Well, for more on how all of this could impact the markets going forward, let's bring in Wilmington Trust investment advisors Tony Roth and innovator ETS chief investment strategist Tim Urbanowitz. Guys, good afternoon. Uh Tim, major averages have been holding steady despite uh this geopolitical conflict.S&P around 6,000. I know folks don't want to panic sell, but should they keep buying here. Well, John, you definitely don't want to panic sell.And really the the move higher that we saw today is really text ...

Joining us now to discuss is M Max Max Leighton. He's City's global head of commodities research. Yeah, Max, what do you make of the pullback.Uh, does it make sense to you. I had thought we would be a bit stronger today. I mean, over the weekend, some of the the betting markets were showing a rising possibility of the uh straight of Hormuz being affected.And yeah, I would have thought it would have been a bit stronger this morning, but um clearly there was a lot of short covering, a lot of call buying on Fr ...

Key Takeaways Crude surged over 7% Friday after Israeli airstrikes hit key Iranian nuclear and energy infrastructure. CIVI, APA and FANG rose as oil markets priced in heightened geopolitical risk and supply concerns. Iran threats to the Strait of Hormuz and Israeli gas platform shutdowns compound global energy market fears.The Middle East is once again at the heart of global energy turbulence. In a dramatic escalation, Israel launched coordinated airstrikes on Iranian nuclear and energy infrastructure — r ...

Key Takeaways CVX has shut down the Leviathan gas field due to Israeli security directives tied to regional tensions. The halt ends exports to Egypt, intensifying energy strain and disrupting Mediterranean-Europe gas flows. Plans to expand Leviathan's output to 21 bcm annually are now suspended amid escalating geopolitical risks.Chevron Corporation (CVX) , a Houston, TX-based integrated oil and gas company, has confirmed the complete shutdown of its massive Leviathan gas field, situated in the Levant Basi ...

I just laid out a laundry list of potential catalysts and factors at play. Can you tell us why the markets are not reacting more forcefully to everything going on domestically and abroad. I it's really quite a moment when you look at the constellation of of geopolitical risks.But one thing that I can say with the perspective of covering geopolitics and markets for 25 years is that the perceived importance of Middle East conflict and its relationship to the oil price has um declined over time. But I think in ...

I want to start with the worst case scenario, something that most analysts are saying isn't really likely. Let's say there is a complete disruption to Iranian oil supply and a closure of the Strait of Hormuz. How high does the oil price rise.Morning. Yeah, I think fair to say that's not a base case, but if you're talking about really extreme scenarios, we've considered a case where even if only very temporary, oil prices could get, for example, above $200 a barrel. And if you're just looking at historic rel ...

15 June 2025 | 12:54PM HKT China Transportation Impact of potential Iran oil supply disruption - higher fuel cost for airlines and higher compliant tanker fleet demand Goldman Sachs China Transportation The Brent oil price has risen 12% over the past week to $74/bbl following escalating tensions in the Middle East and Israeli strikes targeting Iran's nuclear program. Our commodities team sees a higher geopolitical risk premium in the near term, while they still assume no disruptions to oil supply in the Mid ...

J P M O R G A N Global Commodities Research 12 June 2025 Oil Markets Weekly 7% probability of something that has never happened Oil surged as much as 5% on reports that the US embassy in Iraq is preparing to be evacuated in response to heightened security risks in the region. Concurrently, the US State Department announced plans to order non-essential embassy personnel and their families to leave Bahrain and Kuwait, and the British Navy issued a rare warning to ships in the region, stating it "has been made ...

Global Commodities Research 13 June 2025 Oil Flash Note J P M O R G A N Israel's attack on Iran raises worst-case scenario probability to 17% Israel launched a wide-ranging attack on Iran's nuclear program and military leadership overnight, striking dozens of targets in an operation that pushes the region into a new conflict with uncertain consequences. While the initial attack avoided energy targets, the Israeli offensive could extend over several days, with Iran vowing to retaliate, potentially having a s ...

13 June 2025 | 6:19AM EDT Oil Comment: Higher Risk Premium Near Term; Unchanged 2026 Forecast +1(212)357-4172 | daan.struyven@gs.com Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC Ephraim Sutherland Daan Struyven +1(972)368-0395 | ephraim.sutherland@gs.com Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC Yulia Zhestkova Grigsby +1(646)446-3905 | yulia.grigsby@gs.com Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC Investors should consider this report as only a single factor in making their investment decision. For Reg AC certification and other important disclosures, see the Di ...