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外交部:乌克兰危机长期化不符合任何一方的利益
news flash· 2025-07-04 07:31
7月4日,外交部发言人毛宁主持例行记者会。在回答与乌克兰危机有关的问题时,毛宁表示,中国不是 乌克兰问题的当事方。对于乌克兰危机,中方的立场一以贯之,就是劝和促谈。我们一直在积极推动停 火止战,中国客观公正的立场,我想国际社会是有目共睹的。乌克兰危机长期化,不符合任何一方的利 益,我们支持尽早通过外交努力政治解决危机,也愿意根据当事方的意愿,同国际社会一道继续为此发 挥建设性作用。(央视新闻) ...
“大而美”法案与稳定币,放手一搏的美国,不成功便成仁
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-04 06:27
特朗普的"大而美"法案的通过几乎是不可避免的。如果法案未能通过,且债务没有提升,美国政府的运 转将因此陷入停滞,进一步导致美元和美国国债的信用体系彻底崩溃。这种局面对民主党和共和党而 言,都是无法承受的沉重代价。尽管这两党在表面上争吵得不可开交,但其实在背后却有着某种默契, 双方都试图借此机会在法案中夹带一些个人利益。 成功的话,美国将重返伟大;失败的话,美国将可能沦为二流国家。以美国现在的负债水平,一旦沦为 二流,随之而来的可能就是三流甚至四流的境地。在那个时候,逐渐衰落的美利坚是否会继续依赖其尚 存的强大军事实力,制造更多的全球动荡? 值得注意的是,由于在投票中反对"大而美"税收与支出法案而遭遇特朗普的激烈批评,美国北卡罗来纳 州的共和党联邦参议员汤姆·蒂利斯(Thom Tillis)于当地时间6月29日宣布,自己明年将不再争取连 任。目前的局势是,控制碳排放的努力在美国几乎宣告失败,替代能源的发展陷入停滞,而美国对环境 和气候的承诺也基本失去了效力;普通民众的福利再次遭到削减。而不变的是,富裕阶层依然能够确保 其利益,并可借助政策的扶持不断积累财富。这种趋势预示着美国的贫富差距将愈加明显。 至于特朗普, ...
特朗普逼全球接盘美债,马斯克预言结局,最大的风险已出现
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-04 05:53
Core Viewpoint - The ongoing conflict between Musk and Trump centers around the "Big and Beautiful Act," which has passed a procedural vote and is close to becoming law, with Musk vehemently opposing it and threatening to form a new political party if it passes [1][3][5]. Group 1: Legislative Developments - The "Big and Beautiful Act" passed with a narrow margin of 51 votes in favor and 49 against, moving closer to becoming law [3]. - The act includes significant budget cuts, such as a $4 trillion tax reduction over the next decade, while also raising the estate and gift tax exemption limits [5][7]. - The act's passage is expected to exacerbate the already dire fiscal situation in the U.S., with potential debt growth exceeding initial estimates [7][8]. Group 2: Economic Implications - The act is projected to cut nearly $1 trillion from Medicaid, making it harder for low-income families to access healthcare [7]. - Food assistance program age limits have been raised, increasing food insecurity among low-income groups [7]. - The act plans to raise the debt ceiling by $5 trillion, adding to the current national debt of over $37 trillion, with annual interest payments already exceeding $1.3 trillion [8]. Group 3: Musk's Position and Actions - Musk has previously advocated for government spending cuts and has implemented measures that saved approximately $130 billion in federal spending during his tenure [11]. - His opposition to the "Big and Beautiful Act" stems from a belief that it will lead the country deeper into debt, contradicting his earlier efforts to streamline government expenditures [10][11]. - Musk's warnings about the U.S. nearing bankruptcy highlight his concerns regarding the fiscal direction of the country under current policies [10]. Group 4: Trump and Federal Reserve Dynamics - Trump has publicly criticized Federal Reserve Chairman Powell for not lowering interest rates, claiming that timely action could save the U.S. trillions in interest payments [13][15]. - The ongoing tension between Trump and the Federal Reserve reflects a broader struggle over economic policy, with Trump pushing for lower rates while Powell maintains an independent stance based on economic data [15][18]. - The situation illustrates a complex interplay between legislative actions and monetary policy, with potential implications for the U.S. economy moving forward [18].
