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NIKE Stock Slides Below 50-Day SMA: Buy Opportunity or Risky Affair?
ZACKS· 2025-05-27 15:55
Core Viewpoint - NIKE Inc. is experiencing a significant decline in stock performance, with shares dropping below key moving averages, indicating bearish sentiment and concerns over growth prospects [1][5][9]. Stock Performance - On May 23, 2025, NIKE's stock closed at $60.02, below its 50-day simple moving average (SMA) of $60.89, marking a short-term bearish trend [1][3]. - The stock has lost 24.4% over the past three months, underperforming the Zacks Shoes and Retail Apparel industry's decline of 20.2% and the broader Zacks Consumer Discretionary sector's decline of 0.9% [5][6]. - Currently, NIKE's stock trades 38.8% below its 52-week high of $98.04 and 14.8% above its 52-week low of $52.28 [8]. Growth Concerns - The decline in stock price is attributed to concerns regarding NIKE's growth prospects, including weak performance in the lifestyle segment and a drop in digital sales, alongside lower retail traffic in Greater China [9][11]. - Management has indicated potential mid-teen revenue declines due to shipment timing disruptions, adverse foreign exchange rates, and new tariffs on imports [11][12]. Margin and Profitability - NIKE anticipates a gross margin contraction of 400-500 basis points, influenced by prior restructuring charges and ongoing margin pressures [12]. - SG&A expenses are expected to grow in the low to mid-single digits, further squeezing profitability [12]. Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for NIKE's fiscal 2025 EPS remains unchanged, while the estimate for fiscal 2026 EPS has decreased by a penny [13]. - For fiscal 2025, revenue and EPS are projected to decline by 10.7% and 45.6%, respectively, with fiscal 2026 estimates indicating further declines of 1.4% and 9.8% [15]. Strategic Initiatives - NIKE is focusing on its "Win Now" strategy, which includes tighter inventory control, accelerated innovation, and strengthened wholesale partnerships to stabilize performance [16][17]. - The company is enhancing its sports-driven identity through faster product development and a shift towards full-price, digitally led sales [17]. Valuation Perspective - NIKE's current forward P/E ratio of 30.86X is significantly higher than the industry average of 24.21X and the S&P 500's average of 21.36X, raising questions about the justification of its premium valuation [18][20]. - Competitors like adidas, Caleres, and Carter's have lower forward P/E ratios, indicating a stretched valuation for NIKE [20]. Long-Term Outlook - Despite near-term challenges, NIKE's long-term potential is supported by its strong brand equity, innovation, and strategic direction aimed at reigniting growth [22]. - The company is well-positioned for long-term, profitable growth, but current market conditions and technical indicators suggest a cautious approach [23][24].
Voya Financial Trades Above 50-Day SMA: Time to Hold VOYA Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-05-23 14:51
Voya Financial, Inc. (VOYA) has been trading above its 50-day simple moving average (SMA), signaling a short-term bullish trend. Its share price as of May 22, 2025, was $66.72, down 20.8% from its 52-week high of $84.30.The 50-day SMA is a key indicator for traders and analysts to identify support and resistance levels. It is considered particularly important as this is the first marker of an uptrend or downtrend.VOYA Price Movement vs. 50-Day Moving AverageImage Source: Zacks Investment ResearchWith a mark ...
Palomar Trades Above 50-Day SMA: Time to Buy the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-05-22 18:50
Palomar Holdings Inc. (PLMR) has been trading above its 50-day simple moving average (SMA), signaling a short-term bullish trend. As of May 21, 2025, its share price was $161.54, down 2.1% from its 52-week high of $165.00.The 50-day SMA is a key indicator for traders and analysts to identify support and resistance levels. It is considered particularly important as it is the first marker of an uptrend or downtrend. Palomar aspires to be a dominant player in the crop insurance sector, targeting a position amo ...
Snowflake Melts Resistance: Can Q1 Earnings Spark A Fresh Flurry Of Gains?
