更多资料加入知识星球：水木调研纪要 关注公众号：水木纪要 April 28, 2025 10:12 AM GMT CGN Power Co., Ltd | Asia Pacific M Update Takeaways from 1Q25 Conference Call Key Takeaways Market tariff: The overall market tariff for CGN was Rmb0.36/kwh, down 3.46 cents YoY. In 1Q25, Guangdong had 36.5% market volume, up 8.7 ppts; the larger- than-expected power tariff decline was mainly due to spot market trading, according to management. In 1Q24, CGN had net spot market power procurement of ~400 mn kwh and reached a margin of over 10 cents/kwh ...

Core Viewpoint - The black metal sector in the domestic futures market experienced a decline across all major commodities as of April 30, with significant drops in prices for manganese silicon, iron ore, hot-rolled coil, and silicon iron [1] Price Movements - Manganese silicon futures fell by 1.28%, settling at 5714.00 CNY/ton - Iron ore futures decreased by 0.85%, reaching 703.00 CNY/ton - Hot-rolled coil futures dropped by 0.65%, priced at 3197.00 CNY/ton - Silicon iron futures declined by 0.71%, now at 5592.00 CNY/ton [1] Warehouse Inventory Data - As of April 29, rebar futures warehouse inventory stood at 199,647 tons, unchanged from the previous period - Iron ore futures warehouse inventory was at 3,200 contracts, also unchanged - Stainless steel futures warehouse inventory decreased by 1,799 tons to 163,143 tons - Hot-rolled coil futures warehouse inventory fell by 2,653 tons to 347,020 tons - Silicon iron futures warehouse inventory increased by 388 contracts to 19,180 contracts - Manganese silicon futures warehouse inventory decreased by 612 contracts to 131,826 contracts [1] Basis Data and Price Discrepancies - As of April 29, the commodity futures basis data indicated a "backwardation" phenomenon for rebar, wire rod, hot-rolled coil, stainless steel, and iron ore contracts - Current spot prices for rebar are 3186.89 CNY, while futures are at 3109 CNY - Wire rod spot prices are 3387.5 CNY, with futures at 3286 CNY - Hot-rolled coil spot prices are 3273.33 CNY, compared to futures at 3218 CNY - Stainless steel spot prices are 13050 CNY, with futures at 12700 CNY - Silicon iron spot prices are 5548.57 CNY, while futures are at 5632 CNY - Manganese silicon spot prices are 5652 CNY, with futures at 5788 CNY - Iron ore spot prices are 779.44 CNY, while futures are at 709 CNY [1]

电力市场近况更新 20250428 摘要 • 新能源机制电价政策由中央政府发布，各地方细节预计 5 月底前出台，6 月 1 日开始竞价。存量项目机制电量比例与当前非市场化比例衔接，增量 项目则通过竞价机制形成，与现有状态平稳过渡。 • 136 号文使风光调节性成本显性化，通过用户补贴的机制电价展示社会成 本，并挤出新能源中的非技术成本。增量项目机制电量竞价可明确新投产 项目的实际成本及合理回报率。 • 容量市场改革方向包括市场化定价和细分功能，不区分技术路线，满足容 量市场要求即可获得容量电价，利好储能。细分爬坡、二次备用、快速调 频等功能，使系统运行费更加复杂。 • 今年以来全国平均加权年度长协价格略降，但火电竞争辅助服务收入增长 及发电利用小时数下降导致度电容量补偿提升，火电竞争结算收入远高于 平均降幅。各地月度价格相对稳定。 • 煤炭价格下行对各地月度交易价格有影响，但江苏和广东交易价格坚挺。 今年广东未出现跌停板，江苏 5 月价格反弹，表明电力市场受多种因素影 响。 Q&A 当前电力市场的整体情况如何，特别是水电和火电的发展趋势？ 电力市场整体较为平稳，尤其是水电和火电。火电的发展与电力改革密切相关， ...

4月29日，国内期市原油系板块"万绿丛中一点红"，原油主力跌近2%。具体来看，截止目前，原油主力 下跌1.76%，报485.50元/桶；燃料油主力下跌1.33%，报2967.00元/吨；低硫燃料油主力下跌0.66%，报 3463.00元/吨；沥青主力上涨0.59%，报3432.00元/吨。 4月29日原油系期货价格行情 | 合约名称 | 开盘价 | 昨收价 | 昨结价 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | SC原油 | 495.70 | 498.00 | 494.20 | | 燃料油 | 3015.00 | 3026.00 | 3007.00 | | 沥青 | 3449.00 | 3451.00 | 3412.00 | | 液化石油气 | 4407.00 | 4409.00 | 4395.00 | | 低硫燃料油 | 3513.00 | 3529.00 | 3486.00 | 4月28日，商品仓单数据显示： 中质含硫原油期货仓单4644000桶，环比上个交易日持平； 燃料油期货仓单46170吨，环比上个交易日持平； 石油沥青厂库期货仓单34070吨，环比上个交易日减少200吨； 液化石油 ...