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伊以停火,九三大阅兵,A 股突破 3400!未来行情怎么看?
Xin Lang Ji Jin· 2025-06-25 00:24
Market Performance - A-shares experienced a significant increase, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 1.15%, and the CSI 300 up by 1.20%. The tech-focused STAR 50 and ChiNext Index rose by 2.30% and 1.79% respectively. The total trading volume reached approximately 1.45 trillion yuan, an increase of about 300 billion yuan compared to the previous day [1][2] - The Hong Kong market also saw notable gains, with the Hang Seng Index and Hang Seng Tech Index rising by 2.0% and 2.1% respectively [1] Catalysts for Market Surge - The market rally was driven by several favorable factors, including the announcement of a ceasefire between Israel and Palestine, which alleviated concerns over oil supply shortages and inflation. This led to a drop in oil prices by over 10% from their recent highs [2] - The Chinese government's announcement of a grand military parade for the 80th anniversary of the victory in the Anti-Japanese War boosted investor confidence, showcasing advancements in military technology [2] - Various sectors, particularly technology and finance, saw a resurgence as previous geopolitical tensions subsided, with companies like Tesla launching autonomous taxi services and advancements in solid-state battery production [2] Investor Sentiment and Future Outlook - Improved risk appetite in the A-share market is noted, with optimism stemming from breakthroughs in AI, military, and innovative pharmaceuticals, which have positively influenced both domestic and foreign investor perceptions [3] - The ongoing decline of the US dollar is expected to benefit Chinese assets, with A-shares and Hong Kong stocks likely to gain from increased liquidity [3] - Despite the positive outlook, uncertainties remain regarding tariff negotiations and signs of weakening in some economic indicators, which could impact future market performance [3] Investment Strategy - The focus should be on stable dividend-paying assets in a low-interest-rate environment, particularly in sectors that benefit from increased liquidity [3] - Attention should also be directed towards technology sectors and domestic demand-driven industries that are likely to experience significant policy and industry catalysts [3]
上海耀皮玻璃集团股份有限公司2024年年度权益分派实施公告
Core Viewpoint - The announcement details the cash dividend distribution plan for the fiscal year 2024 by Shanghai Yaopi Glass Group Co., Ltd, including specific amounts for A and B shares and the relevant tax implications for different types of shareholders [1][2][3]. Dividend Distribution Plan - The cash dividend for A shares is set at 0.007 RMB per share (pre-tax), while for B shares, it is 0.000975 USD per share (pre-tax) [2][4]. - The total cash dividend distribution amounts to 6,544,412.48 RMB based on the total share capital of 934,916,069 shares [4]. Relevant Dates - The profit distribution plan was approved at the annual shareholders' meeting held on June 13, 2025 [2]. Implementation Method - Cash dividends for A shares will be distributed through China Securities Depository and Clearing Corporation Limited, Shanghai Branch, to shareholders registered by the end of the trading day on the record date [5]. - For B shares, the cash dividends will be paid in USD, with the exchange rate set at 1 USD = 7.1789 RMB based on the central bank's rate on June 16, 2025 [9]. Tax Implications - For A share individual shareholders, the tax rate varies based on the holding period, with a maximum tax rate of 20% for shares held for one month or less, and no tax for shares held for over one year [6][10]. - For B share shareholders, a 10% corporate income tax will be withheld, resulting in a net dividend of 0.000878 USD per share for non-resident enterprises [9][11].
谁把小游戏玩成了“大蛋糕” 预计2025年,全国相关市场规模将突破600亿元
Shen Zhen Shang Bao· 2025-06-24 18:21
从早期的《跳一跳》,到曾经的爆款《羊了个羊》,再到近期火爆朋友圈的《拆螺丝》,经过近三年的 狂追猛赶,曾被视作"鄙视链底端"的小游戏市场,如今终于坐上了主流游戏产业的"牌桌"。 2014年,王旭日与几位腾讯同事离开大厂,创立深圳本土游戏公司大梦龙途。从早期主攻重度手游,到 2018年转型中轻度产品,如今,公司已成长为拥有超1200人团队的头部小游戏厂商,业务涵盖 MMORPG、ARPG、FPS、SLG等多个品类,累计注册用户超3亿,日活跃用户高达583万。 公司目前运营近10款重点小游戏,在国内外市场均实现"小程序+APP双端"布局。据悉,2024年,大梦 龙途依靠7款核心产品实现全球累计营收超15亿元。 以2024年上线的《向僵尸开炮》为例,该产品在中国港澳台以及新加坡和马来西亚等地上线首月即实现 1700万元收入,次月收入翻番,达3700万元。王旭日表示,这款产品的成功,正是研发+发行"双轮驱 动"的体现。 中国音像与数字出版协会游戏工委发布的数据也验证了这一点:2021年和2022年,国内小游戏市场规模 分别为27.5亿元和50亿元;2023年,小游戏收入同比暴增300%,达200亿元;2024年更进一 ...
