I just laid out a laundry list of potential catalysts and factors at play. Can you tell us why the markets are not reacting more forcefully to everything going on domestically and abroad. I it's really quite a moment when you look at the constellation of of geopolitical risks.But one thing that I can say with the perspective of covering geopolitics and markets for 25 years is that the perceived importance of Middle East conflict and its relationship to the oil price has um declined over time. But I think in ...

I want to start with the worst case scenario, something that most analysts are saying isn't really likely. Let's say there is a complete disruption to Iranian oil supply and a closure of the Strait of Hormuz. How high does the oil price rise.Morning. Yeah, I think fair to say that's not a base case, but if you're talking about really extreme scenarios, we've considered a case where even if only very temporary, oil prices could get, for example, above $200 a barrel. And if you're just looking at historic rel ...

In this articleWDS-AUFire and smoke rise into the sky after an Israeli attack on the Shahran oil depot on June 15, 2025 in Tehran, Iran.Getty Images | Getty Images News | Getty ImagesThe CEOs of two major energy companies are monitoring the developments between Iran and Israel — but they aren't about to make firm predictions on oil prices.Both countries traded strikes over the weekend, after Israel targeted nuclear and military facilities in Iran on Friday, killing some of its top nuclear scientists and mil ...

June 13, 2025 01:51 AM GMT Asia EM Equity Strategy | Asia Pacific Morgan Stanley Asia (Singapore) Pte.+ M Update Garner Alpha Bites (113): Asia vulnerability to oil price spike Brent oil is up US$5 this morning to US$75 per barrel after Israel confirmed it had launched strikes on Iran's nuclear facilities. Israel and Iraq have closed their airspaces. This comes at a time when markets had been trading close to our target prices. Our investment recommendations from our most recent note: Asia EM Equity Strateg ...

J P M O R G A N Global Commodities Research 12 June 2025 Oil Markets Weekly 7% probability of something that has never happened Oil surged as much as 5% on reports that the US embassy in Iraq is preparing to be evacuated in response to heightened security risks in the region. Concurrently, the US State Department announced plans to order non-essential embassy personnel and their families to leave Bahrain and Kuwait, and the British Navy issued a rare warning to ships in the region, stating it "has been made ...

Bring in Schwab's Lisanne Saunders now. She joins us on the CNBC news. Good to have you on as well, Lisanne.Welcome back. Your thoughts on these markets. Yeah, I mean it's it's not a it's not a huge huge reaction down.We've had obviously worst days just tied to trade news, but um you know if you if you look historically at other surprise um military attacks, you do tend to see a big downward move on the day the two biggest ever were most recently September 11th, maybe no surprise there, and then when North ...

In the sea of red, energy is the only sector uh on top today with oil prices moving sharply higher on the heels of of Israel's air strikes against Iran. Crude's still up about 7%. Pipa Stevens has a closer look at Iran's energy complex and why the state of Hormuz Pipa is going to be key here.So Kelly, oil's next move really depends here on how Iran responds to the attacks. Now the country itself is not a major supplier. They export about 1.7% million barrels per day with more than 90% of those exports comin ...

Core Viewpoint - The rising tensions between Israel and Iran are causing concerns over oil supply risks, leading to an increase in oil prices, which could benefit companies like APA that are involved in oil production [2][5]. Group 1: Oil Price Impact - Israeli airstrikes on Iran have prompted retaliatory drone strikes, raising investor concerns about potential disruptions to oil supplies from the Middle East [2]. - As a result of these geopolitical tensions, WTI crude oil prices have risen by 6.5% to $72.50 per barrel, while Brent Crude oil has increased by 6.4%, nearing $74 per barrel [4]. - The ongoing conflict may lead to sustained increases in oil prices as fears of broader regional instability grow [5]. Group 2: APA Company Analysis - APA stock has seen a 3.8% increase, reflecting investor sentiment regarding rising oil prices [1]. - The company reported a profit of $804 million last year, with a current trading valuation of approximately 7.2 times trailing earnings, indicating potential for growth as oil prices rise [6]. - APA offers a 5% dividend yield and generates superior free cash flow of $1.2 billion, which is about 20% more than its reported trailing-12-month earnings, making it an attractive investment option [7].

And now oil prices are surging, as we've been talking about on the heels of these strikes by Israel. Joining us now, Will Kennedy. He's Bloomberg senior executive editor for energy and Commodities.You are seeing that Brent crude rise hold to a large degree. Ultimately, we talked a lot about the White House's response. But investors, of course, the world is watching for Iran's response.How might the oil markets respond based on what would have happened over the weekend and into next week. Yeah, that's exactl ...

Oil futures spiking, seeing their biggest gain in three years. And as we're monitoring the violence that's breaking out between Iran and Israel, this is prompting concerns around the outlook for supply in the region. Joining us now on the outlook for energy sector here.We've got Fernando Valet who is the hedgei risk management energy analyst. Good to have you here. Taking some time this morning.just walk us through where this immediately kind of initiates some of your attention to flow into especially when ...