中国基金报记者 曹雯璟 【导读】 部分次新基金快速建仓，搭上市场"快车"业绩亮眼 今年以来，不少次新权益基金逆势布局，把握住市场反弹机会，取得亮眼业绩，成立以来单 位净值涨幅超20%。 多位业内人士表示，下半年主要布局AI、高端制造、周期成长、红利资产等方向。 部分次新基金快速建仓 收获颇丰 4月以来，A股市场走出一波震荡反弹行情。Wind数据显示，4月8日至6月19日，上证指数上 涨8.5%，创业板指涨幅超11%。港股市场表现更为突出，同期恒生指数累计上涨超18%，恒 生科技指数涨超16%。 汇丰晋信基金股票研究总监、基金经理闵良超表示，在政策支持下，中国经济基本面积极修 复；一系列不确定性风险，如关税争端等逐渐落地和被市场消化。长期来看，A股市场估值仍 处于历史相对低位，在全球主要市场中属于相对的估值洼地，具备较高的投资价值。 闵良超相对看好三类机遇：一是纠偏。高风险溢价的持续时间会比较长，供给受约束的顺周 期行业有望迎来盈利和估值的修复。二是破局。今年中游环节的供需格局逐渐改善，相关企 业盈利有望迎来量价齐升。三是重构。增速换挡之后，高分红、高回购公司估值体系有望迎 来重构，进而被更充分地定价。 市场反 ...

策略报告 | 投资策略 A 股策略周思考 证券研究报告 以稳应变，防守反击 市场思考：近期宏观及高频数据表现如何？ 经济基本面高频指标跟踪：一财高频经济活动指数 5 月探底回升后 6 月转 入震荡，指数始终维持在"1"以上，EPMI 超季节性走弱，6 月 EPMI 明显 低于 2020 年-2024 年同期水平。地产方面，2024 年末翘尾行情过后，近期 楼市成交偏平淡。汽车方面，受益于"两新"政策，汽车市场稳步回暖，汽 车轮胎开工表现强于季节性。生产方面，螺纹钢库存延续去化路径，其余中 游高频指标多数平稳回升，唐山高炉开工率 5 月升至近年高点，涤纶长丝开 工率、PTA 开工率表现强于季节性。贸易方面，集运指数（欧线）期货 5/19 回升至 2000 点，随后围绕 2000 点震荡，其标的现货指数 SCFIS 欧洲 航线 6 月起反弹回升，SCFI 综合指数 5 月快速走高、6 月震荡上行。 国内：5 月 3 大经济数据表现分化，财政收支小幅回落 1）5 月 3 大经济数据表现分化，其中工业、社消高于万得预期，投资回落 且低于预期，工业增加值同比 5.8%，预期 5.66%，前值 6.1%，社消同比 6.4 ...

