Market Volatility & Investment Strategy - Market volatility is expected to return, potentially leading to an asset price explosion in the second half of the year, advising strategic positioning [2][4][6] - Historically, volatility was seen negatively, but now it's part of digitalization and financialization trends [3] - The VIX (Volatility Index) is at its lowest point in 2025, suggesting an imminent increase in market volatility [5] Tariff Revenue & US Investment - Tariff income is projected to exceed 1% of GDP, surpassing the initial estimate of $300 billion [7][8] - Private industry is committing over $10 trillion in investments into the United States [8][9] - The US is gaining advantage in the geopolitical trade realm, potentially disadvantaging those betting against it [10] Geopolitics & Trade Negotiations - The US employs a multi-lever, non-linear strategy in trade negotiations, leveraging military operations, diplomacy, economic sanctions, and oil markets [22][23][28] - Disbanding of the Klepto Task Force and discussions on Arctic routes were potential incentives offered to Russia during negotiations [30][31][32] - Arctic shipping routes are emerging as a significant geopolitical factor, influencing trade and logistics [34][35] Cryptocurrency & Digital Assets - The US government and the Chinese government are among the largest holders of Bitcoin, holding the 3rd and 4th position respectively [40] - China is seriously considering launching a yuan-backed stablecoin, potentially from Hong Kong [42] - Governments recognize the growing demand for digital assets, leading to a complex dynamic between supporting these assets and safeguarding legacy systems [44][45]

From the Desk of Anthony Pompliano0:00 Volatility Is Coming To The Market Soon2:30 Balaji Predicts That We Will See An AI Backlash4:12 Interview with Tanvi Ratna on Tariffs, Geopolitics, & CryptoEnjoy! https://t.co/nRTNGQdKPb ...

Volatility is coming.Risk-takers must prepare for the rest of the year. https://t.co/D4iwxINPYw ...

The volatility of #memecoins can lead to massive gains—or losses. 📉📈 What’s your risk management strategy? ...

Bitcoin volatility is at extreme lows.BIG moves usually follow. https://t.co/iq3bkz91aH ...

Across equity, bond and currency markets, gauges of volatility are slumping to their lowest levels of the year https://t.co/4xeJfoUR4Y ...

Market Sentiment & Catalysts - The market currently exhibits a positive attitude, downplaying concerns like terrorism and focusing on fiscal tailwinds [1] - Negative catalysts are not expected until September, with low expectations for Russia-Ukraine peace talks [10] - A collapse in volatility (VIX at year-to-date lows) is a positive tailwind for markets [6][9][11] Tariff Impact & Business Strategy - Companies are delaying reactions to tariffs due to policy changes, making quick reactions disadvantageous [4] - Businesses have been able to front-run tariffs, providing more room to delay [4][5] - Tariffs are a slow-moving story, with a potential major negative impact not expected until the fourth quarter or even the first quarter of the following year [5] Economic Indicators - The NFIB (National Federation of Independent Business) survey indicates that fiscal tailwinds are dominating tough concerns [1] - An in-line inflation print has removed scary catalysts, contributing to the short-term boom in stocks [6]

Highest-ever daily close for BTC, above $120,000.Volatility hasn't been this low since $29,000.Not a drop of euphoria at $2.4T.We're going higher. https://t.co/1IFjAUfNHa ...

Japan will auction five-year government bonds against the backdrop of renewed concerns over poor liquidity and volatility in the nation’s debt market. https://t.co/tJQVXnJBTR ...

⚡️ INSIGHT: BTC’s 3-month realized volatility has dropped to 29.79%, the lowest in two years and well below the 80–100% range seen in past bull cycles. https://t.co/S9HuQFRxTx ...