据央视：李强主持召开国务院常务会议，研究做强国内大循环重点政策举措落实工作。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the strategic importance of constructing a new development pattern in China, focusing on high-quality economic development and self-reliance as a response to both domestic and international challenges [1][2]. Group 1: Understanding the New Development Pattern - The new development pattern is characterized by a domestic major circulation as its main body, addressing the need for a strong domestic market to enhance economic resilience [3][4]. - It is an open dual circulation model that connects domestic and international markets, aiming to utilize global resources while enhancing domestic economic capabilities [4][5]. Group 2: Advantages of the New Development Pattern - The strategy reflects the central leadership's deep understanding of China's economic and social development, leading to significant progress in policy implementation and institutional improvement [7]. - The domestic major circulation's internal driving force is strengthening, with consumer spending contributing an average of 56.2% to economic growth from 2021 to 2024 [8]. Group 3: Key Components for Implementation - The smooth operation of economic circulation is crucial, requiring a balance between supply and demand, and addressing existing bottlenecks [5][6]. - Emphasis on technological self-reliance is vital for ensuring the stability of domestic circulation and gaining advantages in international circulation [6][11]. Group 4: Enhancing Domestic Demand - The strategy includes expanding effective investment and boosting consumption through various supportive policies, aiming to enhance the overall economic structure [17][18]. - The integration of technology and industry innovation is prioritized to foster new economic growth drivers and improve productivity [18]. Group 5: Regional and International Cooperation - The article highlights the importance of coordinated regional development and the integration of urban and rural economies to optimize the domestic circulation space [19][20]. - It advocates for high-level opening-up to better leverage international circulation, enhancing trade and investment quality [20][21].

7月15日，国家统计局发布中国经济"半年报"。初步核算，上半年国内生产总值660536亿元，按不变价 格计算，同比增长5.3%。分季度看，一季度国内生产总值同比增长5.4%，二季度增长5.2%。从环比 看，二季度国内生产总值增长1.1%。 国家统计局副局长盛来运在国新办发布会上表示，今年以来，国际环境复杂多变、国际经贸秩序遭受重 创，不稳定性、不确定性增加。面对复杂局面，在以习近平同志为核心的党中央坚强领导下，各地区各 部门认真贯彻落实党中央、国务院决策部署，坚持统筹国内经济工作和国际经贸斗争，加紧实施更加积 极有为的宏观政策，着力稳就业、稳企业、稳市场、稳预期，国民经济顶压前行、稳定运行，主要指标 好于预期，高质量发展扎实推进，经济保持了稳中有进、稳中向好的发展态势。 来之不易 含金量高 据介绍，上半年经济运行呈现出四个主要特点： "稳"的态势持续。盛来运表示，上半年一个很突出的特点就是经济运行"稳"。从观察宏观经济的四大指 标看：增长稳中略升，上半年GDP同比增长5.3%，比去年同期和全年均提升0.3个百分点；调查失业率 总体平稳，今年以来月度调查失业率基本都在5%至5.4%区间波动；物价低位运行，基本平 ...

● 本报记者 连润 国家统计局7月15日发布的数据显示，上半年国内生产总值（GDP）660536亿元，同比增长5.3%。 "上半年经济运行总体平稳，稳中有进、稳中向好，是一份含金量非常高的成绩单。这是在二季度以来 国际形势急剧变化、外部压力明显加大的情况下取得的成绩，非常不容易。"国家统计局副局长盛来运 在国新办当日举行的新闻发布会上表示，国民经济顶压前行、稳定运行，主要指标好于预期。 展望下半年，盛来运表示，尽管外部环境还有不少不确定性，内部结构调整的压力较大，但上半年经济 稳中有进的发展态势和成效，为完成全年目标打下了较好基础。多年来高质量发展大势和实践，提高了 经济可持续发展能力。宏观政策协同发力，将为经济稳定运行保驾护航。"基于以上的这些支撑因素， 我们判断中国经济下半年会继续保持稳中有进、稳中向好的发展态势。"盛来运说。 经济"稳"的态势持续 盛来运表示，今年以来，主要指标好于预期，经济保持了稳中有进、稳中向好的发展态势。生产需求稳 定增长，就业形势总体稳定，居民收入继续增加，新动能成长壮大，高质量发展取得新进展，社会大局 保持稳定。 盛来运介绍，初步核算，上半年GDP为660536亿元，按不变价格 ...