从城中村刨冰摊到千亿茶饮帝国:蜜雪冰城创始人晋升河南新首富
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-24 16:41
Core Insights - The rise of Zhang Hongchao and Zhang Hongfu, founders of Mixue Ice City, as the "new richest" in Henan with a net worth of 117.9 billion yuan reflects a significant shift in China's consumer market, highlighting the potential for grassroots entrepreneurs to reshape the wealth landscape through "extreme cost performance" and "lower-tier market dividends" [2][11] Company Overview - Zhang Hongchao started with 3,000 yuan from his grandmother to set up a small ice stall in Zhengzhou, overcoming multiple relocations and failures before achieving success with a 1 yuan ice cream in 2005. His brother joined in 2007, with clear division of responsibilities: product development and supply chain management by Zhang Hongchao, and brand expansion by Zhang Hongfu [4] - Mixue Ice City has rapidly expanded from a local ice stall to the largest global beverage chain, driven by a core strategy of "low price + extreme supply chain," with key products like ice lemon water (4 yuan/cup) and ice cream (3 yuan/stick) dominating consumer preferences, selling a cumulative 9 billion cups by 2024 [5] Financial Performance - 99% of Mixue's revenue comes from selling raw materials and equipment to franchisees rather than franchise fees. In the first three quarters of 2024, the company reported revenue of 18.7 billion yuan, with 94.3% from product sales and a gross margin of 32.4%. Franchisees enjoy a gross margin of about 55% per cup, creating a "thin profit, high sales" cycle [7] - The company has established five production bases and 27 smart warehouses, achieving over 60% self-sufficiency in core raw materials, which allows it to maintain costs more than 20% lower than industry averages. The annual production capacity at its Henan base reached 500,000 tons in 2024, with the cost per cup of milk tea reduced to below 1 yuan [7][9] Market Context - The success of Mixue Ice City is closely tied to Henan's agricultural strengths, contributing significantly to the food industry, which has produced numerous wealthy individuals. The company benefits from lower raw material costs and a large consumer base in the lower-tier market of 100 million people [9] - The changing landscape of Henan's wealth, with Zhang brothers surpassing previous richest individuals, indicates the potential of the consumer sector in driving domestic demand. The New Fortune list shows that the daily consumer goods sector produced 53 billionaires, emphasizing the wealth creation opportunities in consumption upgrades and lower-tier markets [11] Brand and Cultural Impact - Mixue Ice City's branding, including its "Snow King" IP and catchy songs, has transcended commercial symbols to become a source of happiness for ordinary people, explaining its popularity among younger generations as a "national brand." The story of the Zhang brothers is set to be a significant chapter in Chinese business history, not just for their wealth but for making "sweetness" accessible to all [15]
高端商场黄金珠宝专家交流
2025-06-24 15:30
高端商场黄金珠宝专家交流 20250624 摘要 2025 年 1 月至 5 月,北京 SKP 中国黄金增速达 199%,主要受 4 月大 单驱动;剔除该因素,菜百、周大福等品牌增速在 30%-50%之间,反 映黄金品类整体增长态势。 新品牌如老凤祥通过提价预告、会员政策调整和新品研发,显著提升了 2025 年销售业绩,表明灵活的市场策略对品牌增长至关重要。 老铺凭借精湛工艺和黄金镶嵌优势,在 2025 年北京 SKP 销售额大幅增 长,4 月 SKPS 新店单月销售额达 7,000 万元,预计全年增速超 200%。 老铺客户画像稳定,客单价因涨价突破 3 万元,饰品销售占比 89%,女 性顾客占比 85%,与奢侈品和国际珠宝品牌客户重叠度上升至 38%。 北京 SKP 引入老凤祥、周大生国家宝藏等新品牌,月均业绩约 200 万元, 但国家宝藏表现较弱,表明品牌认知度和合作款式对业绩有直接影响。 美妆赛道整体承压,北京 SKP 美妆销售下降 5%,但成都市场表现强势, 总体增长 6%。毛戈平快闪店在北京 SKP 月均销售额达 400 万元。 未来五年黄金市场预计将保持红利期,受经济环境和消费者保守心态驱 动, ...
