Market Overview - A-shares experienced fluctuations with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3388.73 points, up 0.35%, and the Shenzhen Component Index at 10163.55 points, up 0.41% [1] - The trading volume reached 481.59 billion yuan for Shanghai and 733.49 billion yuan for Shenzhen [1] - Wind power, gaming, and mining sectors led the gains, while precious metals and jewelry sectors lagged [1] Geopolitical Impact - Israel launched an attack on Iran's largest gas field, marking the first direct strike on Iranian energy infrastructure, raising concerns about escalating conflict and its impact on the Strait of Hormuz [1] - Several oil tankers have delayed their arrival at Iran's Kharg Island, which is crucial for Iran's daily export of 1.5 million barrels of oil [1] - Despite the limited intensity of the attack, traditional safe-haven assets like oil and gold saw fluctuations, indicating the need to monitor the military confrontation's effects on global energy markets and financial stability [1] Economic Data - The National Bureau of Statistics reported that China's retail sales of consumer goods reached 4.1326 trillion yuan in May, a year-on-year increase of 6.4%, the highest growth rate since December 2023 [2] - Policies such as "trade friction" support and "trade-in" initiatives have positively influenced consumption, particularly in basic living and some upgraded goods [2] - Retail sales for food, gold and silver jewelry, and sports and entertainment products saw significant growth, with increases of 14.6%, 21.8%, and 28.3% respectively [2] Real Estate Sector - From January to May, national real estate development investment saw a year-on-year decline of 10.7%, with new housing sales area down by 2.9% [4] - In May 2025, second-hand housing prices in 70 major cities continued to decline, with first-tier cities seeing a 0.7% drop [4] - The spokesperson from the National Bureau of Statistics indicated that while policies to stabilize the real estate market are being implemented, market confidence still needs to be restored [4] Credit and Industrial Prices - Credit data shows significant room for improvement in the real estate sector, while industrial product prices have decreased by 7.2% since the end of March [5] - The People's Bank of China announced a 400 billion yuan reverse repurchase operation, indicating relatively ample liquidity [5] - The 10-year government bond yield fluctuated around 1.65%, with expectations of a downward trend as deposit rates adjust [5] Entertainment and IP Market - The gaming ETF and film sector saw notable increases, driven by the performance of major stocks like Light Media [6] - At the Shanghai International Film Festival, it was revealed that the animated film "Ne Zha" is expected to surpass $100 million in overseas box office, setting a record for Chinese films [7] - The IP derivative market in China is rapidly developing, with a retail market size of 71.5 billion yuan in 2022, but still significantly lower than developed countries [8][14] IP Derivative Market Insights - The IP derivative market meets consumer emotional needs, social interaction, and offers collectible value [11] - The market faces challenges such as the scarcity of quality IP and high piracy rates, which hinder long-term growth [16][14] - Companies that can consistently create quality IP are prioritized for investment, while monitoring the progress of market supervision against piracy is essential [16]

2025年6月16日 周度报告 期指长周期小幅回升 金融工程周报 操作评级 股指 ☆☆☆ 国债 ☆☆☆ 王锴 金融工程组 010-58747784 gtaxinstitute@essence.com. cn Z0016943 F03091361 | | 周涨跌 | 当周数值 | 历史分位数 | 股指移动相关性 | 国债移动相关性 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 菜篮子产品批 | -0.16% | 112.97 | 0.03 | -0.18 | 0.00 | | 发价格200指数 | | | | | | | 中信行业指数: | -0.08% | 2687.87 | 0.04 | -0.14 | -0.43 | | 炼焦煤 | | | | | | | 市场价:1#电解 | -0.45% | 78933.33 | 0.86 | -0.29 | 0.69 | | 铜:标准阴极铜 | | | | | | | 南华苯乙烯指 | 3.92% | 1432.62 | 0.28 | -0.57 | 0.21 | | 数 | | | | | | | 到岸价:液化天 | 9.29 ...

证券代码：002103 证券简称：广博股份 广博集团股份有限公司 投资者活动记录表 编号：2025006 投资者关系活动 类别 √特定对象调研 □分析师会议 □媒体采访 □业绩说明会 □新闻发布会 □路演活动 √现场参观 □电话会议 □其他： （请文字说明其他活动内容） 参与单位名称 及人员姓名 国泰财险 黄鑫 同巨投资 张立烽 中泰证券 邹文婕 时间 2025 年 6 月 16 日 地点 公司会议室 公司接待人员 姓名 董事会秘书、副总经理：江淑莹 证券事务代表：王秀娜 投资者关系活动 主要内容介绍 一、 公司展厅参观，介绍公司产品。 二、 互动问答环节 1、今年一季度经营情况介绍？ 答： 2025 年第一季度，公司实现营业总收入 4.84 亿元，同比上升 10.12%，实现归属于上市公司股东的净利润 2,991.03 万元，同比上升 31.24%。 2、公司第二季度的订货会情况如何，有哪些 IP 上新？ 答：公司第二季度订货会已顺利结束， "咒术回战"、"银魂"、"面 包超人"、"Brunch Brother"、"诡秘之主"、"鲨鱼猫"、"初音 未来"、"名侦探柯南"等 IP 均有新品推出。 3、公司创意 ...