7月15日，国家统计局副局长盛来运在国新办举行的新闻发布会上表示，今年以来，国际环境复杂多 变、国际经贸秩序遭受重创，不稳定性、不确定性增加，面对复杂局面，各地区各部门认真贯彻落实党 中央、国务院决策部署，坚持统筹国内经济工作和国际经贸斗争，加紧实施更加积极有为的宏观政策， 着力稳就业、稳企业、稳市场、稳预期，国民经济顶压前行、稳定运行，主要指标好于预期，高质量发 展扎实推进，经济保持了稳中有进、稳中向好的发展态势。 据盛来运介绍，上半年经济运行的主要特点有四个方面：一是"稳"的态势持续。上半年GDP同比增长 5.3%，上半年的增速比去年同期和全年均提升0.3个百分点。调查失业率总体平稳，今年以来，月度调 查失业率基本都在5.0%至5.4%区间波动。物价低位运行，6月份CPI由负转正，同比增长0.1%，其中核 心CPI已经回升到0.7%。国际收支基本平衡，我国货物贸易进出口创同期新高，外汇储备维持在3.2万亿 美元以上。从以上四大宏观指标看，经济运行"稳"的主基调没有变。 二是"进"的步伐坚定。保持经济稳定运行的同时，各个地方坚定不移推动经济转型和高质量发展。从数 据来看，创新发展、协调发展、绿色发展、开放发 ...

Economic Overview - In the first half of 2025, China's GDP reached 66,053.6 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 5.3% [1][3] - The growth rate for Q1 was 5.4% and for Q2 was 5.2%, indicating a steady increase compared to the same period last year [3] Domestic Demand - Domestic demand contributed 68.8% to GDP growth, with final consumption expenditure accounting for 52%, marking it as the main driver of growth [3][4] - High-tech industries saw an increase in value added by 9.5% year-on-year, with "three new" industries expected to account for about 18% of GDP in 2024 [3] Investment Trends - Fixed asset investment potential remains significant, despite fluctuations in investment growth due to external complexities and internal market conditions [5] - The decline in traditional industry investments, particularly in real estate, has increased pressure on overall investment growth [5] Consumer Market - The consumer market showed signs of recovery, supported by policies aimed at expanding domestic demand and promoting consumption [6] - There are optimistic expectations for consumer growth, particularly in sectors like cultural tourism, healthcare, and elder care [6] Real Estate Sector - Real estate development companies saw a narrowing decline in funding, with total funds reaching 50,202 billion yuan, a decrease of 16.4% year-on-year [7][8] - The sales area of new commercial housing decreased by 3.5% year-on-year, but the decline was less severe than in previous periods, indicating a potential market recovery [9][10] Policy Support - Local governments are optimizing housing policies to better meet the reasonable housing needs of buyers, which is expected to enhance market confidence [11]

Group 1 - The total import and export value of goods in China reached 21.7876 trillion yuan in the first half of the year, with a year-on-year growth of 2.9% [1] - Exports amounted to 13 trillion yuan, increasing by 7.2%, while imports were 8.7875 trillion yuan, decreasing by 2.7% [1] - Private enterprises' import and export grew by 7.3%, accounting for 57.3% of the total, an increase of 2.3 percentage points compared to the same period last year [1] Group 2 - The export of mechanical and electrical products grew by 9.5%, making up 60% of total exports [1] - The trade resilience was highlighted despite external shocks, with a diversified trade structure reducing dependence on any single country [1][2] - The international competitiveness of China's high-tech products has led to increased global demand, indicating a strong growth trend in high-tech investments and exports [2] Group 3 - Emerging markets are driving the growth of China's foreign trade, with a continuous expansion of its trade partnerships [2] - The implementation of multilateral cooperation mechanisms like RCEP and the China-EU investment agreement reflects China's strategy to mitigate external risks [2] - The contribution of foreign trade to economic growth is significant, particularly in high-end manufacturing sectors such as electric vehicles and machinery [2][3] Group 4 - There is potential for further growth in foreign trade, especially with countries involved in the Belt and Road Initiative and other emerging markets [3] - Challenges in the foreign trade sector include the need for market diversification, higher quality products, and reducing low-price competition [3] - The macroeconomic policies have shown effectiveness, supporting a stable and positive economic development trend [3]

