欧元区4月工业景气指数 -11.2，预期-10.1，前值由-10.6修正为-10.7。 ...

Core Insights - The Eurozone's April services sector sentiment index is reported at 1.4, which is below the expected 2.2 and a revision from the previous value of 2.4 [1] Summary by Category - **Economic Indicators** - The services sector sentiment index for April is 1.4, indicating a decline in sentiment compared to expectations and previous values [1]

②17:00 欧元区4月工业景气指数、4月经济景气指数； ③20:00 美国财长贝森特参加发布会； ④20:30 美国财长贝森特发表讲话； ⑤21:00 美国2月FHFA房价指数月率、2月S&P/CS20座大城市未季调房价指数年率； ⑥22:00 美国3月JOLTs职位空缺、4月谘商会消费者信心指数； ①14:00 德国5月Gfk消费者信心指数； ⑦次日04:30 美国至4月25日当周API原油库存。 周二（4月29日）重点关注财经事件和经济数据 ...

2025 年 4 月 28 日 本周热点前瞻 2025-04-28 陶金峰 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0000372 邮箱：taojinfeng@gtht.com 4月29日 欧元区4月经济景气指数 点评：4月29日17:00，欧盟统计局将公布欧元区4月经济景气指数和工业景气指数。预期欧元区4月经济景 气指数为94.5，前值为95.2；预期欧元区4月工业景气指数为-10.7，前值为-10.6。如果欧元区4月经济景气指 数和工业景气指数均小幅低于前值，则将轻度抑制有色金属、原油及相关商品期货价格上涨，但是将轻度有助 于黄金和白银期货价格上涨。 声明 本报告的观点和信息仅供风险承受能力合适的投资者参考。本报告难以设置访问权限，若给您造成不便，敬 请谅解。若您并非风险承受能力合适的投资者，请勿阅读、订阅或接收任何相关信息。本报告不构成具体业务或 产品的推介，亦不应被视为相应金融衍生品的投资建议。请您根据自身的风险承受能力自行作出投资决定并自主 承担投资风险，不应凭借本报告进行具体操作。 【本周重点关注】 4 月 29 日 22:00，美国谘商会将公布 4 月谘商会消费者信心指数。 4 月 30 日 09:30，国家统计 ...

Economic Growth Indicators - The GDP weekly high-frequency prosperity index for the week ending April 26 is 5.5%, remaining stable compared to the previous week's revised value of 5.5%[1] - The index indicates relative stability in economic growth, although there are risks of decline due to tariff impacts that require ongoing monitoring[1] Production Sector Insights - High-frequency indicators for both the service and industrial sectors are generally stable[12] - Daily production of pig iron by key enterprises remains steady, indicating stable conditions in the black metal sector[12] - The operating rate of automotive steel tires has slightly decreased, aligning with levels from the previous two years[12] Demand Side Analysis - Consumer demand shows signs of strengthening, while fixed asset investment is declining, and exports remain resilient[22] - The consumption high-frequency index indicates a slight recovery, with a projected year-on-year growth rate of 4.5% for retail sales in the fourth week of April[23] - The construction sector shows weakened physical workload and funding availability, with rebar apparent demand declining significantly[37] Real Estate Market Trends - New housing sales in 30 major cities increased by 12% week-on-week, totaling 162,000 square meters, although this represents an 18% year-on-year decline[50] - Land transaction volumes decreased by 19,000 square meters week-on-week, with total transaction value dropping by 8.3 billion yuan to 19.3 billion yuan[50] Price Trends - The agricultural wholesale price index decreased by 0.5% week-on-week, with average prices for pork rising by 0.65%[63] - The overall price of consumer goods is declining, influenced by rising temperatures and seasonal factors[63]

