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何小鹏:第四季度盈利不是挑战
news flash· 2025-07-04 05:06
智通财经7月4日电,小鹏汽车CEO何小鹏7月3日晚间在接受媒体采访时表示,第四季度实现盈利"绝对 不是挑战",今年的经营成果将会超出外部预期。 (智通财经) 何小鹏:第四季度盈利不是挑战 ...
2025年猪企盈利有望超预期!养殖ETF(516760)冲击五连阳
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-04 03:14
Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that the pig price is expected to maintain a central level above 15 yuan/kg in 2025 due to limited supply growth and cautious breeding practices [1][2] - The industry is experiencing a supply gap, with a notable increase in piglet losses due to a virus mutation, which is expected to drive up pig prices in Q3 2025 [1] - Recent government policies aim to regulate the pig industry, including measures to curb low-price competition and promote the orderly exit of outdated production capacity [1][2] Group 2 - The pig price is under significant downward pressure in H2 2025, but multiple government policies are expected to support price increases and alleviate CPI pressure [2] - The overall investment logic in the pig sector is improving due to supply contraction and macroeconomic catalysts, suggesting a positive outlook for investment [2] - The CSI Livestock Breeding Index reflects the performance of listed companies involved in livestock feed, veterinary drugs, and breeding, with the top ten weighted stocks accounting for 65.27% of the index [2]
今日投资参考:煤价逐步触底企稳
7月3日,沪指盘中窄幅震荡上扬,深证成指涨超1%,创业板指涨近2%。截至收盘,沪指涨0.18%报 3461.15点,深证成指涨1.17%报10534.58点,创业板指涨1.9%报2164.09点,沪深北三市合计成交13336 亿元,较此前一日减少逾700亿元。行业方面,医药板块强势拉升,家电、汽车、电力、券商、地产等 板块均上扬,PCB概念、复合铜箔、创新药、固态电池、AI眼镜概念等活跃。 中银证券表示,进入7月,预计盈利贡献有望提升。上半年A股在估值正贡献支撑下震荡收涨,盈利端 呈现一定程度的负贡献。从风格因子的表现来看,小市值、低估值占优,高盈利组合仅在一季度有所表 现。当前市场对于盈利因子计价相对较弱,7—8月中报业绩窗口期盈利因子有望迎来阶段性修复。估值 端,基本面及宏观政策中长期预期的修复使得市场下行风险较低,充裕的流动性环境下,下半年市场有 望呈现中枢上行震荡行情。 今日投资机会解析 煤价逐步触底企稳 今年以来,火电需求较弱,供给同比加速,导致行业供给宽松局面持续。但二季度开始,国内煤炭产量 增速有所放缓,5月份火电需求同比转正,供给宽松的格局有所缓解,在国内外煤炭成本的初步支撑 下,煤价也逐步触 ...
【机构策略】预计下半年A股市场有望呈现震荡上行趋势
中银证券认为,上半年A股在估值正贡献支撑下震荡收涨,盈利端呈现一定程度的负贡献。从风格因子 的表现来看,小市值、低估值占优,高盈利组合仅在一季度有所表现。当前市场对于盈利因子计价相对 较弱,7—8月中报业绩窗口期,盈利因子有望迎来阶段性修复。估值端,基本面及宏观政策中长期预期 的修复使得市场下行风险较低,充裕的流动性环境下,预计下半年A股市场有望呈现震荡上行趋势。 财信证券认为,近期大盘维持了反弹走势,沪指盘中创下年内新高。不过市场成交额连续缩量,导致近 期热点题材板块的延续性仍有待改善。短期操作上,建议把握好热点题材板块间的轮动节奏。中长期 看,在经济基本面、增量政策、流动性尚未出现明显拐点时,市场趋势性行情或需等待。但在中央汇金 类"平准基金"功能持续发挥下,市场向下空间也相对有限。预计第三季度A股指数仍将在924行情以来 的宽幅震荡区间内,市场风格或将继续轮动。 中原证券认为,周四早盘股指高开后震荡回落,盘中沪指在3447点附近获得支撑,午后股指震荡回升, 盘中消费电子、电子元件、电池以及通信设备等行业表现较好;船舶制造、采掘、游戏以及工程机械等 行业表现较弱。长期资金入市步伐加快,ETF规模稳步增长, ...
