adams will NOT drop out by September 30th" contract is trading at 58 cents [1] - The industry views odds sub 60 cents as favorable [3] Political Analysis - Ballots are officially certified for the New York Mayoral race as of September 11th [1] - Even if Eric Adams drops out, his name will still appear on the ballot in November [1] - Eric Adams was actively campaigning as recently as September 13th [1] - The September 15th drop out deadline appears to be a confirmed NO [2] Historical Precedent - There has only been one instance where a candidate tried to remove their name from the ballot after certification, but judges ruled against it [3] - There has never been an instance where a New York mayoral candidate has dropped out after ballot certification [3]

Political Analysis - A recent paper argues that in last year's election, many Britons made "carefully selected choices from an acceptable list of alternatives" to the two traditional parties [1] - The findings help explain how future elections may unfold [1]

Elections & Politics - Buenos Aires province in Argentina holds local elections [1] - The election is considered a bellwether before national midterms in October [1]

John Bolton, John Brennan, James Comey, Leticia James, Adam Schiff. They're all among the current and former officials the administration is now investigating. Does the president have an enemy's list.No, not at all. I think the president has a view that we should enforce the law and if people broke the law, then of course they should face some prosecution for doing so. Vice President JD Vance dismissing the notion President Trump might have an enemy's list days after the FBI searched the home and office of ...

Political Analysis - The speaker asserts the current US President is unpopular and anticipates an election loss [1] - The speaker claims the President contacted Greg Abbott seeking five seats, alleging unfair tactics [2] - The speaker criticizes the President's claim of being "entitled" to five seats, deeming it alarming [3] - The speaker suggests Republican party will be the minority party in the House of Representatives next year [5] Texas Situation - The speaker indicates actions in Texas prompted a response to ensure fairness [4] - The speaker states that the situation wouldn't be happening without Texas's actions [2]

Political Investment - A Bolivian billionaire's election bet highlights the limitations of financial influence in politics [1]

Political Landscape - Canada's Conservative leader faces a crucial election test [1]

Pierre Poilievre led the Conservatives to a crushing general-election defeat by Mark Carney’s Liberals in April. Mr Poilievre lost his Ottawa riding he had held for two decades. Without a seat he cannot continue as Canada’s formal opposition leader https://t.co/q3zhdGcFFR ...

Political Landscape & Public Sentiment - The American people are frustrated with the current political climate and the performance of elected officials [2][4][7] - There's palpable fear from the current administration regarding voters' ability to hold them accountable [4] - The Democratic Party needs to regain people's trust and demonstrate their commitment to fighting for the people [7] - The Republican Party's approval rating is also low, indicating widespread dissatisfaction [11] - The current administration is perceived as bending over backwards for autocrats and failing to address the cost of living [8] Economic Concerns - Electricity costs are rising at double the rate of inflation, impacting citizens financially [5] - Core inflation is up by 3.1%, adding to the financial strain on families [9] Political Actions & Reactions - The President is accused of attempting to rig elections and redraw maps for political gain [2][4][12] - Texas Democrats are being squeezed to create five more Republican seats [2] - The Georgia Secretary of State was asked to find 11,780 votes [3] - Texas Democrats left the state to stand up for something [9] Pennsylvania Transit Crisis - Pennsylvania Republicans defunded mass transit, leading to service cuts of 45% and fare increases of 21.5% for 800,000 daily riders [19][21] - This is seen as an example of Republicans dismantling government and impacting critical services [22][23] - The transit crisis will affect not only Pennsylvania but also Delaware and New Jersey [24]

Explained: Why is the opposition protesting against India's Election Commission? https://t.co/2Bqq30X2H8 ...