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特斯拉(TSLA.US)交付“喜忧参半” 高盛上调目标价但预警短期挑战 FSD/Robotaxi成关键变量
智通财经网· 2025-07-04 09:05
Group 1: Tesla's Performance and Outlook - Goldman Sachs raised Tesla's 12-month target price from $285 to $315 based on better-than-expected delivery data for Q2 2025, while maintaining a "neutral" rating due to challenging short-term fundamentals in the automotive business [1] - Tesla's global vehicle deliveries reached 384,000 units in Q2 2025, a 14% increase quarter-over-quarter but a 13% decrease year-over-year, falling short of market consensus of 394,000 units [2] - The production volume for the quarter was approximately 410,000 units, reflecting a 13% quarter-over-quarter increase, while year-over-year figures remained stable [2] Group 2: Challenges and Future Projections - Goldman Sachs noted that the outlook for Tesla's vehicle deliveries is contentious, influenced by the timing of new model releases and their differentiation from existing models; the anticipated low-cost model has not yet been launched [3] - The firm adjusted its 2025 delivery forecast for Tesla from 1.575 million to 1.594 million units, representing an 11% year-over-year decline, while estimates for 2026 and 2027 remain unchanged at 1.865 million and 2.15 million units, respectively [3] - The expected non-GAAP gross margin for Q2 2025 is now projected at 12.7%, up from a previous estimate of 12.5%, primarily due to increased sales volume [3] Group 3: Robotaxi and FSD Developments - Despite positive early user feedback, there are reports of underperformance leading to scrutiny from the NHTSA; short-term growth in the Robotaxi business is expected to be slow, but long-term opportunities in the autonomous driving market remain significant [4] - Tesla's energy storage deployment is projected to reach 9.6 GWh in 2025, up from 9.4 GWh in 2024, with Q1 2025 expected to be 10.4 GWh; however, profit margins may be pressured by tariffs on lithium iron phosphate batteries sourced from China [4] Group 4: Optimus Robot Production Expectations - Tesla plans to manufacture thousands of Optimus robots by the end of the year, with a cumulative production target of 10,000 units by 2025; however, recent reports indicate a pause in production following the departure of the Optimus business head [5] Group 5: Rivian's Performance - Rivian delivered 10,661 vehicles in Q2 2025, a 23% increase quarter-over-quarter but a 23% decrease year-over-year, aligning closely with market consensus [7] - Production for the quarter was 5,979 vehicles, reflecting a 59% quarter-over-quarter decline and a 38% year-over-year decline, attributed to preparations for the upcoming 2026 model [7] - Goldman Sachs slightly adjusted Rivian's 2025 delivery forecast from 43,000 to 42,500 units, while maintaining estimates for 2026 and 2027 at 55,000 and 92,000 units, respectively [7]
海天瑞声:DeepSeek等AI新技术并未减少数据标注需求
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-04 07:41
Core Viewpoint - The company, Haitai Ruisheng, reassures investors that recent share reductions by major shareholders and executives are driven by personal financial needs rather than a lack of confidence in the company's future growth. The company emphasizes its commitment to maintaining core competitiveness through strategic investments and highlights the ongoing demand for data labeling in the AI sector despite advancements in technology [1]. Group 1: Shareholder Actions - The share reduction actions by shareholders and executives comply with regulations set by the China Securities Regulatory Commission and the stock exchange, with plans disclosed in advance [1]. - The company clarifies that the recent share reductions were primarily due to personal financial needs of the shareholders [1]. - The company has adopted both centralized bidding and block trading methods for share reductions, with block trading not directly impacting the secondary market prices [1]. Group 2: Industry Outlook - The introduction of AI technologies like DeepSeek has not diminished the need for data labeling; instead, it has driven the industry towards higher specialization and increased demand for quality labeled data [1]. - The acceleration of large model industrialization in sectors such as finance, healthcare, and law is leading to a growing need for high-quality labeled data, requiring deeper involvement from industry experts [1]. - The evolution of AI from single-modal to multi-modal applications (including voice and visual data) is expected to create additional data demand [1]. Group 3: Company Performance - The company reports that its operational performance in the first half of the year remains stable and continues to improve, with specific financial data to be disclosed in future reports [1]. - The company prioritizes the rights of minority shareholders and has recently returned value to investors through dividends, with plans to enhance management of share reductions to minimize market impact [1].
共享单车入局自动驾驶!新风口要来了?要抢谁的饭碗?
