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Loan Growth, Higher Rates to Support Truist's Q2 Earnings
ZACKS· 2025-07-15 16:21
Core Insights - Truist Financial (TFC) is set to announce its second-quarter 2025 results on July 18, with a positive lending environment despite macroeconomic uncertainties [1] Lending and Loan Growth - Strong growth in commercial and industrial (C&I) loans, which make up nearly 50% of TFC's total loans, alongside decent demand for consumer loans, accounting for almost 40% of total loans [2] - The consensus estimate for TFC's average earning assets in Q2 is $478.4 billion, reflecting a slight increase from the previous year [3] Net Interest Income and Margins - The Federal Reserve maintained interest rates at 4.25-4.5%, which is expected to positively impact TFC's net interest income (NII) and net interest margin due to higher rates and loan growth [4] - The consensus estimate for Q2 NII is $3.58 billion, indicating a 1.4% year-over-year increase [4] Non-Interest Income Estimates - Service charges on deposits are estimated at $234 million, showing a marginal rise from the previous year, while card and payment-related fees are expected to decline by 2.2% to $225 million [6] - Mortgage banking income is projected to rise significantly, with a consensus estimate of $113 million, reflecting a 34.5% increase year-over-year [7] Fee Income and Expenses - Investment banking and trading income is estimated at $266 million, indicating a 7% year-over-year decline, while lending-related fees are expected to rise by 4.5% to $93 million [8][9] - Total non-interest income is projected at $1.41 billion, showing growth from the prior year [10] Cost and Expense Projections - Non-interest expenses are anticipated to rise by 5.5% year-over-year, with total adjusted non-interest expenses estimated at $2.96 billion [13] - Management expects adjusted expenses to increase by 2-3% sequentially due to higher personnel costs [13] Asset Quality and Credit Losses - TFC is likely to have set aside significant provisions for potential delinquent loans, with an estimated provision for credit losses of $407.9 million, reflecting a 9.6% year-over-year decline [14] - The consensus estimate for total non-accrual loans and leases is $1.56 billion, suggesting a 9.6% year-over-year increase [15] Earnings and Sales Expectations - The consensus estimate for TFC's earnings is 92 cents per share, indicating a 1.1% rise from the previous year, while sales are projected at $4.98 billion, reflecting a marginal year-over-year increase [17]
Wells Fargo CEO on q2 earnings, loan growth, the rate environment and more
CNBC Television· 2025-07-15 16:20
Welcome back to Money Movers. Take a look at shares of Wells Fargo down more than 5% despite reporting a beat on the top and bottom lines and notching their first revenue beat in a year. The company did cut its fullear net interest income guidance.Joining us here straight off the earnings call and first on CNBC, Wells Fargo CFO Michael Santaimo. Mike, it's great to have you back on it. It is that NII miss and lowered guidance which caught the street off guard.Can you just explain why that happened. mind is ...
BNY Mellon Stock Up on Q2 Earnings Beat, Expenses Rise Y/Y
ZACKS· 2025-07-15 16:01
Core Viewpoint - The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation (BK) reported strong second-quarter 2025 adjusted earnings of $1.94 per share, exceeding expectations and reflecting a 28% year-over-year increase [1][8]. Financial Performance - Adjusted earnings surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.74, with net income applicable to common shareholders (GAAP basis) reaching $1.39 billion, a 22% increase from the previous year [3][8]. - Total revenues increased by 9% year over year to $5.03 billion, marking the first time quarterly revenues exceeded $5 billion, and surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $4.86 billion [4][8]. - Net interest income (NII) rose 17% year over year to $1.20 billion, driven by reinvestment of maturing investment securities at higher yields [4][8]. - Total fees and other revenues increased by 7% year over year to $3.83 billion, supported by higher investment services fees and foreign exchange revenues [5][8]. Expense Analysis - Total non-interest expenses (GAAP basis) were $3.21 billion, up 4% from the prior-year quarter, influenced by increases in nearly all cost components [6][8]. Asset Management - As of June 30, 2025, assets under management (AUM) were $2.11 trillion, a 3% increase year over year, while assets under custody and/or administration (AUC/A) rose 13% to $55.8 trillion [7][8]. Credit Quality - The allowance for loan losses as a percentage of total loans decreased to 0.38%, and non-performing assets fell to $161 million from $227 million in the prior year [8][9]. Capital Position - The common equity Tier 1 ratio improved to 11.5% from 11.4% year over year, and the Tier 1 leverage ratio increased to 6.1% from 5.8% [10][12]. Share Repurchase - In the reported quarter, the company repurchased shares worth $895 million [11]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from relatively higher interest rates, global expansion efforts, and a strong balance sheet, although there are concerns regarding concentration risk due to dependence on fee-based revenues and elevated expenses [12].
