Core Viewpoint - The report from CICC maintains the profit forecast for Dekang Agriculture (02419) for 2025/26, with the current stock price corresponding to P/E ratios of 11.5 and 6.7 for those years. The target price is raised by 68% to HKD 111, indicating a potential upside of 28% from the current price, supported by the company's continued growth and improved trading liquidity [1] Group 1 - The company adopts a "company + farmer" light asset development model, with the second farm's sow breeding model achieving the lowest costs within the system. The current operational model distribution is 20% self-operated, 60% first farm, and 20% second farm, with the average annual income for contracted farmers reaching RMB 770,000, a historical high for the company [2] - The second farm model has lower breeding costs compared to the first farm and self-operated models, enhancing operational efficiency and farmer engagement [2] Group 2 - The company continues to reduce costs, maintaining its position as an industry leader. The monthly total cost is reported to be below RMB 12.5 per kilogram, attributed to a focused breeding strategy in the Southwest region, technological empowerment, and efficient management practices [3] - The company expects to achieve a pig output of 11 million and 15 million heads in 2025 and 2026, respectively, with long-term potential exceeding 30 million heads [3] Group 3 - Liquidity has improved significantly, with an average turnover rate of 1.9% since the release of the 2024 annual report, and average daily trading volume increasing to RMB 140 million from RMB 3.69 million year-on-year. The proportion of Hong Kong Stock Connect has also risen [4] - The valuation of the company is expected to increase, with a calculated average market value of RMB 2,528 per head, indicating a 22% potential increase compared to industry leaders [4]

7月3日，浙商基金发布公告称，因公司业务发展需要，浙商基金管理有限公司的办公地址由浙江省 杭州市西湖区教工路18号欧美中心B711变更为浙江省杭州市萧山经济技术开发区万向创新聚能城奔竞 大道2828号3幢406室。 今年以来，陆续已有先锋基金、明亚基金等多家公募机构或分公司变更了办公地址。有分析指出， 部分基金公司变更办公地址是出于降本增效的考虑，选择成本更低的办公地址开展相关业务。 浙商基金变更办公地址 又有一家公募基金公司的办公地址发生变更，这一次是浙商基金。公司在7月3日的公告中指出，将 原来在杭州市西湖区的办公地址迁至萧山经济技术开发区。 具体来看，浙商基金管理有限公司的办公地址由浙江省杭州市西湖区教工路18号欧美中心B711变 更为浙江省杭州市萧山经济技术开发区万向创新聚能城奔竞大道2828号3幢406室。 明亚基金管理有限责任公司于今年3月15日将其办公地址从深圳市前海深港合作区南山街道前海大 道前海嘉里商务中心四期T1写字楼1804、1803B变更为1804B。还有华夏基金、先锋基金、格林基金等 多家基金公司变更了办公地址。 基金公司变更办公地址是一个复杂的决策过程，通常涉及多种因素，这也使得基 ...

Core Insights - The article discusses the transformation in meat consumption patterns and the need for deep processing of livestock products to enhance profitability across the supply chain [1][2][3] - It highlights the economic dynamics behind the pricing of duck products, illustrating how separating parts for sale can lead to increased revenue [1][2] - The article emphasizes the importance of modernizing the livestock industry to address cyclical supply and demand imbalances, particularly in the context of China's meat production and consumption [2][3] Industry Trends - China is the largest producer and consumer of meat globally, with a significant portion of livestock being consumed in primary product form, indicating a substantial opportunity for deep processing [2][3] - The diversification of meat consumption scenarios is driven by rising living standards, leading to increased demand for various meat products, including ready-to-eat meals and specialty items [3] - The article notes that over 80% of livestock meat is consumed as primary products, suggesting a significant potential for value-added processing [3] Economic Dynamics - The pricing of duck products illustrates a profitable model where the whole duck is sold in parts, allowing for better profit margins on less valuable cuts [1][2] - The cyclical nature of livestock prices is influenced by market dynamics, such as the recent increase in duck and goose farming due to high pork prices, which subsequently led to a decrease in their market share as pork supply increased [2] - The article points out that the integration of advanced technologies in livestock farming, such as digital farming systems, can significantly enhance the value of meat products [3] Future Outlook - The livestock industry is encouraged to focus on cost reduction and efficiency improvements through the entire supply chain, including the adoption of precision feeding techniques and digital innovations [3] - There is a call for the establishment of a comprehensive classification and grading system for meat products to further expand the value space in the livestock sector [3] - The article suggests that a collaborative effort across various segments of the industry is necessary to ensure resilience against market fluctuations and to meet consumer demands effectively [3]

