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美元兑日元USD/JPY日内涨超0.50%,现报145.63。
news flash· 2025-06-25 09:31
美元兑日元USD/JPY日内涨超0.50%,现报145.63。 美元/日元 ...
中东停火 + 美联储 “鸽声嘹亮”!美元破位下行,非美货币迎来窗口期
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-24 08:59
Core Insights - The geopolitical situation and central bank monetary policies are key factors influencing forex market volatility, with significant events in June 2025 altering short-term trends [1] - A ceasefire agreement between Israel and Iran on June 23 led to a 5% drop in oil prices, reducing market risk aversion and impacting the dollar's strength [2] - The Federal Reserve's dovish stance, with officials advocating for a quick interest rate cut, increased the probability of a July rate cut to 23%, further weakening the dollar [3] Event-Driven Analysis - The ceasefire between Israel and Iran significantly reduced geopolitical risk, leading to a decline in demand for safe-haven assets like the dollar, thus creating favorable conditions for non-USD currencies [2] - The Federal Reserve's dovish comments reflect concerns about the U.S. economy, with indicators suggesting potential economic slowdown, prompting a shift in market expectations towards rate cuts [3] Forex Market Impact - The dollar index broke key support levels, reaching a six-week low, indicating a potential new adjustment cycle due to reduced safe-haven demand and rising rate cut expectations [4] - The EUR/USD pair successfully broke the 1.08 resistance level, indicating strong bullish sentiment despite challenges in the Eurozone economy [6] - The Japanese yen experienced a strong rebound due to a wave of short covering in the context of changing market risk preferences [7] Trading Strategy Analysis - Different G10 currencies may exhibit varying performances in the current environment, with the British pound influenced by Brexit developments and the euro benefiting from relative stability [8] - The Chinese economy's recovery will significantly impact the Australian dollar, while the Canadian dollar may face pressure from falling oil prices but could rebound with improved global economic expectations [8] - The current market conditions provide a favorable window for Chinese exporters to manage currency exposure effectively, while investors should remain vigilant regarding macroeconomic data and geopolitical developments [9]
美元兑日元USD/JPY日内跌超0.50%,现报145.41。
news flash· 2025-06-24 03:32
美元兑日元USD/JPY日内跌超0.50%,现报145.41。 美元/日元 ...