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the restaurant industry Core Insights - The restaurant industry experienced a significant drop in the business climate index post-holiday, falling from 130.1 in January 2025 to 114.8 in February 2025, a decrease of 11.8% [8][9] - The decline in the business climate index is attributed to multiple factors including the end of the Spring Festival effect, reduced tourism consumption, and changes in consumer behavior [8][11] - New product launches in the restaurant sector are intensifying competition, particularly in tea beverages and baked goods, with a notable increase in innovative offerings [20][30] Summary by Sections 1. Restaurant Industry Business Climate Index - The business climate index for the restaurant industry dropped significantly in February 2025, indicating a return to normal consumption patterns after the holiday surge [8][9] - Key regions such as Beijing and Shanghai saw the most substantial declines, with decreases of 18.8% and 16.2% respectively, influenced by extreme weather and delayed resumption of work [11] 2. New Product Launches - In February 2025, 45 Western fast food brands launched 51 new products, focusing on flavor and ingredient innovation [21][22] - The tea beverage sector saw 113 new products launched, with milk tea leading at 39 products, reflecting a trend towards fruit-infused flavors [30][31] - The bakery segment introduced 181 new products, with cakes dominating the offerings at 56.9% of the total [38] 3. Opening Situations - The report highlights a trend of rapid expansion among restaurant brands, with new store formats being introduced in various cities [49][53] - Notable international expansions include the opening of a Japanese izakaya in Shanghai and a tea brand's first overseas store in Spain [54][55] 4. Financing, Mergers, and Acquisitions - February 2025 saw an increase in financing activities within the restaurant sector, with 11 recorded events, primarily involving restaurant service providers and brands [58][59] - The IPO of Gu Ming raised 1.813 billion HKD, indicating a positive trend in the market [63] 5. Major Events in the Restaurant Industry - Significant events include the confirmation of a pause in franchise openings by a major tea brand and the closure of several locations due to strategic shifts [70][71] - The report also notes the impact of rising international coffee prices on local brands, prompting price adjustments [70]

Core Insights - In March, China's retail industry prosperity index reached 50.2%, showing a year-on-year and month-on-month increase of 0.1 percentage points, remaining in the expansion zone [1] Retail Industry Performance - The leasing operation index increased by 0.3 percentage points month-on-month, indicating stabilized development confidence among leasing enterprises and a significant rise in shop rental rates [1] - The e-commerce operation index rose by 0.8 percentage points month-on-month, reflecting positive trends in online retail [1] Market Dynamics - March marks the peak season for the launch of new products in the retail sector, with an increase in new stores, new products, and diversified, personalized retail service scenarios [1] - The consumer market shows a noticeable recovery in vitality, driven by favorable policies such as the expansion of "trade-in" programs and innovations in the retail industry [1]

今年国内外综合情况更加复杂，需要强有力的政策为宏观经济修复注入更强的动力。报告中特别强调政策前置发力，后续不排除更多储备政 策陆续推出。消费、就业、创新是今年的政府工作报告中频繁出现的词语，也将成为今年各部门的重点工作方向。 德国拟设立5000亿欧元基础设施基金 点击图片▲立即收听 今年GDP增长目标定在5%左右 3月5日，十四届全国人大三次会议在人民大会堂开幕。政府工作报告中提出今年发展主要预期目标：国内生产总值增长5%左右；城镇调查失 业率5.5%左右，城镇新增就业1200万人以上；居民消费价格涨幅2%左右；居民收入增长和经济增长同步。 政府工作报告中指出，今年赤字率拟按4%左右安排、比上年提高1个百分点，赤字规模5.66万亿元、比上年增加1.6万亿元。一般公共预算支 出规模29.7万亿元、比上年增加1.2万亿元。拟安排地方政府专项债券4.4万亿元。拟发行超长期特别国债1.3万亿元、比上年增加3000亿元。 拟发行特别国债5000亿元，支持国有大型商业银行补充资本。（华尔街见闻） ｜点评 ｜ 以中国现在的经济体量来说，将今年GDP目标定在5%左右较为合理。居民消费价格涨幅去年全年在0%附近徘徊，今年将涨幅 ...