Core Viewpoints - The automotive sector remains optimistic, focusing on three main lines: dividends, intelligentization, and robotics [5][11] - The market's performance in the automotive sector has been generally average, with various sub-sectors experiencing different levels of decline, while the bus segment performed relatively well [5][11] Weekly Review Summary - In the second week of June, the compulsory insurance for vehicles reached 451,000 units, with a week-on-week increase of 27% and a month-on-month increase of 18.2% [9][45] - The performance of sub-sectors ranked as follows: SW commercial passenger vehicles (+4.3%), SW passenger vehicles (-2.1%), SW automobiles (-2.6%), SW auto parts (-2.6%), SW commercial cargo vehicles (-3.0%), and SW motorcycles and others (-4.2%) [9][11] Industry Core Changes - New models such as the Ideal i6, Equation Leopard Titanium 7, and Lynk & Co 10 EMP (Z10 plug-in hybrid version) have been registered with the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology [4][10] - Top Group has postponed the production of interior functional components and thermal management projects in Ningbo, reallocating some funds to a project in Thailand [4][10] - Feilong Co. has received small orders for high-power electronic water pumps for data centers from a well-known Taiwanese provider [4][10] Current Configuration of the Automotive Sector - Emphasis on technological innovation as essential for healthy development in the automotive sector, with a focus on three main lines for 2025: AI robotics, AI intelligentization, and dividends & good patterns [6][11] - Recommended stocks for the dividend & good pattern line include Yutong Bus, China National Heavy Duty Truck, and several auto parts manufacturers [6][11] - For the AI intelligentization line, preferred stocks include Xpeng Motors, Li Auto, and BYD, with a focus on specific auto parts companies [6][11] Market Performance and Trends - The automotive sector's performance in A-shares ranked 23rd this week, while in Hong Kong, it ranked 16th [14][15] - The overall decline in the automotive sector is noted, with SW commercial passenger vehicles showing the best performance among sub-sectors [16][28] Sales and Forecasts - The total weekly insurance data for passenger vehicles reached 451,000 units, with new energy vehicles accounting for 249,000 units, reflecting a penetration rate of 55.2% [45] - Forecasts for 2025 suggest a retail sales expectation of 23.69 million units, with a year-on-year growth of 4.1% [46][47] - The heavy truck segment is expected to see an increase in sales, with predictions of 700,000 units for domestic sales in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 16.3% [50][51] Robotics Sector Insights - The robotics sector is anticipated to experience significant growth, with a focus on humanoid robots and related components [59] - Key companies in the robotics sector include Top Group and Junsheng Electronics, with ongoing developments in humanoid robot production [59][60]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the automotive sector, emphasizing continued optimism for the industry [1][5]. Core Insights - The automotive sector is expected to benefit from policies such as the continuation of national subsidies and the implementation of a vehicle trade-in program throughout the year [5][49]. - The report highlights three main investment themes: dividends, smart technology, and robotics, with a focus on innovation as a key driver for healthy industry development [5][52]. - The report anticipates a retail sales forecast of 23.69 million units for 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 4.1% [49][50]. Weekly Review - In the second week of June, the total number of passenger car insurance registrations reached 451,000 units, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 27% and a month-on-month increase of 18.2% [2][48]. - The report notes that the commercial passenger vehicle segment performed the best among various automotive sub-sectors, despite an overall decline in the automotive sector [9][17]. - The report identifies key stocks that performed well, including China National Heavy Duty Truck Group, Ruihu Mould, and Luxshare Precision [2][24]. Market Performance - The automotive sector ranked 23rd in A-shares and 16th in Hong Kong stocks for the week, indicating a relatively weaker performance compared to other sectors [9][11]. - The report provides insights into the valuation metrics, noting that the price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) for the automotive sector is at 1.31 times the trailing twelve months (TTM) earnings [34][38]. Industry Trends - The report highlights the expected growth in the new energy vehicle (NEV) segment, projecting a total of 1.435 million NEV passenger cars sold in 2025, with a penetration rate of 60.6% [50][53]. - The competition in the smart driving segment is expected to intensify, with L3 automation penetration projected to reach 27% by 2025 [52][53]. - The heavy truck segment is forecasted to see a 16.3% year-on-year increase in domestic sales, supported by demand for vehicle updates and potential policy stimuli [54][59].