1. Report Core View - The launch of new propylene futures is expected to promote the combination of futures and spot markets, enhance and meet the diverse risk management needs of physical enterprises, help the market discover prices, and further promote the healthy and stable development of the industry. The report comprehensively analyzes and introduces the propylene variety from a basic perspective, covering futures contracts, industry characteristics, and development trends [2][3] 2. Report Content Summary 2.1 Propylene Futures Contract - **Contract Introduction**: The trading code of propylene futures is PL, with a trading unit of 20 tons per lot. Based on the average spot price of propylene in 2024 of about 6,900 yuan/ton, the value of each lot is about 138,000 yuan. The minimum price change is 1 yuan/ton, and the contract months are from January to December. The last trading day is the 10th trading day of the contract month [7][9][10] - **Option Contract**: The trading code for call options is PL - contract month - C - strike price, and for put options is PL - contract month - P - strike price. The trading unit is 1 lot of propylene futures contract, the minimum price change is 0.5 yuan/ton, and the contract months are the two consecutive near - months of the underlying futures contract. The last trading day is the third - last trading day before (and including) the 15th calendar day of the month before the delivery month of the underlying futures contract [12] - **Delivery Grade**: The benchmark delivery product is Type I propylene that meets the requirements of "National Standard of the People's Republic of China - Polymer - grade Propylene" (GB/T 7716 - 2024), with a water content ≤ 20mg/kg, and no requirements for hydrogen and carbonyl sulfide. The alternative delivery product allows a water content of 20 - 50mg/kg, with other indicators the same as the benchmark product [7][14] - **Risk Management**: The minimum trading margin for propylene futures contracts is 5% of the contract value. The margin standard increases to 10% from the 16th calendar day of the month before the delivery month to the last calendar day of that month, and to 20% during the delivery month. The position limit for non - futures company members and customers is 2,000 lots from contract listing to the 15th calendar day of the month before the delivery month, 500 lots from the 16th calendar day to the last calendar day of that month, and 50 lots (0 for natural person customers) during the delivery month [16][17][18] 2.2 Propylene Basic Concepts - **Physical Properties**: Propylene has a density of 1.914 kg/m³, a melting point of - 185°C, a boiling point of - 47.7°C, a flash point of - 108°C, an ignition temperature of 460°C, and a saturated vapor pressure of 1158 kPa. It burns with a bright flame, has low solubility in water, and is soluble in organic solvents such as ethanol and ether [20] - **Chemical Properties**: The chemical properties of propylene are determined by the double bond and the hydrogen atoms on the allyl group. It is the smallest stable unsaturated hydrocarbon with low symmetry, an electric dipole moment of 0.35D, and is prone to various chemical reactions [21] - **Storage and Transportation**: Propylene should be stored in pressurized liquefied form in carbon steel or stainless - steel containers, and long - term storage can use low - temperature liquefaction with vacuum - insulated storage tanks. Safety measures such as fire and explosion prevention, leakage prevention, and electrostatic protection are required. Transportation methods include road, rail, sea, and pipeline, and appropriate means should be selected according to distance and volume [24] 2.3 Propylene Industry Chain - **Overview**: The propylene industry chain has the "petroleum - propylene - polypropylene" as the core. The upstream includes petroleum, natural gas, coal, propane, naphtha, and methanol. The mid - stream involves production processes such as cracking, dehydrogenation, and coal - chemical processes. The downstream includes chemicals such as polypropylene, propylene oxide, and butanol, and the end - use demand is complex, covering multiple fields such as plastics, coatings, and textiles [26] - **Production Processes** - **Steam Cracking**: It is the core process for producing low - carbon olefins in the petrochemical industry, with ethylene as the core product and propylene as a co - product. In 2024, it accounted for about 35% of propylene supply. The product yield is negatively correlated with the molecular weight of the raw material. Although it currently maintains a basic supply position, its share is gradually decreasing [32] - **Catalytic Cracking**: It is a key secondary processing technology in oil refining. The conventional propylene yield is about 4%, while the DCC technology can achieve a propylene yield of over 20% [36] - **Coal - to - Propylene**: It includes CTO and MTO/MTP technologies. The MTP technology can increase the propylene selectivity to over 70%. China's coal - to - olefin industry is on a sustainable development path [39] - **Propane/Alkane Dehydrogenation**: The PDH process uses propane as the raw material and has advantages such as a short construction period, low investment cost, and low carbon emissions. In 2024, it accounted for about 30% of domestic propylene production capacity. The MDH process uses liquefied petroleum gas as the raw material and has strong raw material adaptability [41][42]

