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X @The Wall Street Journal
The Wall Street Journal· 2025-07-09 08:26
Exclusive: Two Republicans named Kevin are vying to be the next Federal Reserve chair: rising contender Kevin Hassett, and Kevin Warsh, an early favorite for the post https://t.co/luVmEFFxBW ...
Evercore's Schlosstein Weighs In on Economy, Fed and NYC Mayoral Race
Bloomberg Television· 2025-07-08 21:37
Market Volatility and Economic Outlook - The market has become accustomed to policy twists and turns, anticipating quick reversals to more favorable conditions [2] - Volatility is currently painful, but a settling down of policy could allow positive economic forces to take over [3] - The economy is in good shape with low unemployment, steady employment, and gradually decreasing inflation [5] - Fiscal policy is stimulative, and monetary policy is increasingly accommodative, creating tailwinds for the economy and markets [6][7] - The Federal Reserve (Fed) is correct in waiting for more evidence of weakening employment or reduced inflation before cutting interest rates [8] - There is a belief that there will be a couple of interest rate cuts this year, with the probability of three cuts being greater than one [8][9] Federal Reserve and Political Influence - The market has generally received Jay Powell well, despite initial concerns about his non-traditional economist background [15] - Jay Powell has done an excellent job, especially considering the challenges of COVID-induced inflation [16][17] - Political pressure on the Fed continues, raising questions about the next Fed chair and potential for a more dovish approach [9][11][12][13] - Any future Fed chair must build consensus among the Open Market Committee members, requiring a balanced approach [14] Political and Economic Divides - The current budget and tax bill primarily benefits wealthier individuals, potentially not resonating with the broader electorate [19] - Affordability is a key issue, as many people are not benefiting from the economy's performance to the same extent as those at the top [23] - New York City needs to focus on job creation, affordable housing, education, and public safety to maintain its standing as a financial capital [26][27][28]
Expect a slowdown in GDP growth, so three rate cuts likely, says Citi's Rob Rowe
CNBC Television· 2025-07-08 15:58
Let's stick with the tariffs and the impact on markets as the major indices come off their worst day since about the middle of June. Joining us here at Post 9 this morning is city's research headed global strategy Rob once again with us. Welcome back Rob.Good to see you. Thank you very much. Hi Courtney.The president says August 1 is the date. Does that introduce new uh instability for equities or not. right now.I think, you know, I think it's going to be up and down because we're in this negotiation period ...
‘Big Short’ Trader Steve Eisman: 10-year yield is evidence budget deficit size doesn't matter
CNBC Television· 2025-07-07 22:16
Well, one of the investors profiled in the Big Short is not worried about the size of the budget deficit. Steve Eisman is host of the Real Eisman Playbook podcast. He's former senior portfolio manager at Newberger Burman.He joins us here on set. Um Steve, you said this before. It doesn't matter.People have been running against us for decades. 40 years. 40 years.When do you think will it. You know what I say about all this. Just stop.God's sake. You know, I'm gonna say this. Maybe it's a little too obnoxious ...
How the Fed can buy time amid tariff uncertainty
Yahoo Finance· 2025-07-07 21:34
The job market looks solid right now, right. People have jobs, but hiring remains in a holding pattern because businesses are so uncertain about the outlook, specifically because of tariffs. But because a tax bill has been passed, which means that Americans are not going to be seeing a big increase in their tax rates and businesses are getting 100% expensing on uh property, plant, and equipment and uh depreciation of assets that is going to help in terms of capital investment and job creation.So you have th ...
OpenAI, Oracle Deal Shows Need for Compute Power
Bloomberg Technology· 2025-07-03 17:56
AI and Computing Power Demand - The demand for computing power is insatiable, indicating a long runway for investment in physical infrastructure like semiconductors and cloud [1][2][3] - The expansion between Oracle and Open AI is 45 gigawatts worth of capacity, highlighting the significant energy requirements of AI development [3] - The U S is likely to lead the AI race due to its self-sufficiency and relatively cheap energy production compared to Europe and the U K [5] Energy Sector and Infrastructure - The energy sector and energy infrastructure requirements are intrinsically linked to the need for computing power, leading hyperscalers to invest in energy sources like nuclear [4] - The quest for cheaper, more efficient energy is crucial for supporting data center expansion and AI development [5] Market and Economic Factors - The jobs data is considered "Goldilocks" because of better-than-expected job numbers and a solid labor market, alongside slower wage growth [6][7] - The Federal Reserve is in no urgency to cut rates, which the market seems to prefer, valuing a strong labor market over immediate rate cuts [7] Technology Sector Performance - Technology sector exhibits strong earnings growth and benefits from productivity gains, making it an attractive area for investment [9] - Lower bond yields and interest rates, potentially resulting from future rate cuts, would particularly benefit growth areas like the technology sector [10]
Watch CNBC's full interview with U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent
CNBC Television· 2025-07-03 16:50
The so-called big beautiful bill facing a final house approval vote in the coming hours. Joining us now is Treasury Secretary Scott Bessant. Mr.. Secretary, thank you so much for joining us. We're we're going on more than six hours now where Minority Leader Jeff is speaking. What What are you hearing.What's your expectation for when and whether this could pass. Uh, well, it's going it's going to going to pass and my expectation is that we'll get a vote around 130 today. Got it.You have said that this isn't ...
Miran Says Jobs Report Shows US Economy Normalizing
Bloomberg Television· 2025-07-03 13:49
When we see such a positive jobs report, 147,000 jobs and a lower unemployment level, what is this. What is driving this. Good morning.Thanks for having me. Look, you know, as you said a moment ago, you know, this report was better than 78 out of the 79 forecasts that came into into the Bloomberg consensus range, the Bloomberg forecast. And so what we see is an economy that continues to defy it, continues to defy expectations, continues to defy, you know, all the doom and gloom that's out there, whether it' ...
Expected more bond market revolt from Powell's resignation calls: Former Fed Vice Chair Ferguson
CNBC Television· 2025-07-03 13:31
report. Joining us right now is Roger Ferguson, former vice uh Fed vice chair as well as a CNBC contributor. Good morning to you.Uh before we get into it, just your reaction to the jobs number. Do you put this in a good category. We had Steve Leeman who found a couple of holes in it.What's your what's your thought. Uh look, overall a very good category. The unemployment rate coming down always very helpful.You know, the job creation number after the ADP surprise uh yesterday very welcomed. I'm not sure I ag ...
X @CoinDesk
CoinDesk· 2025-07-02 19:09
FEDERAL RESERVE 🚨 The chairman overseeing U.S. Federal Housing, Fannie Mae, and Freddie Mac is calling on Congress to investigate Fed Chair Jerome Powell. https://t.co/SES6BNu3B5 ...