Group 1 - China Galaxy Securities predicts that the overall A-share market will show a震荡向上的行情特征 in the second half of the year, with current valuations at a historical medium level and lower than overseas mature markets, indicating high investment cost-effectiveness [1] - The firm emphasizes that policy support for long-term capital entering the market and the expansion of equity public funds will likely maintain a stable and improving capital environment for A-shares [1] - The focus on technology innovation as a core driver for new supply-side reforms in A-shares is highlighted, with specific attention to sectors like AI computing, AI applications, and innovative pharmaceuticals [1] Group 2 - CITIC Securities characterizes the upcoming mid-term report season as having a risk preference decline and weak fundamentals, suggesting a focus on the North American AI hardware supply chain despite recent pullbacks [2] - The firm identifies sectors with strong mid-term report performance certainty, including wind power, gaming, and rare metals, while also noting that some segments in new energy have reached reasonable valuation levels [2] - Recommendations include considering banks that continue to attract capital inflows as a relatively stable investment choice [2] Group 3 - Huajin Securities advises focusing on valuation cost-effectiveness and balancing investments between technology growth and undervalued blue-chip stocks, given the positive domestic policies and liquidity conditions [3] - The firm points out that sectors like media, automotive, and power equipment have low transaction volumes and turnover rates, indicating potential for sentiment recovery [3] - Short-term focus is suggested on industries supported by policies and trends, such as new energy vehicles and financial services [3] Group 4 - Hua'an Securities maintains a positive outlook for the second half of the year on high-dividend sectors like banking and insurance, as well as industries represented by new metal materials [4] - The firm notes that while loose liquidity supports the market, slow internal growth recovery and policy considerations may limit rapid upward movement [4] - The overall A-share profit forecast indicates a trend of improvement starting from Q4 2024, which could be a significant factor for market upward breakthroughs [4]

Core Viewpoint - China Galaxy Securities predicts that the A-share market will exhibit a fluctuating upward trend in the second half of 2025, supported by favorable valuation levels and policy measures aimed at increasing long-term capital inflow [1] Group 1: Market Valuation and Trends - Current A-share valuations are at a historical medium level and are relatively low compared to overseas mature markets, indicating a high investment cost-performance ratio due to risk premiums and dividend yields [1] - The overall market is expected to show a fluctuating upward trend in the second half of 2025, although attention should be paid to uncertainties from overseas and the pace of domestic economic recovery [1] Group 2: Policy and Capital Inflow - Policies are being implemented to encourage long-term capital to enter the market, alongside the expansion of equity public funds and supportive policy tools, which are likely to maintain a stable and improving capital environment for A-shares [1] Group 3: Sector Focus - Technology innovation is identified as the core driver for the new supply-side reform in A-shares, with the TMT sector experiencing a decrease in crowding and a recovery in first-quarter activity, leading to accelerated capital expenditure in specific sub-industries [1] - Investment opportunities are suggested in areas such as AI computing power, AI applications, embodied intelligence, and innovative pharmaceuticals [1] - Defensive assets like dividend stocks are highlighted for their protective attributes, with state-owned enterprises offering high dividend yields aligning well with medium to long-term capital allocation needs [1]

从创投明星企业布鲁可、蜜雪冰城接连登陆港股，到A股龙头公司宁德时代、恒瑞医药完 成"A+H"股上市，今年以来，港股市场正迎来空前热度。 数据显示，2025年1-4月份，已经有19家企业完成港股上市，同比增长4家；募集资金213 亿港元，接近去年同期的3倍。截至5月20日，共有24家公司在香港主板上市，合计募集资金 超过600亿港元。同时，目前在香港排队上市的企业数量，已经达到了约150家。 "很多消费品牌早就具备了上市条件，就是在等待这样的窗口期。同时，受益于DeepSeek、 宇树科技标志性崛起，带动的资本对于中国科技概念公司的重估，硬科技企业也加快了赴港上 市。"一位长期关注港股市场的创投机构合伙人对21世纪经济报道记者说。 21世纪经济报道记者统计发现，诸多创投机构正在这波港股资本盛宴中获得丰厚回报。在消费 赛道，泡泡玛特、蜜雪冰城、老铺黄金这港股"新消费三姐妹"背后，有红杉、高瓴等知名机 构，美团龙珠等产业资本，以及蜂巧资本、黑蚁资本等聚焦消费领域的垂直机构。 同时，今年新上市的布鲁可，目前市值已经接近400亿港元，君联资本是布鲁可最大的机构股 东；沪上阿姨上市首日股价大涨四成，后续股价有所回落，公司 ...