Benzinga· 2025-05-21 18:30
Snowflake Inc. SNOW is skating into its first quarter earnings report with momentum on its side and charts flashing bright. The company is set to report after market hours today, with Wall Street expecting earnings per share of 21 cents and $1.01 billion in revenue.The stock is up 10.84% over the past year, down 14.50% year-to-date, but it has caught fire lately – rallying 31.64% in just the past month. Let's dig into what the charts are signaling ahead of the print, and how analysts see things playing out. ...
American Financial Trades Above 50-Day SMA: Time to Hold AFG Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-05-20 13:21
American Financial Group, Inc. (AFG) has been trading above its 50-day simple moving average (SMA), signaling a short-term bullish trend. Its share price as of Monday was $127.14, down 15.3% from its 52-week high of $150.19.The 50-day SMA is a key indicator for traders and analysts to identify support and resistance levels. It is considered particularly important as this is the first marker of an uptrend or downtrend.AFG Price Movement vs. 50-Day Moving AverageImage Source: Zacks Investment ResearchAFG’s Ex ...
Sprouts Farmers (SFM) Just Flashed Golden Cross Signal: Do You Buy?
ZACKS· 2025-05-19 14:36
Group 1 - Sprouts Farmers (SFM) has recently reached a key level of support and overtook the 20-day moving average, indicating a short-term bullish trend [1] - SFM shares have increased by 5.3% over the past four weeks, and the company holds a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), suggesting potential for continued growth [2] - Positive earnings estimate revisions support the bullish outlook for SFM, with 7 raised estimates and no lowered estimates in the past two months, leading to an increase in the consensus estimate [3]
Annaly Capital Management (NLY) Just Overtook the 200-Day Moving Average
ZACKS· 2025-05-19 14:31
Annaly Capital Management (NLY) reached a significant support level, and could be a good pick for investors from a technical perspective. Recently, NLY broke through the 200-day moving average, which suggests a long-term bullish trend.A useful tool for traders and analysts, the 200-day simple moving average helps determine long-term market trends for stocks, commodities, indexes, and other financial instruments. It moves higher or lower in conjunction with longer-term price performance, and serves as a supp ...
First American Trades at a Discount: How to Play the Stock
ZACKS· 2025-05-16 14:45
First American Financial Corporation (FAF) shares are trading at a discount to the Zacks Property and Casualty Insurance industry. Its forward price-to-book value of 1.23X is lower than the industry average of 1.49X, the Finance sector’s 4.1X and the Zacks S&P 500 Composite’s 7.82X. The insurer has a Value Score of B.Shares of RenaissanceRe Holdings Ltd. (RNR) , NMI Holdings Inc. (NMIH) and Axis Capital Holdings Limited (AXS) are also trading at a discount to the industry average.Image Source: Zacks Investm ...
Annaly Capital Management (NLY) Just Reclaimed the 50-Day Moving Average
ZACKS· 2025-05-16 14:31
After reaching an important support level, Annaly Capital Management (NLY) could be a good stock pick from a technical perspective. NLY surpassed resistance at the 50-day moving average, suggesting a short-term bullish trend.The 50-day simple moving average is a widely used technical indicator that helps determine support or resistance levels for different types of securities. It's one of three major moving averages, but takes precedent because it's the first sign of an up or down trend.NLY has rallied 10.1 ...
NMI Holdings Trades Above 50-Day SMA: Time to Hold NMIH Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-05-15 14:05
NMI Holdings Inc. (NMIH) has been trading above its 50-day simple moving average (SMA), signaling a short-term bullish trend. Its share price as of May 14, 2025, was $37.22, down 12.4% from its 52-week high of $42.49.The 50-day SMA is a key indicator for traders and analysts to identify support and resistance levels. It is considered particularly important as this is the first marker of an uptrend or downtrend.NMIH Price Movement vs. 50-Day Moving AverageImage Source: Zacks Investment ResearchAttractive Val ...