无风险利率1时代:低利率“围城”下,普通人的收息思路
天天基金网· 2025-06-24 11:29
以下文章来源于教你挖掘基 ,作者冰姐 教你挖掘基 . 投资理财有方法,我们手把手教你挖掘牛基~ 五年前,银行大额存单4%的利率曾让百万本金每年稳享4万元利息,足够支撑低物欲的长 期"躺平"。 而如今,同样的100万,年利息收入已缩水至1万元出头。 这个扎心的对比,正是低利率时代给普通人上的第一课——关于"财务自由"的叙事已经被彻底改写。 定期存款利率步入"1时代",而广义货币供应量仍在跟随GDP的正向发展滚滚前行。 如果在1990年将能在北京置换8平米住房的1万元存入银行,即便以能跑赢通胀的"CPI+1%"的收益率滚动至 今,其购买力也将缩水84%——从8平米萎缩至1.3平米。 (来源:国家统计局,Wind) 这就是低利率这场无声海啸正在淹没的,传统理财的舒适区。 当比拼认知成为新周期的注脚,普通人 还有哪些稳扎稳打的"收息"思路? 思路一:现金管理类产品"收息" 流动性的"安全垫" 投资的起点是管理好当下的生活,在充满不确定性的时代,保持资金的流动性正是抵御波动的第一道防 线。 货币基金 和 同业存单指数基金 构成了现金管理的基础工具,二者的基金风险评级都是 R1低风险 ,如 同金融市场的"活水",在提供存 ...
读研报 | 当杠铃两端同时出现了缩圈
中泰证券资管· 2025-06-24 10:46
宠粉节超宠你! 持有人参与,100%有奖!昨日又新增 2人抽中 Labubu,大疆口袋相机和金元宝 都还有余位噢! 国联民生证券的报告中提到,红利资产"缩圈"情况已经来到历史最极端的情况。因为如果分别计算高股息 资产与各类主流增强方向在过去2个季度的表现后可以发现,无论是一季度还是二季度,只配置银行行业 的高股息标的,可能是高股息各类配置方向中收益最高的。 另外,华宝证券的报告(发布于2025年6月5日)中提到,微盘股出现了"三高",分别是微盘股指数创历史 新高、微盘股成交占比连续上升至高位以及IM年化贴水率持续处于高位。 兴业证券的报告中提到,其基于银行与中证红利滚动40日收益差构建"红利缩圈指标",以及基于微盘与国 证2000滚动40日收益差构建的"小微盘缩圈指标"近期均来到历史高位,表明哑铃两端"缩圈"均已经来到了 较为极致的水平。历史上看,哑铃两端同时出现缩圈的现象并不多。 当然,尽管同时缩圈的情况不多,但在各自领域内缩圈情况也时有发生。只是"缩圈指标"对于不同板块标 动股价的指示意义似乎并不相同。 兴业证券的报告中提到,每当 "小微盘缩圈指标" 升至高位时,微盘股成交占比往往同步走高。此时微盘 交易 ...
