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美媒:日本汽车业预计因美关税损失超190亿美元,或将威胁日本经济转型
Huan Qiu Shi Bao· 2025-06-12 22:32
Group 1 - The U.S. government's auto tariffs are significantly impacting Japan's core industry, with Japanese automakers facing a profit loss exceeding $19 billion [1] - The price of Japanese cars exported to the U.S. dropped by 18.9% in May, marking the ninth consecutive month of decline, with the drop accelerating from 8.1% in April [1] - Major Japanese automakers, including Toyota, Honda, Mazda, and Subaru, are expected to face over $19 billion in profit losses this fiscal year due to U.S. tariffs, affecting not only large companies but also small and medium-sized suppliers [1] Group 2 - The automotive industry employs 5.58 million people in Japan, accounting for approximately 8.3% of the domestic workforce and 10% of the GDP [2] - Japan produces about 9 million vehicles annually, with 1.5 million exported to the U.S., making the U.S. the largest export destination for Japanese cars [2] - Japanese automakers have expressed intentions to increase investments and build new factories in the U.S. to negotiate tariff exemptions, but significant disagreements remain in ongoing tariff negotiations [2] Group 3 - Toyota has proposed a cooperation plan to sell American cars using its domestic sales network to mitigate the impact of U.S. tariffs, although previous attempts to do so were unsuccessful due to poor sales [3]
深圳新一轮综改“置顶”,不止于吸引顶尖科学家
21世纪经济报道· 2025-06-12 15:00
作 者丨陈思琦 编 辑丨孙超逸 图 源丨IC p h o t o "她同意全职来SMART那一刻,我对SMART的未来充满信心。"颜宁的期待,折射出深圳对全 球顶尖人才的独特磁吸力。 事实上,近年来顶尖学者加盟深圳的消息并不少见。去年,920名深圳学者入选全球前2%顶尖 科学家榜单,深圳研究与试验发展人员全时当量达46.1万人年、居全国城市之首。 6月首周,国际神经生物学专家陆伟、丹扬相继宣布全职加盟深圳医学科学院(SMART)。 6月10日,中办、国办印发《关于深入推进深圳综合改革试点深化改革创新扩大开放的意见》 (以下简称《意见》)。 深圳新一轮综改试点明确四方面改革任务,"教育科技人才体制机制一体改革"被置于首位,堪 称"置顶"。 这一改革远非简单的区域试点试验,随着以人工智能为代表的第四次科技革命的 到来,其深层价值在于回答时代命题:科研自由与举国体制如何兼容,市场效率 与基础研究如何平衡。 深圳理工大学校长樊建平接受南方财经记者采访时表示,如今的科技创新不再简单遵循从科学 到技术、从技术到产业的"0-1-10-∞"线性传导,而是演化为一个复杂多维的动态网络,高校、 科研机构、企业等各个节点的创新主体 ...
商务部说稀土出口批了一部分 !
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-12 14:52
Group 1 - The Chinese government has approved a batch of rare earth export applications, emphasizing compliance with strict regulations [1][3] - China produces over 90% of the world's rare earth elements, making the export approvals significant for global supply chains, particularly for the U.S. semiconductor industry [3][5] - The recent U.S.-China economic talks in London aimed to establish a preliminary consensus on cooperation, with both sides expressing their needs regarding rare earth supply stability [1][3][5] Group 2 - Other countries, such as the EU and Japan, are actively seeking alternatives to reduce reliance on Chinese rare earths, with the EU planning a critical raw materials act and Japan developing recycling technologies [5][7] - Environmental concerns have led to stricter approval processes for rare earth mining in China, particularly in regions like Inner Mongolia, where past pollution issues were significant [8] - The ongoing U.S.-China discussions are expected to continue, focusing on finding a balance in rare earth supply while adhering to established regulations [7][8]
碳酸锂开工率升至58%,市场博弈加剧,逢高沽空成主流|大宗风云
Hua Xia Shi Bao· 2025-06-12 13:22
继5月29日碳酸锂期货价格跌破6万元/吨关口后,市场对其触底的预期持续升温。每当碳酸锂期货盘中大幅拉升, 各大期货交易群内投资者都会展开激烈讨论。6月11日午后,碳酸锂期货价格出现快速走高,随着期货价格的大幅 拉升,投资者的交易热情再度被点燃。然而,投资者跑步进场之际,6月12日碳酸锂期货低开低走,再度下跌,令 市场陷入困惑。 "6月11日碳酸锂期货上涨,主因津巴布韦计划2027年起禁止锂精矿出口,叠加现货市场收货消息扰动,期货早盘 震荡偏强,午后拉涨至62100元/吨高点,随后价格回落。不过,从基本面看,资源端并无停减产动作,碳酸锂过 剩压力持续,这进一步导致6月12日期货价格回落。"光大期货有色研究员朱希接受《华夏时报》记者采访时表 示。 与此同时,创元期货分析师余烁在接受《华夏时报》记者采访时也表示,6—8月为传统淡季,碳酸锂需求增速通 常有限。期货下跌之后,碳酸锂现货成交边际转好,中下游存在低价采购行为,盘面仓单少量流出。总体而言, 低价刺激现货成交,但中下游仍以刚需采购为主,主动囤货意愿低迷。 不过,记者发现,新能源车销量仍在持续增长。6月11日中国汽车工业协会最新数据显示,今年前5个月,汽车产 销 ...