市场更新:基本面预期持续小幅修复
市场更新:基本面预期持续 小幅修复 6 月产需预期再度出现边际回暖,盈利因子有望得到修复。 中银国际证券股份有限公司 具备证券投资咨询业务资格 策略研究 证券分析师:王君 (8610)66229061 jun.wang@bocichina.com 证券投资咨询业务证书编号:S1300519060003 证券分析师:郭晓希 (8610)66229019 xiaoxi.guo@bocichina.com 证券投资咨询业务证书编号:S1300521110001 策略研究 | 证券研究报告 — 点评报告 2025 年 7 月 4 日 6 月产需预期边际回暖。5 月工业企业利润出现明显走弱,量价齐跌导致 营收增速加速下行。此外,基数效应下投资收益下行也一定程度上拖累 了工业企业利润。而前瞻指标 6 月 PMI 再度小幅回升。结构上,产需预 期均较前值有所修复,生产偏强的格局延续,此外,价格分项依旧偏弱, 经营活动预期也显著弱于季节性均值,一定程度上显示外贸不确定性对 企业预期仍有一定程度影响。 价格拖累有望减弱,库存有望延续韧性。库存方面,5 月产成品库存再度 边际走弱,价格偏弱是名义库存走弱的主因。前瞻指标来看,6 ...
中信建投:奶源仍过剩上游延续去化,关注下游需求变化
news flash· 2025-07-04 00:19
中信建投(601066)研报称,短期来看,生鲜乳价格仍面临下降压力,进入夏季需求淡季以及产奶热应 激减产,且淘牛价格有所回升,龙头牧业亦带头优化牛群存栏及结构,下游加大乳品深加工,三季度奶 源供需有望达到平衡。展望25年,原奶价格企稳后,有望带来乳企盈利端的修复。从需求端来看,乳制 品的需求仍表现出低温好于常温的趋势,部分乳业有可能持续推进结构优化,各地生育补贴政策落地也 有一定预期。渠道层面,乳企加大会员商超、即时零售等新零售渠道布局。从盈利端,头部企业今年费 率目标也希望稳中有降,预计盈利能力有望同比提升。 ...
Perimeter Solutions, SA (PRM) Upgraded to Strong Buy: Here's Why
ZACKS· 2025-07-03 17:00
Perimeter Solutions, SA (PRM) appears an attractive pick, as it has been recently upgraded to a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy). This upgrade primarily reflects an upward trend in earnings estimates, which is one of the most powerful forces impacting stock prices.A company's changing earnings picture is at the core of the Zacks rating. The system tracks the Zacks Consensus Estimate -- the consensus measure of EPS estimates from the sell-side analysts covering the stock -- for the current and following years.The ...
新世界发展获882亿港元输血,郑志刚离场后盈利困局仍待解
Xin Jing Bao· 2025-07-03 14:56
站到"悬崖边"的老牌港资房企新世界发展,近日迎来关键转折点——一笔882亿港元的再融资协议落 地,暂时缓解了其流动性危机。然而,伴随业绩亏损,以及郑氏家族第三代接班人郑志刚的彻底离场, 这场"续命"行动能否成为新世界发展的转机,仍充满悬念。 目前新世界发展的财务管理策略专注于减低负债及改善现金流。未来,执行董事兼行政总裁黄少媚能否 带领新世界发展真正走出债务阴霾,还有待时间检验。 债务再融资,获得3年喘息空间 7月1日,新世界发展宣布,截至2025年6月25日,已完成2024/2025财年260亿港元合约销售目标。 接近新世界发展的人士表示,此次达成的882亿港元再融资方案,将改善新世界的短期偿债能力,有效 降低财务现金流压力,并有助于新世界发展保留核心资产,为未来业务发展赢得更多的时间。 第三代接班人郑志刚彻底退出 6月30日晚间,新世界发展宣布达成新银行融资及经统一银行融资协议,共涵盖约882亿港元现有境外无 抵押金融债务。 具体来看,新世界发展与有关银行债权人签订了新的再融资定期贷款融资协议(新银行融资),对部分现 有境外无抵押金融债务(包括银行贷款)进行了再融资。同时,协调了其他境外无抵押银行贷款以与 ...
Visa (V) Is Considered a Good Investment by Brokers: Is That True?
ZACKS· 2025-07-03 14:30
The recommendations of Wall Street analysts are often relied on by investors when deciding whether to buy, sell, or hold a stock. Media reports about these brokerage-firm-employed (or sell-side) analysts changing their ratings often affect a stock's price. Do they really matter, though?Let's take a look at what these Wall Street heavyweights have to say about Visa (V) before we discuss the reliability of brokerage recommendations and how to use them to your advantage.Visa currently has an average brokerage ...
Strength Seen in SharkNinja, Inc. (SN): Can Its 7.2% Jump Turn into More Strength?
ZACKS· 2025-07-03 13:51
SharkNinja, Inc. (SN) shares rallied 7.2% in the last trading session to close at $106.36. This move can be attributable to notable volume with a higher number of shares being traded than in a typical session. This compares to the stock's 7.5% gain over the past four weeks.SharkNinja continues to gain market share through its three-pillar strategy focused on innovation, category expansion, and global growth. The company is actively mitigating tariff pressures with targeted manufacturing efficiencies, strate ...