电动车公社· 2025-07-03 15:58
关注 「电动车公社」 和我们一起重新思考汽车 就在一周之前, 特斯拉的无人驾驶出租车 (robotaxi)在美国正式开启试运营。 十几 辆特斯拉 Model Y将面向公众提供打车服务, 每单收费 4.2 美元。 到了 6 月 28 日, 特斯拉又开始炫技:一辆Model Y在无人驾驶的状态下, 从特斯拉得州超级工厂直奔用户家中,总用时30分钟, 实现了全球首次无人驾驶 交付! 这也就意味着, 特斯拉离实现自动驾驶的目标又近了一步。 结合萝卜快跑去年在武汉开启试运营的消息,以及其他几家头部自动驾驶公司的最新进展, robotaxi 似乎很快就要来到大家面前了。 众所周知,风口上的生意抢的就是速度,来得早的头部企业会吃掉大部分甚至绝大部分市场份额,来得晚的可能连口汤都喝不到。 而就在 robotaxi 第一梯队眼看要吃到肉的时候,居然还有新玩家刚刚准备进场,且看样子颇为自信。 这个新玩家,名字也很有意思: 造父科 技 ! 01. 师出三家,融资超30亿 造父科技,全名 上海造父智能科技有限公司 , 6 月 23 日刚刚成立。算起来,跟特斯拉 robotaxi正式 开启试运营是在同一天。 | | | 產公司 查老板 ...
Tesla Q2 Deliveries Weak But Shares Rise: What's Next for Investors?
ZACKS· 2025-07-03 13:56
Core Insights - Tesla's second-quarter 2025 production and delivery numbers showed a decline in both metrics, with production at 410,244 vehicles and deliveries at 384,122 units, a 13.4% decrease year over year, falling short of Wall Street's expectations [1][10] - The company is facing a demand problem, as evidenced by the decline in deliveries despite increased production and inventory levels [2][3] - Tesla's energy storage business is performing well, with deployments rising to 9.6 GWh, and the company expects at least 50% growth in this segment for 2025 [4][10] Production and Deliveries - Tesla produced 410,244 vehicles in Q2 2025, which is lower compared to the previous year [1] - Deliveries totaled 384,122 units, including 373,728 Model 3/Y and 10,394 other models, marking a 13.4% year-over-year decline [1][10] - Deliveries missed Wall Street's consensus estimate of 390,000 units [1] Demand Challenges - The decline in Tesla's deliveries is not reflective of an industry-wide trend, as competitors like General Motors and BYD have seen significant sales increases [3] - Tesla's brand image is suffering due to an aging model lineup and CEO Elon Musk's polarizing public persona [3] Energy Storage and Charging - Tesla's energy storage segment is thriving, with a 113% year-over-year increase in deployments last year, driven by expansion efforts [4] - The company deployed 9.6 GWh of energy storage in Q2 2025, slightly up from 9.4 GWh in the same quarter last year [4][10] - Tesla's Supercharger network, with over 70,000 stations globally, is a critical component of its ecosystem [5] Future Growth Prospects - Tesla is focusing on self-driving technology and has launched robotaxi services in Austin, aiming for this to be a significant revenue stream [6][10] - However, Tesla faces stiff competition in the autonomous vehicle space and must navigate regulatory hurdles and safety concerns [7] Valuation and Market Performance - Year-to-date, Tesla's shares have declined by 22%, underperforming compared to General Motors and BYD [8][10] - Tesla's price/sales ratio stands at a forward multiple of 9.64, significantly higher than its competitors, indicating a stretched valuation [12][15] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate predicts a year-over-year decline in Tesla's sales and earnings for 2025, with EPS estimates trending downward [16][19]
Tesla's stock driven by robotaxi excitement, says Canaccord Genuity's George Gianarikas
CNBC Television· 2025-07-03 12:55
Canaccord Genuity's George Gianarikas and CNBC's Phil LeBeau discuss Tesla's latest deliveries data, the robotaxi story and much more. ...