瑞达期货沪锌产业日报-20250612
Rui Da Qi Huo· 2025-06-12 08:54
| | | 沪锌产业日报 2025-06-12 | 项目类别 | 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 期货市场 | 沪锌主力合约收盘价(日,元/吨) | 22085 | -55 07-08月合约价差:沪锌(日,元/吨) | 255 | 20 | | | LME三个月锌报价(日,美元/吨) | 2651 | -7.5 沪锌总持仓量(日,手) | 277184 | 1524 | | | 沪锌前20名净持仓(日,手) | 3245 | -2593 沪锌仓单(日,吨) | 5133 | 2058 | | | 上期所库存(周,吨) | 47012 | 4702 LME库存(日,吨) | 132025 | -550 | | 现货市场 | 上海有色网0#锌现货价(日,元/吨) | 22310 | 10 长江有色市场1#锌现货价(日,元/吨) | 22400 | 0 | | | ZN主力合约基差(日,元/吨) | 225 | 65 LME锌升贴水(0-3)(日,美元/吨) | -32.08 | 0.97 | | | 昆 ...
油价新锚点——美国页岩油盈亏平衡点 | 投研报告
Core Viewpoint - The report highlights the sensitivity of U.S. shale oil activity to oil prices, particularly under $60 per barrel, indicating that a $1 change in WTI price could risk 4-5 drilling rigs and 2-3 hydraulic fracturing platforms [1][3]. Group 1: Oil Price Impact - The IEA model shows a better linear relationship between the number of rigs and the lagged WTI price when the price is below $60 [1][3]. - In April-May 2025, WTI oil prices fell by approximately $10 per barrel, leading to a notable decline in the number of U.S. drilling rigs [1][3]. - By early June, the number of oil rigs decreased by 42 compared to the end of March, while natural gas rigs increased by 11 [1][3]. Group 2: Capital Expenditure Adjustments - U.S. shale oil companies have been maintaining capital expenditure discipline, with many lowering their annual capital expenditure guidance following the drop in oil prices [2]. - Despite the reduction in capital expenditure guidance, the production guidance for oil and gas remained largely unchanged, although some companies plan to reduce oil rig counts while increasing natural gas rig counts [2]. Group 3: Production Costs and Breakeven Points - In Q1 2025, shale oil production costs continued to experience deflation, attributed to reduced rig counts, lower oil prices, and declining service costs [4]. - The latest analysis indicates that the breakeven oil prices for major shale oil companies range from $45 to $62 per barrel, with an average of $54 per barrel, slightly lower than in 2024 [5]. - The highest breakeven point is noted for Western Oil at $62 per barrel [5]. Group 4: Production Willingness - Shale oil companies are likely to increase production only if oil prices rise to the $65-$70 range [7]. - In the $50-$60 range, companies may maintain current activity levels but could slightly reduce rig counts while focusing on efficiency [7]. - Below $50, a significant reduction in production is anticipated [7].
高盛最新发声:对中国资产兴趣上升
天天基金网· 2025-06-12 07:09
根据 Dealogic 数据, 2025 年以来,高盛位列中资发行人海外股票资本市场融资规模首 位,市场份额达 21.7% 。高盛主导或参与了布鲁可、古茗、蜜雪冰城等港股 IPO 项目,宁 德时代、比亚迪、小米增发项目,以及中国石化集团、百度、小米可交换债等项目。 6 月 11 日下午,高盛亚洲(日本除外)股票资本市场联席主管王亚军在媒体交流会上表示, 美国关税政策并未影响国际长线资金对中国资产的兴趣,今年的港股 IPO 项目持续受到国际 长线资金追捧,尤其对消费类企业及部分科技企业兴趣浓厚。 资金回流香港的大背景是全球资产再平衡。中国香港之外,印度等也实现了外资净流入。 王 亚军认为,美元币值被市场普遍认为高估了 15% ~ 20% ,美元面临贬值压力。 在此背景 下,部分国际投资者将资金从美国分散到其他市场。 港股市场复苏的动力包括以下方面:第一,中国经济政策与科技发展。 宏观经济政策和科技 突破重塑国际投资者对中国资产的信心。 监管层加速 IPO 备案,尤其是 "A+H" 公司审批效 率显著提升。 第二,优质企业与市场回报优异。市场数据显示, 2025 年港股 IPO 打新平均收益达 37%,70% 的 ...