倾听尼山2025 | 郭沂:道哲学视野下的文明共生
Jing Ji Guan Cha Bao· 2025-07-04 04:05
(原标题:倾听尼山2025 | 郭沂:道哲学视野下的文明共生) 编者按: 2025 年 7 月 9 日至 10 日,第十一届尼山世界文明论坛将在山东曲阜举办。 从 2010 年 9 月创立至今,尼山论坛汇集全球专家学者,汇聚世界文明智慧,共同为解决人类社会普遍存 在的问题、为人类文明的未来发展贡献智慧,正日益成为世界了解中国的重要窗口、文明交流互鉴的重 要平台、凝聚人类文明共识的重要纽带。 当下,全球政治冲突频发、各国之间经贸壁垒陡增,不同文明之间的对话显得尤为迫切。 本届尼山论坛的主题是 " 各美其美 · 美美与共 —— 文明间关系与全球现代化 " ,并设置了 " 文明的起源与未 来发展 "" 儒家文化的世界意义和时代价值 "" 齐鲁文化与世界文明 "" 在全球现代化进程中成人之美 "" 文 明视野下的家庭意义与社会发展 "" 人工智能发展与人类文明走向 " 等多项分议题。 这个世界如何才能做到各美其美、美美与共,不同的文明如何相处和互鉴,人类才能拥有更好的未来? 结合本次论坛的主题和各项分议题,经济观察报采访了来自不同国家和地区的学者与专家,以下是来自 他(她)们的观察、思考和期望。 第十一届尼山世界文明 ...
“塞维利亚承诺”关注焦点——发展中国家的债务困境
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-04 02:57
Group 1 - The core focus of the recent international conference was to address the debt crisis faced by developing countries, emphasizing the need for measures to alleviate debt burdens and create financial space for sustainable development [1][3] - The external sovereign debt of developing countries reached $11.4 trillion in 2023, with debt repayment costs more than doubling since 2014, leading to $1.7 trillion used for debt servicing in 2023 alone [1][3] - The report highlighted that over two-thirds of low-income countries are either in debt distress or at high risk of it, with 3.4 billion people living in countries where interest payments exceed spending on health or education [3][6] Group 2 - The situation has worsened from last year, with developing countries spending $921 billion on debt repayment in 2023, up from $847 billion in 2022, while the funding gap for achieving sustainable development goals has exceeded $4 trillion [6][9] - Official development assistance has stagnated, with a 7.1% decline in 2024, marking the first decrease in years, and projected aid spending for 2025 could be 20% lower than in 2023 [6][9] - The report identified that 54% of external public debt in developing countries is held by private creditors, complicating and slowing down the debt restructuring process [8][9] Group 3 - The report proposed 11 actionable recommendations aimed at reforming the multilateral financial system, enhancing cooperation among borrowing countries, and encouraging policy reforms for better debt management [9] - The recommendations are designed to provide short-term relief for indebted countries while expanding access to affordable financing in the long term [9]
哥伦比亚:美国开始撤销哥政府官员签证
news flash· 2025-07-04 02:38
当地时间7月3日晚上,哥伦比亚总统办公室主任阿尔弗雷多.萨德表示,在美国和哥伦比亚各自召回驻 对方使馆负责人后,美国已开始撤销部分哥政府官员签证。阿尔弗雷多.萨德表示哥美两国关系应该建 立在尊重的基础上。目前美国国务院尚无发表正式声明,也没有公布将被撤销签证的哥伦比亚官员名 字。近日,美国国会议员在社交媒体上发表对哥伦比亚总统佩特罗的批评,遭到哥伦比亚驻美大使反 驳,引发两国外交危机。美国国务院3日宣布召回美驻哥伦比亚临时代办,哥伦比亚总统佩特罗同日在 社交媒体上作出回应,宣布对等召回哥驻美大使进行磋商,并重申哥方致力于推动哥美双边议程的立 场。(央视新闻) ...
王毅就乌克兰危机阐述中方立场
中国基金报· 2025-07-04 00:53
来源:外交部网站 王毅:稀土不会成为中欧之间的问题 当地时间7月3日,中共中央政治局委员、外交部长王毅在柏林同德国外长瓦德富尔共同会见 记者并现场回答提问。 当地时间7月3日,中共中央政治局委员、外交部长王毅在同德国外长瓦德富尔共同会见记者 时就乌克兰危机阐述中方立场。 王毅表示,乌克兰危机发生在欧洲,牵动着世界。中方的立场坦坦荡荡、一以贯之,那就是 坚持劝和促谈,不向冲突方提供致命性武器,严格管控两用物项,包括无人机出口。中国不 仅有效履行了国际责任,还同巴西等全球南方国家一道在联合国发起"和平之友"小组,为停 火止战汇聚更大合力,中方的客观公正立场得到国际社会广泛认可。 王毅说,冰冻三尺非一日之寒。习近平主席多次指出,复杂问题没有简单解决办法。尽管当 前当事方立场仍有较大分歧,但谈起来总比打下去好。欧洲过去几百年的历史证明,无论形 势多么复杂困难,都不能关闭和平与和解的大门。中方乐见各方都为此发挥建设性作用,推 动达成全面、持久并有约束力的和平协议,构建均衡、有效、可持续的欧洲安全架构,早日 实现欧洲长治久安。 王毅说,今年是中欧建交50周年,承前启后、继往开来。中欧合作从无到有、从小到大。现 在每一天贸 ...