美丽田园 20250703 摘要 美丽田园 2025 年上半年整体经营符合预期，权益金和净消费客流均增 长约 20%，亚健康板块表现突出，同比增长 50%，美容保健和医美业 务分别增长 20%和 10%，主要由线下客流带动，公司对完成全年营收 20 亿、利润 3.2 亿的目标充满信心。 公司暂不调整全年业绩预期，亚健康业务预计增长 30%-40%，长期增 长空间乐观。开店策略为"一城一店"，侧重美容保健会员，门店数量 稳定但通过升级扩容增加单店效益，尤其在会员体量大的城市开设大型 医美或亚健康门诊。 美丽田园通过供应链优化、数字化和后台降本增效，预计 2025 年净利 率提升 0.5 个百分点。奈瑞尔净利率目标从 2024 年的 6%-7%进一步 提高，长期目标是向美丽田园靠拢，目前美丽田园净利率超过 10%。 美容保健业务毛利率约 30%，经营利润率 5%-10%，受广告营销成本 影响；医美业务毛利率超 50%，经营利润率近 40%；亚健康业务毛利 率首次超 50%，未来有望向医美看齐。 美丽田园完成股东优化，引入看好公司长期发展的投资人，符合港股通 换手率要求，正努力达到市值覆盖要求，对晋通港股通充满信心 ...

顺丰同城 20250703 摘要 互联网平台补贴短期内或被视为顺丰同城利空，但长期影响有限，因其 运力主要依赖众包，且新消费品牌崛起赋予头部商家物流自主权，顺丰 同城作为独立第三方受益于商流端结构性变化。 顺丰同城日均单量占市场份额较低，提升空间大。传统驻店物流企业市 场份额萎缩，与顺丰同城客户重叠度高，顺丰同城有望在订单高速增长 时代提升市场占有率。 顺丰控股上修与顺丰同城关联交易额，反映集团降本增效诉求，认可顺 丰同城在最后一公里业务上的表现，预计关联交易部分将保持高质量服 务，毛利率稳定或提升。 顺丰同城扩张至二三四线城市，单票收入或下降，但规模效应和新技术 应用将降低成本，预计业务毛利率维持稳定。公司营收、订单量、毛利 及净利润增速快，短期业绩良好。 业务扩张期不应过分关注利润绝对额。公司初期毛利率为负，通过补贴 获取流量，规模效应显现后毛利率和净利率持续上升，业务量释放将加 速利润增长。 Q&A 顺丰同城近期股价回调的原因是什么？ 顺丰同城近期股价回调主要是由于市场对淘宝加大 500 亿补贴的消息产生担忧。 市场担心淘宝会加大即时配送的补贴力度，增加对即时零售的投入，从而可能 将更多流量导向自己的运 ...

Core Viewpoint - The credit card business of banks has been undergoing significant downsizing this year, with over 30 credit card centers shutting down across various banks [1][7]. Group 1: Bank Actions - The China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission has approved the closure of two branches of the Bank of Communications Pacific Credit Card Center [2][5]. - The Bank of Communications has already closed nearly 30 credit card centers this year, with 10 centers shutting down in April alone [7]. - Other banks, such as Minsheng Bank and Guangfa Bank, have also received approvals to terminate several credit card centers [8]. Group 2: Industry Trends - The rapid closure of credit card centers reflects banks' efforts to enhance management efficiency and reduce costs amid narrowing interest margins [8][9]. - The People's Bank of China reported a decline in the total number of credit cards, marking the tenth consecutive quarter of negative growth [9]. - The shift towards local management of credit card operations is seen as a necessary adjustment for banks to adapt to the evolving landscape of credit card services [9].

Investment Rating - Industry rating: Outperform the market (maintained rating) [6] Core Views - The liquor sector is experiencing a decline in sentiment due to fluctuations in the price of Feitian Moutai, with leading companies actively exploring new consumption scenarios and demographics [2][13] - The health products, soft drinks, and snacks sectors are viewed positively due to high growth potential, low base effects, and upcoming peak seasons [4][15] Summary by Sections Market Performance Review - The food and beverage sector saw a decline of 0.88% from June 23 to June 27, while the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.95% [1][22] - Specific sector performances included health products (+3.65%), baked goods (+2.72%), and soft drinks (-0.58%) [1][22] Liquor Sector Insights - The white liquor sector declined by 1.66%, attributed to seasonal demand weakness and price fluctuations of high-end products like Feitian Moutai [2][13] - Current prices for 25-year Moutai (original/scattered) are 1870 RMB/1800 RMB, down by 80 RMB/100 RMB from the previous week [2][13] - The Shunwan white liquor index PE-TTM is at 18X, which is considered low compared to the historical average [2][13] Health Products and Snacks - The health products sector is experiencing a growth trend, with a 3.65% increase this week, driven by new consumption trends [20] - The snack sector is expected to benefit from low base effects and new product launches, with companies like Three Squirrels and Salted Fish being highlighted [17][21] Soft Drinks and Beer - The soft drink sector saw a slight decline of 0.6%, with notable performances from brands like Master Kong (+5.4%) and Nongfu Spring (+5.3%) [4][15] - The beer sector declined by 1.9%, but there is optimism for recovery with upcoming consumption policies [4][15] Investment Recommendations - Focus on strong alpha companies in the liquor sector such as Shanxi Fenjiu and Guizhou Moutai, which are expected to benefit from market consolidation [4][21] - In the consumer goods sector, companies that align with cost reduction and market share growth strategies are recommended, including Li Gao Foods and Nongfu Spring [4][21]