光大期货碳酸锂日报-20250612
Guang Da Qi Huo· 2025-06-12 06:34
碳酸锂日报 碳酸锂日报(2025 年 6 月 12 日) 一、研究观点 点 评 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 EVERBRIGHT FUTURES 1 1. 昨日碳酸锂期货 2507 合约涨 1.68%至 61680 元/吨。现货价格方面,电池级碳酸锂平均价涨 150 元/ 吨至 60500 元/吨,工业级碳酸锂平均价涨 150 元/吨至 58900 元/吨,电池级氢氧化锂(粗颗粒)下 跌 300 元/吨至 60900 元/吨,电池级氢氧化锂(微粉)跌 300 元/吨至 66050 元/吨。仓单方面,昨 日仓单库存减少 110 吨至 32837 吨。 2. 价格方面,锂矿价格有止跌迹象。供应端,周度产量环比增加,6 月产量供应环比增速明显。需求 端,据各家初步排产数据来看增量不显。库存端,周度库存重回增加,下游小幅减少,上游和中间 环节有所增加。综合来看,需要考虑的是,一方面,当前矿山端并未有新的停减产动作,同时,从 国内排产来看,6 月过剩格局将进一步扩大;另一方面,锂矿的价格表现相对滞后,如果锂盐价格 快速走强,生产和套保动力将再次显现,对价格进一步产生压力,就目前来看,锂矿库存已经得到 一定消化。 ...
【武契奇澄清没有背叛俄罗斯】6月12日讯,周三,塞尔维亚总统武契奇出席在敖德萨举行的乌克兰-东南欧峰会并与乌总统泽连斯基会晤。路透社指出,这是其执政12年来首次访乌。\"我背叛了谁?俄罗斯吗?具体表现在哪里?\"武契奇在回应记者提问时反问道。他特别强调拒绝签署峰会最终声明,该声明谴责俄罗斯并支持乌克兰加入北约。\"这是我第四次参加该峰会,也是第四次成为唯一拒绝签署声明的领导人。\"武契奇表示,塞尔维亚将继续保持与乌克兰和俄罗斯的平衡外交,\"我为塞尔维亚的独立自主政策感到自豪,这一立场不会改变\"。
news flash· 2025-06-12 05:30
金十数据6月12日讯,周三,塞尔维亚总统武契奇出席在敖德萨举行的乌克兰-东南欧峰会并与乌总统泽 连斯基会晤。路透社指出,这是其执政12年来首次访乌。"我背叛了谁?俄罗斯吗?具体表现在哪 里?"武契奇在回应记者提问时反问道。他特别强调拒绝签署峰会最终声明,该声明谴责俄罗斯并支持 乌克兰加入北约。"这是我第四次参加该峰会,也是第四次成为唯一拒绝签署声明的领导人。"武契奇表 示,塞尔维亚将继续保持与乌克兰和俄罗斯的平衡外交,"我为塞尔维亚的独立自主政策感到自豪,这 一立场不会改变"。 武契奇澄清没有背叛俄罗斯 ...
云南一景区禁止采摘野生荷花:违法行为破坏了生态平衡
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-06-12 05:28
Core Viewpoint - The illegal harvesting of wild lotus flowers in the Puzhehei Scenic Area of Yunnan has been reported, posing a significant threat to local ecological balance due to increasing demand in the flower market and catering industry [2][4]. Group 1: Illegal Harvesting Activities - On June 11, the Puzhehei Scenic Area Comprehensive Development Center announced the discovery of illegal harvesting of wild lotus flowers, resulting in the confiscation of 351 lotus flowers and 131 lotus pods [2][4]. - The center has initiated strict measures against illegal harvesting, emphasizing that such actions violate the local ecological protection regulations [2][4]. Group 2: Regulatory Framework - An announcement was made on June 10, prohibiting the illegal harvesting and trading of wild lotus flowers, lotus leaves, and lotus seeds within the scenic area [4]. - The regulations state that any unauthorized harvesting or fishing activities will be subject to penalties, and severe cases may lead to criminal charges [4]. Group 3: Monitoring and Enforcement - The development center plans to enhance patrols and inspections, particularly in key water areas and during critical times, utilizing advanced technologies such as drones and monitoring equipment for real-time surveillance [4]. - Initial responses to illegal harvesting will focus on education, with fines imposed for repeat offenses [4].