A股融资余额连续9日超1.8万亿元 东方财富Choice数据显示，6月9日至6月19日期间，A股融资余额连续9日站上1.8万亿元大关，其中6月18日达 到峰值18166.59亿元。 拉长时间来看，2024年2月至9月，A股沪深京三市融资余额基本维持在1.3万亿元至1.5万亿元的水平，自2024 年10月起开始抬升至1.5万亿元以上，11月中下旬站上1.8万亿元关卡。 今年以来，A股融资余额有所波动，3月中下旬曾一度冲至1.9万亿元的高位，4月中旬至6月初又回落至1.8万亿 元以下，直至6月9日再次站上1.8万亿元。 从杠杆资金每日买入动能来看，6月9日至6月19日期间，连续9个交易日融资资金单日买入额超过1000亿元，其 中6月10日融资买入额高达1267.5亿元，成为近两周峰值。 从融资资金单日净买入额来看，本周前三天（6月16日至6月18日）为净买入，这三日的净买入额分别为55.92 亿元、52.71亿元、13.39亿元；而6月19日则偿还额大于买入额，净买入额为-74.79亿元。 近期，杠杆资金持续活跃。根据交易所披露的最新数据，截至6月19日，A股沪深京三市融资余额连续9日 站上1.8万亿元大关，相比 ...

大家好，我是银行螺丝钉，欢迎来到这期的螺丝钉带你读书。 「螺丝钉带你读书」也陪伴大家度过了三百多期，为大家讲解了很多有趣、经典的书籍和故事，比如《三十几岁，财务自由》、《如何读一本 书》、《战胜拖延症》等等。 还为大家详细介绍了几位投资大师：股神巴菲特、他的好搭档查理芒格和指数基金之父约翰博格。分享了他们的人生经历、投资生涯和投资的理 念。 大家可以点击下面链接查看部分螺丝钉带你读书合集： 《 世界读书日，螺丝钉送你121本私藏经典好书 》 往期回顾 第一篇：《 为什么高收入可能不会持续：从行业红利到时代红利 》 努力的定义是渐进式创新，而不是简单的重复。 咱们之前也介绍过，哪怕是一件小事，也要想有没有什么方式，可以做的更好。 如果持续在一个方向上做微创新，久而久之，自然会成为这个领域的高手。 第二篇：《 没有明显机会时，我们要躺平还是卷起来？ 》 第三篇：《 想要提升收入，该选什么样的行业呢？ 》 不用换工作，也能提升自己的收入 这几期螺丝钉带你读书，介绍的是一本挺有意思的书《觉醒吧，薪人类》。 上一篇，我们提到为了提高收入，如何选从事的行业。 总结三个关键词：长坡（有较长寿命，行业天花板高）、厚雪（离钱近 ...

风险提示：本文所提到的观点仅代表个人的意见，所涉及标的不作推荐，据此买卖，风险自负。 以下文章来源于府库 ，作者府库 府库 . 规划投资理财，温暖幸福生活 在聊到自己的资产配置情况时 ， 大家总会有很大的不同 ， 还有很多朋友会提出疑问 ， " 为什 么没有选择商品资产 " 、 " 为什么不用红利来替代宽基指数 " 、 " 为什么选择投顾组合 ， 是 不是有更高成本损耗 " 等等一系列的问题 。 大卫 · 史文森有讲到 ， 投资者可以使用到的三种投资工具分别是资产配置 、 选股与择时 。 像 红利 、 科技都是在资产类别上风格的偏离 ， 不同的投资策略也是主观的择时控制 ， 没有对错 或者更好 ， 只是个人的一种选择 。 在罗杰 · 伊博森的研究中 ， 机构投资组合收益波动的90% 以上都可归因于资产配置 。 投资并不是数字游戏 ， 资产配置本质上是一种对世界认知的表达 。 每个人的经历不同 、 环境 不同 ， 对于世界的理解和预期自然不同 ， 这就导致了资产配置必然因人而异 。 在选择资产类 别和比例时 ， 其实是在向外界展示我们如何看待未来 ， 如何理解风险 ， 以及属于我的人生目 标是什么 。 投资有时 ...