点评：泡泡玛特在上海开设IP珠宝店，标志着其业务从潮玩向饰品领域延伸。这一举措将IP价值与珠宝 设计结合，可能增强公司品牌影响力，提升相关IP热度。对公司股价而言，此举或增加投资者对泡泡玛 特多元化布局的信心，从而对其估值产生积极影响。对珠宝行业板块，这一跨界尝试可能激发更多IP衍 生品开发，推动行业创新。 NO.3 二手交易平台出现LABUBU租赁服务 随着"LABUBU"走红，有一批用户已经发现新商机——在二手交易平台出租"LABUBU"系列公仔。在二 手交易平台上以"LABUBU出租""拉布布出租"等为关键词搜索，有多位卖家提供实体公仔的出租服务， 主要用于拍照、社交展示、婚宴布置等场景。 点评：二手交易平台出现LABUBU租赁服务，反映出IP热度向消费场景延伸。这表明IP价值得到进一步 挖掘，可能增强市场对泡泡玛特IP衍生品开发能力的认可。对IP衍生品行业板块，租赁模式为IP变现提 供了新思路，或吸引更多关注。对股市整体而言，这反映出消费者对IP周边消费的多元化需求，可能提 升市场对相关消费板块的关注度。 ｜ 2025年6月16日星期一 ｜ NO.1 王长田：《哪吒》系列衍生品销售额有望突破千亿元 6 ...

近年来，国内期货公司积极响应市场变化和政策要求，纷纷加快国际化业务的战略布局与风险管理业务 的结构调整，逐步构建起独具特色的竞争优势。6月12日，为了更好贯彻落实《关于加强监管防范风险 促进期货市场高质量发展的意见》工作要求，大商所和北京期货商会联合举办"2025年京津冀期货经营 机构风险子及国际化业务研修班"，旨在进一步提升京津冀地区会员单位在风险管理、国际化方面的业 务能力，更好发挥首都及周边地区期货市场功能作用，服务实体经济高质量发展。 永安期货产业委员会主席石春生在授课时表示，当前外部环境复杂多变，大国博弈、数字经济、地缘冲 突和绿色经济等因素正在推动全球供应链重塑，我国产业链发展也面临挑战。在此背景下，承担着服务 实体经济重要职责和使命的期货及衍生品市场，对活跃商品流通、稳定企业经营、推动产业升级和高质 量发展发挥着不可替代的重要作用。 伴随着期货公司业务范畴的持续拓展，其财务处理能力也亟待同步提升，以更好地适应业务发展的需 求。培训中，中泰期货副总经理、财务总监，鲁证国际董事长刘运之就期货公司及风险管理子公司财务 处理的相关原则进行了详细介绍。他表示，风险管理子公司应严格执行财政部发布的《企业会计 ...

Core Insights - The private equity securities fund industry has shown strong performance in the first five months of the year, with an average return of 4.34% across 12,843 funds, and 74.81% of these funds achieving positive returns [1] Group 1: Performance by Strategy - Equity strategies led the market with an average return of 4.81%, with 73.5% of the 8,487 equity funds reporting positive returns [1] - Multi-asset strategies followed with an average return of 4.14%, while futures and derivatives strategies and combination funds had returns of 3.19% and 3.09% respectively [1] - Bond strategies lagged with an average return of 2.42%, indicating a performance gradient among different strategies in the current market environment [1] Group 2: Quantitative Strategies - The strong performance of quantitative strategies is attributed to a favorable market environment characterized by a small-cap growth style [1] - Within equity strategies, quantitative long strategies performed exceptionally well, with an average return of 8.46% and 86.62% of the 1,480 funds achieving positive returns [1] - Market-neutral strategies also performed well, with an average return of 5.00% and a positive return rate of 91.18% [1] Group 3: Futures and Derivatives Strategies - In the futures and derivatives strategies, quantitative CTA strategies had an average return of 3.38%, slightly outperforming subjective CTA strategies at 3.37% [2] - The proportion of funds with positive returns for quantitative CTA strategies was 70.36%, compared to 65.19% for subjective CTA strategies [2] - Other derivatives strategies and options strategies had average returns of 2.45% and 2.41% respectively [2] Group 4: Market Outlook - Leading private equity institutions express optimism for the market, with indications that the A-share market has completed a "bottoming" phase [2] - A prominent private equity firm believes that the A-share market is entering a historic opportunity for asset value reassessment, anticipating significant upward movement [2] - Another firm notes that A-share valuations are currently low, with ample potential funding and a clear policy stance to stabilize the economy and stock market, leading to growing investor confidence [2]