JPM's Q2 Earnings Beat on Solid Capital Markets & Loans, NII View Up
ZACKS· 2025-07-15 15:11
Core Insights - JPMorgan's second-quarter 2025 adjusted earnings reached $4.96 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $4.51, driven by strong trading and investment banking performance, as well as growth in credit card and wholesale loans [1][9] - Including a one-time income tax benefit of $774 million, earnings were reported at $5.24 per share [1] Group 1: Trading and Investment Banking Performance - Market revenues increased by 15% to $8.9 billion, surpassing management's expectations of mid-to-high single-digit growth [2] - Fixed-income markets revenues rose 14% to $5.7 billion, while equity trading revenues increased by 15% to $3.2 billion [2] - Investment banking (IB) fees grew 7% year-over-year to $2.51 billion, with advisory fees and debt underwriting fees rising by 8% and 12%, respectively [3] Group 2: Net Interest Income and Loan Growth - Net interest income (NII) increased by 2% year-over-year to $23.21 billion, with management raising the full-year NII forecast to $95.5 billion from $94.5 billion [4][6][9] - Total loans saw a 7% year-over-year increase, contributing to the rise in NII [4] Group 3: Revenue and Expense Overview - Net revenues reported at $44.91 billion, down 11% year-over-year but exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $43.81 billion [6] - Non-interest income fell 21% to $21.7 billion, primarily due to a prior-year gain related to Visa shares; adjusted non-interest income grew nearly 10% [7] - Non-interest expenses remained stable at $23.78 billion year-over-year, with a 5% increase when excluding the prior year's Visa-related contribution [8] Group 4: Credit Quality and Capital Position - Provision for credit losses decreased by 7% to $2.85 billion, while net charge-offs grew by 8% to $2.41 billion [11] - Non-performing assets surged 24% to $10.48 billion [11] - Tier 1 capital ratio was estimated at 16.1%, down from 16.7% a year ago, with book value per share increasing to $122.51 from $111.29 [12] Group 5: Share Repurchase and Future Outlook - JPMorgan repurchased 29.8 million shares for $7.1 billion and authorized a new $50 billion share repurchase plan [13] - The company is expected to benefit from new branch openings, strategic acquisitions, and high interest rates, although concerns remain regarding asset quality and rising expenses [14]
Why Shares of Wells Fargo Are Sinking Today
The Motley Fool· 2025-07-15 15:08
Shares of Wells Fargo (WFC -5.49%) are trading roughly 5.5% lower as of 10:44 a.m. ET today after the bank reported earnings results for the second quarter of the year earlier this morning.Lowering net interest income guidanceWells Fargo reported earnings per share of $1.60 on total revenue of roughly $20.8 billion. EPS beat FactSet estimates easily, while revenue came in slightly higher than estimates. However, the stock sank after management lowered its full-year guidance for net interest income (NII), wh ...
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-07-15 14:44
Wells Fargo Shares Slide on NII Miss, Forecast Cut. Get caught up on the day's gainers and decliners on the latest Stock Movers report https://t.co/IXvZTM0vCi ...
2 Consumer Loan Stocks Showing Promise Despite Industry Headwinds
ZACKS· 2025-07-15 14:26
Industry Overview - The Zacks Consumer Loans industry includes companies providing various loan products such as mortgages, credit card loans, and personal loans, which are crucial for generating net interest income (NII) [3] - The industry's performance is highly sensitive to the overall economic conditions and consumer sentiments, with many providers also engaging in commercial lending and asset recovery to diversify revenue sources [3] Key Influencing Factors - **Asset Quality**: Prolonged high interest rates are affecting borrowers' repayment capacity, leading to increased reserves by loan providers to mitigate rising defaults, which is deteriorating asset quality [4] - **Interest Rates & Loan Demand**: Steady interest rates have slightly improved loan demand, but consumer confidence remains low due to tariff-related uncertainties, limiting growth in net interest margin (NIM) and NII [5] - **Lending Standards**: Improved credit scores due to the removal of tax liens from credit reports have expanded the borrower pool, while relaxed lending standards are helping meet loan demand [6] Industry Performance - The Zacks Consumer Loans industry has a Zacks Industry Rank of 155, placing it in the bottom 37% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating underperformance in the near term [7][8] - Analysts have revised the industry's earnings estimates for the current year down by 7.9%, reflecting a loss of confidence in earnings growth potential [9] Market Comparison - Over the past two years, the Zacks Consumer Loans industry has outperformed the Zacks S&P 500 composite and the Zacks Finance sector, with a collective stock increase of 68.3% compared to 39.5% and 42% respectively [11] Valuation Metrics - The industry has a trailing 12-month price-to-tangible book ratio (P/TBV) of 1.33X, above the five-year median of 1.03X, but significantly lower than the S&P 500's ratio of 13.33X [14][16] Investment Opportunities - **Capital One Financial Corporation (COF)**: Focused on consumer and commercial lending, COF is well-positioned for growth with a market cap of $141.3 billion and expected earnings growth of 10.7% and 20% for 2025 and 2026 respectively [21][20] - **Enova International, Inc. (ENVA)**: A financial technology company with a market cap of $2.94 billion, ENVA has seen a 20.7% increase in shares this year and is expected to grow earnings by 28.9% and 17.6% in 2025 and 2026 respectively [26][25]
