CONTENTS 目 录 2025-07-11 大越期货投资咨询部：王明伟 从业资格证号：F0283029 投资咨询资格证号：Z0010442 联系方式：0575-85226759 重要提示：本报告非期货交易咨询业务项下服务，其中的观点和信息仅作参考之用，不构成对任何人的投资建议。 我司不会因为关注、收到或阅读本报告内容而视相关人员为客户；市场有风险，投资需谨慎。 1 每日提示 2 近期要闻 交易咨询业务资格：证监许可【2012】1091号 豆粕早报 3 多空关注 4 基本面数据 5 持仓数据 ✸豆粕观点和策略 1.基本面：美豆探底回升，特朗普关税战风险仍在和技术性震荡整理，美豆短期千点关口上 方震荡等待中美关税谈判后续和美国大豆产区生长天气进一步指引。国内豆粕震荡回升， 美豆带动和技术性震荡整理，6月进口大豆到港增多和现货价格弱势压制盘面，短期回归 区间震荡格局。中性 2.基差：现货2790（华东），基差-164，贴水期货。偏空 3.库存：油厂豆粕库存82.24万吨，上周69.16万吨，环比增加18.91%，去年同期108.27万吨， 同比减少34.32%。偏多 4.盘面：价格在20日均线下方且方向向下。偏 ...

强军胜战——国防科技行业 2025 年度中期投资策略 20250709 摘要 十四五期间军工板块 EPS 增长是核心驱动力，白马公司业绩兑现推动股 价上涨，多轮主题投资提供参与机会。航空赛道关注新型号、后市场和 军转民等细分领域。 新装备领域，高超音速、低成本武器及火炸药是补短板重点。军贸方面， 央国企支持力度加大，新一代装备如运 20、直 20、歼 35A 等出口潜力 巨大，军贸是重要增长点。 主题投资如低空经济、商业航天、深海科技和可控核聚变等，具备中长 期高增长潜力。2024 年 9 月后，事件催化带来超额收益，板块进入新 增长阶段。 军工板块成长空间广阔，内需方面，中国军费占 GDP 比重低于欧美，增 长空间 20%-100%；外需方面，军贸占比提升空间超 60%；军转民方 面，大飞机产业链市场潜力巨大。 投资策略上，应以盈利驱动的价值投资为主，甄选优质白马股。航空赛 道关注新型号列装、后市场需求及军转民潜力，C919 国产替代空间广 阔。 如何看待十四五期间军工板块的表现？ 十四五期间，军工板块实现了绝对正收益，核心原因是 EPS 增长。许多白马公 司业绩兑现良好，推动股价上涨。此外，多轮主题投资机 ...

研究院 农产品组 研究员 邓绍瑞 010-64405663 dengshaorui@htfc.com 从业资格号：F3047125 投资咨询号：Z0015474 李馨 lixin@htfc.com 从业资格号：F03120775 投资咨询号：Z0019724 请仔细阅读本报告最后一页的免责声明 010-64405663 baixuyu@htfc.com 从业资格号：F03114139 薛钧元 联系人 白旭宇 010-64405663 xuejunyuan@htfc.com 从业资格号：F03114096 投资咨询业务资格： 证监许可【2011】1289 号 期货研究报告|卫星农业专题 2025-07-11 卫星遥感监测产量预估及重点天气分析报告 内容摘要 2025 年 6 月全球重点农产品产量预估及生长状况监测显示，2025 年 6 月全球重点农产 品产量及长势监测显示，多数产区状况稳定，部分区域受天气影响存在风险。美国大 豆、玉米产区整体天气良好，中西部短期偏干后缓解，产量稳定；北达科他因降水不 足长势较差。美国棉花产区水热条件优越，长势多呈上升趋势，但德州 7 月初极端降 水可能带来影响。东南亚棕榈油产区 ...

Group 1 - Beijing experienced heavy rainfall, with an average precipitation of 41.8 mm across the city from July 9, 16:00 to July 10, 10:00, and a maximum of 179.4 mm recorded in Yan Village, Fangshan District [1][2] - The rainfall was primarily convective, triggered by high humidity and weak cold air, leading to uneven distribution, with significant rainfall in urban and western/southern areas, while eastern regions saw minimal precipitation [2] - The Beijing CDC issued health warnings regarding drinking water safety during the flood season, advising residents to avoid contaminated water sources and to report any abnormalities in tap water [3] Group 2 - Starting from July 20, the city will enter a period of high temperatures known as "San Juan days," with expected temperatures rising to 34-35°C over the weekend [4][5] - The "San Juan days" will last for 30 days, with the shortest duration in recent years, emphasizing the need for public awareness regarding heat-related health risks [5]