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Token Terminal 📊· 2025-07-03 11:42
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Billionaire Investor Bill Ackman Is Betting Against Tesla -- At Least for Now
The Motley Fool· 2025-07-03 10:28
Group 1: Bill Ackman's Investment Strategy - Billionaire investor Bill Ackman, known for activist short-selling, has shifted to long positions, with his fund, Pershing Square Capital Management, now holding about a dozen stocks [1] - Pershing Square has never owned Tesla but recently launched a new position that has become its largest holding, representing a bet against Tesla for the time being [1] Group 2: Robotaxi Industry Developments - The robotaxi revolution is gaining momentum, with full-self-driving (FSD) capabilities starting to appear in major cities, indicating the industry is at a tipping point [2] - Tesla has initiated its first batch of autonomous robotaxis in Austin, Texas, marking a soft launch, although the vehicles are currently geo-fenced and monitored by humans [4] Group 3: Competitive Landscape between Tesla and Uber - Pershing Square's significant investment in Uber, which constituted 19% of its portfolio at the end of Q1, positions it against Tesla, as both companies are focusing on robotaxis for future growth [5][6] - Analysts believe Tesla's robotaxi initiative poses a long-term threat to Uber's business model, with the potential for a fleet that operates without human labor [6] - Uber is also pursuing partnerships to build a robust network for autonomous vehicles, collaborating with companies like Waymo and Pony.ai [7][8] Group 4: Future Prospects and Valuations - Uber estimates the autonomous opportunity could exceed $1 trillion in the U.S., positioning itself as a key player due to its scale and operational capabilities [8] - Tesla and Uber are currently competitors in the robotaxi space, although there is speculation about potential partnerships in the future [9][10] - Tesla's stock is trading at approximately 170 times forward earnings, reflecting high expectations for its robotaxi business, while Uber trades at 25 times forward earnings, indicating lower expectations for its autonomous initiatives [11]
ECARX white paper shows 50+% reduction in integration time for Google's world-leading GAS automotive application suite
Globenewswire· 2025-07-03 09:00
Core Insights - ECARX Holdings Inc. has released a white paper detailing the integration of Google Automotive Services (GAS) into its infotainment systems for Volvo EX30 and Polestar 4 vehicles, highlighting a significant reduction in integration time [1][2][7] Group 1: Google Automotive Services Integration - GAS is built on Android Automotive OS and provides essential services like Google Maps, Google Play Store, and Google Assistant, enhancing in-vehicle experiences [2][3] - The integration process typically requires 12-18 months for GAS certification, but ECARX has managed to halve this time through a proactive, test-driven approach [4][5] - The first GAS certification for the Volvo EX30 was completed in 10 months, while the second for the Polestar 4 was achieved in just 8 months [7] Group 2: Technical Innovations - ECARX utilized a dedicated "test farm" to run over 1.6 million automatic test cases, allowing for rapid identification and resolution of issues [6] - The integration of the xTS suite into CI/CD pipelines enabled immediate detection of potential regressions, streamlining the certification process [6] Group 3: Company Overview - ECARX is a global automotive technology provider, offering full-stack solutions for next-generation smart vehicles, including system on a chip (SoC) and central computing platforms [10] - Founded in 2017 and listed on Nasdaq in 2022, ECARX employs over 1,800 people across 12 locations worldwide and has products in over 8.7 million vehicles [11]
同比下滑13.5%!特斯拉今年二季度交付量不及去年同期,市值却一夜大涨3450亿元
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-07-03 08:16
美国当地时间7月2日,特斯拉发布的最新数据显示,今年二季度,特斯拉全球交付量为38.41万辆,较去年同期下降约13.5%。这也是特斯拉连续两个季度出 现交付量同比下滑的情况。 官方数据显示,今年一季度,特斯拉全球汽车交付量约为33.67万辆,环比下降32%,同比下滑13%,创下自2022年第四季度以来的最低交付纪录。 在此基础上,今年1~6月,特斯拉全球交付量约为72.07万辆,低于2024年同期的83.08万辆。 图片来源:特斯拉官网 在销量承压的背景下,特斯拉在全球不同市场的表现,也各有不同。6月25日,欧洲汽车制造商协会发布数据显示,今年5月,欧洲汽车销量同比增长1.9% 至111.3万辆,但同期特斯拉在欧洲地区的新车注册量为1.38万辆,同比下滑28%。 不过,在交付数据发布后,当日特斯拉(NASDAQ:TSLA)股价反而上涨近5%,报收315.65美元/股,市值一夜大涨481亿美元(约合人民币3450亿元), 总市值为10166.95亿美元。 市场分析认为,这一反常表现主要源于两方面因素:一是,特斯拉二季度实际交付量好于华尔街此前的"更糟糕预期";二是,近期特斯拉Robotaxi试点项目 启动、首次 ...
知名“多头”抄底,大涨!
中国基金报· 2025-07-03 07:39
"木头姐"是特斯拉 的 著名"多头", 特斯拉是 其基金的 最大 持仓 ,占其投资组合的9%以 上 。 【 导读 】 "木头姐" 凯西·伍德出手,大举 买入 56368股特斯拉股票 见习记者 储是 美东时间 7月1日( 本周二 ) ,"木头姐" 凯西·伍德(Cathie Wood)的方舟投资公司通过 旗舰基金方舟创新ETF买入了43126股特斯拉股票,通过方舟下一代互联网ETF买入了13242 股特斯拉股票,合计买入56368股。 按 特斯拉 当日 收盘价300.71美元/股计算,交易 规模 约为1695万美元。 此前 ,特斯拉股价连日下跌,周二跌 幅为 5.34% 。 木头姐此次"逢低买入" 的 背景是 ,近期 美国总统特朗普和特斯拉CEO马斯克 围绕"大而 美"税收与支出法案 展开 "口水战" 。马斯克批评 特朗普 的"大而美"法案,并声称要建 立"美国党"。特朗普则称, 联邦政府应该考虑削减对马斯克旗下公司的补贴, 并表示考虑将 马斯克驱逐出境。 美东时间 7月2日( 本周三 ) 收盘,特斯拉 股价 上涨4.97%。 版权声明 《中国基金报》对本平台所刊载的原创内容享有著作权,未经授权禁止转载,否则将追 ...