日前，连锁咖啡品牌Tims天好中国（NASDAQ: THCH）公布了2025年第一季度财报。在行业增速放缓 与竞争白热化的双重压力下，公司通过加盟扩张及降本，使得运营亏损收窄，但盈利压力仍存。 为了推动盈利增长，Tims天好中国也作了很多尝试。 从财报看，首先是全面降本。具体来看，报告期内，直营门店的成本和费用较2024年同期下降了 19.0%。其中，食品和包装成本下降了24.6%，租金及物业管理费降低了12.9%，工资和员工福利费用同 比下降23.3%，其他运营费用减少了25.6%，营销费用也较2024年同期下降了11.8%。成本端的优化直接 推动亏损收窄，为后续战略布局释放资金空间。 加盟业务增长，但营收与同店销售下滑 财报显示，Tims天好中国2025年一季度实现营收3.007亿元人民币（4140万美元），较2024年同期的 3.321亿元人民币下降9.5%。关键指标同店销售额同比下降7.8%。 具体而言，总收入主要来自公司直营门店。报告期内，该板块收入为2.548亿元人民币（3510万美 元），同比下降14%。对于这部分收入下降，Tims天好中国在财报中表示，下降主要是由于某些表现不 佳的商店关闭。此 ...

2025年11月28日至30日，第三届深圳企业行政后勤采购博览会将在深圳会展中心盛大开幕。这场被誉为"后勤采购行业风向标"的展会，吸引了包括华为、腾 讯、比亚迪等科技巨头在内的800余家参展企业，预计将吸引超过5万名专业观众。 作为华南地区规模最大的后勤采购专业展会，本届展会以"智慧后勤·降本增效"为主题，聚焦企业采购成本优化，主办方宣称通过展会平台可实现采购成本 直降28%的惊人效果。 **科技赋能：智慧采购成降本核心引擎** 展会的最大亮点莫过于华为带来的"智慧后勤采购大脑"系统。这套基于华为云和大数据技术的解决方案，能够对企业历史采购数据进行深度学习，自动生成 最优采购策略。据华为展台负责人介绍，该系统已在华为内部应用两年，使办公用品采购成本降低31%，耗材库存周转率提升45%。 腾讯则展示了其最新研发的"企采通"供应链协同平台，该平台通过区块链技术实现供应商资质透明化，同时利用AI比价功能，可实时抓取全网200余家供应 商报价，确保企业获得最具竞争力的采购价格。 在展会现场，一套由深圳本地企业研发的"智能仓储机器人系统"引发围观。该系统通过AGV机器人与物联网技术结合，可实现办公用品自动盘点、补货和配 ...

中国物流与采购联合会数据显示，1月份至5月份，全国社会物流总额为138.7万亿元，同比增长5.3％；5 月份当月增长5.0％，较上月回落0.5个百分点，波动幅度环比有所收窄。未来如何更有效地降低全社会 物流成本，进一步激发市场活力，需在提高物流业运输效率和服务质量上下功夫。 近年来，我国物流发展质效稳步提升，运行态势持续向好，物流业通过政策引导、区域实践和技术创 新，初步构建起高效、开放的现代物流体系。此前发布的《有效降低全社会物流成本行动方案》明确提 出，处理好调整结构与深化改革、建强网络与畅通末梢、打造枢纽与优化布局的关系。这一表述旨在从 全局高度推动全社会物流成本有效降低，为各地区各部门降本增效指明方向。例如，浙江省依托数字化 服务功能，大力发展"5G+智慧仓储""AI+港口调度"等业务场景，持续挖掘物流技术性降本潜力，从"体 力活"向"脑力活"转变。又如，广东省完善县域物流体系，大力发展农产品直供、农超对接、生鲜电商 等流通新模式，减少生鲜农产品流通领域损耗，大大提高物流运输效率。 在快速发展的同时，我国物流业也面临多重挑战。例如，综合成本居高不下，社会物流总费用与GDP比 率较发达国家仍有差距；区域 ...