Economic Performance - China's GDP for the first half of the year reached 66,053.6 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 5.3% [2] - The GDP growth for Q1 was 5.4%, while Q2 saw a slight decrease to 5.2% [2] - Q2 GDP growth on a quarter-on-quarter basis was 1.1% [2] Economic Characteristics - The economic performance is characterized by stability, with steady growth, a stable unemployment rate, low inflation, and balanced international payments [4] - There is a firm commitment to economic transformation and high-quality development, with progress in innovation, coordination, green development, openness, and shared growth [4] - New driving forces are accumulating, with localities developing new productive forces and enhancing technological and industrial innovation [4] - Domestic circulation has been prioritized, with policies introduced to expand domestic demand and improve production [4] Future Outlook - The external environment remains complex, and structural contradictions within the economy have not been fundamentally resolved, necessitating continued efforts in the second half of the year [5] - Experts anticipate that the government will adopt flexible policies to counteract the expected slowdown in export growth and to stimulate domestic demand [8][10] - The high-tech manufacturing sector continues to show robust growth, contributing to the overall economic resilience [12][25] Policy Recommendations - Fiscal policy is expected to be a key focus in the second half, with recommendations for timely implementation of incremental reserve policies and optimizing expenditure structures [15][20] - Monetary policy may see further easing, with potential interest rate cuts and adjustments to housing loan rates [18][20] - The real estate market is seen as a critical area for maintaining economic stability, with calls for measures to boost market confidence [29]

Core Viewpoint - The overall economic performance in the first half of the year is stable and improving, with a GDP growth of 5.3% year-on-year, indicating strong resilience and pressure resistance of the Chinese economy [2][3]. Economic Performance - The GDP for the first half of the year reached 66,053.6 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 5.3% [2]. - The contribution rate of domestic demand to GDP growth was 68.8%, with final consumption expenditure contributing 52% [4]. - The first quarter GDP growth was 5.4%, while the second quarter saw a slight decrease to 5.2% [2]. Sector Analysis - The primary industry added value was 31,172 billion yuan, growing by 3.7%; the secondary industry reached 239,050 billion yuan, with a growth of 5.3%; and the tertiary industry added 390,314 billion yuan, growing by 5.5% [2]. - Retail sales of consumer goods totaled 24.55 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 5%, and the second quarter growth accelerated to 5.4% [4]. Consumer Trends - Service consumption accounted for an increasing share, with service retail sales growing by 5.3% and goods retail sales by 5.1% [4]. - Upgrading consumption trends were noted, with sports goods retail sales increasing by 22.2% and jewelry retail sales by 11.3% [4]. - New consumption models and trends, such as "self-indulgent consumption" and personalized consumption, are emerging [4]. Future Outlook - The positive consumption trend is expected to continue into the second half of the year, supported by ongoing consumption policies and subsidies [5]. - The expansion of visa-free policies is boosting domestic consumption, with significant increases in foreign visitors during holidays [5].

15日，国新办就2025年上半年国民经济运行情况举行新闻发布会。 国家统计局副局长盛来运在会上表示，上半年，经济运行总体平稳、稳中向好，生产需求稳定增长，就 业形势总体稳定，居民收入继续增加，新动能成长壮大，高质量发展取得新进展，社会大局保持稳定。 经济运行"稳"的主基调没有变 盛来运表示，上半年一个很突出的特点就是经济运行"稳"。增长稳中略升，上半年GDP同比增长5.3%， 增速比去年同期和全年均提升0.3个百分点。调查失业率总体平稳，今年以来，月度调查失业率基本在 5.0%—5.4%区间波动。物价低位运行，基本平稳。国际收支基本平衡，货物贸易进出口创同期新高， 外汇储备维持在3.2万亿美元以上。从以上四大宏观指标看，经济运行"稳"的主基调没有变。 视频：国家统计局：上半年GDP同比增长5.3%来源：中国新闻网 下半年中国经济保持稳定增长有支撑 盛来运称，不少国际机构还有一些投行对全球经济预测发表展望报告，多数机构都是预测下半年全球经 济放缓，但这些机构大多不约而同调高了中国经济增长的预期。这显示了国际机构和投行对中国经济发 展的信心。从下半年情况看，尽管外部环境还有不少不确定性，内部结构调整的压力较大。但 ...