晨光生物 20250710 摘要 晨光生物 2025 年上半年净利润显著增长，预计为 1.74 亿至 2.04 亿元， 同比增长 117%至 154%，主要得益于棉子类业务扭亏为盈和植提业务 销量增长。二季度收入 17.44 亿至 20.44 亿元，同比增长-1%至 16%。 棉子类业务受益于行情回暖和公司对锁采购策略，上半年扭亏为盈。预 计三季度进入淡季，但四季度榨季开始后业务规模将回升。公司加强风 险管控，使其成为稳定现金流和利润的重要资产。 植提业务二季度保持良好恢复态势，尽管辣椒红等产品价格下降，但下 游需求快速增长带动销量增加，毛利率显著改善。预计三季度延续此趋 势，受益于供给侧结构性优化和需求侧天然色素替代。 美国 FDA 禁用石油基合成色素政策可能引发全球范围内的天然色素替代 浪潮，为晨光生物带来巨大市场机遇。公司已布局天然色素 20 多年， 通过提升性价比和技术创新推动天然色素消费量增长。 晨光生物正从生产企业向应用方案服务商转型，通过开发新型产品拓宽 应用领域，与乳制品、调理肉、火锅底料及饮料企业合作，不断丰富天 然植物提取物应用场景，提高产品性价比及使用便利性。 Q&A 2025 年上半年 ...

证券代码：300138 证券简称：晨光生物 晨光生物科技集团股份有限公司 投资者关系活动记录表 编号：2025-005 | | □特定对象调研 □分析师会议 | | --- | --- | | | □媒体采访 □业绩说明会 | | 投资者关系活动 类别 | □新闻发布会 □路演活动 | | | □现场参观 □一对一沟通 | | | √其他 （电话会议） 天风证券吴立/陈潇/林毓鑫、中金公司宗旭豪、信达证券赵雷、 | | | 财通证券吴文德、中信证券罗寅、方正证券谌保罗、申万宏源 | | | 王子昂、长江证券陈硕旸、西南证券杜雨聪、国泰海通蔡子慕、 | | 参与单位名称及 | 博时基金谢泽林、天弘基金田继龙、广发基金顾益辉、华泰资 | | 人员姓名 | 管陈少楠、泓德基金郑名洋、PleiadInvestmentAdvisors | | | LimitedSimonSun、Sequoia Capital 闫慧辰、源乘私募曾尚、 | | | 彬元资本周振兴等 67 名投资者。 | | 时间 | 2025 年 07 月 10 日 | | 地点 | 河北省邯郸市曲周县城晨光路 1 号会议室 | | | 其他各电话会议方 ...

Core Insights - The Liaoning Snake Island Laotieshan National Nature Reserve is a crucial stopover for migratory birds along the East Asia-Australasia flyway, with over ten million migratory birds passing through annually [4][6] - The reserve has successfully implemented a digital management platform utilizing high-tech solutions for bird protection, resulting in a continuous increase in the number of wild birds monitored [6][8] Protection Efforts - The reserve has achieved zero confiscation of bird-catching nets for three consecutive years, indicating a significant reduction in illegal bird hunting activities [5][6] - Local community engagement has increased, with residents actively reporting injured birds to authorities, contributing to conservation efforts [7] Monitoring and Research - The reserve recorded over 110,000 raptors in 2024, demonstrating a growing number of raptors choosing this migratory route [7][8] - The reserve has been conducting raptor monitoring since 2018, with an average of over 60,000 raptors monitored annually [7] Technological Integration - A digital management platform has been established, incorporating video surveillance, AI analysis, and sound recognition technology to enhance bird monitoring and protection [8] - Satellite tracking has been employed for over 160 large birds, allowing researchers to accurately track their migration routes and behaviors [9]

西班牙国家气象局警告称，当地时间11日起，该国多个地区将出现"非常强烈"的风暴和强降雨等极端天 气。极端天气预计将严重影响伊比利亚半岛东北部，将至少持续至12日。西班牙共有三个自治区处在降 雨和风暴预警之下，其中加泰罗尼亚自治区发布降雨和风暴橙色预警。(央视新闻) ...

Core Insights - European natural gas prices are rising due to traders focusing on a surge in global demand [1] Group 1 - The increase in natural gas prices is attributed to heightened global demand [1]

Core Viewpoint - The forum on commercial aerospace industry development and innovation highlighted the importance of talent cultivation and the establishment of a talent alliance between universities and enterprises to support the sustainable growth of the industry [3][4][5]. Group 1: Industry Development - The commercial aerospace sector is increasingly integrated into daily life through technologies such as satellite navigation used in smartphones and vehicles [3]. - Anhui enterprises have established a closed-loop industrial chain covering satellite design, launch, and operation, enhancing their competitiveness in the international market [3][4]. - The forum emphasized that talent cultivation is crucial for the sustainable development of the aerospace industry, with a focus on building a talent pipeline [4]. Group 2: Talent Cultivation Initiatives - The "Aerospace Youth Scientist Cultivation Program" was launched by the China Astronautics Society Youth Scientist Club in collaboration with 12 leading commercial aerospace companies to create a talent cultivation alliance between universities and enterprises [4][5]. - This program aims to align academic research with industry needs, providing students with insights into the aerospace sector and facilitating their career choices [4]. - The initiative will offer more engineering application scenarios for young researchers and expand talent reserves for enterprises, ultimately fostering innovation and employment opportunities [5].