珍酒李渡(06979.HK):立足长远 前瞻布局
Ge Long Hui· 2025-06-24 10:38
Core Viewpoint - The differentiation in the sauce liquor sector is intensifying, with leading companies benefiting from increased market concentration and strategic initiatives aimed at high-end product offerings and ESG compliance [1][4]. Group 1: Industry Dynamics - Since 2022, the liquor industry has entered an adjustment phase, leading to accelerated exit of small producers and creating opportunities for leading companies to gain market share [1]. - The company is focusing on inventory control, channel optimization, and a strategy centered on "high-end + sauce liquor benefits + ESG" to enhance its competitive edge [1]. Group 2: Financial Performance - In 2024, the company's operating net cash flow increased by 116% year-on-year to 780 million HKD, indicating improved cash flow and operational efficiency [2]. - The company declared a dividend of 0.21 HKD per share, with a payout ratio rising to 39%, reflecting significant improvement in shareholder returns [2]. - The overall gross margin increased by 0.6 percentage points to 58.6%, with core products maintaining stable pricing amidst industry-wide price reductions [2]. Group 3: Brand and Market Position - The company holds over 100,000 tons of quality base liquor, ranking third among Guizhou liquor producers, which creates a natural barrier for high-end product supply [1]. - Revenue from the core product "Zhen Jiu" was 4.48 billion HKD, down 2%, while "Li Du" revenue grew by 18% to 1.31 billion HKD, driven by a 25% increase in volume [2]. Group 4: Valuation and Future Outlook - The company's current valuation is at a historical low with a TTM price-to-earnings ratio of 14.8, significantly below its A-share peers and the average of the Hong Kong consumer sector [3]. - The company is expected to improve its operational efficiency and expand its product matrix, which will contribute to performance enhancement and valuation recovery by 2025 [3]. - Projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 1.5 billion, 1.66 billion, and 1.92 billion HKD respectively, with corresponding earnings per share of 0.44, 0.49, and 0.57 HKD [4].
“超强哑铃策略”再发力!银行AH优选ETF(517900)、中证2000增强ETF(159552)联袂上行,年内涨幅双双超20%
Ge Long Hui· 2025-06-24 10:31
Core Viewpoint - The banking sector and small-cap stocks are experiencing a resurgence, with specific ETFs showing significant year-to-date gains and attracting substantial net inflows, indicating a favorable investment environment [1][2][3]. Group 1: ETF Performance - The Bank AH Preferred ETF (517900) and the CSI 2000 Enhanced ETF (159552) have increased by 22.02% and 20.11% year-to-date, respectively, with recent net inflows of nearly 200 million over the past 10 days [1][2]. - The Bank AH Preferred ETF has a year-to-date decline of 21.94% and a 10-day increase of 0.63%, while the CSI 2000 Enhanced ETF has a year-to-date decline of 20.11% and a 10-day increase of 0.32% [2]. Group 2: Market Strategy - The Huachuang Strategy Team suggests that the current financial re-inflation phase in the bull market's first half allows for the release of small-cap growth potential, with a focus on dividend assets due to their stable cash flow and dividend capabilities [2]. - The latest report from Chuang Securities recommends a "barbell strategy" for asset allocation, combining high-dividend bank stocks with high-growth small-cap stocks, suitable for the current market's volatility and rapid style rotation [2][3]. Group 3: Investment Opportunities - The Bank AH Preferred ETF offers defensive characteristics through its undervaluation and high dividend yield, achieving a year-to-date increase of 20%, while the CSI 2000 Enhanced ETF captures small-cap growth opportunities through quantitative strategies, with cumulative returns exceeding 60% since inception [3]. - This investment strategy allows investors to benefit from the recovery of bank stocks driven by policy incentives while also participating in the growth potential of small-cap stocks, making it appropriate for the current uncertain market conditions [3].
基准约束下,构建新红利增长组合
证 券 研 究 报 告 基准约束下,构建新红利增长组合 证券分析师:杨俊文 A0230522070001 邓虎 A0230520070003 研究支持: 杨俊文 A0230522070001 2025.06.24 一、基准约束下调整红利增长组合 www.swsresearch.com 证券研究报告 2 ◼ 5月7日,中国证监会发布《推动公募基金高质量发展行动方案》(以下简称"《行动方案》"),其中明确提出强化业 绩比较基准的约束作用,基金公司评价体系、公司高管的考核以及基金经理的考核都将与业绩比较基准密切相关。以基 金经理为例:"对三年以上产品业绩低于业绩比较基准超过10个百分点的基金经理,要求其绩效薪酬应当明显下降;对 三年以上产品业绩显著超过业绩比较基准的基金经理,可以合理适度提高其绩效薪酬"。 ◼ 2016~2024年期间,原红利增长组合相对中证红利指数的年化跟踪误差为9.08%,新红利增长组合相对中证红利指数的 年化跟踪误差为5.82%。 www.swsresearch.com 证券研究报告 3 二、新红利增长组合的构建 ◼ 顺着预测分红增长的逻辑,从两个维度来展开: ◼ 维度一:过去三年分红比例稳定 ...