Higher NII & Fee Income to Aid Huntington Bancshares' Q2 Earnings
ZACKS· 2025-07-15 13:55
Core Viewpoint - Huntington Bancshares Incorporated (HBAN) is expected to report an increase in quarterly revenues and earnings year over year for the second quarter of 2025, with earnings anticipated to be stable compared to the previous quarter [1][3]. Financial Performance - The bank recorded an earnings surprise of 9.7% in the last reported quarter, driven by improvements in fee income and net interest income (NII), although non-interest expenses increased [1][2]. - Preliminary results indicate earnings of 34 cents per share, reflecting a 13.3% rise from the year-ago figure, despite a 2.9% decline in the Zacks Consensus Estimate over the past week [3][10]. - Revenues for the quarter are projected to be $1.95 billion, slightly below the consensus estimate of $1.99 billion, but still representing a year-over-year increase of 9.6% [4][10]. Key Factors Influencing Performance - NII is expected to grow to $1.5 billion, a 3% increase from the prior quarter, supported by steady loan demand and interest rates remaining unchanged by the Federal Reserve [5][10]. - The average total earnings assets are estimated to rise by 1.5% to $191.1 billion, reflecting strong demand for commercial and industrial loans [6]. - Mortgage banking income is projected to increase by 9.5% to $34 million, aided by stable refinancing activities despite fluctuating mortgage rates [7][8]. Non-Interest Income and Expenses - Total non-interest income is expected to decline by 5.4% to $520.6 million, influenced by rising expenses and credit loss reserves [10][12]. - Higher expenses are anticipated due to increased costs from data processing, marketing, and expansion efforts in commercial banking [13][14]. Asset Quality - The bank has increased its allowance for credit losses by $37 million to $2.5 billion, reflecting concerns over potential delinquent loans amid economic uncertainties [14]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for total non-accrual loans indicates a 3.5% increase from the prior quarter, suggesting a cautious approach to asset quality [15]. Earnings Expectations - The chances of HBAN beating earnings estimates are considered low due to a negative Earnings ESP of -2.42% [16]. - The company currently holds a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), indicating a favorable outlook compared to other stocks [17].
Higher NII & Non-Interest Income to Aid U.S. Bancorp's Q2 Earnings
ZACKS· 2025-07-15 13:46
Core Viewpoint - U.S. Bancorp (USB) is expected to report year-over-year increases in revenues and earnings for Q2 2025, benefiting from lower expenses and higher non-interest income [1] Group 1: Financial Performance Expectations - The company anticipates net interest income (NII) for Q2 2025 to be between $4.1 billion and $4.2 billion, with a consensus estimate of $4.01 billion, reflecting a marginal increase from the previous quarter [2][8] - The consensus estimate for total revenues in Q2 2025 is $7.06 billion, indicating a rise of 3.3% from the year-ago figure [13] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for average earning assets is $611.2 million, suggesting a slight sequential increase [4] Group 2: Non-Interest Income and Trading Activity - Non-interest income is projected to rise by 3.3% due to gains in trading, mortgage, and card revenues, with total non-interest income estimated at $2.93 billion [9][8] - Trading volumes in equity derivatives and corporate bonds have increased, with the consensus estimate for commercial product revenues at $391 million, reflecting a 2.4% increase from the prior quarter [5] Group 3: Loan Activity and Market Conditions - Lending activity remained strong in Q2 2025, supported by a resilient labor market and easing inflation, with notable demand for commercial and industrial loans [3] - Mortgage banking revenues are expected to reach $179.6 million, indicating a 3.8% increase from the previous quarter, despite mortgage rates fluctuating in the mid-to-upper 6% range [6] Group 4: Expense Management and Asset Quality - The company aims to keep non-interest expenses at or below $4.2 billion in Q2 2025, despite higher costs related to compensation and employee benefits [10][9] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for non-performing loans is $1.72 billion, indicating a rise of 1.8% from the prior quarter [10] Group 5: Earnings Expectations - U.S. Bancorp has a positive Earnings ESP of +0.21%, indicating a high likelihood of beating earnings estimates [11] - The consensus estimate for Q2 earnings is $1.07, reflecting a 9.2% increase from the year-ago reported number [12]
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-07-15 11:02
Wells Fargo lowers its full-year guidance for net interest income, after another quarter of tepid growth amid the ongoing trade war https://t.co/86eFv0x2pN ...