Global Commodities Research 13 June 2025 J P M O R G A N Global Commodities The Week in Commodities At Any Rate: Aluminum's premium paralysis Global Commodities Research Natasha Kaneva (1-212) 834-3175 natasha.kaneva@jpmorgan.com JPMorgan Chase Bank NA Tracey Allen (44-20) 7134-6732 tracey.l.allen@jpmorgan.com J.P. Morgan Securities plc This is a summary note that consolidates the latest views of our global commodity strategists published over the week; to read detailed reports, refer to the hyperlinks. It ...

Key Takeaways Phibro's Animal Health unit grew 42% with a standout 68% rise in MFAs and other product sales in fiscal Q3. Phibro saw 40% of fiscal Q3 revenues from international markets like Latin America, India and Southeast Asia. PAHC's Mineral Nutrition and Performance Products units posted double-digit sales growth recovery.Phibro Animal Health Corporation’s (PAHC) focus on advancing its Animal Health business is poised to drive growth in the upcoming quarters. The company’s global growth prospects lo ...

ab 13 June 2025 Global Research Global Strategy EM Credit: Mid-year Outlook - How to navigate 2H25 Fiscal dynamics, valuations and oil to weigh; US flows to partly offset Conflicting factors are pulling EM credit in different directions as the middle of the year approaches. On the macro side, EM fiscal G-R dynamics, taken as a whole, are weakening (point #1 below) while valuations are expensive again by historical standards (at least 1 STD below 10y avg. across all rating buckets, see Figure 1EM spreadnow g ...

June 13, 2025 06:50 AM GMT China Petroleum & Chemical Corp. | Asia Pacific Research Tactical Idea We believe the share price will rise in absolute terms over the next 15 days. This is because oil prices have risen sharply amid concerns over disruption in energy supplies from the Middle East. In our view, the share price could rebound after trading off on recent oil price weakness. We estimate that there is about a 70% to 80% (or "very likely") probability for the scenario. Estimated probabilities are illust ...

Group 1 - The airline industry has shown a significant recovery, with major players like Delta Air Lines, United Airlines, American Airlines, and Southwest Airlines experiencing stock price increases of 5.14%, 6.11%, 5.11%, and 1.48% respectively on June 17, 2025 [1] - The NYSE ARCA Airline index rose by 3.36% to $55.32, indicating a positive market reaction following the recovery [2] - The decline in oil prices, down about 2% due to easing tensions between Israel and Iran, has positively impacted the profitability outlook for airlines [4][5] Group 2 - The recent rise in airline stocks is viewed as a recovery from a downturn on June 13, 2025, when the NYSE ARCA Airline index fell by 4.3% amid geopolitical tensions that caused oil prices to surge by 7% [6][10] - The easing of the Israel-Iran conflict has alleviated fears of global oil supply disruptions, boosting investor confidence in the airline sector [5][8] - Despite the positive developments, the airline industry continues to face challenges such as delivery delays from Boeing and Airbus, fluctuating passenger demand, rising labor costs, and increased competition from low-cost carriers [9][10]

Company Overview - RTX Corporation, formerly Raytheon Technologies, specializes in avionics, mission systems, and advanced defense technologies, including aircraft engines, air and missile defense, smart weapons, sensors, and cybersecurity tools [9] - The company has seen its stock reach all-time highs, outperforming the market with a year-to-date increase of over 28% [8] Financial Performance - RTX has a strong track record of exceeding earnings estimates, with a trailing four-quarter average earnings beat of 9.9% [11] - Analysts project a 4.2% increase in earnings for RTX in 2025, with expected revenues of $84.1 billion [11] - The company has a substantial backlog of $92 billion as of Q1, indicating solid revenue growth prospects for its defense business [12] Industry Context - RTX is part of the Zacks Aerospace – Defense industry group, which ranks in the top 28% out of approximately 250 industry groups, suggesting a favorable environment for defense stocks [10] - Defense stocks, such as RTX, are viewed as a means to mitigate volatility associated with geopolitical conflicts [16]

M Idea The Viewpoint: When Will Higher Oil Prices Start to Affect Asia? Oil prices have spiked due to supply concerns but the effects on Asia should be manageable given a lower oil burden than before and moderate inflation. However, if oil prices move even higher to above US$85/bbl and a stronger USD is sustained, it may lead to delays in rate cuts. Key Takeaways In the event that oil prices rise above US$85/bbl in a sustained manner, on a relative basis within the region, Thailand, Korea, Taiwan, and India ...

[Musica] [Musica] [Applauso] [Musica] [Applauso] Quando incontriamo una persona che non conosciamo. Una delle prime domande che facciamo o che ci viene riposta è di dove sei. Dove abiti.Io, per esempio, sono nata a Trento e questo mi rende tecnicamente trentina. Ma che cosa racconta questo di me. Fin da piccola il luogo che ho abitato di più è stato la montagna.Ricordo come se fosse ieri le giornate trascorse nei boschi assieme a nonno poi nonna Amelia, le cugine e mia sorella in cerca di funghi. Ed è stato ...

In the morning of 11 Jun Mexico local time, Hengli hosted an opening ceremony at its Mexico plant, Monterrey, Mexico state of Nuevo León. Following the ceremony, Hengli will commence the production of the Mexico plant this month, starting with the excavator components for US clients. Mgmt. guided that the revenue of the Mexico plant targets could reach Rmb200mn-300mn in 2025, representing only 2%-3% of our 2025E revenue forecast. Although the sales and earnings contribution from the Mexico factory is limite ...

12 June 2025 | 9:22AM EDT US Daily: A Slightly Smaller Tariff Effect (Mericle) Jan Hatzius +1(212)902-0394 | jan.hatzius@gs.com Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC Alec Phillips +1(202)637-3746 | alec.phillips@gs.com Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC David Mericle +1(212)357-2619 | david.mericle@gs.com Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC Ronnie Walker +1(917)343-4543 | ronnie.walker@gs.com Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC Manuel Abecasis +1(212)902-8357 | manuel.abecasis@gs.com Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC Elsie Peng +1(212)357-3137 | elsie.peng@gs.com G ...