金融工程 | 动态跟踪 报告发布日期 2025 年 07 月 06 日 杨怡玲 yangyiling@orientsec.com.cn 执业证书编号：S0860523040002 研究结论 风格表现监控 本周市场正收益风格集中在 Trend 风格上，负收益风格表现在 Liquidity 风格上。预 期 PEG 是中证全指成分股中，本周表现最好的因子。 因子表现监控 公募基金指数增强产品表现跟踪 投资建议 风险提示 量化模型失效风险、 市场极端环境冲击。 有关分析师的申明，见本报告最后部分。其他重要信息披露见分析师申明之后部分，或请与您的投资代表联系。并请阅读本证券研究报告最后一页的免责申明。 | IH 升水，IC 及 IM 贴水扩大，中小盘短期 | 2025-07-05 | | --- | --- | | 偏多对待：分红对期指的影响 20250704 | | | 捕捉趋势的力量：基金动量刻画新范式： | 2025-06-12 | | ——FOF 研究系列 | | | Neural ODE：时序动力系统重构下深度学 | 2025-05-27 | | 习因子挖掘模型：——因子选股系列之一 | | | 一六 | | ...

Gambling as not only normalized behavior, but encouraged and expected behavior.Study the rapid proliferation of sports gambling and 0DTE options.Long consumer gambling apps and synthetic replacements for human connection:- Robinhood- Euphoria, Noise- Fantasy sports (including parasocial fantasy sports - aka Fantasy Top)- Synthetic intimacy - OF/related parasocial relationships- then some product that doesn’t exist yet that lets people gamble against their debts using their future physical labor as collatera ...

Tracks are the shortest they have been since the 1960s. The mentality is: “Don’t bore us, take it to the chorus” https://t.co/T4yJXG7N1f https://t.co/wAriVG9Fag ...

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of identifying sustainable trends in stock prices for short-term investing, highlighting that while price movements can be profitable, they can also reverse quickly, leading to potential losses [1][2]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Life360 (LIF) has shown a significant price increase of 93.2% over the past 12 weeks, indicating strong investor interest and potential upside [4]. - The stock has maintained a price increase of 0.8% over the last four weeks, suggesting that the upward trend is still intact [5]. - LIF is currently trading at 96% of its 52-week high-low range, indicating it may be on the verge of a breakout [6]. Group 2: Fundamental Strength - LIF holds a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), placing it in the top 5% of over 4,000 ranked stocks based on earnings estimate revisions and EPS surprises, which are critical for near-term price movements [6][7]. - The Average Broker Recommendation for LIF is also 1 (Strong Buy), reflecting high optimism from the brokerage community regarding its near-term price performance [7]. Group 3: Investment Strategy - The "Recent Price Strength" screen is a useful tool for investors looking to identify stocks with strong upward trends supported by solid fundamentals [3][8]. - The article suggests that there are multiple stocks passing through this screen, indicating a broader opportunity for trend-based investing [8].

June was another banner month for the stock market as investors reacted to solid economic data, diminishing concerns about the trade war, and an update from the Fed that showed it still planned to cut rates twice this year.The S&P 500 closed at an all-time high, and while the Dow Jones Industrial Average was short of its peak in December 2024, the blue chip index still finished with solid gains.The chart below shows how all three major indexes performed last month, finishing with solid gains. As you can see ...

Core Insights - Amazon.com has shown a trading pattern stabilizing through the pandemic, fluctuating between $150 to $200 until 2022, and then between $100 to $150 during the rate cut pressures of 2022-23, indicating potential buy and exit points around these figures [1]. Company Analysis - The trading range for Amazon has shifted from $150-$200 to $100-$150, suggesting a more volatile market environment influenced by macroeconomic factors [1]. - The analysis emphasizes a strategy of buying around $100 and exiting around $150, which reflects a tactical approach to capitalizing on price fluctuations [1]. Market Trends - The focus on macroeconomic trends and corporate earnings is highlighted, indicating that these factors are critical in understanding Amazon's stock performance and potential investment opportunities [1].

Aluminium output hits a new monthly high in May, encouraged by elevated smelter margins and robust demand: Aluminium output in May rose c5% y-o-y to 3.83mt and y-t-d is up 4%, supported by the improved smelter margin given the substantial decline in raw material prices y-t-d, Alumina (-32%) and thermal coal (-20%). China aluminium inventory dropped c400kt over the past three months despite the robust supply, indicating strong downstream demand. Aluminium industry fundamentals look solid backed by the 45mt p ...

Key Takeaways Thermal coal prices remain unchanged: QHD 5500 was flat WoW at Rmb660/t as of June 27. CCI 5500 was flat WoW at Rmb615/t, and BSPI was also flat WoW at Rmb663/t. Mine-mouth prices for Shanxi Datong 5800 increased 0.4% WoW to Rmb492/t. Seaborne price unchanged: NEWC price was flat WoW at US$107/t as of June 27. June 30, 2025 07:49 AM GMT China Coal | Asia Pacific Weekly Coal Update: Mild Price Rebound Coking coal prices increased slightly: Liulin No. 4 mine-mouth price was up 0.9% WoW to Rmb565 ...

When it comes to short-term investing or trading, they say "the trend is your friend." And there's no denying that this is the most profitable strategy. But making sure of the sustainability of a trend to profit from it is easier said than done.The trend often reverses before exiting the trade, leading to a short-term capital loss for investors. So, for a profitable trade, one should confirm factors such as sound fundamentals, positive earnings estimate revisions, etc. that could keep the momentum in the st ...

Group 1 - EQT is currently trading at $55.87, showing a 0.3% increase, but is struggling to recover from a recent decline from its peak of $61.02 on June 23 [1] - The stock has a support level at $55, which was previously a resistance level, and is following a historically bullish trendline just below this point [1] - Year-to-date, EQT shares have increased by 22%, indicating potential for further upward movement [1] Group 2 - According to Rocky White, EQT is within one standard deviation of its 50-day moving average, having been above this trendline in 8 of the last 10 trading days and spending 80% of the last two months above it [2] - Historical data shows that similar conditions have led to a 67% chance of the stock being higher one month later, with an average increase of 5.5% [2] - A comparable increase could bring EQT's price close to $60, nearing its record high [2] Group 3 - The current Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) for EQT is 34%, which ranks in the 12th percentile of its annual range, indicating that options traders are anticipating low volatility [3]