绕不开的中国稀土
虎嗅APP· 2025-07-04 00:05
以下文章来源于远川科技评论 ,作者徐珊珊 远川科技评论 . 刻画这个时代(的前沿科技) 本文来自微信公众号: 远川科技评论 (ID:kechuangych) ,作者:徐珊珊,编辑:李墨天,责任 编辑:徐珊珊,题图来自:AI生成 今年6月,铃木汽车突然宣布,受限于稀土出口管制,零部件采购出现延误,经典紧凑型轿车铃木雨 燕 (Swift) 被迫停产。 无独有偶,欧洲汽车零部件供应商也在同时期关闭生产线,美国企业同样如临大敌,福特探险者车型 生产紧急按下暂停键。 在电动车中,从车灯、雨刮器、摄像头,到安全带、音响,凡是需要微电机和传感器的部件,稀土几 乎不可或缺。尤其主驱动电机,其性能与稀土永磁材料息息相关。 即便在旧能源汽车中,电动助力转向 (EPS) 也离不开稀土。 按照大摩的测算,中国企业控制全球65%的重稀土开采、88%的精炼,超过90%的钕铁硼永磁体供 应。这也是为什么CNN将稀土引发的供应危机称为"升级版的芯片短缺" [1] 。 2010年日本巡逻船钓鱼岛冲撞中国渔船事件发生后,中国对日稀土出口配额骤降,主要稀土氧化物 价格涨幅超过5倍,镝铽铕三种金属涨幅同比达到15~20倍 [4] ,欧美国家一时草木 ...
特朗普推特施压降息至1%威胁换主席, 财长贝森特称美联储9月或提前行动
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-03 23:57
Core Viewpoint - Trump is exerting pressure on the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates to 1%-2% by highlighting the burden of high interest costs on the federal government and threatening to undermine the Fed's independence if his demands are not met [1][5]. Group 1: Pressure Tactics - Public Shaming and Attacks: Trump emphasizes that a 1% increase in interest rates results in an additional $200 billion in annual interest payments for the federal government, demanding a reduction in rates [1]. - Personal Attacks on Fed Officials: Trump labels Powell as "Mr. Too Late," accusing him of incompetence and threatening to appoint a successor who supports rate cuts if Powell resigns [1]. Group 2: Data Manipulation Allegations - Questioning Data Credibility: Following a negative ADP employment report, Trump suggests that the subsequent strong non-farm payroll data is "untrustworthy," implying the Fed is using it to avoid rate cuts [2]. - Pushing for Data Revisions: Trump's team is reportedly manipulating initial employment data to create a rationale for rate cuts, exploiting the rules around data revisions [3]. Group 3: Personnel and Institutional Changes - Nominating Allies to the Fed: Trump is preemptively nominating officials like Bowman, who support rate cuts, to influence the Fed's decision-making ahead of the July meeting [4]. - Threatening Fed Independence: Trump claims he will push for legislation to weaken the Fed's decision-making power if rates are not cut by September [5]. Group 4: Market Expectations and Fed Signals - Market Expectation Adjustments: Despite strong non-farm data, Trump's pressure has led to a 75%-80% probability of a rate cut in September, down from 98% prior to the data release [6]. - Compromise Signals from the Fed: Powell's comments suggest that without tariff policies, a rate cut would have already occurred, indicating potential action in September [6]. Group 5: Political and Economic Implications - Urgency for Rate Cuts: Trump must secure a rate cut by the end of September to avoid funding risks for the "Great American Plan," which could exacerbate the U.S. debt crisis [8].
王毅就乌克兰危机阐述中方立场
news flash· 2025-07-03 21:35
金十数据7月4日讯,当地时间7月3日,中共中央政治局委员、外交部长王毅在同德国外长瓦德富尔共同 会见记者时就乌克兰危机阐述中方立场。王毅表示,乌克兰危机发生在欧洲,牵动着世界。中方的立场 坦坦荡荡、一以贯之,那就是坚持劝和促谈,不向冲突方提供致命性武器,严格管控两用物项,包括无 人机出口。王毅说,中方乐见各方都为此发挥建设性作用,推动达成全面、持久并有约束力的和平协 议,构建均衡、有效、可持续的欧洲安全架构,早日实现欧洲长治久安。 (央视) 王毅就乌克兰危机阐述中方立场 ...