根据猫眼专业版数据，《哪吒2》目前总票房约为158.99亿元，其中，海外票房3.96亿元。在全球影史票房榜上，《哪吒2》位居第五。 6月15日，在上海举办的第27届上海国际电影节开幕论坛上，光线传媒董事长王长田表示，《哪吒之魔童闹海》（以下简称《哪吒2》）衍生品销 售额预计将超过千亿元，"海外票房未来有望超过1亿美元，虽然还不是很高，但已是20年来最高"。 此前，中国电影出海冠军是《卧虎藏龙》，这部影片全球票房约2.13亿美元，其中，北美票房1.28亿美元。 王长田表示，据不完全统计，《哪吒2》系列衍生品开发商、生产商和销售商获得了很大的市场红利，有可能已实现了几百亿元的正版销售额，"比如，我们 授权的一个产品门类大概会带来上百亿元的销售额"。 "现在有人推测,《哪吒2》带来的整个经济增量会超过2000亿元人民币。"王长田说。 证券时报各平台所有原创内容，未经书面授权，任何单位及个人不得转载。我社保留追 究相关 行 为主体法律责任的权利。 转载与合作可联系证券时报小助理，微信ID：SecuritiesTimes END 点击关键字可查看 潜望系列深度报道丨 股事会专栏 丨 投资小红书 丨 e公司调查 丨 时报 ...

6月15日，在上海举办的第27届上海国际电影节开幕论坛上，光线传媒董事长王长田表示，《哪吒之魔童闹海》（以下简称《哪吒2》）衍生品销 售额预计将超过千亿元，"海外票房未来有望超过1亿美元，虽然还不是很高，但已是20年来最高"。 责编：叶舒筠 校对： 王锦程 版权声明 王长田表示，据不完全统计，《哪吒2》系列衍生品开发商、生产商和销售商获得了很大的市场红利，有可能已实现了几百亿元的正版销售额，"比如，我们 授权的一个产品门类大概会带来上百亿元的销售额"。 "现在有人推测,《哪吒2》带来的整个经济增量会超过2000亿元人民币。"王长田说。 在论坛上，王长田同时分析了中国电影行业目前存在的系统性问题。他表示，现在生产了太多观众不需要的电影，与其他娱乐形式相比没有竞争力。减少电 影拍摄的数量，提高电影的有效性，提高电影的竞争力、必看性，是要面对的问题。 "电影的题材、类型、表现、风格以及视频效果等方面必须重新定位和调整。" 王长田同时表示，电影的成本上升得太快，必须改革电影的生产机制。 王长田呼吁改变电影行业利益分配的格局。他举例称，按照目前的分账比例，100元的票房，去掉宣发成本后，制片方也许只能拿到33元，这无法 ...

在6月15日举行的第27届上海国际电影节开幕论坛上，《哪吒》系列影片出品方光线传媒董事长王 长田表示，《哪吒之魔童闹海》（简称《哪吒2》）或已带来超2000亿元人民币的GDP增量，预计 衍生品销售额将超千亿元，未来海外票房有望超过1亿美元。他同时呼吁，重新调整利益分配关 系，让制片方得到更多的利益。 谈电影：呼吁调整票房分账机制，中国电影需要重新出发 王长田认为，目前中国电影行业的分账比例对制片方较为不利。他呼吁，重新调整利益分配关系， 让制片方得到更多的利益，使利益向制片方倾斜。 谈《哪吒2》：衍生品销售额将超千亿，海外票房将超1亿美元 上证报记者 杨翔菲 摄 作为《哪吒》系列影片出品方，王长田认为，中国电影发展到目前阶段必然会产生《哪吒》这样的 产品，但是它是个个例。 王长田表示，目前有人推测，《哪吒》带来的GDP增量或超过2000亿元人民币。截至目前，《哪 吒》系列衍生品开发商、生产商和销售商获得了很大的市场红利，有可能已经实现了几百亿元的正 版销售额。 "我认为最后完全有可能实现上千亿元的衍生品销售额。" 王长田表示："中国影片出海是必然的选择和趋势。目前，中国产品和服务在全球逐渐打开市场， 国外观众 ...